Crikey



Galaxy: 56-44 to Coalition

Galaxy has published its first poll of federal voting intention in two months, and now as then the result reflects the overall polling trend: the Coalition’s two-party lead is at 56-44, compared with 54-46 last time, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (up two), 30% for Labor (down four) and 13% for the Greens (up one). Three further questions elicit a general mood of hostility towards the government, only one of which strikes me as being particularly instructive: 52% express support for a no-confidence motion and an early election, against 38% opposed. When Essential Research asked simply about support for a new election in early March, the results were 44% supportive and 46% opposed. The poll was conducted over the past there days from a sample of 1012, with a margin of error of about 3%.

UPDATE: Consolation of a sort for Labor from Essential Research, which at least doesn’t echo Galaxy’s finding of appetite for a new election (support down two since March to 42%, opposition up two to 48%), but their voting intention result has deteriorated yet further. The Coalition now leads 57-43, up from 56-44 last week, although the changes on the primary vote are slight: the Coalition is up one to 50%, with Labor and the Greens steady on 31% and 11%. Other questions find overwhelming support for the government’s aged care reform package (61% against 7% opposed), although 62% concede they know little about them. It was also found that 39% supported agreed with Joe Hockey’s sentiments about Australians receiving too much assistance from the government, with 33% disagreeing.

Categories: Federal Politics 2010-

2189 Responses

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  1. Just saw a slim Clive Palmer on ABC TV (file tape), so I guess he’s just a great big fat, gluttonous, food muncher after all.

    by Bushfire Bill on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:05 pm

  2. BB

    Ever heard of girdles.

    by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:06 pm

  3. Someone should ask Abbott for some moral guidance on whether it is worse for one to use a prostitute than to prostitute oneself.

    by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:06 pm

  4. isn’t it ‘hung, drawn and quartered’?
    ‘Hung’ is because they take them down alive, ‘hanged’ when they take them down dead.

    We need to observe standards here, TLBD.

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:07 pm

  5. Seems things getting Dire in the UK atm:

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2012/apr/29/cardinal-david-cameron-favouring-rich

    by zoidlord on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:07 pm

  6. This is an interesting exchange.

    Peter van Onselen ‏ @vanOnselenP
    For the record, I think the circuit breaker Labor needs is a change of leader btw

    Latika Bourke ‏ @latikambourke
    @vanOnselenP you serious? I get the feeling they’ve used up that trick, one too many times. Go down with the Ship.

    by lizzie on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:08 pm

  7. Dose abnott have a twitter account

    Ask him if he approves of morriss
    Hope the tweeter are ready with their twets q a nd a

    by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:09 pm

  8. [Seems things getting Dire in the UK atm:

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2012/apr/29/cardinal-david-cameron-favouring-rich
    Calling George Pell.
    Calling George Pell.

    by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:09 pm

  9. Bushfire Bill

    Just saw a slim Clive Palmer on ABC TV (file tape), so I guess he’s just a great big fat, gluttonous, food muncher after all.

    There is always the option of moonlighting in Austin Powers movies
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vsH-gnWrF3c

    by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:09 pm

  10. poroti @ 1099,

    Looks like you can take a New Zealander out of New Zealand, but you can’t take New Zealand out of a new Zealander! ;-)

    by scorpio on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:10 pm

  11. Tis is direct quote from others:

    Grahame Morris thinks PM Gillard should be 'kicked to death' by 'bleeding heart Labor lawyers'.

    by lizzie on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:11 pm

  12. Pvo

    I would be surprised if its good poll him tweeting like this

    by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:12 pm

  13. The only solution for the bastards h­ttp://tinyurl.com/7t45r9l

    by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:12 pm

  14. My email to Graeme Morris

    - gmorris@bartondeakin.com.au -should anyone else wish to register their disgust at his comments.

    Your recent comments about our current Prime Minister give me cause to wish that you were drowned in a vat of hydrochloric acid, after having been stabbed ten thousand times in the crotch with a cocktail fork.

    Cheers,

    Ozymandias

    by Ozymandias on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:13 pm

  15. ru

    And the Temby report shows that it is dysfunctional.

    It has no governance standards.

    by Diogenes on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:13 pm

  16. I like this bit.

    O'Brien said he was speaking in favour of a campaign by the Scottish Catholic International Aid Fund, which along with other religious and political groups has been campaigning for the introduction of a Robin Hood or Tobin tax that could raise £20bn each year from a 0.05% levy on financial transactions.

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2012/apr/29/cardinal-david-cameron-favouring-rich

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:13 pm

  17. THE inclusion of koalas on the nation's list of threatened species has been condemned as a fresh example of federal government "green tape" by Queensland Premier Campbell Newman.

    Hey Idiot Newman, remember why Borbidge won an election? Oh that’s right koala protection on Koala highways. A tip. Shut UP.

    by ruawake on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:14 pm

  18. Crabbe and company on the Drum seemed to miss all these crowds cheering the government round the country.

    by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:14 pm

  19. Possum Comitatus ‏ @Pollytics
    @pipfreebairn If one were completely Machiavellian, one would announce in the budget a substantial auction of long term carbon permits

    How good would that be – Abbott would be stuffed if he tried to rescind legislation.

    by BH on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:15 pm

  20. I expect the Newspoll is a Rudd v Gillard, looking to get a “would vote labor if Rudd” response. That will be why PvO is tweeting.

    This will cause a media storm no doubt. In reality Rudd would sink after a short time back in office and we’d be worse off (see last NSW leadership changes).

    by Leroy on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:15 pm

  21. leroy

    It will achieve Mordors aim. More Ruddstoration chat.

    by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:17 pm

  22. I would like wiliams thoughts on professional journalism, should they be tweeting small talk pub talk .,
    Where is the decorum,, the goodmanners the respect for office for achievement.
    And respect for the elected pm

    I ve had enoigh, its like twitter is just between peoplethat think no one else knows
    society, is doomed we are slipping furthr in to the mud,
    Where will it end,

    by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:17 pm

  23. ruawake

    I would doubt that Newman even understands the Threatened Species List.

    by lizzie on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:18 pm

  24. Big laugh…

    Ross Greenwood on 2GB (“financial advisor” shock jock) packing shit on air right now as caller after caller phones in to support Clive Palmer’s candidacy. Not ONe dissenter.

    Greenwood is trying valiantly to talk them out of it, but they won’t have a bar of it.

    Clive’s their man.

    Now, today Abbott was “less than enthusiastic” about Clive (if it had been Gillard it would have been “snubbed” or “bones”), but that’s by the by.

    What I’m thinking is that there mightn’t be a way they can stop Palmer getting preselection. With all his millions invested in the LNP, they owe him big time.

    What is it about Queenslanders?

    by Bushfire Bill on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:19 pm

  25. Hi all – couldn’t get on earlier so just catching up. Recently on twitter:

    Stephen Koukoulas‏@TheKouk

    @latikambourke @TuhinAbhyankar @JoeHockey Even with 25 cut tomorrow, cash rate will be at a rate never reached by Howard or Fraser govts

    Another BISON?

    by Think Big on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:19 pm

  26. my say

    I am reading just as many tweets defending the PM.

    by lizzie on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:19 pm

  27. ruawake,

    Hey Idiot Newman, remember why Borbidge won an election? Oh that’s right koala protection on Koala highways. A tip. Shut UP.

    And that was only a by election at that. Not a general election.

    Newman was probably only building temporary bridges for his Army mates to crash through at the time anyway!

    by scorpio on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:19 pm

  28. scorpio

    poroti @ 1099,

    Looks like you can take a New Zealander out of New Zealand, but you can’t take New Zealand out of a new Zealander!

    Cher bro ! :) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f2gii2nenUg

    by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:20 pm

  29. Thanks OzyM
    My email,

    I find your recent comments about wanting the Prime Minister of Australia kicked to death very repugnant. If I read a media report that you are being treated for rampant ringworm I will pity the ring worm.

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:21 pm

  30. (xpect the Newspoll is a Rudd v Gillard, looking to get a “would vote labor if Rudd” response. That will be why PvO is tweeting.)

    There was a poll like this i think about febuary eg would u vote ette for labor if kr was leader wtte

    Its bull shit, liberals would say yes, if i got ask never been polled
    And if i was ask i wouod say turnbull, why dont they ask this

    Let pvo know what u think he is getying at,
    Twitters should preempt this, tell them they did this before get in first,

    by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:22 pm

  31. Bushfire Bill,

    What is it about Queenslanders?

    Unfortunately it’s quite a few of them BB but some of us are still able to keep our sanity.
    ;-)

    by scorpio on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:23 pm

  32. Gillard and labor are traped and nothing will save them, though they will try.

    My money is on the following to be tossed off the labor life raft in a last ditch attempt to save Gillard.

    1. Carbon tax.

    Gillard will toss the tax as one or at least reduce it to $9 in line with Europe and tell the greens to jump.

    2. Surplus

    Gillard will toss the surplus out because Labor is not going to get a cent of credit for it and will go on a spending marathon in a attempt to save Gillard.

    3. Advertising

    Despite Labors screams of blue murder on how JWH spent money, labor will break another promis in a attempt I telling us how good Gillard really is.

    In the end is does not matter. The public want the exact opposit of what Labor wants and that’s Gillard out off office.

    by rummel on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:24 pm

  33. Fully enjoyed Jennie Parrett rant on Clive Palmer.

    Took him apart.

    She revealed something that I didn’t that back in the Sir Joh days Clive ran and was defeated by

    Peter Slipper.

    by mexicanbeemer on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:24 pm

  34. Thats good ‘lizzie

    by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:25 pm

  35. rummel

    Careful we might think you are Graeme Morris.

    by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:25 pm

  36. Oh said that 1532 was on 7 news

    by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:26 pm

  37. 8. Complaints about Mr Morris saying that somebody or other ‘…should kick the Prime Minister to death…’ or words to that effect. Bludgers.

    Complaints about this sort of statement are yet another case of political correctness gone mad. Bluey reckons that if you would like to see the Prime Minister kicked to death, stabbed to death, burnt at the stake, shot to death and/or put in a chaff bag and thrown into the sea, you should be able to say so. This is another example of the loony left trying to exercise political censorship. Bluey reckons that all those lily-livered nanny staters on Poll Bludger should get a grip, get some guts, and stop all the carryon about sfa.

    Score Sheet

    Current Champion for Political Correctness Gone MadMan: Mr Abbott

    Running Tally Political Correctness Gone MadMen and MadWomyn

    Mr Abbott et al (5)
    Mr Kennett (1)
    Mr O’farrell (1)
    Bludgers (1)

    by Boerwar on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:26 pm

  38. rummel

    You’re only a lightwieght compared to Morris …..

    by muttleymcgee on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:27 pm

  39. Jacki Weaver just said she really loves the way the PM speaks. Well that won’t be reported far and wide.

    by BH on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:27 pm

  40. Ha rummel

    The budget will make abbott scream about the $300,000 battlers,and both abbott,hockey will be useless at a budget reply,and that goes for robb as well.

    by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:27 pm

  41. And that was only a by election at that. Not a general election.

    I am sure that whoever-it-was was referring to the 1995 general election, when the “Koala Motorway” issue was said to have caused Labor at least one unexpected defeat in Brisbane’s outer south (and hence, eventually, office).

    by William Bowe on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:28 pm

  42. The public want the exact opposit of what Labor wants and that’s Gillard out off office.

    The public want

    Monkey Man replaced
    A mining tax
    an NBN
    a DSIS

    to name just four things that Abbott is not prepared to deliver on

    by Tom Hawkins on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:28 pm

  43. Latika Bourke ‏ @latikambourke
    @vanOnselenP you serious? I get the feeling they’ve used up that trick, one too many times. Go down with the Ship.

    Another msm meme displayed by Latika, student of groupthink….’the government has no hope of winning an election, 17 months out’.

    Bernard runs that one, as well, I think.

    by joe2 on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:29 pm

  44. Ruewake

    You know it’s normal :)

    by rummel on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:29 pm

  45. Lynne Lady @ 282

    Don’t know if somebody has answered your enquiry as I not gone part it yet as I’ve been at work all day.

    Leveson does not resume until 7 May.

    by Allan Moyes on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:30 pm

  46. I see that Mr Newman wants to tie up all the koalas in green tape, kick them half to death, put them in a chaff bag and throw it into the sea.

    But, to be fair, may he doesn’t want to do that. Maybe he just wants to clear all their habitat for mines and flog the mines off to overseas interests.

    by Boerwar on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:30 pm

  47. Boerwar
    In that spirit,how would Bluey like to be salt & peppered?

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:30 pm

  48. Quick turn off 7.30 … the dickhead is on.

    by joe2 on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:31 pm

  49. I thought we were down to 16 months.

    by Boerwar on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:31 pm

  50. Oohmann: “There is despair in cabinet and caucus.”

    by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 7:31 pm

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