Crikey



Newspoll: 57-43 to Coalition

A bad result for the government in the latest fortnightly Newspoll, with the Coalition’s two-party lead out from 54-46 to 57-43. The primary votes are 28 per cent for Labor (down three) and 47 per cent for the Coalition (up four). Julia Gillard at least has the consolation that her personal ratings have improved from the previous fortnight’s dismal result, with her approval up three to 31 per cent and disapproval down four to 58 per cent. Tony Abbott’s ratings are unchanged at 32 per cent approval and 58 per cent disapproval, and there is likewise essentially no change on preferred prime minister (Gillard leads 40-37, up from 39-37).

Another consolation for Labor is the possibility that a bit of static might be expected from a poll conducted over the same weekend as a state election such as the one in Queensland. They can be fortified in this view by the fact that their standing improved in this week’s Essential Research poll, the most recent weekly component of which was conducted over a longer period than Newspoll (Wednesday to Sunday rather than Friday to Sunday). Very unusually, given that Essential is a two-week rolling average, this showed a two-point shift on two-party preferred, with the Coalition lead shrinking from 56-44 to 54-46. Given that Essential spiked to 57-43 a fortnight ago, and the sample which sent it there has now washed out of the rolling average, this is not entirely surprising. Labor’s primary vote is up two to 34 per cent, and the Coalition’s is down one to 47 per cent. Further questions featured in the poll cover the economy, its prospects, best party to handle it and personal financial situation (slightly more optimism than six months ago, and Labor up in line with its overall improvement since then), job security, Kony 2012, taking sickies and the impact of the high dollar.

Categories: Federal Politics 2010-

3757 Responses

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  1. Plave = place :-(

    by grantplant on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:01 pm

  2. This is priceless:

    Possum Comitatus ‏ @Pollytics

    The old "Hanging curtains naked, fell and got a potato stuck up my bum" trick http://bit.ly/qZtb0v (via @lucethoughts ) o_O

    Andrew Catsaras Andrew Catsaras ‏ @AndrewCatsaras

    @Pollytics @lucethoughts I guess that's one way to store your spuds in the dark.

    by Space Kidette on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:01 pm

  3. GeeWizz,

    I’m actually out here in voting country just giving my 2 cents on how Labor are performing.

    I reckon you are vastly overcharging at that price.

    If your business model relies on that, then you must be a regular at Vinnies for a handout to survive. ;-)

    by scorpio on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:02 pm

  4. Bemused
    Thanks for the warning on the Gillard groupies but if anyone can see how an election can be won with a tainted Julia Gillard at the helm then I’m waiting to hear where my view of “reality” is wrong. Again government achievements get no airplay and a party led by Tony Abbott, master of the gaffes (which are quickly ignored or forgiven), has never been anywhere near a losing position since August 2010.

    by Mick77 on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:04 pm

  5. I reckon he’s glad he wasn’t cuting up a pineapple.

    http://www.metro.co.uk/weird/382493-vicar-hospitalised-with-potato-up-his-bum

    by Greensborough Growler on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:07 pm

  6. GG,

    I am still laughing. The do as I say not as I do brigade are a weird bunch.

    by Space Kidette on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:09 pm

  7. SK – Sheffield! :-)

    by CTar1 on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:09 pm

  8. Rua the 11% carbon price impact is already built into those calculations. The headline has now changed from 3.9% to 7.6% however it is still much lower than the 50%. It depends, as it always does, on the type and amount of power usage. For those of us who already have power saving strategies in place then we end up closer to the 3.9% than the 7.6%.

    by DavidWH on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:09 pm

  9. I like your schoolyard analogy a lot, but it does strike me that once Stutchbury had taken over the reins at the Fin, Laura Tingle completely lost her mojo. Coincidence?

    Schoolyard led by Stutchbury and the like. He just wants to play handball. Won’t let Latingle ring the bell bc having too much fun eating his fairy floss

    by jenauthor on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:09 pm

  10. SK/GG

    You wouldn’t readabout it!

    by victoria on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:10 pm

  11. ‘Drought resistant roses’! Every where I’ve lived where there was a garden has had at least one. They’re ‘tough as nails’. I haven’t had any actually die although 1 or 2 that hung on but didn’t thrive.

    Does anything actually kill them other than poison?

    Erm, I did say earlier that Cosy Cottage rose notes from me would cease, but PB is a broad church, it seems.

    To answer the question, does anything kill ‘em? … well, they are not fond of dog piss.

    Also, it is strongly recommended that elephants be discouraged from squatting on them.

    If the rose is rooted properly, on a good stock, with a bit of a pedigree and paperwork to confirm, should survive.

    Always remove shoots from the root stock. Aphids can be controlled with a cheap, homemade mixture of used engine oil, meths or diesel, rose water and some napalm. Warning: Go easy on the rose water!

    Hope this helps all rose growers out there …

    by Scringler on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:11 pm

  12. smithe

    Telling us about your treatment in an entertaining and humourous way is very much appreciated.

    Again, i wish you all the very best in your treatment and speedy recovery!

    by victoria on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:13 pm

  13. Mick77
    I really should add a :sarcasm: more often .
    :sigh:

    Got tired of GW’s stupid comments and went out to feed the chooks and search for zucchinis. Found a beauty. Guys you’d be so jealous…

    by lizzie on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:13 pm

  14. jenauthor

    It appears Tingle wants the govt to act in some way

    by victoria on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:13 pm

  15. For those of us who already have power saving strategies in place then we end up closer to the 3.9% than the 7.6%.

    Sad news read the qca report. The less you use the higher the increase.
    http://www.qca.org.au/files/ER-QCA-NEP1213-RegPri-DraftDec-0312.pdf

    The ABC report is incorrect if that is what you are basing figures on.

    by ruawake on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:14 pm

  16. lizzie

    Have you read posts by SK and GG yet?

    by victoria on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:14 pm

  17. News from Blighty – expelled Labour MP George Galloway’s Respect party snatches a former Labour seat in a by-election;

    Respect Party candidate George Galloway has taken the Bradford West parliamentary seat from Labour, winning the by-election by 10,100 votes.

    Mr Galloway, expelled by Labour in 2003, said it was the "most sensational victory" in by-election history. He received 18,341 votes - a 56% share.

    He said his victory represented a "total rejection" of the major parties.

    At the 2010 General Election, Labour's Marsha Singh, who resigned on health grounds, won with a majority of 5,763 .

    The party had held the West Yorkshire seat since 1974, except for a brief period in the 1980s when the sitting MP defected to the SDP.

    Labour candidate Imran Hussein came second with 8,201 votes as the party's share of the vote was 20% down on its 2010 figure.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-17549388

    by grantplant on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:14 pm

  18. Why is it that Roxon expects Abbott to apologize but doesan’t ask feminist icon Greer to do the same thing? Why weren’t Tony Jones and the Q & A audience appalled by Greer’s remarks??? If Greer doesn’t apologize then why should Abbott?

    by Desert Fox on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:15 pm

  19. "Because ‘those affected’ get compensated whether the use the product that incurs the tax or not. They can choose to use another product that is more environmentally friendly- they still get compensated. "

    Hang on hang on hang on… this puts them EXACTLY back into the same position they started. This tax is like a merry-go round.

    "This tilts the playing field in favor of the less polluting product, which should lead to a change in consumer behavior."

    BS, the punter ends up with exactly the same amount they started with. The “less polluting” product is still more expensive, meaning the customer will simply reinves their money back into the high polluting product.

    Let me give you an example… and try and keep up here.

    The government increases the price on fuel by 20 cents a litre. This makes fuel $20 more expensive per week.

    The government then rebates me $20 a week. At the end of the week I have spent exactly the same amount had the fuel been 20 cents cheaper.

    Of course I could move to a more fuel effecient vehicle… but I COULD have done the same thing whether the extra fuel tax was there or not. Fuel effecient vehicles carry a price premium though and at the end of the day I have no incentive whatsoever to change my habits of using a more fuel guzzling vehicle. I will be exactly 0 dollars and 0 cents worse off keeping this same vehicle than I was before the fuel tax-subsidy scheme.

    This is very basic economics here folks.

    BUT lets pretend it’s a Liberal Government in power using incentive based policy. The Libs propose to reduce the price of fuel effecient vehicle through subsidies. Now from my point of view…. the consumer… I can now purchase a fuel effecient cheaper AND have the benefit of saving fuel. Thats a motivator to now buy than my previous position.

    In the USA they have given up completely on a Cap and Trade system like the Greens have planned for Australia. They are introducing incentive based schemes… just like Tony Abbott.

    Incentive based programs work… we have seen that in the Solar Panel Schemes(too successful according to Labor)

    Punishment based programs like Labors will be a failure. Logic tells us this.

    by GeeWizz on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:15 pm

  20. DF

    Last time i checked, Greer was not seeking to be PM of Oz

    by victoria on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:16 pm

  21. victoria
    Which ones? I flipped through quickly to avoid the whizzer.

    by lizzie on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:16 pm

  22. Feminists should lighten up!

    http://www.theage.com.au/opinion/society-and-culture/two-words-feminists-lighten-up-20120323-1vpib.html#ixzz1qXsUeZML

    by Desert Fox on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:16 pm

  23. lizzie

    SK and GG posted same article. Look at post 3453

    by victoria on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:17 pm

  24. smithe

    idly wonder whether there’s any chance of a spot of Gilbert and Sullivan, perhaps something from Trial by Jury, on the boom box tomorrow.”

    Be a bit cheeky and bring in your own selection of music. All the best with the treatment.The Kuk might be the maker of the kit.They seem heavily into radiography.
    http://www.kuksolutions.com/product.html

    by poroti on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:18 pm

  25. Mick77

    ‘zucchini’ – Be very careful. Don’t touch the curtains.

    by CTar1 on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:20 pm

  26. Smithey, hope all goes well w treatment. My mum had similar and got very tired ‘late’ in the series. But was cured completely in the end!

    by jenauthor on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:21 pm

  27. smithe @ 3444,

    All the best.

    by Scringler on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:22 pm

  28. DWH

    This is how it is explained in qcaspeak.

    However, the impact will be higher for those customers with lower annual consumption (due to the re-balancing of prices towards higher fixed charges and lower consumption charges) and also for those with higher annual consumption (due the effect of the higher variable rate charged on the highest step of the IBT).

    What they are really saying is it is only our fictional average person who pays a little more.

    by ruawake on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:22 pm

  29. JeeWizz,

    Why have you not responded to Dan Gulberry’s request to back up your wild claims?

    For your reference, here is Dan’s post again.

    Dan Gulberry
    Posted Friday, March 30, 2012 at 12:59 pm

    Whizzer

    Have a look online, there are literally hundreds of credit unions and smaller banks to choose from.

    Really? Hundreds?

    Oh, and BTW building societies and credit unions are co-operatives, not private enterprises.

    I’d like you to provide a list of the other banks you refer to besides the big 4.

    While we’re at it I’d like you to provide a list of mining companies paying “generous” dividends.

    And another list of mining companies offering higher hourly rates than their city counterparts.

    I know, I know, you can’t provide any of these lists because they don’t exist, so you’ll disappear again for a couple of days in the hope that we’ll forget your stupid claims.

    You are just as wRONg on that score as you are on your claims of “hundreds of competitors”, and generous dividends/hourly rates.

    We’ll be waiting when you get back.

    by Cuppa on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:23 pm

  30. You ignored the gist of my comments Victoria. Should Greer apologize to Gillard? If not then why should Abbott? They’re NOT his comments. Are you seriously suggesting that only those vying to be PM should apologize for anything? Then by that logic if I said something bad to your mother you wouldn’t expect me to apologize. Yes? Roxon looks like the biggest and most sanctimonious hypocrite. She hasn’t mentioned Greer at all.

    PS: Should someone as insulting to our PM as Greer is be banned from the ABC?

    by Desert Fox on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:24 pm

  31. victoria

    What an inventive vicar! Rather sad, really.
    He would have been better to have taken huuuge doses of laxative. Surely he didn’t think anyone would believe him (even if it were true).

    by lizzie on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:24 pm

  32. DF

    Actually Roxon did mention Greer. Do you actually know what Roxon said? Or are you ranting and raving for the sake of it

    by victoria on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:26 pm

  33. If you are compensating those who are affected, why the hell would they cut their usage?

    Simultaneously complaining that you ARE bring compensated (and thus the scheme is pointless), and that you AREN’T being compensated (and thus the government owes you $192)?

    What’s the story? Trying out a couple of different talking points to see which one resonates better? You do know you’re supposed to use two different accounts to do that, not post them both under the same name.

    by The Claw on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:26 pm

  34. latikambourke Nicola Roxon says it's time the country moved on from commenting about the PM's shape and clothes. Slams Germaine.
    about 1 hour ago

    by victoria on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:26 pm

  35. Finally the QCA admit it in the fine print.

    an increase in the underlying cost of energy for small customers of around 41%, primarily due to the carbon tax;

    by ruawake on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:27 pm

  36. "Why have you not responded to Dan Gulberry’s request to back up your wild claims? "

    I don’t really care about the exact number my point was there are alternatives to the 4 big banks.

    How about some logical rebuttal on how a Carbon Tax that taxes people then gives them all their money back is meant to change habits. I would be delighted to hear an actual, logical based response to this because to me it looks like a giant Ponzi Scheme that does nothing other than shuffle money around.

    by GeeWizz on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:27 pm

  37. Rua I understand and the general increase falls betweem 3.9% and 7.6% depending on type and usage and would have fallen if not for the carbon pricing impact.

    by DavidWH on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:27 pm

  38. Desert Fox
    Posted Friday, March 30, 2012 at 3:15 pm

    Why is it that Roxon expects Abbott to apologize but doesan’t ask feminist icon Greer to do the same thing? Why weren’t Tony Jones and the Q & A audience appalled by Greer’s remarks??? If Greer doesn’t apologize then why should Abbott?

    If you don’t see the difference, I don’t know why the hell you’re on a political blog.

    FYI: Abbott is a one-man walking gaffe machine. If the media get their way (ie he slides his way into office) he will be a daily figure of scorn, and an embarrassment that will tarnish the name of so-called Liberal Party for years after the unfortunate. fact.

    by Cuppa on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:28 pm

  39. If Miranda Devine is anti-Greer, then I’m pro-Greer.

    by lizzie on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:29 pm

  40. smithe

    That brought back memories of my experiences in Westmead’s ‘kitchen’ years ago. My darling dad would drive me an hour across Sydney every morning for my five minutes of radiotherapy, then we’d drive all the way back again. We did this 5 days a week for 6 weeks, with me flying home on Fridays and back again on Sunday nights. These days we have all the equipment at the local hospital, not that I’ve ever needed it. I’m happy to say my treatment worked. I wish you all the best.

    by leone on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:29 pm

  41. I actually do think Greer (and Gai Waterhouse) should apologise. Fashion is a matter of personal taste and one should NEVER criticise another’s fashion sense (although I might get snarky about leopard print alongside a floral).

    I apologise to both women up front for the following: Greer is NOT Bridgit Bardot, and dresses like a flower child a lot of the time (70s is long past) while Gai wears some of the most ridiculous outfits I’ve ever seen. But that does not make either of them bad at their jobs.

    Just as PM’s outfits don’t effect her work. In terms of ‘image’ PMs outfits are what is required for her ‘position’. She at least has a lovely long neck (swan-like :evil: ) and from the waist up generally looks great.

    But her behind should NOT be a subject of discussion!

    Would the PM dare say Abbott walks like a chimpanzee? I think she has more class. And that is what t comes down to – Greer’s and others’ statements lack class.

    by jenauthor on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:30 pm

  42. It must drive Victoria and co crazy that Greer is internationally regarded as a FEMINIST ICON!

    PS: I think Australians would rather have an honest Abbott than a dishonest Gillard.
    (Is Roxon really suggesting that people should lie to their loved ones?)

    by Desert Fox on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:31 pm

  43. george on arsegate.
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/64041833@N04/7026317657/in/photostream

    by BK on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:32 pm

  44. DF

    Frankly I dont give a rats about Greer. As for Abbott being honest, he could not lie straight in bed

    by victoria on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:32 pm

  45. Why is it that Roxon expects Abbott to apologize but doesan’t ask feminist icon Greer to do the same thing?

    I’d say I was shocked that Greer, as a feminist, could make such a comment, but I’m not really. Labor would be better off just letting this go. I know a lot of people who have made similar comments about Gillard’s choice of attire and I doubt they’d like being told they are sexist.

    by ltep on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:33 pm

  46. Geewiz,

    BS, the punter ends up with exactly the same amount they started with. The “less polluting” product is still more expensive, meaning the customer will simply reinves their money back into the high polluting product.

    Let me give you an example… and try and keep up here.

    Sorry mate, I gave you the dumbed-down version, I can’t dumb it down any further.

    by JohD on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:33 pm

  47. CTar1

    Yes, roses are very drought resistant – I stopped watering my garden in about 2001. The roses have thrived, whilst many native plants (notably grevilleas) have turned up their toes.

    And yet you’ll often hear (in discussions about water policy) someone whinge that “We shouldn’t be providing water just so someone can keep their roses alive.”

    by zoomster on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:33 pm

  48. Cuppa, Why shouldn’t Greer apologize to Gillard? She doesn’t have to apologize because ……………………………………………………………???

    Your silence is deafening!

    by Desert Fox on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:34 pm

  49. ruawake
    Posted Friday, March 30, 2012 at 2:59 pm | Permalink

    DavidWH: Well there you go, electricity prices for residential consumers are to rise by 3.9pc. Yes the decimal point is in the right place. In fact if not for the carbon price impact prices would have fallen.

    Read the fine print as always before believing anything, tariif 11 is going up by between 3.7-25% depending on usage, tarriff 31 is going up by 30% and tariff 34 by 26%.

    It means the off peak hotwater users and pool pump users may find huge increases in their bills not the 3.7% headline figure. Oh then there is the 11% CT plus GST.

    That’s bursting msm reportage with a bazooka, mate.
    DavidWH must be crying in his weeties.

    by kezza2 on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:34 pm

  50. Mick77 @ 3452

    Bemused
    Thanks for the warning on the Gillard groupies but if anyone can see how an election can be won with a tainted Julia Gillard at the helm then I’m waiting to hear where my view of “reality” is wrong. Again government achievements get no airplay and a party led by Tony Abbott, master of the gaffes (which are quickly ignored or forgiven), has never been anywhere near a losing position since August 2010.

    You are not supposed to look at it like that and you must never let reality intrude.
    There is always some event just around the corner that will cause things to turn around or cause Abbott to go into full unhingement mode. ;)

    by bemused on Mar 30, 2012 at 3:35 pm

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