Galaxy: 56-44 to Coalition

Sunday, April 29, 2012

by William Bowe

Federal Politics 2010-

Galaxy has published its first poll of federal voting intention in two months, and now as then the result reflects the overall polling trend: the Coalition’s two-party lead is at 56-44, compared with 54-46 last time, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (up two), 30% for Labor (down four) and 13% for the Greens (up one). Three further questions elicit a general mood of hostility towards the government, only one of which strikes me as being particularly instructive: 52% express support for a no-confidence motion and an early election, against 38% opposed. When Essential Research asked simply about support for a new election in early March, the results were 44% supportive and 46% opposed. The poll was conducted over the past there days from a sample of 1012, with a margin of error of about 3%.

UPDATE: Consolation of a sort for Labor from Essential Research, which at least doesn’t echo Galaxy’s finding of appetite for a new election (support down two since March to 42%, opposition up two to 48%), but their voting intention result has deteriorated yet further. The Coalition now leads 57-43, up from 56-44 last week, although the changes on the primary vote are slight: the Coalition is up one to 50%, with Labor and the Greens steady on 31% and 11%. Other questions find overwhelming support for the government’s aged care reform package (61% against 7% opposed), although 62% concede they know little about them. It was also found that 39% supported agreed with Joe Hockey’s sentiments about Australians receiving too much assistance from the government, with 33% disagreeing.

Categories: Federal Politics 2010-

2189 Responses

Comments page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 |

Abbot just showed pure ignorance of what the Speaker’s role is.

by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:54 pm
Rabid Rabbott: “I don’t do deals”

Windsor is right about this bloke.

by muttleymcgee on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:54 pm
Abbott off air

by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:56 pm
Tony runs: run rabbit run, run, run

by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:56 pm
845
zoidlord
Posted Monday, April 30, 2012 at 12:54 pm | Permalink
@rummel/817

And death for democracy!

LNP are in beds with mining Magnets.

And labor are in bed with unions and we all know how that’s working out. JWH warned us all about big bad unions, Gillard would have done well to follow that advice.

by rummel on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:57 pm
Rabid dog is a very old country saying,

Google it i want say either

by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:57 pm
vic,

Actally the Libs are singing the theme from Gilligan’s Island. Palmer is playing Thurston Howell III.

by Greensborough Growler on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:57 pm
abbott I don’t do deals,ask windsor etc,I would consider giving my arse.

by mickt on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:57 pm
@rummel/853

Of course they are, they are the workers party.

by zoidlord on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:58 pm
rummel

How does it feel to have your party just be a branch of the Clive Palmer business?

by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 12:59 pm
U compare unions , with todays events rummell.

We the poor are in u ions we the workers are in unions, every day people cleaners, nurses,
Teachers, shopp ass, childcare workers, do u know any of these people

Thats it s roll by just lengthened

by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:01 pm
GG

It all seems so farcical to me today. Is this supposed to a frickin joke?

by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:01 pm
my say
Did you see my tweet about Qantas/Virgin?

by lizzie on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:02 pm
victora

Maybe overnight we slipped into another dimension that is satire of the one we know.

by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:02 pm
855

Now i splattered my coffee, laughing, thanks gg

by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:02 pm
And labor are in bed with unions and we all know how that’s working out.

For more than a 100 years it has been working out pretty damn well for working Australians, one of the best countries in the world, largely thanks to Labor and the unions.

by WeWantPaul on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:03 pm
davidwh @ 842

Bemused that assumes that saving us from the GFC was only about avoiding a recession when it was much more than that. However let’s assume recession avoidance was the main game then maintaining employment even at less hours or lower wages is much better for the economy than having numbers of those employees unemployed and on benefits.

I am not writing a PhD thesis on the GFC and Australia’s response so obviously don’t deal with all aspects.
I will remind you of the action taken to support Australian banks for example.

Yes, reduced hours and wages is better than none, but it is only a matter of degree.

Recessions are caused by insufficient demand in an economy. If consumers and business (investment) cut back then Government needs to step in to boost demand. The Australian Govt did this and other governments didn’t and copped a recession by pursuing ‘Austerity’ policies which only dig the hole deeper. The UK is a prime example.

by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:03 pm
LSL

The idea that they are in “control” of things is largely an illusion.

That is largely true. Like Keating being blamed for the interest rate spike in Australia when it was in fact a global event. HOWEVER ,in W.A. we had a taster of what would happen in a sans BER world when before the GFC hit mining companies preemptively sacked thousands of workers. There was nothing to pick up the slack and things were dire very quickly. Heaps of cheap HSV’s and jet skis though .
Without the BER for example many thousands of tradies and associated businesses would have been in the same boat as the W.A. mine workers were.
W.A. ended up getting a double bonus when the miners realised fairly early they had over reacted and started re hiring and then getting the stimlus package.

by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:04 pm
Does anyone get the feeling Qld LNP are dictating the coalition?

Why not? They have just given us an arrogant little dictator as premier….

by Boinzo on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:04 pm
kevjohnno, the point I was making is that the media commentators use the smell slur as one of a number of techniques to create the irrational feeling that you identify in QLD. I noticed Murdoch in his tweet made use of the word ‘slimey’ in relation to the government.

Expect that term and similar, now, to be used by the parrots.

by joe2 on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:04 pm
GG

Your comment re Thurston Howell was very funny, but I am not sure whether to laugh or cry?

by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:04 pm
Mining “magnets”? Ah, I can see the attraction

by fiona reynolds on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:05 pm
Boinzo

does Palmer honestly believe that the rest of Australia thinks he is helping this nation?

by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:06 pm
Yes lizzie thank you my thankyou is back a few pages,

It would al so be just nice to go to melbourne for a break , oh wants to go to the international car show and i would like to go to a craft and quilting exhibition, we use to do things lke that before

When tiger where here all the fares where low.

Thankyou

by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:06 pm
My say, I cut and pasted David’s whole thing that included your name, it was not meant as an attribution to you, I was well on top of what you and David were saying.

Since you yelled in all caps for an apology I know you are a person of excellent temperament and understanding, and since you demanded it in such curt terms clearly a person of excellence manners and breeding. I apologize for your confusion and will try harder in the future to ensure you don’t get so confused and angry.

by WeWantPaul on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:07 pm
victoria @ 871, I think that Palmer at some level of his (un)conscious believes “l’etat, c’est moi”.

by fiona reynolds on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:07 pm
Did Abbott say anything of substance before the journos started asking real questions?
Or was it business as usual?

by lizzie on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:07 pm
lizzie

It was word for word what he said at breakfast

by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:08 pm
The idea that they are in “control” of things is largely an illusion.

So if a democratically elected government isn’t in control, then we as a people aren’t really in control and democracy is a farce. I’m not saying you are wrong but could you outline who enslaved us, when they did so, and why we carrying on with that electing Government farce?

by WeWantPaul on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:09 pm
my say

Sorry, everything’s moving so fast today that I can hardly keep up.

by lizzie on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:09 pm
3 times Tony abbott refused to answer if he had asked his colleagues about the $50000 to ashby. he blames the govt for the rumours but called for the evidence to be produced.

Anybody hear that?

by joe2 on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:10 pm
Victoria. I don’t move in the same circles as Palmer – I am of slightly less substantial means (and size). So it’s hard for me to say what he thinks.
Me – I think he’s a national treasure. The LNP needs a lot more Clive Palmers. As many as possible.

by Boinzo on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:10 pm
FR

I suppose he does, and we the people his humble servants

by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:11 pm
Finally a budget story.

http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/swan-needs-to-save-10b-to-get-budget-in-surplus-20120429-1xt2a.html

by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:11 pm
Bemused I am not saying fiscal policy didn’t help a lot only that it was only part of a much bigger picture so I don’t get excited when Swan tells us how the government saved us.

by davidwh on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:12 pm
PM looking relaxed and confident .

by mickt on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:12 pm
Having had to endure the PM in waiting we are now waiting for the PM.

by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:12 pm
Victoria. I don’t move in the same circles as Palmer – I am of slightly less substantial means (and size). So it’s hard for me to say what he thinks.
Me – I think he’s a national treasure. The LNP needs a lot more Clive Palmers. As many as possible.

Shame the premier doesn’t have lots of natural resources to give away to mates you can make Clive Palmers very easy, not like he didn’t anything hard or smart.

by WeWantPaul on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:12 pm
Even the Terror is changing. Headline same but look at article.

Fight for survival as numbers dive

UPDATE 9:18AM JULIA Gillard’s senior colleagues have flooded the airwaves to defend the PM as the federal opposition ratchets up its attack.

by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:13 pm
PM looking relaxed and confident .

Not on AB95, she isn’t.

by This little black duck on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:14 pm
joe2@879

3 times Tony abbott refused to answer if he had asked his colleagues about the $50000 to ashby. he blames the govt for the rumours but called for the evidence to be produced.

Anybody hear that?

Yep.

He’s going for deniability. No “specific” knowledge etc.

by ShiftyPhil on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:15 pm
He’s going for deniability. No “specific” knowledge etc.

Pretty much his tactic to everything he should know about as a leader of a party, if he actually knows nothing how could anyone expect more than lies and stupidity.

by WeWantPaul on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:16 pm
davidwh @ 883

Bemused I am not saying fiscal policy didn’t help a lot only that it was only part of a much bigger picture so I don’t get excited when Swan tells us how the government saved us.

Comrade, you are very confused! I will try to assist.

Yes, Government fiscal policy was assisted by RBA monetary policy and it was reported at the time that Treasury and the RBA worked together in pursuit of the Governments overall strategy.

Happy now?

by bemused on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:16 pm
Ah compassionate conservatives don’t you just love them ?.Meanwhile tax cuts for the rich. When will they start eating the rich ?

Chris Grayling, you've made me financially as well as physically disabled
Employment support allowance offers me a shred of dignity. And tomorrow ministers take it away from me

Tomorrow marks the end of an era for the disability benefits paid to people like me. From tomorrow payments of contributory employment support allowance (ESA) will be limited to just one year – regardless of whether a claimant is well enough to return to work.

Despite the fact that I've endured 14 operations, suffered life-threatening bone infections and am coping with the loss of four centimetres from my left leg, thanks to a rare bacterial infection three years ago that resulted in septicaemia, Chris Grayling, the employment minister, is withdrawing my ESA with immediate effect. Although I suffer extreme pain and my mobility is severely compromised, my benefit will stop. And because my wife earns more than £7,500 a year I will no longer be entitled to a penny.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/apr/29/chris-grayling-made-me-financially-physically-disabled

by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:16 pm
LSL:

I dislike this “Labor saved us from the GFC” nonsense. The truth is that governments are largely hostage to external forces. The idea that they are in “control” of things is largely an illusion. It was just good luck that John Howard’s reign coincided with a period of high growth, just as it is largely luck that the circumstances in Australia at the time of the GFC allowed us to avoid the same consequences as much of the rest of the world. It is just silly partisan nonsense to talk of the likes of Wayne Swan as somehow single handedly “saving” the nation from bankruptcy. Only in his dreams.

ModLib’s not going to like that. He’s been going on about average indicators over the past 40 years. Turns out it was just dumb luck, right-place-right-time!

Still, it’s terrific to know we can finally throw away Costello’s “world’s best treasurer” nonsense. Turns out he really did spend the entire time in his hammock.

One thing does confuse me, though. Economic indicators under Howard largely reflected what was going on in the rest of the world. However, during the GFC Australia’s performance differed markedly to everyone else. Can’t have been the mining industry, as they suffered a downturn and made cutbacks along with everyone else. So what was it? Did the GFC just bypass us?

by Aguirre on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:17 pm
What $50000 to Ashby?

by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:18 pm
Puffy

Vexnews

http://www.vexnews.com/2012/04/brisbane-buzzes-was-james-ashby-paid-50000-to-make-his-sexual-harassment-complaint-against-slipper/

by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:19 pm
(u demanded it in such curt terms clearly a person of excellence manners and breeding. I apologize for your confusion and will try harder in the future to ensure you don’t get so confused and angry.)

Im a silly sausage sorry, i was scared and worried some one may think i said it so the caps where to attract your attention,
So is capitals seen as yelling, i just looked up cyber manners,
Well now i am sure we are great mates, i would like paul back to my very favourite past pm,
He wouod fix them all today on the spot

( l hug

by my say on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:19 pm
@We Want Paul. Granted – digging up dirt and selling it is not especially difficult. But Clive is a professor you know.
Willnever Do has plenty of resources to give away but is saving them for the “Alpha Clive”.

by Boinzo on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:19 pm
Puff:

http://www.vexnews.com/

by muttleymcgee on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:20 pm

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