Galaxy: 56-44 to Coalition
Galaxy has published its first poll of federal voting intention in two months, and now as then the result reflects the overall polling trend: the Coalition’s two-party lead is at 56-44, compared with 54-46 last time, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (up two), 30% for Labor (down four) and 13% for the Greens (up one). Three further questions elicit a general mood of hostility towards the government, only one of which strikes me as being particularly instructive: 52% express support for a no-confidence motion and an early election, against 38% opposed. When Essential Research asked simply about support for a new election in early March, the results were 44% supportive and 46% opposed. The poll was conducted over the past there days from a sample of 1012, with a margin of error of about 3%.
UPDATE: Consolation of a sort for Labor from Essential Research, which at least doesn’t echo Galaxy’s finding of appetite for a new election (support down two since March to 42%, opposition up two to 48%), but their voting intention result has deteriorated yet further. The Coalition now leads 57-43, up from 56-44 last week, although the changes on the primary vote are slight: the Coalition is up one to 50%, with Labor and the Greens steady on 31% and 11%. Other questions find overwhelming support for the government’s aged care reform package (61% against 7% opposed), although 62% concede they know little about them. It was also found that 39% supported agreed with Joe Hockey’s sentiments about Australians receiving too much assistance from the government, with 33% disagreeing.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:15 pm
lie = like
Freudian slip.
by muttleymcgee on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:15 pm
The chances of Abbott’s plea to Oakeshott and Windsor to no longer support the government being successful are so close to zero that it doesn’t matter.
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:16 pm
Anyone else wondering why Palmer the termite is out of the woodwork, again so soon and how the media cannot get enough of his bullshit?
by joe2 on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:16 pm
davidwh @ 733
I draw some reassurance from that. He did piss me off mightily over his trashing of his old mate Rudd.
Well if Palmer wins pre-selection, it will. You seem not to understand that in preferential voting you will ultimately choose between the two leading candidates which would inevitably be the ALP and LNP candidates.
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:17 pm
Windsor on 24
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:17 pm
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/probate-win-fires-legal-row-for-mp-sophie-mirabella/story-fn59niix-1226245911961
Re our Sophie M as of January this year
by mari on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:17 pm
I do wonder if abbott new about clive,”
by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:18 pm
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:18 pm
Blimey! Windsor just called Abbott “a bit of a rabbit dog”! lol
by scorpio on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:18 pm
“We will endeavour to bring you Tony Abbott live.”
I prefer that they change the last word.
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:19 pm
If so what will abbott say, he can hardly say anything negative re clive
by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:19 pm
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:19 pm
my say
This may assist your family.
http://www.theage.com.au/travel/blogs/travellers-check/ultracheap-seats-to-flood-the-market-20120430-1xtwv.html
by lizzie on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:20 pm
Scorpio
He reads this blogg,
by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:20 pm
LSL:
Must have you confused with someone else then. There’s been a bit of that around here lately – mostly moderation-induced. Sorry to mis-attribute.
by Aguirre on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:21 pm
my say
I knew Windsor was sensible.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:21 pm
done!
by joe2 on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:22 pm
Milne telling media they still support the government with pride and confidence
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:22 pm
Gary @ 740
Worked real well didn’t it? I am pleased you are happy with the outcome.
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:22 pm
Milne
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:23 pm
Palmer trying to get into parlt is the best news Labor has had in a while. The LNP can’t afford not to preselect him. Abbott will be praying he loses to Swan.
by Diogenes on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:23 pm
Windsor’s integrity is a thing to behold isn’t it. Milne also making sense on Abbott’s ridiculous stance on “tainted” votes.
I draw some reassurance from that. He did piss me off mightily over his trashing of his old mate Rudd.
I too draw reassurance from that but I reckon there’s been some myth-making around the Swan/Rudd friendship – in my time at Nambour High there was no love lost between those 2…
by Boinzo on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:24 pm
GG
That is the last time I will ever treat you with respect or bother to read your posts. You are a rude offensive person who discredits this blog.
Your narrow minded sort of bigots are the problem. With supporters like you it is no wonder Labor is failing in the polls. Do Labor a favour and go and join a party closer to your personal philosophy. Cos if you are what Labor represents not many fair minded people will wish to be associated.
Are you always a nasty B or it it booze talking?
by daretotread on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:24 pm
“Not counting Thomson’s voice would be unconstitutional”. Ha!
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:24 pm
scorpio @ 759
“rabbit” or “rabid”?
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:24 pm
Sticking it to Tone and Clive.
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:25 pm
Milne slamming fantasist Clive Palmer
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:25 pm
GG absolutely the LNP endorsed Slipper but they didn’t make him Speaker.
My Say I dont accept the assertion that Swan saved me or my family from the GFC.
by davidwh on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:25 pm
Well said Ian. But, does this mean we are almost up to the Alien Abduction and Associated Probing Inquiry part of the Opposition plot line?
With Palmer we may get the MIB worked into it somehow??
Hmmmmm…. Who would be Scully, to Palmers Mulder??
by imacca on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:26 pm
Thank you lizzie- for pointing that out, even to just go to melbourne for a break woukd be nice also thank you
by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:26 pm
davidwh,
I’m delighted that Wayne didn’t save you from the GFC. That means that he saved someone else.
by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:27 pm
Here comes the slam of Forrest
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:28 pm
Milne linking increase to Newstart and Mining tax
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:30 pm
Bemused I don’t live in the Lilley electorate however if I did I would not vote for or preference Palmer assuming he ever gets pre-selected.
by davidwh on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:30 pm
Of course you don’t! Never let the facts get in the way of a good story.
Typical Fibs
by muttleymcgee on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:30 pm
Would be interesting to see a Joyce v Palmer v Truss Nationals leadership election. Deputy PM Palmer.
by ltep on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:30 pm
Christine Milne does a great impression of all care and no responsibility with the state of the budget surplus
by shellbell on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:31 pm
Milne
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:32 pm
bemused,
He was referring to the way that Abbott was chasing rabbits down holes like with the Slipper & Thomson pursuits.
Hence the reference to Abbott as a rabbit dog! I thought it most apt!
by scorpio on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:32 pm
davidwh @ 788
Right, just made him Deputy Speaker.
The actions of the Rudd Govt, in which Swan played a key role as Treasurer, saved Australia from the GFC as is widely recognised both within Australia and internationally. Either you are denying this or you believe your family is totally insulated from the rest of the Australian economy. Neither stacks up, but which is it?
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:32 pm
shell
remember Milne has said surplus is only a political imperative.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:33 pm
Abbott seems to have forgotten, as he forgets many things concerning his actions and words, that both Oakeshott and Windsor know him too well. Between himself and Gillard, Oakeshott and Windsor chose wisely.
by Scarpat on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:33 pm
788 -> 778
by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:33 pm
The toonist Schneider caught the look rather well. http://tiny.cc/fz3jdw
Not so rabid is…….. http://tiny.cc/hx3jdw
by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:33 pm
Rabid:
1. Of or affected by rabies.
2. Raging; uncontrollable.
3. Extremely zealous or enthusiastic; fanatical.
Latin rabidus, from rabere, to rave
Perfect!
by muttleymcgee on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:33 pm
Christine Milne presser, supremely articulate, fast thinker, facts and evidence streaming out, calm and in control, no bullshit. The Greens are very lucky to have her as leader.
The pea-brained press gallery would do well to shut up and just listen to her, they might learn something worth writing about.
by susan winstanley on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:33 pm
scorpio
I heard rabid. However only heard once so could be wrong.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:34 pm
ltep,
Acting PM Palmer while Abbott is over in Indonesia making those noorty SE Asians take back their boats.
by scorpio on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:34 pm
If LNP claim that Labor’s mistake of putting in Slipper then obviously LNP’s biggest mistake is Abbott and Clive sitting in the tree.
by zoidlord on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:34 pm