Crikey



Newspoll: 57-43 to Coalition

A bad result for the government in the latest fortnightly Newspoll, with the Coalition’s two-party lead out from 54-46 to 57-43. The primary votes are 28 per cent for Labor (down three) and 47 per cent for the Coalition (up four). Julia Gillard at least has the consolation that her personal ratings have improved from the previous fortnight’s dismal result, with her approval up three to 31 per cent and disapproval down four to 58 per cent. Tony Abbott’s ratings are unchanged at 32 per cent approval and 58 per cent disapproval, and there is likewise essentially no change on preferred prime minister (Gillard leads 40-37, up from 39-37).

Another consolation for Labor is the possibility that a bit of static might be expected from a poll conducted over the same weekend as a state election such as the one in Queensland. They can be fortified in this view by the fact that their standing improved in this week’s Essential Research poll, the most recent weekly component of which was conducted over a longer period than Newspoll (Wednesday to Sunday rather than Friday to Sunday). Very unusually, given that Essential is a two-week rolling average, this showed a two-point shift on two-party preferred, with the Coalition lead shrinking from 56-44 to 54-46. Given that Essential spiked to 57-43 a fortnight ago, and the sample which sent it there has now washed out of the rolling average, this is not entirely surprising. Labor’s primary vote is up two to 34 per cent, and the Coalition’s is down one to 47 per cent. Further questions featured in the poll cover the economy, its prospects, best party to handle it and personal financial situation (slightly more optimism than six months ago, and Labor up in line with its overall improvement since then), job security, Kony 2012, taking sickies and the impact of the high dollar.

Categories: Federal Politics 2010-

3757 Responses

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  1. Just back from radiotherapy, so I’m still catching-up while I glow.

    Best wishes in dealing with your ordeal, Smithe, and to your family.

    by OzPol Tragic on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:31 pm

  2. Seriously the NBN could wreck the movie industry

    Bollocks. the NBN could ressurect the movie industry. All the studios have to do is digitise their library and offer it on a pay per view basis.

    Imagine, when faced with yet another night with bugger all on any of the TV outlets, you can pay a couple of dollars and watch the movie of your choice from the last hundred years or so.

    Now that is the market at work, providing true freedom of choice.

    by Dan Gulberry on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:31 pm

  3. Murdoch’s vision was to control content and delivery of media. The NBN or rather high speed internet, destroys his delivery infrastructure.

    With any business, the distribution channel is the key. The more you can control the distribution channels, the more moneys you will made, just ask Woolies & Coles.

    ATM, Telstra & Optus controlled the distribution channels for the pay content. That’s why Murdoch & other Pay Content players got in bed with Telstra & Optus, then gang up to screw the punters.

    With NBN, everyone has access to the distribution channels in a fair & level playing field way.

    by The Finnigans on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:31 pm

  4. Diogenes
    Posted Wednesday, March 28, 2012 at 2:57 pm | Permalink
    bg

    Presumably Conroy is saying Fairfax should report it to the police.

    Tht’s my read, too. If Fairfax doesn’t then the AG or Conroy certainly can.

    As for the whereabouts of MIA Senator Brandis, he’ll no doubt be a character witness for the Defence in due course. I wouldn’t get him to run my defence for me, however, not if I was Rupe and not if I wanted to stay out of jail.

    by smithe on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:32 pm

  5. Horsey, zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

    by The Finnigans on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:33 pm

  6. http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2012/mar/28/fukushima-reactor-radiation-levels?CMP=twt_fd

    One of Japan's crippled nuclear reactors still has fatally high radiation levels and much less water to cool it than officials estimated, according to an internal examination that renews doubts about the plant's stability.

    A tool equipped with a tiny video camera, a thermometer, a dosimeter and a water gauge was used to assess damage inside the number two reactor's containment chamber for the second time since the tsunami swept into the Fukushima Daiichi plant, a year ago.

    The data shows the damage from the disaster is so severe the plant operator will have to develop special equipment and technology to tolerate the harsh environment, and decommission the plant. The process is expected to last decades.

    The other two reactors that had meltdowns could be in even worse shape. The number two reactor is the only one officials have been able to closely examine so far.

    Tuesday's examination, with an industrial endoscope, detected radiation levels up to 10 times the fatal dose inside the chamber

    by lizzie on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:33 pm

  7. sohar

    Victoria,
    You can watch BBC TV and iPlayer (same as iView, but can be downloaded to view anytime within one month) from anywhere if you get a VPN like this one for about 5 Quid ($8) a month:

    You can also rent vpn’s in the US for similar amounts and watch hulu, HBO, the Comedy Channel (Stewart and Colbert) plus a lot more.

    Also these are what will allow you to bypass the proposed internet filter here.

    by Dan Gulberry on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:36 pm

  8. All the best Smithe.

    by DavidWH on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:37 pm

  9. Bob Carr’s first ambassadorial appointment

    His best mate

    Does anybody in the ALP have any PR skills?

    by Bob Katter’s Hat on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:37 pm

  10. P
    Not to worry. You just keep pretending that the Labor Party is some sort of entity outside of its members and that slagging the Party is not really slagging the members. Yet you seem to believe that slagging the Greens is slagging you personally.
    Anyway, as you suggest best to stop it here. I can hear the sound of the conservative-rightards laughing in the background. They love this sort of stuff.

    by Boerwar on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:37 pm

  11. Bollocks. the NBN could ressurect the movie industry. All the studios have to do is digitise their library and offer it on a pay per view basis

    Isn’t Apple already offering (at least in the USA) iMovies in ways similar to its iTunes systems?

    NBN will download them in a fraction of the time it now takes to download a full film from TV.

    by OzPol Tragic on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:37 pm

  12. Guuuuuuuuuuuus!

    One of Japan's crippled nuclear reactors still has fatally high radiation levels and much less water to cool it than officials estimated, according to an internal examination that renews doubts about the plant's stability.

    Thanks for link, lizzie.

    by Boerwar on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:39 pm

  13. What’s the point of parodying the Greens when they do such an outstanding job themselves?

    http://www.vexnews.com/2012/03/abcs-jon-faine-asks-is-there-intelligent-life-in-the-greens-has-bob-brown-lost-it-completely/

    by Greensborough Growler on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:40 pm

  14. VKH
    What appointment was that? The only hey mate appointment is Queensland’s new Department Head for transport. I hope he played with toy cars while he was a kid because that would be about the sum total of his relevant experience to manage around 9000 staff.

    by Boerwar on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:41 pm

  15. [etc
    Posted Wednesday, March 28, 2012 at 6:10 pm | Permalink
    Just back from radiotherapy, so I’m still catching-up while I glow.

    [ Bushfire Bill
    Posted Wednesday, March 28, 2012 at 12:33 pm | Permalink
    A question arises as to how much Kim Williams knew about all this? He was head of Foxtel wasn’t he?

    I only read the story (and all 14,000 emails) once. Was one of the allegations that}

    Take care won't you, my best wishes for your complete recovery, guess you will drinking plenty of water?

    by mari on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:41 pm

  16. Re the FR report I would have thought any number of parties could refer the matter to the FP or even the FP decide themselves to investigate. As a last resort the federal government could ask the FP to review the situation.

    by DavidWH on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:42 pm

  17. The irony is that I (and others here) used the internet to watch an embargoed BBC program about the way that Murdoch sought to nobble his Pay TV competitors by making public their smart card codes.

    If this isn’t proof enough that Murdoch full realizes the potential for bypassing his smart card powered Pay TV cash cow, then I don’t know what is.

    No wonder he hates the NBN. He sent his competitors broke to get a monopoly on Pay TV here in Oz, and he’s not going to let some upstart elected government and their low cost data pipe pip him at the post at this late stage.

    by Bushfire Bill on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:43 pm

  18. Leroy
    Posted Wednesday, March 28, 2012 at 6:09 pm | Permalink
    This article from a couple of days ago shows efforts to stop the doco

    http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/03/26/rupert-murdoch-s-battle-with-the-bbc.html

    Rupert Murdoch’s Battle With the BBC
    by Peter Jukes Mar 26, 2012 1:26 PM EDT
    Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp. warns about new BBC documentary, scheduled to air today.
    Peter Jukes reports from London.

    If only we had a public broadcaster like that here, not a subsidiary of News Ltd that we have

    by mari on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:43 pm

  19. OPT

    You could be right about iMovies. I know a company here (Quickflix) already offers something similar. They’ve just signed a deal with HBO to distribute their content in Australia.

    More please!!!!!

    by Dan Gulberry on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:43 pm

  20. Thomas L. Friedman contrasts Republicans with Conservatives in N.Z. and Australia (perhaps with a tinge of rose in his glasses):

    http://www.nytimes.com/2012/03/28/opinion/friedman-elephants-down-under.html?_r=1&nl=todaysheadlines&emc=edit_th_20120328

    by Scarpat on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:43 pm

  21. GG

    The Greens party was the first and the only party to understand the implications of AGW. That is good enough for me. Compared to that bit of sanity, the Coalition is insane, AGW-wise. Substantial sections of the Labor Party are not far behind.

    They just don’t get it. They keep wanting to spar about jobs and COL as if there is no AGW tomorrow. That’s what is truly mad.

    by Boerwar on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:46 pm

  22. Yes, you can pay a little more with a number of VPN providers and choose to login to any country you like – they assume you are located there by the IP address.

    by sohar on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:47 pm

  23. GG

    I’m very sad to read that speech. There’s a ‘fin de siecle’ feeling about it, the passing of an era.

    by lizzie on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:47 pm

  24. NBN will download them in a fraction of the time it now takes to download a full film from TV.

    Oz, imagine. Access to the Universal, Warner, MGM, UA, Plus other foreign movies libraries.

    For 90c per movie, download each movie (5Gigs) in 1min flat on NBN. Sensational.

    by The Finnigans on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:47 pm

  25. shellbell way back at 1688

    I clicked on the link re the new Vatican Posting and it has been removed. Apparently it was incorrect,

    by MTBW on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:48 pm

  26. Was wondering if there was any reporting about the “embattled” News Ltd on the News, I did see Ch 10, but no Paul B or Hugh R and towards the end a little bit about the Federal government s looking at the report by AFR but News is denying it Remember who heads ch 10 and who is bankrolling it. What about 7,9, or SBS and ABC about to come on? Anything?

    by mari on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:48 pm

  27. BW, Finns & Boerwar Fukushima Inc strikes gold again. Min of Educ is in the pocket:

    Akiko Fujita ‏ @AkikoFujita · Open
    Interesting fact of the day: out of 218 HS textbooks approved by Education Ministry this year, only 1 mentions meltdowns at #Fukushima

    by The Finnigans on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:49 pm

  28. 1514 gusface
    Posted Wednesday, March 28, 2012 at 1:40 pm | Permalink
    embers snake oil

    YAWN

    Are you just waking up from last night or just telling BB and me that you ‘allus have one at 11′ and are getting tired again.

    by Dr John on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:49 pm

  29. Boerwar

    There is still hope. Apparently Marn Ferson has admitted that solar CAN be base power.
    Not sure of the detail of the report.

    by lizzie on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:50 pm

  30. Austar and Optus are other options for taking the News information to the AFP.

    by Diogenes on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:51 pm

  31. Finns

    With any business, the distribution channel is the key

    You don’t have to ask Willies or Coles.

    You only need to look at Gordon & Gotch and what happened to newspaper delivery.
    And then look no further than News Limited.

    by kezza2 on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:51 pm

  32. l
    Mr Ferguson takes a leap into the 21st Century. Amazing.

    by Boerwar on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:51 pm

  33. ABC “Just In” has posted re the latest Murdoch scandal; though it’s a pathetic regurgitation of parts of available reports & “Just In” is a loooong way from the truth! Conroy urges probe into News Corp piracy claim

    Finally gave into the complaints, eh? Esp the very public ones on social media!

    by OzPol Tragic on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:52 pm

  34. Dio
    I imagine that Austar shareholders are holding their breath. They would have got themselves a reasonable deal, in the circumstances. If the deal is off I imagine that they would stand to be losers. So they will be tippytoeing quietly at the moment.

    In fact, what is truly striking is how very very small are the ripples.

    by Boerwar on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:53 pm

  35. This could be why the ABC are so reticent to run the story:

    The prime time BBC1 Panorama documentary “Murdoch’s TV Pirates”—postponed from two weeks ago—has already been the subject of legal warnings. On Saturday News Corp.’s lawyers, PSB Law LLP, reportedly sent a confidential legal message to various media companies warning them not to reproduce the allegations it expects the BBC to air tonight. According to the letter, the synopsis of the documentary published on the BBC’s website as part of its advanced advertising billing for the program suggests that the documentary may contain “serious, defamatory, false and highly damaging” allegations against News Corp.

    http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/03/26/rupert-murdoch-s-battle-with-the-bbc.html

    (From the Daily Beast article linked above by Mari)

    by Bushfire Bill on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:55 pm

  36. Finns
    We will have to put a staff member up against the wall. One book does actually mention it… what a cock-up. Someone must pay.

    by Boerwar on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:56 pm

  37. BB
    The legal industry strikes yet another blow for freedom. Warms yer cockles.

    by Boerwar on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:56 pm

  38. The life style choice of some but…..
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/a-precarious-life-20120327-1vwhy.html

    More Australians than ever can only find casual or non-permanent jobs that don't offer any security. Are they what the economy needs or are they just being ripped off?

    That accounts for 4 million Australians, making us something of a world leader in developing a casualised workforce. By 2002, according to the OECD, only Spain had more casual workers than Australia's then 27 per cent (this has since fallen to about 25 per cent).

    Globally, the phenomenon of so many people living a precarious life of social and economic uncertainty, often coupled with extreme debt, has led to the coining of a new phrase to describe this rising, anxious class: the "precariat".

    He says the increase in employment that lacks security has helped fuel the growth of various forms of extremism, as "the precariat" loses faith in conventional centre-left and centre-right political parties and agendas. He points to the drift to the far right in Europe and the United States, with former working-class people being lured by populist sirens playing on the fears of an anxious and insecure workforce

    May says her own research and that of others on casual workers generally, outside the university sphere, shows they have higher rates of workplace injury, and are more vulnerable to sexual harassment. "Our whole system is falling apart because the nature of the work protection system hasn't kept up with the changing nature of work."

    by Pegasus on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:57 pm

  39. BB
    William will probably wake up in irons.

    by Boerwar on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:57 pm

  40. Boerwar,

    You are perfectly entitled to follow a loony. Your repetitive regular posts say you are that way inclined.

    Unfortunately, knowing something and doing something about it are entirely different matters. This includes AGW.

    The Greens are just another Political Party. Their esteemed status is undeserved. Let’s just say, “They talk a good fight”.

    by Greensborough Growler on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:57 pm

  41. Universal, Warner, MGM, UA, Plus other foreign movies libraries.

    Owned by? I think the huge movie libraries were fought over years ago. When Rupert bought 20th Century Fox people wondered why.

    by ruawake on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:58 pm

  42. We will have to put a staff member up against the wall. One book does actually mention it… what a cock-up. Someone must pay.

    BW, i know we are greedy, but that greedy? OK, we are. Instruction has been sent “shoot”

    by The Finnigans on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:58 pm

  43. GG

    Unfortunately, knowing something and doing something about it are entirely different matters.

    Couldn’t agree more. 5% by 2020 is pathetic.

    by Boerwar on Mar 28, 2012 at 6:59 pm

  44. Finns

    I suggest we don’t send an email or a written note in that style. Some rat might publish the lot one day and cause embarrassment.

    How about, ‘Managers of staff members involved in publishing the truth about Fukushima should ensure that our special bonus arrangement is put into place expeditiously.’

    by Boerwar on Mar 28, 2012 at 7:01 pm

  45. We can get a glimpse of the future with the sort of things offerd by Virgin in the UK for their fiber optic customers. Internent,telephone and television bundled together all over the one fiber. NBN way better though.

    75 top TV channels

    Up to 10Mb fibre optic broadband

    Unlimited weekend calls to UK landlines** and Virgin mobiles

    Choice of free mobile phone

    http://shop.virginmedia.com/bundles/bundles-with-extras/phm-tvmp-bbl-mobile.html

    by poroti on Mar 28, 2012 at 7:01 pm

  46. MTBW

    Yes you are right. I got a correction email and posted it immediately here (albeit slightly sardonically).

    It is all a bit curious.

    by shellbell on Mar 28, 2012 at 7:02 pm

  47. poroti
    That sounds awful.

    by Boerwar on Mar 28, 2012 at 7:02 pm

  48. In Victoria, it’s almost 7pm. ABC News. I expect the lead item
    to be something along the lines of: News Ltd phone hacking,
    dirty tricks scandal with naked vicars extends to Australia, the birthplace
    of the Dirty Digger. A bit tabloid but, hey?

    by Scringler on Mar 28, 2012 at 7:02 pm

  49. Pegasus

    try
    http://securejobs.org.au/take-action/

    by ruawake on Mar 28, 2012 at 7:02 pm

  50. Boerwar,

    I never take notice of fist waving hectorers. They remind me of Greens.

    It seems most of Australia is the same.

    by Greensborough Growler on Mar 28, 2012 at 7:03 pm

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