Galaxy: 56-44 to Coalition
Galaxy has published its first poll of federal voting intention in two months, and now as then the result reflects the overall polling trend: the Coalition’s two-party lead is at 56-44, compared with 54-46 last time, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (up two), 30% for Labor (down four) and 13% for the Greens (up one). Three further questions elicit a general mood of hostility towards the government, only one of which strikes me as being particularly instructive: 52% express support for a no-confidence motion and an early election, against 38% opposed. When Essential Research asked simply about support for a new election in early March, the results were 44% supportive and 46% opposed. The poll was conducted over the past there days from a sample of 1012, with a margin of error of about 3%.
UPDATE: Consolation of a sort for Labor from Essential Research, which at least doesn’t echo Galaxy’s finding of appetite for a new election (support down two since March to 42%, opposition up two to 48%), but their voting intention result has deteriorated yet further. The Coalition now leads 57-43, up from 56-44 last week, although the changes on the primary vote are slight: the Coalition is up one to 50%, with Labor and the Greens steady on 31% and 11%. Other questions find overwhelming support for the government’s aged care reform package (61% against 7% opposed), although 62% concede they know little about them. It was also found that 39% supported agreed with Joe Hockey’s sentiments about Australians receiving too much assistance from the government, with 33% disagreeing.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
head – desk – head – desk … tripped over the irony again
by WeWantPaul on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:50 pm
Lucky you.
by WeWantPaul on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:51 pm
Idiot Newman changes tack, last week it was patched bikies are like footy fans, now it is mandatory jail for having an “illegal” firearm.
I bet the National Party members will be burying their favourite semi-auto rifles they only just dug up.
by ruawake on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:52 pm
@1125
one of the happiest happy-trolls here today!
by rosemour on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:53 pm
Geoffrey
Can you elaborate?
by bluegreen on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:53 pm
Boizo/Zoomster
Might be that way in Melbourne but in Qld there is still a welcoming Branch structure – small and in dire need of new people but still existing.
Seriously if you REALLY want to join a branch (which I strongly advise) ring up Rudd’s electoral office. Does not matter if you are for or against him – he will have (or his staff will) a complete list of every branch. MPs are expected to attend meetings occasionally of each branch so the office will have meeting dates and times.
.
by daretotread on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:56 pm
NDIS and the Coalition ? A relink to remind people what their ideological brethren are doing to the disabled.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/apr/29/chris-grayling-made-me-financially-physically-disabled
by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:57 pm
DTT. Good plan. I actually think it is Jackie’s branch I am trying to join (but haven’t heard back from). I definitely acknowledge South Brisbane members have had much greater priorities than my new membership of late! I was just wondering what the normal timeframe was so I could set the clock running now the elections here are done and then follow up as needed.
It is a bit weird that it is so hard to find out what the procedure actually is. People tend to join when they are pumped up and passionate and motivated. The process seems to wait for all that energy to dissipate before allowing entry to the party. Just feels counter-intuitive to me.
by Boinzo on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:57 pm
news 24 about to spend time on Clive Palmer and is his bid reakistic?
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:58 pm
Doyley
Can I call you Ppollyana?
Also you are south side somewhere aren’t you. Can yo give Boizo meting dates and times?
by daretotread on Apr 30, 2012 at 3:58 pm
poroti @ 1126
I love that quote, it is so true. What is the source?
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:00 pm
I was talking to a very in the know person who says that the labor government is working very hard and successfully at embedding reform to Abbott proof it especially with things like the NDIS. They were grudging but with new respect for Gillard as a political operator. They admitted that they had misread her long term vision. Interesting.
by Gweneth on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:01 pm
some interesting stats etc on one of distinctive features of Australia – its housing market:
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/business/property/nation-of-lossmaking-landlords-20120430-1xuh4.html#ixzz1tV6UwaKu
(Clive Palmer… ROFL)
by Laocoon on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:01 pm
YES YES YES. First time I rang we were quite young newly married and newly mortgaged upto the maximum and I was concerned I couldn’t afford it. Probably in reality there was a 20$ membership rate) or lower I should have been told about, but I got a long lecture about compulsory levies they might raise at any time. Was many years later I joined my local branch at the invitation of my local member.
My local member in now a liberal, they haven’t extended the same invitation.
by WeWantPaul on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:01 pm
Meant to say that they had been talking to a fed green member who had been working on the NDIS.
by Gweneth on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:04 pm
Friggin hell! Think my head is about to explode
by Dee on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:04 pm
See another hack has gone to work with NSW govt someone called Kerrison from Sky following the reporter from ABC, which one do you think will go with Tony Abbott in the new position?
by mari on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:04 pm
Boinzo
Branches should be having a meeting every month. So be quick and Ring TODAY and you will be sure to get to the next monthly meeting. They are usually held say on the same day of the month eg 2nd Wednesday or third Tuesday.
by daretotread on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:04 pm
zoomster @ 1138
Your comments fairly accurately describe the Victorian situation but different states have different rules and processes. Your observations may not hold for other states in all respects.
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:06 pm
..and what a mental image of centripetal/centrifugal momentum in action; indeed would be almost tidal flesh movements…
http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2012/04/clive-palmer-for-canberra.html#more
by Laocoon on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:06 pm
Clive Palmer would fit nicely into Russ Hinze’s shoes.
Not to mention his suit!
by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:06 pm
Windsor calling Abbott a “rabid dog” is till running as a soundbite on ABC24. Gold.
by susan winstanley on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:08 pm
very good article by mungo http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/3980486.html
by Lyne Lady on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:10 pm
DTT. I managed to get a branch list (with contacts) from head office in response to an email I sent saying how disappointed I was in the membership process…
I have emailed the secretary of the branch I prefer – it seems they meet on the last wed of the month – so I have just missed a meeting last week. I’ll be sure to chase them up before the end of May.
I really think a system for online membership can’t be that hard … !
by Boinzo on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:10 pm
So why was Hockey having secret meetings with Clive Palmer?
by Dee on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:10 pm
bemused
My original source was the chairman of the first committee I was on. I always had the impression it was a Churchill quote but googling it the original and better words were
Said by Sir Barnett Cocks Clerk of the House of Commons 1962-74 . So his opinion would be an expert one.
by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:11 pm
susan – doesn’t sound as though abbott will have much success ‘putting pressure on independents’ – the running headline on abc24
by Lyne Lady on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:11 pm
Boizo
Do not be put off by “levies”- never, ever heard of them
Boizo
No sure I would take Zooms advice about leaving it. Branches that decide to skip a month are probably NOT active and I would advise selecting one that is holding a meeting. means they have a secretary and president still alive and kicking and not yet had their 90th birthday.
by daretotread on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:11 pm
Latter immediate reaction. Other’s rage said to be incendiary, I don’t think he’s that stupid.
by OzPol Tragic on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:12 pm
by Son of foro on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:12 pm
hey there Gweneth #1164, hoping good things for you
and for all here, a reminder on what the NDIS is for, from that supposedly heartless faceless man Bill Shorten, the video of his party conference speech on the NDIS.
http://billshorten.com.au/
Havent seen a speech like this from Abbott or Hockey, dont expect to.
by Marrickville Mauler on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:12 pm
When the usher or whoever says “All Rise”bet abbott is the lackey who helps clive get off of the bench.
by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:14 pm
Dee
I do hope that Mr Thomson does not vote for the legislation. That would f*** the whole NDIS right then and there.
by Boerwar on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:14 pm
boinzo – that is a fair comment so will pass it on. I seem to remember when I joined years and years and year ago that it was a bit slow.
BTW – Did Latika Bourke tweet JG’s speech at the Sydney rally?
by BH on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:14 pm
Crook to sit with Nationals in Canberra, lost sheep returns to the fold.
by ruawake on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:14 pm
Boinzo
I suggest you rock up to some the meetings that are being held in the next week or so. You might find you click with them better. I know that right now they would all welcome a new face. The meetings are usually short and you can get an idea as the which branch you like – ideally there will be a few people of your own age etc. Helps a lot if there is a ready made group you can fall in with.
by daretotread on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:15 pm
Gwenneth
Ditto per MM
Thinking about you and keeping fingers crossed for you. Hang in there.
by daretotread on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:16 pm
So it’s now Labor 71 + Windsor, Oakeshott, Bandt, Thomson (75 minus Burke as deputy speaker making it 74) vs Coalition 72 + Katter (73) on the floor with Wilkie supporting neither side and Slipper suspended from the speakers chair.
So we’ve got a clear head on everything, the numbers are only an issue if there’s a by election or if any of the independents currently supporting the ALP change their mind … In other words, nothing’s really changed
by spur212 on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:16 pm
KFC. One bucket each.
by autocrat on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:17 pm
Schnappi
No,when they hear the “All Rise” the coalition will crouch so as to make it look like Clive has stood up
by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:17 pm
Obviously likes his parliamentary life and perks and wants to run as their candidate instead of fighting against someone else.
by BH on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:17 pm
MM @1180,
Agree 100%
I would just like to add for those who did not see the speech by the PM today do yourself a favor and look and listen to it.
Especially those who say she has no passion.
by Doyley on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:18 pm
OK, NewsLtd groupies. Feast on this poll conducted “exclusivley” for the NewsLtd mastheads. And in a show of support for these sensible “voters”, NewsLtd has instructed NewsPoll to restrict further polling to those who have participated in this one.
Read more: http://www.news.com.au/national/you-said-it-hey-julia-call-an-early-election/story-e6frfkvr-1226342843340#ixzz1tVAasVqy
by sprocket_ on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:19 pm
till the cows come home jeffery posted
in the country on a dairy farm that meant it was highly unlikley to happen,
by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:20 pm
Where does the assumption Katter will back Abbott come from? He is a mate of Slipper.
by ruawake on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:20 pm
poroti @ 1175
Brilliant! I have seen it happen so often with those results.
My preferred committee size is 1.
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:22 pm
Breaking… Palmer in tears as no-one will say he doesn’t look fat in his new polo shirt.
by Bushfire Bill on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:22 pm
ruawake @ 1194
agreed
There has been articles on katter saying he has pledge his support to the gillard government in no confidence motions
which would give the government the numbers not to rely on the speaker
by Meguire Bob on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:24 pm
Lyne Lady@1177, Windsor is defending this parliament with wit and wisdom from his front porch. He has not put a foot wrong yet.
by susan winstanley on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:25 pm
poroti/bemused
On such matters, for those inclined for a stroll down memory lane, foxtel is advertising Yes Minister series 1 episode 1 at 6pm on 114 (8pm/152)
by Laocoon on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:25 pm