Galaxy: 56-44 to Coalition
Galaxy has published its first poll of federal voting intention in two months, and now as then the result reflects the overall polling trend: the Coalition’s two-party lead is at 56-44, compared with 54-46 last time, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (up two), 30% for Labor (down four) and 13% for the Greens (up one). Three further questions elicit a general mood of hostility towards the government, only one of which strikes me as being particularly instructive: 52% express support for a no-confidence motion and an early election, against 38% opposed. When Essential Research asked simply about support for a new election in early March, the results were 44% supportive and 46% opposed. The poll was conducted over the past there days from a sample of 1012, with a margin of error of about 3%.
UPDATE: Consolation of a sort for Labor from Essential Research, which at least doesn’t echo Galaxy’s finding of appetite for a new election (support down two since March to 42%, opposition up two to 48%), but their voting intention result has deteriorated yet further. The Coalition now leads 57-43, up from 56-44 last week, although the changes on the primary vote are slight: the Coalition is up one to 50%, with Labor and the Greens steady on 31% and 11%. Other questions find overwhelming support for the government’s aged care reform package (61% against 7% opposed), although 62% concede they know little about them. It was also found that 39% supported agreed with Joe Hockey’s sentiments about Australians receiving too much assistance from the government, with 33% disagreeing.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Anyone who believes Palmer will apply for preselection, let alone get selected, probably also believe Julia Gillard will win the next election.
by Compact Crank on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:47 pm
Right wing projection again.
He and Abbott are the ones who have shouting matches over the phone …
by Danny Lewis on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:47 pm
Yes but the interpreter is not on screen.
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:48 pm
Apparently Clive Palmer offers Abbott & Hocley an offer they cant refuse IPO the $70B to cover their Blackhole #auspol
by The Finnigans on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:48 pm
I thought it was AS
by Danny Lewis on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:49 pm
What time do you think Conroy will pick to do his presser bludgers?
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:49 pm
DL
AS?
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:50 pm
I presumed it was a Trump-like publicity stunt.
by ltep on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:50 pm
I remember the dreadful despair i felt when , peterson , wanted to be pm.-
by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:50 pm
Didn’t Abbott want Thomson to “step aside”? Now he wants him dead, buried and cremated?
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:50 pm
DL
Well it could be AS and MB
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:50 pm
New post at The Daily Derp
Rupert And Clive Demand to Pay More Tax
by Dan Gulberry on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:50 pm
PM presser on ABC 24 re NDIS. Launch sites will begin July 2013 – Abbott has declared it is an election gimmick but PM hit back that the Disabled have waited long enough and Abbott’s “bi-partisan” approach is wrapped up in aspirations for them into the far distant future.
by janice2 on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:51 pm
You miss the obvious. This is how it works:
1 Palmer makes announcement
2 Palmer withdraws his interest
3 Abbott becomes PM
4 Palmer forces by-election in a very safe QLD seat
5 Palmer wins and becomes PM by flushing Abbott around the S bend
That’s what needs to be conveyed by Labor. Palmer is becoming a very useful Labor weapon.
by Tom Hawkins on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:51 pm
It could be CP …
by Danny Lewis on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:51 pm
z @1032,
At least you know it was a heart felt motion of praise.
by Greensborough Growler on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:52 pm
DL
Yes and him too. The Qld mafia!!!
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:52 pm
Is sen con roy doing a presser.
6/
6.30 drivers listening tv news
by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:53 pm
May be 4.30 5. For the radio new
by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:54 pm
TH: Indeed, one must also ask why someone who already pretty much *owns* a state and is a millionaire in his own right (despite his taxpaying status) would want to take such a HUGE step down, financially, to take a seat in parliament where – certainly under a non-LNP Government, his vote would be worth exactly the same as everyone else’s.
It’s pretty obvious he has no intention of being an ordinary backbencher. He wants to wield power BIG TIME.
by Danny Lewis on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:54 pm
So Clive Palmer is building Titanic 2. That’s where he will take Australia if he ever becomes PM – to the bottom via the iceberg
by The Finnigans on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:55 pm
I wonder if Australia is ready for Clive Palmer PM?
by Danny Lewis on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:56 pm
Thank you people, but i’m not going the initials guessing game. Avidly waiting to see how it plays out though. Hopefully it will include the rough end of multiple good QLD pineapples for those most deserving.
by imacca on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:56 pm
Dan iread all your derps, but commenting is scary on that subject
by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:57 pm
…apart from the very obvious point that, as an MP, he would be a PAYE taxpayer like everyone else there.
Not too many opportunities to avoid paying tax
by Danny Lewis on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:57 pm
I know we dont deserve Clive Palmer PM!!!
by imacca on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:57 pm
Dan #1061: hmm, Rupert and Clive, is that anything like this? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ZEEgIti8sM
by Marrickville Mauler on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:59 pm
Stand by. Joe has his calculator out again.
by lizzie on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:59 pm
my say
Senator Conroy should be. Talking about the media report released
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:00 pm
Danny Lewis
There are all those things like pesky environmental rules slowing down the pillaging. Even as a mere back bench he would get the inside hot goss’ and who was actually saying what. From there the rest is easy.
by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:01 pm
If this isn’t a Clive Palmer stunt, I wonder what Abbott and his mob will do about it. I couldn’t help but notice that when asked about it after his Perth presser, Abbott was gobsmacked (he did say ‘surprised’ though) and gave that sick sniggering laugh and said “Clive is a real character”. Does not Abbott realise that after buying the LNP and Q’ld, he’s not about to keep his paws out of the pie?
by janice2 on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:01 pm
If this is not a Beautiful Inspiring Set of Numbers (BISONs) 1/7/2013 10,000 disabled Austs will get support – you tell me what is #auspol
by The Finnigans on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:02 pm
FFS! Sky are running a story on leadership “rumblings”, saying they were brought up at her presser today… by their correspondent!
by Bushfire Bill on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:02 pm
I hate Anthony Green! His blog post on Clive Palmer’s apparent tilt at federal politicianhood makes sense.
I want Clive to run!!!!!
by imacca on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:03 pm
Imacca – the Fib spin does seem to be getting more desperate to head off the things they know they will have a hard job demolishing if they win in 2013 (CT, MRRT, PPpackaging, NBN, etc). Today Abbott has amazed even me. He ‘would never do deals’, he has ‘integrity’, Labor is responsible for suggesting that Ashby is being paid for telling tales, for starters. He took a couple of questions on Palmer and then said he’d answered enough so onto other things. Surprisingly, a couple of journos asked more questions about Palmer. They may have had enough of him fobbing them off. Let’s hope that more take the same attitude.
BB – did you manage to get onto Grattan’s lunchtime discussio?
by BH on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:04 pm
bb
tweet your disgust at david speers current Sky personality
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:04 pm
Clive Palmer PM reminds me of Robert Muldoon PM, from over the ditch, many moons ago.
by Scrutineer on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:06 pm
Bludgers. I have a question concerning induction into the ALP that I am hoping some here can shed some light on.
As I have stated before I recently joined the party. I sent off my form not long after the Qld Election. A couple of weeks went past with no communication at all. No email – no acknowledgement of my application at all.
Feeling a little despondent about the wait I sent off an email to head-office in Qld asking what the hold up was (and pointing out that attracting new members might be easier if the process was better). After a week I got a response saying my membership had been approved at the admin c’tee on 16 April. Wicked.
The email also included contacts for branch secretaries here in Griffith. So I instantly shot off an email to the nearest branch requesting information about when the next meeting was and expressing my excitement at getting involved.
I haven’t heard a peep from anyone since. Not from the branch. Not in the mail. No membership card. Nothing. Still don’t know when the next meeting is.
I imagine that many in the local area will have been very busy lately with the local govt and South Bris. by-election and that may have caused some delay. But I just wanted to know what the usual thing is – like how long do I wait before I start making phone calls?
by Boinzo on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:07 pm
Clive Palmer Post Meridian? Clive Palmer Post Mortem?
by zoomster on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:07 pm
BH –
hope not – poor BB probably wanted to hold down his lunch!!
by Lyne Lady on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:07 pm
@1063 – Tom – there is more chance of Julia Gillard leading the ALP to another election victory than the fiction you are writing ever happening.
by Compact Crank on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:07 pm
Off Topic
ABC News 24 had a technical glitch. We saw an unprepared Nick Dole. I swear it looked like boxer shorts under the jacket tie look.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:08 pm
Clive Palmer will not get Adolph’s vote
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Iz_meFPr4eI
by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:08 pm
Why do I keep fantasising about Clive Palmer MP being suspended from parliament?
http://movieclips.com/RKWE-nine-to-five-movie-hit-the-road-buster/
by fiona reynolds on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:09 pm
You know what I mean!
by Scrutineer on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:10 pm
Boinzo
Give the branch sec a call. They’re all volunteers, and they’ll have been busy organising booths etc – after an election you tend to get all politicked out.
Also, after elections, it’s quite common for branches not to meet for a while.
by zoomster on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:10 pm
ABC website featuring actual reporting on NDIS: http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-04-30/gillard-announces-disability-insurance-scheme/3980662?WT.svl=news1
by Marrickville Mauler on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:11 pm
mysay @1073
You should never be afraid to have your say on any subject
mauler @1076
by Dan Gulberry on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:12 pm
Some one from the media have conceded , the majority in newsltd have known abbot is in his last year and july 1 is the important date
reason why they are fast tracking and hardening their attack for an election
once abbott is gone, they will not get the benefits from the new liberal leader
by Meguire Bob on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:12 pm
Scrutineer
Oh no no no. Piggy had far superior quotes
by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:14 pm