Crikey



Essential Research: 56-44 to Coalition

This week’s Essential Research shows no real change in voting intention on last week, with the Coalition up a point on the primary vote to 49 per cent, Labor and the Greens steady on 31 per cent and 11 per cent, and two-party preferred steady at 56-44. The poll also measures Bob Brown’s approval rating at 42 per cent and disapproval at 34 per cent (including very favourable figures among Labor voters of 60 per cent and 15 per cent); has 31 per cent favouring Kevin Rudd as Labor leader over 16 per cent for Julia Gillard (Gillard leads 40 per cent to 33 per cent among Labor voters); and 30 per cent favouring Malcolm Turnbull as Liberal leader with 23 per cent for Tony Abbott (Abbott leads 39 per cent to 26 per cent among Coalition voters). Further questions on the mining boom have 66 per cent believing it has benefited them “not at all”, 51 per cent supporting the mining tax (down one on mid-March) and 29 per cent opposing it (down five).

Federal preselection happenings in New South Wales:

• The NSW Liberal Party state executive has voted to dump Garry Whitaker as its candidate for Craig Thomson’s seat of Dobell. He has been replaced by Karen McNamara, a WorkCover public servant who reportedly has backing from the party’s right, who was defeated by Whitaker in the original preselection vote in December. Whitaker has since been struggling with allegations he had lived for several years without council permission in an “ensuite shed” on his Wyong Creek property while awaiting approval to build a house there.

• More proactivity from the NSW Liberal state executive in neighbouring Robertson, a seat the party was disappointed not to have won in 2010. Local branches have had imposed upon them Lucy Wicks, who herself holds a position on the executive by virtue of her status as president of the party’s Women’s Council. Wicks was identified by the Sydney Morning Herald last year as a member of the “centre right” faction associated with federal Mitchell MP Alex Hawke, which in alliance with the moderates had secured control of the state executive. Like the Dobell intervention, the imposition of Wicks occurred at the insistence of Tony Abbott – local branches in both seats have called emergency meetings to express their displeasure.

Michelle Hoctor of the Illawarra Mercury reports Ann Sudmalis, the candidate backed by retiring member Joanna Gash, won Liberal preselection on Saturday in Gilmore with 16 votes against 10 for her main rival Andrew Guile. Rounding out the field were Alby Schultz’s son Grant, who scored four votes, and Meroo Meadow marketing consultant Catherine Shields on one. For those wondering about the small number of votes, the NSW Liberals’ preselection procedure involves branches being allocated a number of selection committee delegates in proportion to their membership, rather than a massed rank-and-file ballot.

Imre Salusinszky of The Australian reports the Nationals are in the “‘initial stages’ of discussions with popular independent state MP Richard Torbay about endorsing him for a tilt at independent federal MP Tony Windsor in New England”. Torbay has been the independent member for Northern Tablelands since 1999, and served as Legislative Assembly Speaker during Labor’s last term in office.

Categories: Federal Politics 2010-2013

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  1. Centre @5189, our power bills have gone DOWN in the last two years – even though I am working from home at least 80% more than I did at the start of the relevant billing period.

    Why? We have been replacing old-fashioned light bulbs with the new-fangled bulbs (I mean the seriously new-fangled stuff) – and even though the new-type bulbs are more expensive than old-fashioned tungstens, their duration is truly amazing.

    by fiona reynolds on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:14 pm

  2. I was disappointed on Q&A that a member of the audience wanted to know how the carbon tax would affect the cost of living.

    The compensation package was hardly mentioned. If the Greens and CC proponents want to sell the tax, they better start mentioning it BIG TIME!

    by Centre on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:15 pm

  3. rummel

    I dont get Jackson’s angle.

    Severe domestic relationship difficulty so much that she can’t now separate destroying her whole world from taking out her former partner.

    by CTar1 on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:15 pm

  4. Centre

    The REAL issue for us as consumers is AIR CON. We could all keep our TVs and modern lights and not cause too much damage. Air cons and dryers are the electricity hungry items. I guess heating is too.

    by daretotread on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:15 pm

  5. Sebator Rubio(Fla)…Romney’s possible VP candidate
    calls for TWO wars in the Middle east..Syria and Iran…ASAP
    ____________________________
    If we see Rubio as VP stock up on petrol and oil QUICKLY
    ________________
    Even by the mad standards of the Tea Party Rubio is a Looney(but being hispanic is seen as being an aid to Romney who is unpopular with Hispanics
    http://www.juancole.com/

    by deblonay on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:19 pm

  6. fiona that’s good.

    I hope people do find ways to make savings and profit with their compensation.

    by Centre on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:19 pm

  7. @rummel/5193

    I thought Carr was in the USA?

    @fiona/5200

    Same here, we just replaced about everything electrical in our house, it amazes me what new electronics and different ones do changes the amount of bills.

    by zoidlord on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:19 pm

  8. Severe domestic relationship difficulty so much that she can’t now separate destroying her whole world from taking out her former partner.

    CTar1

    Nasty.

    by rummel on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:20 pm

  9. I guess heating is too.

    So we need global warming to cut back on global warming :lol:

    by Centre on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:21 pm

  10. deblonay

    What else do the septics do – their economy has existed for more than a century based on ‘eating’ other people’s economies.

    Dickheads.

    by CTar1 on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:23 pm

  11. Fiona and Zoidlord

    Has the lighting been diminished at all?

    by Centre on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:23 pm

  12. Jackson is on record that her salary is obscene,but how sweet it was for her to accept it for many years and to get an occolade from baloney who called her a hero,think I know what is obscene and she and abbott meet the criteria.

    by Schnappi on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:24 pm

  13. rummel – That’s my take from what I seen of it.

    by CTar1 on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:28 pm

  14. @Centre/5210

    Nope, brighter in some cases depending on the wattage of the LED Lights.

    by zoidlord on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:28 pm

  15. Zoidlord cool :cool:

    by Centre on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:29 pm

  16. Felt bad for “Anna” on the climate show tonight. She seems quite sweet and a nice warmer who copped a gob full from Mark Morano. I think Minchin was a tad taken back the depth of the attack on her as well.

    by rummel on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:32 pm

  17. Watching the ABC doco at the moment. More interesting than i thought it would be. Interesting to hear more on Minchin’s attitudes. He’s not really concerned with the Science at all. Politics / Economics trumps all.

    There is a bit of stuff that was shot for this floating around now. Poor diddums disappointment from the denialist side that they didn’t get more airplay. Interesting vid link here as well:

    http://www.skepticalscience.com/ABC-documentary-demonstrates-how-why-climate-denial.html

    by imacca on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:34 pm

  18. I just read up on the website of the handwriting expert. He has the quals and experience and while I can see him saying there may be some variance based on the scanned images, I would hardly think it likely he would be discussing the possibility of more than one signer without testing the original documents.

    I would like to see the complete record of his observations.

    Some inadvertent extrapolation by Lewis maybe?
    http://www.forensicdocument.com.au/

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:36 pm

  19. zoidlord #5213, yes the 8 watt LED replacements here for the 50 watt halogen downlights in the kitchen are significantly brighter –

    had to go on line to buy them so that took about 60 seconds and they were delivered in 30 hours, I expect they will turn up on the supermarket shelves anytime soon as long as all the shops arent as stupid as Gerry whingeing Harvey. Yes there was a price premium for them to the extent they cost what the halogens did a year ago. Cost of living pressures ? pigs arse in a bloated SUV.

    by Marrickville Mauler on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:38 pm

  20. rummel I think most Nations are moving towards renewable energy which is fine.

    The disaster has been the implementation of a starting fixed price. We should have gone straight to ETS, original Labor policy from the start.

    What’s at stake? The whole scheme if the :mrgreen: wins the election.

    There will be an upside for me if Abbott does win the election easily, first thing you think of the next morning?

    The Greens deserve it!

    by Centre on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:39 pm

  21. Centre, the really new LEDs are brilliant (without trying to pun). What amuses me is that I live with a climate septic, but he has been the one to suss out the best devices so far as saving money is concerned.

    by fiona reynolds on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:39 pm

  22. Chrissy Amplett is one of this country greatest singers, sadly has been dealing with several illnesses in recent years but still preforms and at a great level too.

    Funny enough I don’t think she is the sort to win shows like the Voice

    by mexicanbeemer on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:41 pm

  23. night. let’s hope this slipper stuff is a massive back fire on the libs….

    by middle man on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:43 pm

  24. centre

    under circumstance (of media bias)I think government is entitled to put out electorate newsletters (including liberal seats) on quarterly basis telling of its progress etc. letterbox the nation. fund it one way or other – even directly – single issue per newsletter

    by geoffrey on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:44 pm

  25. Thanks Fiona, you have got me in ;)

    *night*

    by Centre on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:45 pm

  26. It seems Lewis is wanting to conduct the case in the media. I wonder who his next witness is.

    by Gary on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:45 pm

  27. Their ABC. We will show the best answers to our loaded closed question.

    ABC The Drum ‏ @ABCthedrum

    On #TheDrum tonight 6pm AEST, do you think Julia Gillard made a mistake elevating Peter Slipper to the Speaker's role? Best tweets on screen

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:46 pm

  28. so what was aim of murdoch arraignment? surely to let his consistent and detailed denials go on record. all that is needed is one or more testimonies or evidence to firmly disprove his denial to catch him. remember there is a lot of legal preparation and heavyweights involved – the hearing is long and wide ranging – as long as I know murdoch can be recalled. can cameron be recalled. i think the PM would be having restless night frankly

    by geoffrey on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:48 pm

  29. geoffrey

    Yes I agree for marginal seats. I’m also counting on Julia addressing the Nation on the carbon scheme when it commences.

    by Centre on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:48 pm

  30. jusy spoke to my partner (as you do) on JG – she wouldn’t know who slipper was like most australians and looks at politics out of the corner of her busy eye but she thought JG was doing a great job and accomplishing a lot under very difficult circumstances – doesn’t have much time for my opinions on leadership – much too soon to eat my words but all points of view count

    by geoffrey on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:50 pm

  31. everyone now agrees the slipper thing is a bit of a unfortunate cockup – i mean the government know he was high risk, they were warned. pity they didn’t get him to pledge good behaviour or chaperon him.

    by geoffrey on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:51 pm

  32. Now think it is not just murdoch media is a biased disease,but fairfax with the likes of chubby grattan reminds me of au grattin,but now the abc which of is stacked with howards snout in the trough disease appointments,any one want to disprove the abc bias.

    by Schnappi on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:53 pm

  33. Dear geoffrey go and do some current affairs reading as you are as dumb as your spouse ,spouting dumb dumb without any knowledge of the subject,you are abbotts dream getting you to believe even dumber 3 word slogans and even worse lies every day for the gullible like your spouse and appears you to believe,you sux.

    by Schnappi on Apr 26, 2012 at 11:58 pm

  34. any one want to disprove the abc bias

    It can’t be done, of course. Though when mentioning the obvious you sometimes get a bit of snide blowback from the three or four bias-deniers who frequent this blog. Discredited as they are, on that.

    by Cuppa on Apr 27, 2012 at 12:03 am

  35. Wow, Minchin makes a comment i agree with!

    The extremes of alarmism on both sides of the AGW debate turn people off. Actually, this QANDA is shaping up pretty well as a discussion session.

    Haha, line kitty litter tray with the ABC’s online survey result. LOL!

    by imacca on Apr 27, 2012 at 12:04 am

  36. Wow, Minchin makes a comment i agree with!

    Yes Minchin said it so I had to parse it three or four times before being sure there wasn’t a trick, but I tended to agree. I had to go to a mirror and check I wasn’t growing horns and a tail.

    by WeWantPaul on Apr 27, 2012 at 12:08 am

  37. schnappi
    where have you been hiding sweetheart

    you certainly demonstrate cleverness and wit and current affairs in your own responses not.

    actually i was trying to be fair after all this is a pro gillard site on whole so i am no idea where you are coming from or why anything said worried …

    you can slang at me but leave my partner alone … do you only come out after midnight

    by geoffrey on Apr 27, 2012 at 12:09 am

  38. According to Slipper, the cab stuff is more him vs Lewis than him vs Ashby or the Libs.

    by Diogenes on Apr 27, 2012 at 12:09 am

  39. Oh Dog. Now Minchin comes up with the, “warming stopped in 98″ fallacy.

    by imacca on Apr 27, 2012 at 12:10 am

  40. According to Slipper, the cab stuff is more him vs Lewis than him vs Ashby or the Libs.

    West Wing taught us to pick our enemies, Slipper isn’t all dumb.

    by WeWantPaul on Apr 27, 2012 at 12:11 am

  41. schnappi

    i take it darling you hate gillard – is that the point you are desparately trying to make

    why not make it instrad of attacking a person for saying something quite careful

    or are you up listening to late night radio and just got bored

    by geoffrey on Apr 27, 2012 at 12:11 am

  42. WWP

    I got the impression Slipper was saying Lewis picked him.

    by Diogenes on Apr 27, 2012 at 12:12 am

  43. The Government, up until now at least, has done a piss poor job of promoting the Clean Energy Package.
    Overall the communications skills of Federal Labor are woeful.
    Setting aside my reservations about Gillard, perhaps Combet isn’t the right person to be Climate Change Minister?

    by Thornleigh Labor Man on Apr 27, 2012 at 12:13 am

  44. @Dio/5241

    Another @Thomas Paine clone enters the ring.

    by zoidlord on Apr 27, 2012 at 12:13 am

  45. I got the impression Slipper was saying Lewis picked him.

    Victim as well … slippery fellow.

    by WeWantPaul on Apr 27, 2012 at 12:13 am

  46. I mean @geoffrey/5240

    by zoidlord on Apr 27, 2012 at 12:14 am

  47. I notice the claim made by the Daily Telegraph’s handwriting specialist is limited to the two signatures, which indeed differ in curious ways. But doesn’t the story go that Slipper did sign the slips, but left the details blank? It certainly doesn’t look like the details on the two slips were written by different people.

    by William Bowe on Apr 27, 2012 at 12:16 am

  48. ‘Finite pool of worry’ I like that.

    by WeWantPaul on Apr 27, 2012 at 12:16 am

  49. Of course the now infamous “There Will Be No Carbon Tax Under A Government I Lead” is the millstone around Julia’s neck.

    by Thornleigh Labor Man on Apr 27, 2012 at 12:16 am

  50. zoidlord

    what is that? clone? are you the referee here? careful its all doesn’t turn into a fight. one is trying to be civil, and see this government through in months ahead – one week at a time

    by geoffrey on Apr 27, 2012 at 12:17 am

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