Galaxy: 56-44 to Coalition
Galaxy has published its first poll of federal voting intention in two months, and now as then the result reflects the overall polling trend: the Coalition’s two-party lead is at 56-44, compared with 54-46 last time, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (up two), 30% for Labor (down four) and 13% for the Greens (up one). Three further questions elicit a general mood of hostility towards the government, only one of which strikes me as being particularly instructive: 52% express support for a no-confidence motion and an early election, against 38% opposed. When Essential Research asked simply about support for a new election in early March, the results were 44% supportive and 46% opposed. The poll was conducted over the past there days from a sample of 1012, with a margin of error of about 3%.
UPDATE: Consolation of a sort for Labor from Essential Research, which at least doesn’t echo Galaxy’s finding of appetite for a new election (support down two since March to 42%, opposition up two to 48%), but their voting intention result has deteriorated yet further. The Coalition now leads 57-43, up from 56-44 last week, although the changes on the primary vote are slight: the Coalition is up one to 50%, with Labor and the Greens steady on 31% and 11%. Other questions find overwhelming support for the government’s aged care reform package (61% against 7% opposed), although 62% concede they know little about them. It was also found that 39% supported agreed with Joe Hockey’s sentiments about Australians receiving too much assistance from the government, with 33% disagreeing.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Sage advice, diog, sage advice!
by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:52 pm
Can you bulk bill that advice to me also Dr D?
by joe2 on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:52 pm
Reithy, the speaker can choose not to be in the Chamber, you dickhead.
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:52 pm
Due to what I take to be a technical error, the dullest episode ever of Australian Story (and thus by extension the dullest thing in the whole history of television) has been screening on the ABC in Perth in place of The 7:30 Report.
Good thing, or bad thing?
by William Bowe on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:52 pm
dreyfus too good for mirabella,reith is tricky,jones pathetic,hope mirrabella gets a court case question.
by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:53 pm
Mirabella knows more about law than Dreyfus.
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:53 pm
LSL @ 1855
If I could try to distill your argument into a few words.
You are alleging that the political system in this country is merely a Labor-Liberal-Media complex where all parties play good cop-bad cop with each other.
Furthermore you allege political partisans are focused on the good cop/bad cop charade and not the substantive “complex”.
Am I right?
by Scrutineer on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:54 pm
why will compo for the carbon tax save gillard? kev gave us all $900 cash in hand and it did not save him
by rummel on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:54 pm
Why are the two non-pollies on QandA?
by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:54 pm
Mirabella is shameless.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:55 pm
I wish Ashby could do a number on Tony Jones and let us be rid of him for some time!
by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:56 pm
Saved us though…
by Carey Moore on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:56 pm
joe
We can count this as a teleconsultation. I strongly recommend all PBers follow the prescription. I predict a hypertensive crisis otherwise.
by Diogenes on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:56 pm
Rummel @ 1907
The $900 in cash was in 2008. Rudd was dumped in 2010. I don’t think you can draw the two together.
by Scrutineer on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:56 pm
Tony Jones, the winky-wanky bird.
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:56 pm
ducky, those lips, those lips
by The Finnigans on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:57 pm
tlbd
what her glasses ,hope you have some.
by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:57 pm
I though Australian Story was quite interesting. Certainly better then 7.30. Maybe more interesting than QandA. A very important issue of revitalising land. So definitely a good thing.
by Roger Miller on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:57 pm
Diog, i know you are cheap, but this telemarketing is ridiculous
by The Finnigans on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:58 pm
True, but what about all the other duties of the Speaker, such as running the Department of the House of Representstives and all the official entertaining of foreign guests, and maintaining the joint operations of the parliament in conjunction with the President of the Senate. Has Slipper officially delegated all of these matters to Burke?
by ltep on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:58 pm
Julia Gillard made a bad tactical decision today by taking ‘ownership’ of suspending Craig Thomson’s ALP membership and Slipper standing down as Speaker.
It would have been a lot smarter to have let Thomson make the decision to go to the cross bench and let Slipper make the decision to stand aside.
By taking ownership of the decisions she immediately opened herself up to the question as to why she had not acted earlier as we have seen.
BTW, I don’t know where it says in ALP rules that a PM can suspend anyone’s party membership. The ALP has internal process for doing that after a fair hearing. Rudd also had this stupid habit of getting into decisions best left to party processes and where he had no proper authority.
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:58 pm
Gorgeousity personified! She needs a pedestal.
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:58 pm
Any thing is better than the 7 30 show even a blank screen
by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:58 pm
Rummel, Rudd was 58/42 with the $900 to peoples bank accounts.
by Centre on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:59 pm
Puff the Magic Dragon @1909, what is this weird construct shame?
by fiona reynolds on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:59 pm
Be careful with the collagen!
http://tinyurl.com/6no5umo
by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 9:59 pm
TLBD @ 1921, tied round her ankles? And then duly saturated?
by fiona reynolds on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:00 pm
William @ 1903
See my comments on 7.30.
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:01 pm
rosemour
I switched off at 9.41pm.
by Centre on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:01 pm
Just caught the end of a Prof Brian Cox documentary on the potential technological revolution (and plausibility) of fusion technology. TBH, our governments should be investing in this stuff. Not finding new substances to burn and new ways to burn them.
by Carey Moore on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:01 pm
fiona,
Précisément.
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:02 pm
Bemused, Thomson wrote to Dastyari to ask for his membership to be suspended didnt he?
by ltep on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:02 pm
fiona
Something with which Mirrabella has never even had a nodding acquaintance.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:02 pm
Centre
I salute you.
by rosemour on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:03 pm
my say
BK is correct. There has never been a Mormon president and it is not likely that there will be one.
So far in the primaries, he’s won the following states/territories:
Alaska, American Samoa, Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Guam, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New York, North Dakota, Northern Mariana Islands, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Puerto Rico, Rhode Island, U.S. Virgin Islands, Vermont, Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.
Utah, where you would expect he’d win has not held it’s primary yet, is not contested till June 26. It’s the last primary for some reason.
According to the Washington Post, he has 847 delegates with only another 297 to reach the magic “home and hosed” 1144, thereby making him by far the front runner for the GOP nomination.
I can’t see him beating Obama, however, and sincerely hope he doesn’t come within a mile of doing so, him being a Republican, after all.
There have been six Mormon candidates for the US presidency:
Joseph Smith – 1844 – who, of course, created the Mormon church;
George Romney – 1968 – Mitt’s father;
Morris Udall – 1976 – from Arizona;
Bo Gritz – 1992 – ran as Populist Party candidate and only got 4% of votes in Utah and 1% in Idaho;
Orrin Hatch – 2000 – senator from Utah; and
Mitt Romney – 2008 and 2012 – former Massachusetts Governor.
by Allan Moyes on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:03 pm
Yes, Sophie, seems to have that special knack with the seniors. Experience, I guess.
by joe2 on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:03 pm
Diogs,
Is it true that you can dispense/receive prescription medicines through the FTTH NBN?
I hear the Japanese have been working on innovative technology to revolutionise Pizza deliveries.
by Greensborough Growler on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:03 pm
Finns, oooh yummy … edible lips … but as BK has warned, ‘ware collagen.
by fiona reynolds on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:05 pm
ltep
I heard Dastyari today saying he didn’t think Thomson would go for pre-selection as he expected this to drag on too long.
by Diogenes on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:05 pm
i’ll try this again… ahem ahem… did Graeme Morris actually say that JG should be ‘kicked’?
by middle man on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:05 pm
Reith resurrecting serfchoices. Again.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:05 pm
Reith wakes up saying workchoices i reckon… let go Peter for dogsake!
by middle man on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:06 pm
Itep @ 1931
Perhaps he did.So even less reason for JG to act all macho about ‘her’ decision. Just stupid tactics and I think she must get appalling advice.
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:06 pm
Scrutineer @ 1855
I guess so. But I was more specifically referring to the fact that the Labor Party is part of the problem, not part of the solution. And the genius of the rigged system is that it herds up a lot of genuinely progressive people and funnels all of their political energy into the Labor Party, which is not a threat to the system at all (despite the media noise machine trying to make it sound like it is).
People shouldn’t be fooled. If you want change in this country you need to give up on the Labor Party and recognise that they are not going to deliver it. People should advocate for real change, not get sucked in to the sort of stuff that passes for analysis and political advocacy here on Poll Bludger. All the micro-analysis of press conferences and journalists tweets.
All you end up being is like a bad tempered obnoxious yob at the football yelling abuse at the referees and thinking that the result of a football game actually matters to anything.
by Leisure Suit Larry on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:06 pm
http://thewall.com.au/topics/72469-make-a-report-or-complaint
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:07 pm
4 corners re Mormon Cult and Romney
_______________
If you missed it tonight try to catch a repeat of a splendid program exposing the quite sinister nature of the Mormons ands their wealthy and all pervasive cult
So they use ex-CIA FBI members to spy on “apostates” who have woken up to the cultish nnsens who’se surprised ??
There are similarities to the power of Scientology…and older cults like 7h Day Adventists and Jehovah’s Witness…and of course the endless cults spawned in the USA like Christian “Science” and recently the Christianb Zionists,who believe Christ will return when Israel become Christian
We should be grateful that the Mormorns while running Salt Lake City ,don’t have their own with Nucleur weapons like as another and older religion-bassed state does/ have.
and speaking of cults the former head of the Israeli domestic spy service said yesterday that Netanyahu is dangerous because he has “a messianic desire ” for a wider conflxct in the Middle East..and should be stopped
Thank Dog that the at least Scientologists dont have the Bomb,,,and what do we know about Mormon under-garments??
by deblonay on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:07 pm
middle man
Nah, let him keep saying it. At least it makes him a slightly more honest Lib.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:07 pm
Sophie’s right, you just find an older person and …
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:08 pm
She’s got the floor.
And now I’ve got a soft on!
by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:08 pm
TLBD. Thanks for that. Surely an all time new low in this country.
by middle man on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:08 pm