Galaxy: 56-44 to Coalition
Galaxy has published its first poll of federal voting intention in two months, and now as then the result reflects the overall polling trend: the Coalition’s two-party lead is at 56-44, compared with 54-46 last time, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (up two), 30% for Labor (down four) and 13% for the Greens (up one). Three further questions elicit a general mood of hostility towards the government, only one of which strikes me as being particularly instructive: 52% express support for a no-confidence motion and an early election, against 38% opposed. When Essential Research asked simply about support for a new election in early March, the results were 44% supportive and 46% opposed. The poll was conducted over the past there days from a sample of 1012, with a margin of error of about 3%.
UPDATE: Consolation of a sort for Labor from Essential Research, which at least doesn’t echo Galaxy’s finding of appetite for a new election (support down two since March to 42%, opposition up two to 48%), but their voting intention result has deteriorated yet further. The Coalition now leads 57-43, up from 56-44 last week, although the changes on the primary vote are slight: the Coalition is up one to 50%, with Labor and the Greens steady on 31% and 11%. Other questions find overwhelming support for the government’s aged care reform package (61% against 7% opposed), although 62% concede they know little about them. It was also found that 39% supported agreed with Joe Hockey’s sentiments about Australians receiving too much assistance from the government, with 33% disagreeing.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Debionay
Its good to see.
by guytaur on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:07 pm
Thank Dog for the Greens in Bris. South by-election
____________________________
Labor has clung to the former Bligh seat with a vote of about a third of the total but been saved by the Greens prefs who with nearly 20%,,2% up on the recent elections..have had a great poll
So much for those who said the Greens would collapse when Brown left
Woulkd Labor hold any seats in QLand at present without Green prefs ???
by deblonay on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:08 pm
I know trolls are a fact of life like plagues and pestilence but why does PB have to have a superabundance?
by This little black duck on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:10 pm
TLBD
Its becausevPB has a lot of intelligent, cogent political debate. Attracts swarms of trolls.
by guytaur on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:12 pm
tlbd
see my 149
The research method appears robust.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:12 pm
So one could wish for an abbott win,but my point is while abbott is anywhere on the scene we will not spend,except of course for necessaries.Schanpii poted
O so well said
Sk have u or other tweeters got away of getti g this out please.
Wtte, self funded retirees, part pensioners, to scared to spend whike abbott is the lotto
As he telks us he will take gains from us, the baby boombers will not spend,
Soneti g like that, pkease as its tru i have said this for months now
Becauce our chikdren have left home , we can spend in reason.
But fear of our future we want till abbott, gone, retailers just dont get it
by my say on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:12 pm
reposted
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2095549/Right-wingers-intelligent-left-wingers-says-controversial-study–conservative-politics-lead-people-racist.html
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:13 pm
Puff in case u are wondrring never did get yoyr email
by my say on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:13 pm
my say
are you on twitter?
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:14 pm
This little black duck,
And they are such tedious supercilious bores. Smarmy gits who confuse smart arskery and condescending put-downs for substance.
by C@tmomma on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:15 pm
How can any media decent or otherwise let abbott get away with answers like this ,he bleats about the PM wanting to remain in office ,but nothing about his naked ambition by any means to be PM,jeez when will people wake up to him and a piss poor media.
http://www.international.to/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=5887:julia-gillards-announcements-today-on-craig-thompson-and-peter-slipper-has-changed-nothing&catid=97:breaking-news&Itemid=119
by Schnappi on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:15 pm
Rev Desmond Tutu’s letter on the suffering and humiliation of the Palestinian people
“worse than South African apartheid”
_____________________________
http://unity1.wordpress.com/2011/06/23/a-letter-from-desmond-tutu-re-palestine-for-those-who-listen-to-m
by deblonay on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:15 pm
C@tmomma
I couldn’t have put it better myself.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:16 pm
I’m uncertain as to how things will go from after July 1st.
I can’t see the Coalition pitch sustaining itself after October
The ALP need to hold on until October 2013.
If Slipper and Thomson are cleared, things might start getting better
by spur212 on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:20 pm
gloryconsequence@144,
O ye of little faith or fortitude. Get thee to a Nunnery & have a quiet think about what you are doing! It basically amounts to running up the White Flag.
We fight Tories! That’s what we do!
We have done it for over 100 years, and we are going to have to keep on doing it for the forseeable future because they keep fighting against us with everything they’ve got, perenially trying to wear us down. I will not be moved on or sidelined by them. I will keep raging till the dying of the light on the hill. Stand by me won’t you?
by C@tmomma on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:22 pm
My say
My email addy is on its way.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:23 pm
spur
If debate about media ensures they are made to be accurate and tell both sides of the story I have no doubt Labors position will improve.
by guytaur on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:23 pm
So what other gotcha’s do the fibs think they have on the ALP. Thomson and Slipper have been used up. Rudd is neutralised.
What is left in the kitbag?
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:25 pm
If there are still investigative journalists anywhere they should be investigating ashby,seems he is the only one with privacy,perhaps under guard by abetz and brandis.
by Schnappi on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:25 pm
Ducky,
We’re a challenge.
by Space Kidette on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:25 pm
Puff the Magic Dragon,
Sorry, the latest Libtard Troll, Short Arsk, or whatever his name is, who has been sent over the top from Menzies House to attempt to take us on, just got on my goat today.
by C@tmomma on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:26 pm
C@tmomma.
Why apologise for accuracy?
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:28 pm
Schnappi @ 168,
Yes, I have thought it passing strange that there has been no attempt by the media, absolutely none at all, to ferrett out Ashby, to smoke him out of his hole. Don’t they know where the LNP safe Houses are in Queensland? Don’t they know his home address? And, if so, why haven’t they sent a flock of reporters & paps to camp out there? If they don’t know his address, why not?
It all smells pretty fishy to me.
by C@tmomma on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:31 pm
Mordor protects its minions until they have passed their use by date.
by guytaur on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:33 pm
PTMD,
I don’t normally like to lower myself to their levels.
by C@tmomma on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:33 pm
Looking at google news see the telegraph and courier mail will run the usual slipper ,thompson but emphasing a new leadership challenge for tomorrow,as if they have reported nothing else but that for 18 months,have not read the articles ,never click on ,just see their blatant rubbish headlines.
by Schnappi on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:34 pm
Some good news to go to bed on from The Ghost Who Votes(as in, there’s hope yet):
@GhostWhoVotes: #Newspoll VIC State 2 Party Preferred: L/NP 51 (-2) ALP 49 (+2)
by C@tmomma on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:37 pm
Cat
Agree. The disappearance of Mr Ratshby is passing strange. Set up springs to mind.
by daretotread on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:37 pm
Schnappi @175,
If that leadership challenge involves one, Kevin Rudd, I think all should be reminded loudly and long just who stuck the knife into whose back repeatedly, during the election campaign in 2010 and until he was removed as Foreign Minister.
by C@tmomma on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:39 pm
guytaur@173,
Until such time as an unsuspecting punter finds their body amongst the refuse discarded at the local tip.
by C@tmomma on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:40 pm
I must admit I am looking forward to this week. Another week of announcements.
I expect the most reported one to be Conroy responding to Finklestein.
by guytaur on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:42 pm
Newspoll Victoria Mar-Apr 2012 – 1146 Voters
Two Party Preferred: L/NP 51 (-2) ALP 49 (+2)
Primary Votes: L/NP 42 (-3) ALP 32 (-1) GRN 17 (+3)
Ted Baillieu: Approve 36 (-5) Disapprove 45 (+7)
Daniel Andrews: Approve 28 (+5) Disapprove 35 (-1)
Preferred Premier: Baillieu 46 (-5) Andrews 23 (+4)
by GhostWhoVotes on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:43 pm
C@tmomma@178,
also think the rudd saga is over,as the sleaze would say,dead,buried ,cremated,but then he cannot be believed,but the rudd vote of 31 is too much ,think the PM who is showing control,but these days one day in politics is more app than a week.
by Schnappi on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:45 pm
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cn-5Ms-lrqw
Was the only thing i could find showing Julia G’s full presser and answer session of today if anyone is interested. Audio craps out in spots.
Was it Simple Simpkin asking the questions at the end where she got a bit terse with the fantasy writers??
by imacca on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:45 pm
Just think. Those Victorian results will be seen in Queensland after a year.
by guytaur on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:45 pm
There are a few nasties coming up for murdochia:
HoC Culture, Ethics and Sports (!) Committee report
More lawsuits by hacked victims
Conroy’s report on the media
Leveson’s interviews with pollies in June (?) and his report in about six months time
Investigations in the US?
by This little black duck on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:46 pm
Will likely rattle the primate cage the most and cause the most poo throwing.
Expect to hear lots about how our freedom is in danger.
by imacca on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:46 pm
tlbd
Popcorn.
Popcorn factory.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:49 pm
TLBD
Ashby as a cave troll
by guytaur on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:50 pm
guytaur@184,
Honestly believe about october ,newman cutting litery awards to save a pittance and giving costello jobs for the boys cost much more,then sacking a high flyer like the police minister after just two weeks maybe even before.
by Schnappi on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:51 pm
Schnappi
I was trying to be cautious.
by guytaur on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:52 pm
Bad poll for Baileau in Vic
________________
No great surprise…the media/talkback and the rest have all shown a great cooling of support for Baileau who got 50/50) and a majority o just 45-43 seats at the last election
He is seen as a” do nothing” Premier,and has a curious reluctance to answer when faced with questions…he is a real aristocrat with his great house at Portsea and the wealthiest man in the Vic P’ment
He has riled teachers and P Servants and the environmentalists on a host of issues
His real danger is a by-election in a marginal seat.anywhere in Melb.
That would yield a 44-44 split in the House and make a new election unavoidable
In adition his pledge to improve rail services in Melbourne has been dumped
Labor lost a swag of seats on the Frankston and Eastern suburban lines…Baileau would be in peril in many of these seats
Somehow “Big Ted ” just lacks something vital,,and National Party leader Ryan the Dept. Prem…. pushed hard on National party policies..which are not popular in Melbourne
All up these polls will worry Ted and Co as they have a harsh Budget to bring down on Tuesday next.
interesting times in Vic…
by deblonay on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:53 pm
immacca@186,
Expect to hear lots about how our freedom is in danger
Do not think murdoch can be credible after his regime change twitter.and news articles,conroy can throw the whole shitcart at them.
by Schnappi on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:55 pm
Ashby was always going to be a bug on the windscreen. The man is a fool.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 29, 2012 at 11:56 pm
Wot, used like tissue and thrown away? He will probably get sympathy from the strike breaker wharfies used during the waterfront dispute in 98. That’s pretty much what happened to a lot of them. Fibs have form on that.
by imacca on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:01 am
Cut services and people do not like it. JWH was a master at fooling people. However he had to increase his “sweeteners” to stop his slide. Eventually it caught up with him big time. Thelack of service just overrode all election “sweeteners”.
Abbott is going into an election promising massive service cuts. “Sweeteners” people know cannot be paid for. As well as promising to destroy existing infrastructure and deliver 3 elections.
I seriously doubt Abbott can win running on that.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:01 am
At least since the French Revolution, the Intelligentsia has traditionally been the “Reformist Class” which creates and leads revolutions, leading the poor and downtrodden to a better life.
Most left wing leaders have been very well educated, usually at elite universities; inc Robspierre (Lawyer, Lycee Louis-le-Grand, Paris) Marx (Law, Bonn), Simon Bolivar (Military College), Lenin (Lawyer), Mao (Changsha/ Beijing – married his professor’s daughter – Assistant Librarian BeijingU, teacher & school principal), Ghandi (Barrister, London U, Inner Temple), Nehru, (Cambridge), Che Guevara (doctor), Fidel Castro (law), José Ramos-Horta (International Law, Hague Academy of International Law)
by OzPol Tragic on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:01 am
debloney@191,
baillue is already blaming the federal government for his incompetence ,and slyly aludeing to the carbon tax,and I am on the look out for his secret agents who fine people for not registering pets,which I only was aware of yesterday ,the sneaky bastards.
Am trying to convice Teddy my pet Rat that the plague will not hurt him,but will certainly do something to that other teddy.
by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:03 am
Murdoch getting sued…this time by Braveheart.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2012/apr/29/first-minister-hacking-legal-action?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:03 am
Schnappi
So it is a pet-lead recovery then?
Companion Animals already contribute approx $6bill pa to the GDP. Looks like the little fellas will have to work harder.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:06 am