Galaxy: 56-44 to Coalition
Galaxy has published its first poll of federal voting intention in two months, and now as then the result reflects the overall polling trend: the Coalition’s two-party lead is at 56-44, compared with 54-46 last time, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (up two), 30% for Labor (down four) and 13% for the Greens (up one). Three further questions elicit a general mood of hostility towards the government, only one of which strikes me as being particularly instructive: 52% express support for a no-confidence motion and an early election, against 38% opposed. When Essential Research asked simply about support for a new election in early March, the results were 44% supportive and 46% opposed. The poll was conducted over the past there days from a sample of 1012, with a margin of error of about 3%.
UPDATE: Consolation of a sort for Labor from Essential Research, which at least doesn’t echo Galaxy’s finding of appetite for a new election (support down two since March to 42%, opposition up two to 48%), but their voting intention result has deteriorated yet further. The Coalition now leads 57-43, up from 56-44 last week, although the changes on the primary vote are slight: the Coalition is up one to 50%, with Labor and the Greens steady on 31% and 11%. Other questions find overwhelming support for the government’s aged care reform package (61% against 7% opposed), although 62% concede they know little about them. It was also found that 39% supported agreed with Joe Hockey’s sentiments about Australians receiving too much assistance from the government, with 33% disagreeing.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Autocrat #1188: nah. Two buckets enter. One man leaves.
by Marrickville Mauler on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:25 pm
My Say ,
Caught up on 24 pages ,thanks for kind words way back.
by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:26 pm
lao
Yes Minister is on free to air for those avoiding paying and especially paying Murdoch for TV
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:27 pm
http://archive.nswbar.asn.au/database/in_brief/inbrief.article.php?i=4153
by shellbell on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:28 pm
@1184 – He’s finally worked out which side his bread is buttered on. Must have realised he might not be in Canberra after the next election unless he grew up and joined the adults.
by Compact Crank on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:29 pm
my say
For us it meant something slightly different. It will happen but you will be waiting a very long time. It could also mean something that would continue for ages as in it will be going “until the cows came home”.
by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:30 pm
I admire Xenophon as an Independent. His long running campaign on Pokies has been excellent. Now his vote in the Senate diminished in importance he is taking on Democracy in Malaysia. Such a Contrast to Fielding.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:33 pm
sprocket_ News Ltd editors certainly jump when the boss tells them too. Murdoch tweeted on Saturday that we need an election and quick as a flash, the lackeys come to heel. Yet, he believes he doesn’t have the power to influence voters – pigs.. flying!
by BH on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:33 pm
So Murdoch tweets that we need an election now and Newsltd Australia responds. This should be evidence for leveson.
by Gweneth on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:34 pm
Such a pity Palmer’s first name isn’t Clyde. Think humps and Bactrian camels. A whole line of jokes right there.
http://au.video.search.yahoo.com/search/video?p=ahab+the+arab&fr=mcafee&fr2=piv-web
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:35 pm
You just beat me to it Gwenyth!
by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:35 pm
Not at all, he has given the seat back to the Liberal Party. I wonder if Wilson will recontest as an Indie and win on Labor prefs.
by ruawake on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:36 pm
Really think abbott will have to tread carefully with palmer,abbott would get rolled as leader or palmer will be another turnbull for abbott.Hope he has sleepless nights and wifey kicks him out for keeping all awake.
Fanciful but as baloney says “Shit Happens”
by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:38 pm
Laocoon
.
Thanks muchly for the Yes Minister S1 Ep1 alert. I shall be watching with recorder at the ready !
by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:38 pm
guytaur @ 1206
What has that got to do with his responsibilities as a Senator for South Australia?
The Australian Government runs Australia’s Foreign Policy, not individual Senators.
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:39 pm
bemused
It would be as part of a Senatorial Committee that helps out foreign affairs with election monitoring. So no need to get on a high horse. Many Senators spend several terms without contributing much so it is good to see a Senator willing to do so. His constituents seem real happy with his work too.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:42 pm
Schnappi
He is taking your advice, online OO headline reads
by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:42 pm
News Ltd editors: fiercely independent since …
by Son of foro on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:42 pm
Clive, like some other dude, works in mysterious ways his wonders to perform. When you begin to believe in Clive, everything at first is a mystery. The overwhelming desire to know him better and to know all his “angles” makes you prone to worry unduly. You worry if he is really “getting it right”.
http://tinyurl.com/86pbx7d
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:43 pm
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/04/29/ehud-olmert-iran-strike_n_1462928.html
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:46 pm
poroti@1216,
Just found this in google news.
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/abbott-lukewarm-on-palmer-tilt-20120430-1xtpa.html
by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:46 pm
guytaur
Nick Xenophon has been reporting directly from Malaysia – good on him for it.
Here is Bob Carr’s approach:
http://www.radioaustralia.net.au/international/2012-04-29/reports-of-malaysia-protest-violence-worry-australia/935130
by shellbell on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:47 pm
guytaur – why are we paying for Xenophon to stick his nose into Malaysian politics. He should be here trying to influence other pollies to vote for the pokie legislation he wants introduced.
Same with Wilkie – you want it, if it passes you will want to own it but in the meantime you can’t be bothered doing the hard yards for it – except in front of telly camera.
by BH on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:47 pm
BH
He can do both. Parliament is not sitting after all.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:49 pm
Graham Morris ranting on SkyNews about Swannie taking time off from budget work to reply to Clive Palmer who has ‘only expressed interest’ in running against Swan.
Tony Windsor on next.
by BH on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:49 pm
The news today inspired me to go and watch
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vsH-gnWrF3c
.
P.S. Ta Schnappi
by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:50 pm
Titanic battle for Treasurer’s seat
4:22PM MINING magnate Clive Palmer plans to kick Treasurer Wayne Swan out of his seat of Lilley – and build a luxury liner the Titanic II.
The News Limited Slant.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:50 pm
s as in it will be going “until the cows came home”. Paroti said
Thats sounds familar,
In other words from one year to 100 know one never
. knows
Although i did note e ery after nooon at 4 pm they stared walking up to the milking shed, tbe dogs often got down to the paddock late,
by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:51 pm
Yep put up or shut up Abbott, want an election, move no confidence you gutless wonder.
by ruawake on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:53 pm
Windsor says he picked up the phone and had a talk with Slipper last week because there are a lot of people in the public are not aware of due process.
Says Abbott is still scared to test the market with a vote of no confidence in the House.
Says Abbott told him in September 2010 that he wanted Indies to make a choice – Labor, Liberal but no new election. Said Hockey said ‘fer crissakes choose one of us but don’t send us back to the polls’
by BH on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:55 pm
ru
Seems Wilkie is now back on the govt ledger
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:55 pm
I love Tony Windsor.
I wish I lived in New England so I could hand out How-To-Vote cards for him.
by Danny Lewis on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:56 pm
Clive Palmer has stopped abbotts nonsense roll about manufactured situations,even the flea media has to catch its breath and run with clive and swannie.
Starting to wonder if clives CIA rant was a red herring ,and clive is actually one of them ,out to damage the lnp of course.
by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:57 pm
Wilkie seems mightily impressed that the government has taken the NDIS and run with it.
I hope that means he realises that, if you want things done, this is the government to do it.
Also, after today’s mealy-mouthed effort, that Tony Abbott is just a big wanker.
by Danny Lewis on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:58 pm
Don’t agree with that, guytaur. We have an FA Dept. which can advise pollies of what is happening in other countries. It’s a wangk of a trip at our expense at a time when we need to save every $. That goes for all pollies in my book apart from Ministers or those directly involved in policy decisions.
by BH on Apr 30, 2012 at 4:59 pm
Boizo,
By the sound of it, your heart and soul is in the right place, but
the ALP just does not sign up everyone who knocks on the door. Beware spooks.
You need to be vetted, vouched for … it’s called security.
When I signed up, many, many years ago, I was put through the wringer. Fair enough. Came out the other end, though. Squeaky clean.
It’s not like joining an aerobics club. But, all the best!
by Scringler on Apr 30, 2012 at 5:01 pm
BH
I refer you to Shells post at 1221
All hands on deck.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 5:04 pm
Looks like Gillard has helped a few of the Indies get off the hook for allowing their mouths to run off in ways they probably regret.
If the PM had held the line, the Indies would have had to put up or shut up regarding the confidence motion. I doubt they really wanted to make a decision that was tantamount to a no confidence motion in the Government because quite a few would not have been returning were an election called.
As always, Gillard has optimised her and the Government’s position in the Parliament at the coming session without getting Slipper or Thomson offside, saved the Indies from embarrassing themselves and left the MSM and Oppos shaking their fists in frustrated fury. All in all another demonstration of the PM’s powerful negotiating skills.
by Greensborough Growler on Apr 30, 2012 at 5:05 pm
And bringing on another impotent ranting from Abbott.
by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 5:06 pm
GG
That is how i see it. The msm just see a big fail
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 5:07 pm
Yep worse case scenario, Slipper stays in the naughty bag – the Libs lose his vote. Anna gets to be Speaker in all but name.
Compared to Nov last year – Libs -1 ALP normal. Abbott really needs to do better.
by ruawake on Apr 30, 2012 at 5:08 pm
The news is not good for clive ,as abbott says he will back a seasoned grassroots person,(Assume like Wyatt Roy)to get pre selection,hope clive holds vicious grudges.
by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 5:09 pm
Scringler @ 1235
If anyone with seriously bad intentions wished to penetrate the ALP they would have no problem.
This so called ‘security’ is just a manifestation of paranoia or part of a struggle over pre-selections in a particular area.
The best way to deal with security would be to have people join a local branch where they might be known to existing members.
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 5:10 pm
my say
They know the exact time milking was due. A.M. or P.M being just 10 minutes late meant being greeted by the herd crowded around the gate flicking their tails impatiently
Out of milking season however it was a different story. They were quite content to just laze about all day in the paddock chewing their cud.
by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 5:10 pm
Anyone heard this yet Didn’t say that on SkyNews but Speers did say the report is now being considered by the ACTU etc
by BH on Apr 30, 2012 at 5:10 pm
vic,
Petty vidictiveness, group think and undisclosed vested interests is all we have for a Media in this country. They are nothing more than a sideshow.
by Greensborough Growler on Apr 30, 2012 at 5:10 pm
poroti/1243
The Liberals?
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 5:11 pm
ruawake,
Abbott really needs to do better
He is not a politician,just a desperate broke opportunist.
by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 5:12 pm
ruawake,
Abbott really needs to do better
He is not a politician,just a desperate broke opportunist.
by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 5:12 pm
1 is the loneliest number but 4 (#NDIS, Aged Care, Plain Cigarette packaging and GP Super Clinics) are very healthy BISONs
by The Finnigans on Apr 30, 2012 at 5:14 pm