Galaxy: 56-44 to Coalition
Galaxy has published its first poll of federal voting intention in two months, and now as then the result reflects the overall polling trend: the Coalition’s two-party lead is at 56-44, compared with 54-46 last time, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (up two), 30% for Labor (down four) and 13% for the Greens (up one). Three further questions elicit a general mood of hostility towards the government, only one of which strikes me as being particularly instructive: 52% express support for a no-confidence motion and an early election, against 38% opposed. When Essential Research asked simply about support for a new election in early March, the results were 44% supportive and 46% opposed. The poll was conducted over the past there days from a sample of 1012, with a margin of error of about 3%.
UPDATE: Consolation of a sort for Labor from Essential Research, which at least doesn’t echo Galaxy’s finding of appetite for a new election (support down two since March to 42%, opposition up two to 48%), but their voting intention result has deteriorated yet further. The Coalition now leads 57-43, up from 56-44 last week, although the changes on the primary vote are slight: the Coalition is up one to 50%, with Labor and the Greens steady on 31% and 11%. Other questions find overwhelming support for the government’s aged care reform package (61% against 7% opposed), although 62% concede they know little about them. It was also found that 39% supported agreed with Joe Hockey’s sentiments about Australians receiving too much assistance from the government, with 33% disagreeing.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
4Corners doing their Romney Coverage.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:36 pm
The real deep question is how long can you guys and the press gallary keep up this bullshit. 18 months is a long time.
by fredn on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:36 pm
Ah Mod Lib…Grahame Morris’s acolyte. Got your steel caps on?
by Lynchpin on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:37 pm
bg:
The slow release of announceables during the week leading up to budget night.
If govts want to go down that path, why not rename budget night budget week and be done with it?
by confessions on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:37 pm
Did u all notice australian story, is on clive
next week well fancy that
What an amaing coincidence,
by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:38 pm
mungo
http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/3980486.html
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:38 pm
victoria
Its not true. Peter Slipper has sartorial elegance.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:39 pm
lnrw@1684:
does anyone think Clive’s wife irons his shirts with a wok?
It’s the only plausible explanation.
by fiona reynolds on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:40 pm
Abbott had a $6000 a head dinner,seems their dirty tricks fund is running short,thats about 2 to 2 1/2 months wages to some,seems abbott is not a friend of workers or his new found union workers he just luvs,the rich,which of course he hopes to be.
by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:40 pm
Must we use childish name-calling to deride the arguments ML makes?
The obvious response to his/her comment above is that the ‘referee’ is in fact the voters, and it will be voters who get to ‘blow the whistle’ at the next election, whenever that might be.
by confessions on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:40 pm
Yep, the people get to decide, but it just might be wise for a few old hardheads in the ALP to have a quiet word to Gillard in the long term interests of the party.
She seems to have a little problem with political judgement. Either you got it or you don’t and Gillard well and truly don’t.
Shes a dud….time for someone else to have a go don’t you think?
by Mod Lib on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:40 pm
I wonder if mod lib and glen are from the press may be they are famous journalist we here from every day the seem to sing from the same bookmark
by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:40 pm
David_Speers Good story @haydencooper
7 minutes ago
David_Speers FYI – I am not a spokesperson for Grahame! Just passing this on
11 minutes ago
David_Speers Grahame says it’s a phrase he has used in the past on different issues, but shouldn’t have on this occasion
11 minutes ago
David_Speers I have just spoken to Grahame Morris who says his “kicking to death” comment was inappropriate and he’s sorry.
12 minutes ago
David_Speers Temby report damning on HSU. Nothing specific on Thomson. But no guidelines around credit card use. Amazing reading.]
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:41 pm
Mod Lib
You are good at convincing Labor Party people to back Gillard.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:41 pm
Bk are u watching 4 corner s
by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:41 pm
Sorry my ass!
by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:42 pm
my say
Not yet
30 minutes later here.
by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:43 pm
“does anyone think Clive’s wife irons his shirts with a wok?”
What sort of wok?
by Greensborough Growler on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:43 pm
Perhaps someone should tell Speers that this report does not relate to Thomson because he was not part of HSUeast
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:43 pm
mineral tax
carbon traiding scheme
plain packaging for smokes.
and now
national disability insurance.
I’ll take a dud like that anyday.
by fredn on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:43 pm
Dangerous polygamy been shown on 4 Corners.
What next? Bestiality?
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:43 pm
Governments have always leaked good bits for weeks ahead while leaving some of the nasties in the detail. It won’t work this time because everyone already knows that:
(1) the budget will be nothing but spins and lies
(2) there will be a one-line detail upon which Mr Abbott will pronounce a three word slogan of economic death and desperation for the whole nation.
(3) the MSM will focus its entire energy on this pronouncement
(4) the budget will leave the whole nation in desperate indebtedness
(5) everyone will be worse off because of the budget
(6) which goes to prove that Labor are hopeless economic managers.
Labor’s only hope is that the budget in reply speech is drafted in committee by Messers Joyce, Abbott, Robb and Hockey.
by Boerwar on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:44 pm
Gee from tweets we read they know each other like best friends all of them
by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:44 pm
@TurnbullMalcolm @MikeKellyMP Malcolm, take note. “Fibre To The Node one of the biggest mistakes humanity has made” http://delimiter.com.au/2012/04/30/fttn-a-huge-mistake-says-ex-bt-cto/
by The Finnigans on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:44 pm
fredn ,
You forgot a biggie like aged care
by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:45 pm
bw
What do you mean hope. Thats almost a rolled gold guarantee.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:45 pm
Mod Lib
Oh, I see. People like you and Grahame Morris. How to decide? With violence? Is that what you support?
by Lynchpin on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:45 pm
Boingo,
Agree. With at least 89 caveats. (SMILE thingo).
Coupla tips. You need to know someone. For example, travel to China with about
16 Labor politicians on a three-week official tour. Do lunch. All over the joint. Eat fried sparrows. Speak to the diplomatic staff. Don’t take notes. No pics.
Seriously, keep plugging. Remember, if you’re a wrong ‘un, you will need to be
a talented and trained actor.
It might help if I knew your state. I’m in Victoria.
by Scringler on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:46 pm
No.
by confessions on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:46 pm
ML
Mr Abbott is the resident narcissist here. He is no dud. He is very, very dangerous. The Liberals are cuddling a viper to their bosoms.
by Boerwar on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:47 pm
MMauler – Yes, BOF was good today but the PM’s speech and smile was a delight. Of course none of that will be reported on the morning news tomorrow and Grattan will find a way of pouring cold water on it when talking to Fran Kelly.
HSO – I heard Morris make the comments and thought he couldn’t get any uglier than he has been over the past few weeks but he excelled himself today. Why is it that these old conservatives look so similarly ugly (Jones, Brandis, Abetz, Reith, Morris).
How is HI – you haven’t reported lately. Hope he is OK.
by BH on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:47 pm
I think the low mark in polling was the #newscorpse effort today (following Rupert’s tweeted effort for an election now) – where they online polled 37,000+ “people” across all their tabloid franchises and showed 92% of their readers wanted and election now!
92% wanting an election now. A figure so staggering that Malcolm “Fool” Farr put his name to a story on http://www.news.com.au quoting the poll and its findings.
Sadly, he did not tell us what the MOE was – but hey, 92% – that is not even 1 in 10 of the Australian people who are not clamoring for an election right now. Yes Sir, Rupert.
And the #newscorpse sponsored NewsPoll, in my view, has been debased by its frequency and Shanahan spinning. Round things up, or down; accentuate the negatives; rinse and repeat.
am waiting for the day when preferred PM for Abbott is 92%.
by sprocket_ on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:47 pm
GG, had to go and measure, but a 35cm diameter one, I’d say. Whether she uses just the one, or two in order to save time, who knows?
by fiona reynolds on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:48 pm
Your right, it’s a big change, I think it made a single line in the back page of the age. The press had serious matters like the colour of the PM’s handbag to deal with.
by fredn on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:48 pm
Lynchpin,,
Oh, I see. People like you and Grahame Morris. How to decide? With violence? Is that what you support?
You left outl ies deceit and naked ambition ahead ot the country.
by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:48 pm
Bk it worth recording
by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:49 pm
Boerwar:
As usual you’ve managed to perfectly capture my thoughts so succinctly.
The govt has the economic and policy substance and doesn’t need to try to spin it in the face of a relentless hate campaign from the media.
Another question I have: who will deliver the coalition budget reply speech? AFter last year, Hockey is horribly tainted, and the media will be expecting any number of gotchas. I’ve seen nothing in hockey’s performances in the intervening year to convince me he has the ability to ‘flick the switch’ to capable, so does that mean Robb will get the gig? Abbott? Maybe Clive could be drafted early!
by confessions on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:50 pm
I assume that Mr Morris will have had several hundred emails returning in full his fond wishes for the Prime Minister. He probably is sorry. After all, wishing violent death on someone is a bit unpleasant when oneself the target.
Not that I condone violent wishes or threats by anyone on anyone.
by Boerwar on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:51 pm
may say
All set to record.
by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:51 pm
clive won’t win preselection but swan won’t win his seat!
by Gary Sparrow on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:51 pm
Rudd haters on this site might appreciate that I sent this email to that grub Morris:
Your disgusting comments about the Prime Minister are a shocking
reflection on you as a person and commentator.
No person in public life should be subjected to such hate and
vitriol as that vomited up by you today on SKY.
There is enough violence and hate in this community without
people like you making such crude and insulting comments
which are only encouraging some dimwit to take physical action.
Or is that what you really want?
by feeney on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:51 pm
BH @1730:
Why is it that these old conservatives look so similarly ugly (Jones, Brandis, Abetz, Reith, Morris).
When I was a cheeild, my inner-voice description of such people was “toilet faces”.
by fiona reynolds on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:51 pm
Palmer for Lilley reminds me greatly of John Elliott for Higgins, although I think there are two differences.
Firstly Elliott suited Higgins, Palmer doesn’t seem a good fit for Lilley
Secondary Elliot just seems more lifelike than Palmer, I could image having a beer and talking about all sorts of things with John but apart from Mining what could we talk about with Clive.
by mexicanbeemer on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:51 pm
So pleased Republicans find Romney too liberal to vote for.
It will be good to have a second term for President Obama.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:51 pm
Finns.
Turnbull on the wrong tram again:
“Fibre to the cabinet is one of the biggest mistakes humanity has made,” he said. “It ties a knot in the cable in terms of bandwidth and imposes huge unreliability risks … It is a shame, but I understand why people have made that decision. They have made it worldwide, by the way.”
by Greensborough Growler on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:52 pm
Mine was scum sucking pigs
by Last name red wombat on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:52 pm
So does Lilley have a helipad?
by Last name red wombat on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:53 pm
So, we are ending up with a rich party of the right, the rich party of the left and the unrich party of the centre.
The unrich party of the centre has problems because there are too many rich or aspirational rich people with not enough poor people left over.
by Boerwar on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:53 pm
lnrw
If it doesn’t it soon will.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:54 pm
LNRW:
scum sucking pigs
Fair enough.
by fiona reynolds on Apr 30, 2012 at 8:54 pm