Galaxy: 56-44 to Coalition
Galaxy has published its first poll of federal voting intention in two months, and now as then the result reflects the overall polling trend: the Coalition’s two-party lead is at 56-44, compared with 54-46 last time, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (up two), 30% for Labor (down four) and 13% for the Greens (up one). Three further questions elicit a general mood of hostility towards the government, only one of which strikes me as being particularly instructive: 52% express support for a no-confidence motion and an early election, against 38% opposed. When Essential Research asked simply about support for a new election in early March, the results were 44% supportive and 46% opposed. The poll was conducted over the past there days from a sample of 1012, with a margin of error of about 3%.
UPDATE: Consolation of a sort for Labor from Essential Research, which at least doesn’t echo Galaxy’s finding of appetite for a new election (support down two since March to 42%, opposition up two to 48%), but their voting intention result has deteriorated yet further. The Coalition now leads 57-43, up from 56-44 last week, although the changes on the primary vote are slight: the Coalition is up one to 50%, with Labor and the Greens steady on 31% and 11%. Other questions find overwhelming support for the government’s aged care reform package (61% against 7% opposed), although 62% concede they know little about them. It was also found that 39% supported agreed with Joe Hockey’s sentiments about Australians receiving too much assistance from the government, with 33% disagreeing.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
I see he’s caught up with Palmer’s announcement then. Open a couple of windows, Bernard.
by Aguirre on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:42 pm
If Slipper ia cleared of any fraud re taxi charges,which appears to be the case. He can make a short statement in Parly that he will stand down until civil proceedings are dealt with on the proviso that all other MPs currently in the middle of civil proceedings do the same. That would throw a cat amongst the pigeons
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:42 pm
Got some bumfp in the mail box last week from the Member for Perth. You wouldn’t have known that the Hon. Stephen Smith is a Member of the ALP. Not one identifying mark.
by Compact Crank on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:43 pm
Itep – sinking feeling when I saw your post given your knowledge of the area:
From Odgers et al:
Good news Peter – be fully sick as you like.
by shellbell on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:44 pm
I still find it utterly amazing how not one question seems to have been asked of any Opposition member concerning Mr Ashby basing at least part of his FWA application on allegations concerning Mr Slipper which took place in 2003 and which were kept “in house” by the LNP. It’s pretty transparent where that information would have come from, wouldn’t it?
Yet not a single question about that aspect of the claim.
I don’t actually think the media is engaged in some conspiracy in this. I just think they’re collectively pretty bloody stupid.
by Burgey on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:44 pm
Oz Pol
When Vexnews wrote the following were they referring to Ashby or the LNP ?
by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:44 pm
Ideal lets make him PM.
by WeWantPaul on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:45 pm
Burgey
The msm are deliberately ignoring everything that is negative for the coalition. They are under no scrutiny whatsoever, despite the fact they are seeking to take power any day now
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:45 pm
Gillard looked real unpopular speaking at that NDIS rally didn’t she.
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:46 pm
Pigeons? Pigeons? Can I be the cat? Pleeeeeeze…
by fiona reynolds on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:47 pm
Victoria, brilliant post, although Abbott isn’t just ‘seeking to take power any day now’ he is ‘seeking to take power today, everyday, result at the last election be damned to irrelevance.’
by WeWantPaul on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:48 pm
PM on now sky
by mickt on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:50 pm
WWP
As Albo says all the time, it has been the longest dummy spit in history
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:51 pm
mickt
24 has QLD police live
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:51 pm
Compact Crank
I take it that in doing your little bit to save us from the 21st century you have already dashed off a letter confirming your refusal to accept an NBN connection ?
by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:51 pm
Thanks for doing my research for me shellbell
And glad to see that parliamentarians can continue without fear that what they say in Parliament can be used against them, in any way, in court proceedings. The penalties for abuse of PP are best dealt with in a political manner – and of course anyone named should have a right of reply.
by ltep on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:53 pm
Just thinking about the left-leaning media, and our concerns here about their competence and inability to be unbiased.
It occurred to me the media, particularly the murdoch media is very left wing. They are implementing extreme measures of affirmative action. In the fight between labor and liberal the liberals are under huge ethical and policy disadvantages, the left leaning media are simply doing as much affirmative action as they can to put them on the same footing they would be if they told the truth and did policy work and stuff like political parties used to do.
by WeWantPaul on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:53 pm
guytaur abc will probably have it soon
by mickt on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:54 pm
Any Green people able to enlighten me on how the Greens preselect candidates?
by ltep on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:54 pm
That’s because it’s from his as a local member, rather than him as a *candidate* for election.
You aren’t allowed to do party political stuff in eletorate newsletter that are paid for by the taxpayer. During election times, it is paid for by the member, not the taxpayer. Outside of elections there are strict rules on politicking.
by Danny Lewis on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:55 pm
Oh, bloody hell. Sorry about the appalling typing.
by Danny Lewis on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:56 pm
@JuliaGillard Dear PM, yay, New BISON in #NDIS. You keep breeding them and i will keep managing them – http://thefinnigans.blogspot.com.au/ – #auspol
by The Finnigans on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:59 pm
Mr Speers and Mr Hargraves excelling on Sky just now. They only have two rings between them, arses being a topical issue in our MSM at the moment, but nevertheless they managed to put on a three ring circus.
When Mr Speers asked how Ms Gillard could stop Mr Thomson from voting in Parliament, Mr Hargraves opined that an election ought to do the trick. But failing that, she could order one of her parliamentarians not to vote for the Government every time Mr Thomson voted for the Government. Mr Speers stopped short of asking Mr Hargraves whether Mr Abbott should order one of his parliamentarians not to vote for the Coalition should Mr Thomson vote for the Coalition on a bill.
Theatre of the absurd.
by Boerwar on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:59 pm
Abbott and his gang are mere sycophantic lackeys for the sectional interests of the big end of town. On almost every issue they have actively supported sectional interest over the national interest.
The media barons have decided that they want compliant lackeys in place of good government. Then they can loot the country without restraint.
Abbott is Murdoch’s modern day equivalent the “Groom of the Stool.”
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Groom_of_the_Stool
by Bill B. on Apr 30, 2012 at 1:59 pm
Launch of NDIS presser questions are all about Mr Thomson, leadership speculation, crossing the line, cloud hanging over parliament (not to speak of a cloud hanging over Ms Gillard), Mr Palmer’s sally, will Ms Gillard step aside as leader?
by Boerwar on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:02 pm
Boerwar
What do your powers of observation tell you about The PM and her view that there is a cloud hanging over the parliament. There is a missing piece. What is it?
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:03 pm
@963 – see, that would be the narrow minded approach of a leftist idealogue.
Has an ALP or Greens supporter refused to pay the lower personal tax rates that the Howard Governemnt brought in? No – because to do so would be completely stupid. All the Greenies protest against roads being put into virgin forests and then use them to gain access once made.
Got any other brain farts?
by Compact Crank on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:04 pm
Bill B
You should really put a warning on that link to alert sensitive Bludgers.
by Boerwar on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:04 pm
Boerwar
Btw love your post at 971. Very funny!
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:04 pm
joe2@935 and aguirre@949, agree re Keane, first class on policy analysis, but totally ratshit on personality politics, most notably Gillard. He should stop listening to Michelle Grattan and Fran Kelly in the mornings…
by susan winstanley on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:04 pm
v
There is a cloud hanging over most of the ACT today with the Bureau predicting rain tomorrow. This would be good because we had half our normal rainfall in April.
by Boerwar on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:06 pm
Boerwar
I guess i deserved that response. But seriously, she is holding back something.
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:06 pm
Which is why I won’t be subscribing to Crikey anytime soon. Why would I pay for the same opinionated rubbish that the MSM provides for nothing?
by muttleymcgee on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:08 pm
Compact Crank
Thanks to Labor’s reform of the use of Members’ publishing allowances, MPs are not supposed to promote their party using taxpayers’ money.
Thus any MP using party logos or pushing specific party lines is breaking the rules.
by zoomster on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:08 pm
LTEP
“Any Green people able to enlighten me on how the Greens preselect candidates?”
We get sent voting forms in the mail, complete with candidate info. So we get their resume and bio etc.
And it’s a secret ballot.
by Astrobleme on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:08 pm
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2137090/Inside-RBS-chiefs-Versailles-Hester-opens-gardens-public-bailed-bank.html
by guytaur on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:09 pm
v
I am not sure what Ms Gillard might be holding back but I am pretty clear what is holding her back: Mr Rudd, Mr Thomson, Mr Richardson, Mr Bramston, Mr Beattie, Mr Latham etc, etc, etc.
Ms Gillard has endless quantities Labor Lead in her saddle. They combine in one way or another to keep dragging her down, taking their turns to do so.
They have in common one thing: they are feather dusters who once were roosters. They seem unable to cotton onto the idea of helping the current head hen in the pecking order. Instead they nurse their relevance deprivation disorders by feeding the insatiable maw of the MSM and by aiding and abetting Mr Abbott.
by Boerwar on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:13 pm
victoria
I think there was a typo. Corrected here.
by poroti on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:14 pm
Correct.
by Gary on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:14 pm
Thanks for that Astrobleme, and that’s for candidates in both HoR and Senate seats? Are you able to tell me by what margin the winning candidates usually win? Is it just FPTP? Are there any ‘groups’ within the party that meet to discuss which candidate would be best?
by ltep on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:16 pm
Where IS Kevin Rudd?
by Bushfire Bill on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:17 pm
BW, there’s a few here like that.
by muttleymcgee on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:17 pm
Afternoon PBs
Vic I think that JG has shifted the debate yet again to clear the way for the budget. MSM are running in circles barking at their own tails as per usual and the job keeps being done. My take is that when she held the war cabinet before she went away she was setting the team up for what she knew was coming. We are lucky we have her as leader. Many others would be jelly by now. Expect more policy announcements this week. Expect the ground to keep shifting and the MSM to keep losing the thread.
Have to say Clive was an unexpected gift but based on previous behaviour he may be creating a diversion for some as yet unknown reason. We could speculate of course.
by Gweneth on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:17 pm
Boerwar/Poroti
Sadly you are both correct. It is frustrating me to no end!!!
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:18 pm
Boerwar
You have agreement in my neck of the woods.
My mum, dad, and my uncle (mum’s brother) reckon she is the Best PM we have had, but that these egoistical middle aged men cant leave her alone to get on with the job unimpeded.
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:20 pm
Guytaur @985, I say old man, a chap has to live in some comfort. Toodle pip.
by fiona reynolds on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:22 pm
gweneth
You have summed it up in a nutshell.
Btw trust you are doing okay?
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:22 pm
Boerwar,
Spot on. As if the PM hasn’t enough on her plate with Abbott and msm to deal with. Someone should stuff a sock in Beattie’s mouth at least – Ex pollies should have to sign a contract to stfu for a decade after leaving the cock-a-doodle-doo roost or suffer a public de-feathering.
by janice2 on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:22 pm
I peeked into the “live blog” with Michelle and shot out again, fast!
Most of the comments I read seemed to be wtte “what can we do about these hopelessly left-leaning journos who support stinking, incompetent Labor?”
Perhaps someone can point to an example of this behaviour? Perhaps I’m reading the wrong stuff.
by lizzie on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:22 pm
gweneth
I have said countless times, I would have crumbled by now. She is as tough as nails.
by victoria on Apr 30, 2012 at 2:23 pm