Galaxy: 56-44 to Coalition
Galaxy has published its first poll of federal voting intention in two months, and now as then the result reflects the overall polling trend: the Coalition’s two-party lead is at 56-44, compared with 54-46 last time, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (up two), 30% for Labor (down four) and 13% for the Greens (up one). Three further questions elicit a general mood of hostility towards the government, only one of which strikes me as being particularly instructive: 52% express support for a no-confidence motion and an early election, against 38% opposed. When Essential Research asked simply about support for a new election in early March, the results were 44% supportive and 46% opposed. The poll was conducted over the past there days from a sample of 1012, with a margin of error of about 3%.
UPDATE: Consolation of a sort for Labor from Essential Research, which at least doesn’t echo Galaxy’s finding of appetite for a new election (support down two since March to 42%, opposition up two to 48%), but their voting intention result has deteriorated yet further. The Coalition now leads 57-43, up from 56-44 last week, although the changes on the primary vote are slight: the Coalition is up one to 50%, with Labor and the Greens steady on 31% and 11%. Other questions find overwhelming support for the government’s aged care reform package (61% against 7% opposed), although 62% concede they know little about them. It was also found that 39% supported agreed with Joe Hockey’s sentiments about Australians receiving too much assistance from the government, with 33% disagreeing.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Why so generous?
Only kidding I guess 55:45. Still a thrashing in anyones books.
by bluegreen on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:38 pm
Next Monday Kelly O will tell us what she wants in the budget the next day. I can’t wait!
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:38 pm
Which may explain all the thousands of dollars Rummy had to spend getting his first kid on the road.
Danger money.
by Bushfire Bill on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:39 pm
confessions @ 2014
Glad you liked it.
I suggest you get a sense of humour.
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:39 pm
How do they work out Kelly O’Dwyer is a rising star? Based on her ability to shriek like a banshee and talk over the top of everyone else??
Get the feeling Newspoll will be a shocker – some of the lib shills from News are doing some preemptive gloating. Brace yourself folks.
by Henry on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:39 pm
middleman – that warms the cockles of me ole heart Cheers
by BH on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:39 pm
This country was founded on a constitution that made sure it religion and state was separate. Actually, that is a good idea, a different prayer each time and a statement for atheist day.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:40 pm
BB
lol
by rummel on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:41 pm
Oh look at tony windsor go on lateline ,abbott needs earplugs.
by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:41 pm
You’re a good sport rummel!
by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:42 pm
rummel @ 2030
Ahh, you only redeeming feature comes to the fore again.
No intention to offend Mrs Rummel.
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:42 pm
Henry
I expect the poll to be the pits. Put on the hard hats for the incoming.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:42 pm
On QandA tonight -
1. Mirabella throws in the old “we’re a Judeo-Christian society” to conclude, when everyone else on the panel embraced the multicultural discussion. The when Nguyen spoke about the anniversary of the Fall of Saigon, and gets a huge applause, Mirabella sits there and doesn’t even bother with a clap. If you can watch the video, check it out. She then half pretends a hand clap at the end. A true disgrace, demonstrates the deeper feeling of most of the party.
2. People like Dreyfuss and Butler are the best communicators Labor has, but rarely seen.
by gloryconsequence on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:42 pm
BT Newspoll will be 58-42, Gillard approval nosedive.
by gloryconsequence on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:43 pm
True, but:
The Govt still gets to deliver the Budget next week.
Interest rates are likely to fall tomorrow.
We all get to wait for
to finally deliver a Budget Reply speech. 
by imacca on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:44 pm
by Dee on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:44 pm
Gadaffi’s 42Million pounds campaign donation to Sarkozi at the last French poll
____________________________
One can see why Sarko would have been glad to see Gadaffi killed
How convenient that was ??
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2136762/Nicolas-Sarkozy-received-42m-gift-Gaddafi-helped-bring-power.html
by deblonay on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:45 pm
Well she is a rusted on Labor Supporter. I could be Tim
by rummel on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:45 pm
imacca
Abbott will give nothing like a budget in reply speech.
by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:45 pm
Good QandA. I particulartly liked how the manufacturing guy was not scared by the scare campaign. The target audience of the Coalition. It is small business they have been trying to scare into passing on costs.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:45 pm
Dee, is that legit?
by bluegreen on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:46 pm
Dee,
That needs confirming.
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:46 pm
True, he’ll probably do a hospital pass to JoHo after screaming Boats, Boats, Boats!
by imacca on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:47 pm
guytuar
I hope Mark Dreyfus does get to help out the manufacturing guy and turns it into a good story.
by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:47 pm
guytaur – agree.
Mirabella heard “small business owner” and said “carbon tax bad” about 14 times. He was then asked about whether the carbon tax would impact on his business, and he said not really.
MirabellaFail.
by gloryconsequence on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:47 pm
That was my assumption. I moved recently and just got around to updating my electoral details. I’m in her electorate now. Joy.
by Aguirre on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:48 pm
Is that for real, (fingers crossed)?
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:48 pm
Isn’t that 2 defamation cases ? one from a Union Official ?
by zoidlord on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:48 pm
NewsPoll paid for by NewsLtd subsiduary of #NewsCorpse controlled by Murdoch whose leadership has led to a culture of bribing officials, hacking phones of widows, seeking to blackmail politicians….. to further his commercial interests.
After todays ramping of 92% of #newscorpse’s tabloids online pollsters wanting a election now, I couldn’t give a rats arse about the tainted MurdochPoll
by sprocket_ on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:49 pm
Great. So it’s now a source of amusement to the misogynists to apply different standards of leadership to women than to men?
Thank you for clearing that up. It speaks volumes for your motivations.
by confessions on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:50 pm
If Slipper is going after Abbott it will be a vicious affair!
by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:50 pm
gloryconsequence @ 2062
Tragically, that is all too true.
Why?
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:50 pm
Abbott should step down immediately for the good of the parliament.
by Bushfire Bill on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:51 pm
Confessions:
What do you think about the posts about Sophie Mirabella here tonight?
by Mod Lib on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:51 pm
That Mirabella Fail. I note Reith was too smart to parrot the lines. I think it is the first real sign we have seen that the carbon price even if called a tax is not the poison chalice the media and Oppn have been painting it. The judgement of progressive. Labor Green Independent has again been proved right.
Abbott could really be going down.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:52 pm
Yep just gotta tough it out PTMD.
Gonna get ugly for a while but we gotta stick phat as my old coach would say.
by Henry on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:52 pm
Abbott is not shy of suing for defamation (Goodbye, Jerusalem)
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:52 pm
Dee@2065
Saw that coming. Barrister Peter Slipper to take defamation action against T Abbott @Skynews #auspol
Hope that has substance
by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:52 pm
So does the HSU thing throw any new light on the links between Kathy Jackson, the HSU and Senator Feeney?
by bluegreen on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:53 pm
Night all – let’s see what the morning’s press brings us.
by BK on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:54 pm
Actually, without bias ,do believe slipper is ten times smarter than abbott.
by Schnappi on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:54 pm
I imagine there’ll be no pressure though. You know, presumption of innocence and all that.
by rishane on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:54 pm
Lucky Abbott believes in the presumption of innocence then. Lucky for him also it’s not under the Fair Work act, or he may have had to pronounce himself guilty.
by Aguirre on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:56 pm
confessions @ 2079
Glad to have been of assistance. I always try to be helpful.
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:56 pm
The best type of small business man, guytaur. He is accepting his responsibility to cover the fixed price costs and doesn’t intend to lose any workers. That must have hurt Mirrabella but don’t expect this bloke to be asked to appear on any other program anywhere. He was too sensible about it and not negative enough about the Govt.
At least Jones halted Mirrabella in her tracks for 10 seconds with saying the carbon tax hadn’t started yet. Unfortunately Mirrabella is like Abbott – wind them up and they can’t stop.
by BH on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:56 pm
Well, that’s rubbish. Abbott isn’t going anywhere, and the carbon price is absolutely toxic in the community, regardless of what the actual outcome is, which will be negligible.
by gloryconsequence on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:56 pm
I think that Sky news tweet is a hoax.
Wish it were true though.
by Henry on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:57 pm
Be careful what you wish for!
Things are bad enough for the ALP already, don’t wish an absolute wipe out on them (which is what would happen with a non-Abbott leading the Liberal Party).
by Mod Lib on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:57 pm
Schnappi @ 2090
With heaps of bias… I think you set the bar very low…
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:58 pm
?? Bullying by a person in your workplace ??
by imacca on Apr 30, 2012 at 10:58 pm