Essential Research: 56-44 to Coalition
The latest weekly Essential Research survey shows no change on last week, bar a one point drop in the Greens vote to 10 per cent: the Coalition is on 49 per cent of the primary vote and Labor on 32 per cent, with the Coalition’s two-party lead at 56-44. Essential also found plenty of interesting questions to ask about the Labor leadership. Respondents were asked to evaluate the performance of various actors during the challenge, with Kevin Rudd coming out least badly (33 per cent good, 35 per cent poor), “Labor Party ministers” the worst (10 per cent and 52 per cent), the media also very poorly (14 per cent and 43 per cent), Julia Gillard not well at all (23 per cent and 49 per cent) and Tony Abbott hardly better even if it might be hard to recall what he did exactly (25 per cent and 40 per cent).
Sixty-two per cent of respondents said the leadership challenge was bad for the government and 47 per cent that it has made them less likely to vote Labor (64 per cent among Coalition supporters, obviously including many who wouldn’t vote Labor in a pink fit), against 13 per cent who said it was a good thing and another 13 per cent (or perhaps the same 13 per cent) who they were more likely to vote Labor. A question on Kevin Rudd’s future produces a miraculously even three-way split with 29 per cent saying he should stay in parliament and again challenge for the leadership, 28 per cent saying he should stay in parliament and not challenge for the leadership and 30 per cent saying he should resign from parliament.
Respondents were asked to indicate whether they supported the Australian system of leaders being elected by MPs (36 per cent), American-style presidential primaries (31 per cent) and British-style election by both MPs and party members (11 per cent). Fifty-six per cent believed MPs should be guided by public opinion in leadership contests against 30 per cent by who they believed was the best person. The poll also points to a slight increase in support for an early election since the end of January, up three to 44 per cent with support for a completed term down two to 46 per cent.
We have also had Newspoll publish results from last week’s polling on the most important political issues and the best party to handle them. Such figures are invariably very closely associated with voting intention, and since this was a 53-47 poll result, it finds Labor improving considerably since the question was last asked as part of the poll of October 7-9, which was a 57-43 result. Labor has recovered big leads on its traditional strong suits of health, education, industrial relations and climate change, and closed the gap on the economy, interest rates and national security. Full tables from GhostWhoVotes.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
ducky
google fine cotton
poroti
dont sweat
soon there will be sheep with flippers
by gusface on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:45 pm
CC – ‘a risk of a perception’ in relations with the press. Jay, QC wacking.
by CTar1 on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:45 pm
If they sorted it out by dumping Gillard- yes.
By sorting it out through insulting each other, eviscerating the Rudd political enigma and leaving themselves and embittering the losing Ministers is likely to result in a boost to Coalition polling and is not good for those of us wanting a Lib leaderspill
by Mod Lib on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:46 pm
poroti, wolffen shaggers?
by The Finnigans on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:46 pm
Probably a vote winner
by Leroy on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:46 pm
gusface,
Wiki. Couldn’t remember the ring-in’s name.
by This little black duck on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:47 pm
Fess, i saw thru her from day 1. That’s why she is a Horsey. I know her by no other name.
by The Finnigans on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:47 pm
Sir Paul would be a fine companion at lunch. He has had a bit of practice.
by This little black duck on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:48 pm
Is anyone else a subscriber to Crikey’s daily email? I did not get my email today, recently resubscribed too.
by Leroy on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:49 pm
Forget Pegasus.
Liberal policies?
by CTar1 on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:50 pm
Leroy,
Got mine:
Am considering not resubscribing. No PB deal in the offing, so far.
by This little black duck on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:52 pm
Why does Q & A have 2 overseas commentators, the pom is an absolute Tory twit
by billie on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:52 pm
The Tories only talk about “small govt”, in reality they love big govt: Labor’s Tax take 21.75% of GDP Vs 25% under Liberals #qanda
by The Finnigans on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:52 pm
Forget Pegasus.
Liberal policies?
hmmm
liberal policies
isnt that code for a vacuum?
by gusface on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:54 pm
Someone was looking for a name for The KFC Kid. “Oxymoron” works on several levels.
by This little black duck on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:55 pm
Mod Lib,
Then the ALP had better pull its finger out and start putting real money and effort into exposing the Liberals for the frauds they are.
Then maybe the media will stop being such turds? Hmm..
Then maybe guys like you will simply sit down one day, carefully and objectively analyse the question “what would actually happen in real concrete terms if the Liberals were voted for” and realise there is no sensible alternative to Labor. You can be a “Liberal” in terms of your take on free market values, personal freedom or whatever the hell it is that gets you infected into voting Liberal.. and still rise above that and realise this mob are dangerous.
by cud chewer on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:55 pm
The Finnigans
All wolfen shaggers were taken care of by the biggest baddest budgie like Eva !
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H89iXWEKMMc
by poroti on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:55 pm
Assuming you mean the Liberals and not the current mob…..why?
If you argue there are no policies, then how do you argue if they get in and implement their policies it will be dangerous for Australia?
by Mod Lib on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:56 pm
Say policies to Liberals and they go to water?
by CTar1 on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:58 pm
CTar1:
What were Kim B’s policies in 1999?
by Mod Lib on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:59 pm
Mod Lib,
You are joking surely. If this mob of tea-party nutters get in, it will be like Australia contracted rabies.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:59 pm
mod
answering ur earlier Q
the trend is ur friend
unless labor dips back to 58-42
labor is inexorablely climbing
(why abbott is crying in his cups, is that he knows the chance of power is slipping thru his hands , like sand on the beach
by gusface on Mar 5, 2012 at 9:59 pm
Why, Puff?
by Mod Lib on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:00 pm
poroti, dont cry for me Rotorua
by The Finnigans on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:00 pm
Each of these ‘sentences’ contradicts the previous one, Gus.
Sorry, not following…
by Mod Lib on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:01 pm
Pegasus if there
Ignore the idiots please. You are a sensible poster.
However just to set into the swim of things I suppose I had better address you in baby talk.
So Horsey pleese u keep posting her cos we luvs ya.
Not sure that your two main detractors actually CAN read and write anything other than baby talk. Never seen it.
by daretotread on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:03 pm
Mod, explain this
by The Finnigans on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:03 pm
A tweet:
by Cuppa on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:04 pm
HMAS Yarra was sunk about this time 70 years ago trying to protect shipping withdrawing from Singapore.
by CTar1 on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:05 pm
Gus
There is no trend. There has been a jump up since October sure but since then it has been a stubborn 46/54. It is almost as if everyone has made up their mind and NOTHING will shift.
by daretotread on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:05 pm
The Finnigans
As all H2S fans will tell you it is spelt Rottenrua .
by poroti on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:05 pm
mod
damn ur closed synapses
anyways
the trend is your friend
ie where are we now viz 6 mths ago
unless labor dips to 58-42
ie the FIBS are 58 the godd guys 42
labor is inexorably climbing
see above points
ps did i type it slow enough for you?
by gusface on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:05 pm
Dare, u iz in trouble on 2 counts:
1. U cantz call her Horsey, only moi is allowed
2. horsey haz cut & run for the 2nd time today
by The Finnigans on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:06 pm
Mod Lib,
You do understand the difference between “ingenuous” and its antonym, don’t you?
by This little black duck on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:06 pm
There is a huge fracas in the Liberal Party over PPL. The leaders want it as dumping it will make them look bad and the middle management want to dump it as it is expensive and diminishes the low taxing argument they want to front at the next election.
by Mod Lib on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:06 pm
DTT
18/12
by Oakeshott Country on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:07 pm
dare tot read
goo goo ga ga
by gusface on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:07 pm
Mod Lib,
You cannot be that obtuse, surely?
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:08 pm
Assuming you mean the Liberals and not the current mob…..why?
Because when asked they can only point to the things they will wreck. Because we have the benefit of history – workchoices – cutting of funding to universities – cuts to infrastructure – populist spending on middle class welfare. And we could go on and on.
Just one concrete example. We need a future proof communications network. The NBN is a good response to that (its not perfect). What the do the Libs do? Argue like there’s no future, no change, and appeal to ignorance. Pathetic.
I’d have something decent to say for Turnbull if he toppled Abbott and then announced that it was all just bullshit and he’s going to keep the NBN because its simply a good policy.
by cud chewer on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:09 pm
Hmmm
is that a psalm or a rating?
by gusface on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:09 pm
If you argue there are no policies, then how do you argue if they get in and implement their policies it will be dangerous for Australia?
Because doing nothing is also a good way to see the country decline – as infrastructure decays, and education standards fall, and we have to import more skilled migrants… and there’s no money for pension increases (thank you Howard for not giving a shit) because its spent on baby bonuses…
by cud chewer on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:11 pm
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=emUVrkBMcvI
by This little black duck on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:11 pm
Mod Lib – What will they do if they get in? The whole world waits … and the longer it goes the less likely it gets that people will vote for them. Business gets nervous that what has been said to them but not publically declared is worth a Kev-07 ‘zip’.
by CTar1 on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:11 pm
If the Liberals are sinking into Tea Partyism, then this post about the absurd positions of the Republicans should be alarming to Libs.
http://johnquiggin.com/2012/03/03/doublethink-doubleplusungood/
by confessions on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:11 pm
Ah, ModLib, you never let me down.
Despite your attempts to re-write history, that is not the story as presented, and not the story Gillard described as completely untrue.
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/mutiny-kills-pms-bob-carr-plan/story-fn59niix-1226284538034
That’s the story. A tale of mutiny, an offer given then forced to be withdrawn, a breakdown of Labor stability, a veto by cabinet members, and a PM unable to assert her authority. None of it subsequently affirmed by anybody. At all.
This is what they want us to believe:
1. Gillard offers FM position to Carr. Cabinet members say, “Over our dead bodies”. Gillard says, “If that’s the way you feel about it, I’ll withdraw the offer.”
2. A few days pass.
3. Gillard offers FM position to Carr. Cabinet members say, “Right you are then.” Everyone is happy.
It’s a ridiculous story, but they have to stick to it or else they’d need to admit they stuffed the whole thing up by jumping to conclusions on Tuesday.
by Aguirre on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:12 pm
gussie
Hows about De Do Do Do, De Da Da Da ?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7v2GDbEmjGE&ob=av2e
by poroti on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:12 pm
OK so the ALP vote is increasing? Well since the Sep spike yes, but ignoring that spike there hasn’t been anything but a 10point Coalition lead for nearly 12 months.
Right, so the trend is going in one direction, unless it changes and goes in the other direction. OK, I see what you mean now, and I won’t make any comments about this given my promise not to insult you until April.
See Pollytics pollytrend.
by Mod Lib on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:14 pm
ducky
OHHHHHHHHHHHHH
that 18/12
by gusface on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:14 pm
Yep.. its called jumping the shark. Its all about narrative aint it.
by cud chewer on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:14 pm
ducky
rumour has it he is about to change his name by deedpoll to Sir Paul Lunchalot.
by Gaffhook on Mar 5, 2012 at 10:15 pm