Morgan face-to-face: 52-48 to Coalition

Thursday, March 8, 2012

Morgan face-to-face: 52-48 to Coalition

by William Bowe

Federal Election 2010

Morgan’s latest face-to-face poll, conducted last weekend from a sample of 878, shows no change in the two-party support from poll conducted a week earlier in the two days before the Labor leadership spill: the Coalition leads 52-48 on respondent-allocated preferences and 50-50 with preferences distributed as per the result of the 2010 election. However, both major parties are up on the primary vote, Labor by 1.5 per cent to 39 per cent and the Coalition by 1 per cent to 43.5 per cent. The Greens are down one point to 10 per cent with “others” down 1.5 per cent to 7.5 per cent. One hesitates to read too much into Morgan face-to-face polls, but I’m tempted to read this as more evidence of opinion polling’s remarkable imperviousness to recent political turmoil (though judgement should be reserved until more post-spill polling evidence becomes available). Morgan also treats us to state-level breakdowns derived from the last month of regular weekend polling, thereby producing useable samples for the states individually. This convincingly shows Labor struggling in NSW and performing best in South Australia, but eyebrows may be raised at the result from Queensland: Labor trails only 51-49, quite a lot better for them than the 54.5-45.5 New South Wales result, and has a higher primary vote than in Victoria (39.5 per cent compared with 38 per cent).

Categories: Federal Election 2010

1708 Responses

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Would the costs incurred on miners for these dams be tax deductable?

It would make the miners uncompetitive!

by BK on Mar 11, 2012 at 7:54 pm
Would the costs incurred on miners for these dams be tax deductable?

Only if those expenses improved their income. At best, they might get a percentage because Teh Dams would not be entirely for their own good.

Good luck to them to try to get a deduction for charity!

by This little black duck on Mar 11, 2012 at 7:57 pm
Judith Sloane on talking about matters economic. Ms. Sloane was supercilious, condescending – saying at one point, that if Mr. Koukoulas went to a superior university, he wouldn’t be supporting the gov’t's actions during the GFC or wtte – and using the usual tactic of interrupting and talking over Mr. Koukoulas. Mr. Koukoulas was not having this latter tactic and put her firmly but politely in her box. He also made a number of very telling points about the gov’t's economic management. She was largely unable to respond with anything other than talking up labour “flexibility” as code for lesser wages as the answer to any further GFC type scenario. Mr. Koukoulas nailed her on this most effectively.

missed it but not unexpected from Sloane. To quote someones university as being relevant shows that she has clearly lost the debate. her only argument is essentially work choices in every matter. ofcourse the OO lap up her diatribe on a regular basis because they just love her propaganda.

by the spectator on Mar 11, 2012 at 7:57 pm
So which NIMBYers are going to allow the dams to be built, or are they going to compulsorily acquire the land?

by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Mar 11, 2012 at 7:57 pm
So which NIMBYers are going to allow the dams to be built, or are they going to compulsorily acquire the land?

And where’s the cost/benefit analysis?

by BK on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:01 pm
You can’t build new dams these days.
look what happened with the traveston dam debacle .
Millions spent,peoples lives turned upside down,and for nothing.
But was a springboard for A. Bligh as Beattie sent her up to Gympie to face the wrath of the people who were going to be kicked out while she was his deputy. She did well in very difficult circumstances.

by Joe6pack on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:01 pm
What are Judith Sloan’s credentials? I am not interested in any studies she may have done.

Does she have a decent record of predictions? Has she produced decently vetted papers?

by This little black duck on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:02 pm
Disturbing politics in France, quite unbelievable from a socialist President to emit a dog whistle based on halal meat.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/mar/10/nicolas-sarkozy-halal-meat-france-election

“France has failed to learn the lesson of its history, says Abdenebi: “In 1939 when there was an economic crisis, the enemy was the Jews. Today there is a crisis and it is the Muslims. It’s the same discrimination, just a different community.”

Kamel Saidi, 34, the softly spoken owner of Les Enfants Terribles, says he finds the political atmosphere “revolting and tiring”. And he cannot see the situation improving. “People feel afraid because today the party of the right is adopting the ideas of the extreme right. What’s even more worrying is that this attitude is not going to change, certainly not in the near future.”

Sadly, exactly the

by Rossmore on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:03 pm
How about another Ord scheme, surely the world needs more sandalwood?

by ruawake on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:03 pm
And where’s the cost/benefit analysis?

And what happened to ’s dam network?

by This little black duck on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:04 pm
a socialist President

Nick is in no way a socialist president.

by This little black duck on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:06 pm
Sorry, I meant to say, ‘Sadly exactly the type of thing Oz shock jocks will leap on’.

by Rossmore on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:07 pm
Crikey is a bit slow. Authentication problems?

by This little black duck on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:08 pm
TLBD, quite right, a faux pas on my part.

by Rossmore on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:09 pm
Wasn’t there a bid from one of Abbott’s Libs to have halal meat labeled?

by ruawake on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:11 pm
Would the costs incurred on miners for these dams be tax deductable?

Only if those expenses improved their income. At best, they might get a percentage because Teh Dams would not be entirely for their own good.

Good luck to them to try to get a deduction for charity!

The Coalition won’t unpset big business unless at the end of the day that business can recoup their costs & ultimately the taxpayer foots the bill.
It’s the Coalition way!

by Dee on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:11 pm
How could I forget.

In a speech to Parliament yesterday, backbencher Luke Simpkins said most Australians did not know that most of the meat they ate came from animals killed in accordance with Muslim law.

“By having Australians unwittingly eating Halal food we are all one step down the path towards the conversion, and that is a step we should only make with full knowledge and one that should not be imposed upon us without us knowing,” Mr Simpkins told Parliament.

“What is happening is wrong. Too often the minorities in this country are looked after without regard to the majority.”

Mr Simpkins said he had carried out an unofficial survey in his northern-suburbs electorate of Cowan and had discovered that most meat at major chains such as Coles or Woolworths had been killed under Halal conditions, but had not been labelled as such.

by ruawake on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:14 pm
Some time ago I taped Catherine the Great from TV (1995 film) and have just put it onto a DVD.

The literature says it is 100 minutes. it is actually 200 minutes. WIN added 60 minutes more for adds.

Don’t mind Catherine Zeta for three hours plus. A Darling Bud she surely was.

by This little black duck on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:14 pm
Ducky, she is part of the ‘beltway’

by myk42 on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:16 pm
Mr Simpkins said he had carried out an unofficial survey in his northern-suburbs electorate of Cowan and had discovered

!!!

by This little black duck on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:17 pm
Perfect mix and Liberal Party Nirvana: mining magnates dig hole, take resources then get paid for building dam.

by joe2 on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:18 pm
myk42,

I forgot to send in my application. She doesn’t realise what she is missing.

by This little black duck on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:18 pm
It’s looking more and more likely that the next President of France will be the Socialist nominee François Hollande, who has been leading against the centre-right UMP incumbent Nicholas Sarkozy in opinion polls in double digits for the past year.

The election will take place next month, but it’s looking likely that there will need to be a run-off election in May, since neither candidate appears to be able to secure more than 50% of the vote.

by Von Kirsdarke on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:20 pm
for those who may have missed the outrageous Cameron Stewart OO article on the media enquiry, it has (with good cause) wound up the media academics who have been roundly defamed by Murdoch’s hatchet man (Stewart’s other notches are Simon Overland, Haneef and Climate change denial ramping).

what is truly amazing, is that Murdoch’s minions have so much hubris, that they don’t realise they are slowly digging their own graves. They are simply demonstrating the “don’t fuck with us” mentality which permeates the Murdoch empire globally- from FoxNews to the London tabloids to the regime change antics of the OO and Daily Telecrap. Well the day of reckoning is approaching very very quickly, and they seemingly are blind to it.

this is an interesting take on the OO’s tactics

http://journlaw.com/2012/03/11/attack-by-the-australian-supports-case-against-enforced-self-regulation-finkelstein/

by sprocket_ on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:21 pm
François v Angela will be a fight to behold.

Pity is, the ECB will win any fight like that.

by This little black duck on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:22 pm
TLBD
Don’t mind Catherine Zeta for three hours plus. A Darling Bud she surely was.

especially in may

by Joe6pack on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:24 pm
On being European and scenic – All things being equal Sabrina should be doing DW English news tomorrow afternoon on SBS.

by CTar1 on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:26 pm
Attack by The Australian supports case against ‘enforced self-regulation’ #Finkelstein

That is wrong. It should be “The Australian supports case against ‘enforced self-regulation’ #Finkelstein”

I don’t see any “attack” that supports it. OO has a history of not providing evidence for its assertions.

by This little black duck on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:26 pm
Ruawake – thanks for the link to Luke Simpkins. Sad that the Liberal Party gives airspace to such views.

by Rossmore on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:26 pm
ruawake,

Could you please pass on a note of appreciation from me to Frank Calabrese for copying and pasting one of my comments here on PB to AFV with his obligatory accompanying derisory comment.

I view such an act as positive reinforcement

by Pegasus on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:26 pm
Pegasus
Posted Sunday, March 11, 2012 at 8:26 pm | Permalink
ruawake,

Could you please pass on a note of appreciation from me to Frank Calabrese for copying and pasting one of my comments here on PB to AFV with his obligatory accompanying derisory comment.

I view such an act as positive reinforcement

get ready

by Joe6pack on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:29 pm
Judith Sloan was recently on Club Troppo sneering of Matt Cowgill (whose qualifications include MSc Finance (Economic Policy) at the University of London) that “arithmetic may not be his strong suit”, although she wasn’t able to explain why. Shortly afterward she ran away from the site crying on account of its “absence of civil discourse and courtesy”. One week later, she got 100 confused with 100,000.

by William Bowe on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:30 pm
Joe6pack,

I think the Darling Buds of May DVD series may be on my next wish list.

I know David Jason did stuff before that but this one was a goer for him. And Mum progressed to Keeping Up Appearances.

by This little black duck on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:32 pm
As there ANYONE with a kind word about Judith?

Well, don’t look at me!

by BK on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:33 pm
Sprocket

The thrust of the article linked is that journalist academics may be unenthusiastic towards the model regulator suggested by Finklestein QC, one concern being is that it may be used by powerful institutions to complain about individuals and smaller players.

by shellbell on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:33 pm
As = Is

by BK on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:34 pm
William,

I acknowledge your appreciation of Ms Sloan. Shudder!

by This little black duck on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:34 pm
William,

Is there any way we can be told what Crikey did to migrate? I’m interested from a technical point of view.

by This little black duck on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:37 pm
William – Judith is an exemplar for rude and loud mouthed Coalition supporters. People like Micheala Cash look up to her.

by CTar1 on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:38 pm
tlbd
I assume the first try, Crikey got in a leaky boat and Abbott turned them back. This time Crikey got in a plane and it was all good.

by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:39 pm
Andrew Elder on the Defence hoo hah.
http://andrewelder.blogspot.com.au/2012/03/tone-deaf-and-defensive.html

by BK on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:40 pm
Puff,

It is possible to drop things unto people from a great height. I await great gnashing of teeth.

by This little black duck on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:41 pm
I like the bit in Finklestein about the Trade Practices Act … can some report the link pls

by myk42 on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:42 pm
Probably not, TLBD.

by William Bowe on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:42 pm
From Andrew Elder:

This was an opportunity for Abbott to start identifying his weaknesses and working on turning them around

When Tone does introspection I’ll join the Trappists.

by This little black duck on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:44 pm
Judith Sloan was recently on Club Troppo sneering of Matt Cowgill

Bilbo, she is a sneering specialist. Meritorious Professor of Sneering perhaps.

by The Finnigans on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:44 pm
tlbd

I know David Jason did stuff before that but this one was a goer for him.

Was taught by the late great Ronnie barker in open all hours
Poor Granville
Classic stuff

by Joe6pack on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:46 pm
William,

Happy to wallow in the new found ocean of blue.

However, subscribers, like bond holders, like to know.

by This little black duck on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:47 pm
myk

Lyn Linking ‏ @lynlinking
Response toThe Weekend Australians article published on journalism academics riddled misrepresentations http://blogs.unimelb.edu.au/caj/2012/03/10/response-to-the-australian/ #FinkelScares

by gusface on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:47 pm
Is there any way we can be told what Crikey did to migrate? I’m interested from a technical point of view.

i think they paid some server smugglers

by gusface on Mar 11, 2012 at 8:49 pm

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