Newspoll: 59-41 to Coalition
Word on Twitter is that Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead out from 56-44 to 59-41, from primary votes of 27% for Labor (down two) and 51% for the Coalition (up three). But for a 26% result in the September 16-18 poll, this would be the lowest primary vote Labor had ever recorded since Newspoll commenced in 1985. The two-party figure ranks as the Gillard government’s equal worst result, along with the poll of September 2-4. Newspoll hasn’t always reported two-party preferred results, but my own calculations tell me there remain unbroken records from the respective honeymoon periods of Rudd (63-37 in February/March 2008) and Howard (60.5-39.5 in April 1996). Julia Gillard is up a point on disapproval to 63% and steady on approval at 28%, while Tony Abbott is down two on approval to 33% and up one on disapproval to 55%. Tony Abbott has widened the preferred prime minister lead he gained in the previous poll, from 41-39 to 41-36. As always, the sample for the poll was around 1150, with a margin of error of 3%.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
guytaur,
20:30 our time. Excellent!
Agatha Christie’s “By the Pricking of my Thumbs” starts at the same time. Now, setting the timer.
Quite an appropriate title for the occasion.
by This little black duck on May 1, 2012 at 6:51 pm
bemused
Tell me, how long did it take for you to get over Hawke?
by kezza2 on May 1, 2012 at 6:51 pm
They can’t remember but some of them are Country Members ……
by muttleymcgee on May 1, 2012 at 6:51 pm
someone is lying rishane. I don’t know why Fitzgibbon would want to start up speculation only to deny it on twitter… made up crap?
by Tobe on May 1, 2012 at 6:52 pm
For someone who presumably leaked his case to the media, Ashby is very careful with what he says. He’s lawyered-up to the hilt.
by Diogenes on May 1, 2012 at 6:52 pm
It’s alright Petal. I want the same thing you do and that’s Gillard as the Pm until the next election. Gillard is the best person to lead Labor.
by rummel on May 1, 2012 at 6:52 pm
Is there a link please for tonight’s popcorn event the the UK?
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on May 1, 2012 at 6:52 pm
Of course it is which is why you keep slagging it.
Thus spake the Feather Duster …..
by muttleymcgee on May 1, 2012 at 6:53 pm
puff
http://www.parliamentlive.tv/Main/Player.aspx?meetingId=10707
by guytaur on May 1, 2012 at 6:54 pm
By God, I hope you’re right, GG.
by Cuppa on May 1, 2012 at 6:54 pm
Wouldn’t surprise me, coming from ‘the funny man’, Mark Riley.
by rishane on May 1, 2012 at 6:54 pm
GG
Pyne should have been truthful from the beginning. Which begs the question, why he wasnt. What is he hiding?
by victoria on May 1, 2012 at 6:55 pm
Ashby denies having taken or taking money.
That is a giggle.
Let me count the ways: nice car!, you’re always welcome at my restaurant!, an accidental holiday, a surprise residence …
by This little black duck on May 1, 2012 at 6:56 pm
Ruewake
I would like to.
by rummel on May 1, 2012 at 6:56 pm
Puff,
guytaur is showing promise! I didn’t pick that one.
by This little black duck on May 1, 2012 at 6:58 pm
vic
Terribly hard to answer that one at the moment . . . when you’re standing in quicksand on Rupe’s shoulders at Leveson.
by kezza2 on May 1, 2012 at 6:58 pm
Mari it crossed my mind when newspapers are gone the nbn ,there may be a glut of reporters, where will they find work
As a ministers staffer, may be not.
I wouod be interested in williams viewon this i feel there will be limited work for them
by my say on May 1, 2012 at 6:59 pm
Are the UK proceedings in tv here at all?
by Burgey on May 1, 2012 at 6:59 pm
Here is an interesting link from a research company about whether poll respondents vote for the same party that they tell pollsters they will.
According to the link, 26% of respondents indicated their poll answer may be different to their final vote.
Polls and Voting – McCrindle Research (.pdf)
by Scrutineer on May 1, 2012 at 6:59 pm
Ashby transcribed:
So my question is: seeing as it costs only $62.40 to lodge a legal claim of this type, will Ashby be taking money to PURSUE his legal claim, once it gets to – shall we say – the pointy end?
Also, can I opine that this does not seem to be the kind of statement a man who goes to water over his boss saying he looked fat in a polo shirt would put out?
by Bushfire Bill on May 1, 2012 at 7:00 pm
Wrote earlier that Grattan( might have got that wrong just sounded like her) asked questions about Pyne. I don’t watch much TV news. Has there been any talk of interest rate fall( remember it happened just today) or is it all Pyne and/or leadership? Don’t think I’ve seen many comments on interests rates on this site.
by RNM1953 on May 1, 2012 at 7:00 pm
I would like to buy him a beer for being so strong in the face of such media scrutiny.
by rummel on May 1, 2012 at 7:00 pm
burgery
It should be on News 24 but not mentioned in coming up so maybe not. It is a press conference though so may be last minute notification. If it does it will be about 8:30 our time.
by guytaur on May 1, 2012 at 7:01 pm
If Ashby admitted to being paid he would be in a shit load of trouble.
Of course he will deny it!
I’m way behind.
What did Pyne lie about?
by Dee on May 1, 2012 at 7:01 pm
Why, splutter, the man’s married, got four kids.
had to do Kitchen Cabinet with Amandarin Vanstone (whose dog bit his misbehaved 9yo . . . sniff sniff from AV, submissive titter from Pyne)
But then again, Slipper is married with kids.
Hmmmmm.
by kezza2 on May 1, 2012 at 7:02 pm
I am not hiding anything. I am baring it all. The naked BISONs:
Latest BISONs rampaging again – http://thefinnigans.blogspot.com.au/
by The Finnigans on May 1, 2012 at 7:03 pm
Mark Simkin doing his best for Rupe.
by This little black duck on May 1, 2012 at 7:04 pm
BB
Mr Ashby does not back up Mr Pyne’s account of what they didn’t talk about.
So, what did they talk about?
My guess would be the timing of Mr Ashby’s moves to coincide with the run up to the budget.
by Boerwar on May 1, 2012 at 7:04 pm
kezza
Until he was dying most of the world thought Rock Hudson was heterosexual.
Marriage and kids is no proof at all.
by guytaur on May 1, 2012 at 7:05 pm
Mr Abbott, do you think Mr Anderson is talking crap?
by This little black duck on May 1, 2012 at 7:05 pm
BB
Wonder how did it get in the media as ashby has said the court is the proper place.
by Schnappi on May 1, 2012 at 7:06 pm
I’ve been away from this all day, so apologies if I make a point someone else has covered since post #1308.
For me the most obvious point is that (according to Abbott):
1) Slipper was on the nose with the Liberal Party and they were doing their damnest to get him out of the parliament;
2) He had already resigned from the party and was the *Independent* Speaker. He was no longer sitting in on Liberal/Coalition meetings;
3) Given 2), there is no reason on earth why his staffers would liaise closely with any other party’s MPs. Their staffers, maybe, but even then that is debatable. I can’t think of any circumstance in which an MP’s staffer would have anything more than a 5 minute conversation with another party’s MP’s staffer. “Does this time suit you?” or “My member says your member is a bastard. Tell him to go *&^# himself” just about covers it.
4) In my 15 years as a political staffer, I have never had one-on-one talks with another party’s MP. Never. Why would I?
As BB says, if you read the Slipper SMSes, it makes sense now that it was after the meeting with Pyne – that Slipper obviously got wind of – that he starts questioning Ashby’s loyalty. I also made that point on here when I first read that SMS conversation; it seemed pretty obvious there was something going on behind the scenes that gave Slipper a reason to question Ashby’s loyalty.
I can’t believe that the MSM are saying there this nothing in this! Shit, they’ve gone to town on stuff much flimsier than this – that affected Labor, of course. But because this is happening to the Liberal Party, we get “nothing to see here!”.
Far be it for me to channel Victor Meldrew, but I don’t believe it! Our journos can’t be so stupid they can’t see there is GOLD in this story; the only other explanation is that they have been told to look the other way.
Come on, Gillard and Conroy. There is plenty of meat on the bones now.
Royal Commission or bust!
by Danny Lewis on May 1, 2012 at 7:07 pm
News 24 Not covering phone hacking live. They are doing business show instead.
by guytaur on May 1, 2012 at 7:07 pm
Schnappi,
If two know, it is no longer a secret.
by This little black duck on May 1, 2012 at 7:07 pm
I like to have a beer with Duncan. Or James? or Christopher? #auspol
by The Finnigans on May 1, 2012 at 7:09 pm
rummel,
in that case you would buy the PM a whole brewery…
by Scarpat on May 1, 2012 at 7:09 pm
guytaur,
ABC95 is prone to switching to stuff. Their planning and execution are dreadful.
by This little black duck on May 1, 2012 at 7:09 pm
TLBD
Yes. Just saying they plan business show. So if no access to SKY the website is your fallback.
by guytaur on May 1, 2012 at 7:11 pm
Anyone notice how much Jeremy Hunt is getting coverage here?
by This little black duck on May 1, 2012 at 7:11 pm
guytaur,
Mostly. Damned if I could pick up a free feed for the Man U v Man City match this morning.
by This little black duck on May 1, 2012 at 7:12 pm
TLBD
This afternoon 24 showed Cameron’s speech in the Commons.
by guytaur on May 1, 2012 at 7:12 pm
I like Pyne as the Red Queen.
by This little black duck on May 1, 2012 at 7:13 pm
This is a classic Bludgers!
Unless Joel Fitzgibbon publicly admits that he has lost confidence in the PM, the story told by Mark Riley on channel 7 news in Sydney – that Fitzgibbon personally told the PM that she no longer has his support – is a fabrication and is FALSE!
I think you will find that the Labor Party may soon choose to go to war with certain sections of the main stream media.
Bring it on!
by Centre on May 1, 2012 at 7:13 pm
guytaur,
Any warning other than on ABC95?
by This little black duck on May 1, 2012 at 7:15 pm
Then who is paying for the mouthpiece?
by BK on May 1, 2012 at 7:15 pm
Loved these quotes from Krugman’s site:
Because all of us have parents who can stump up a couple of hundred thou to give us a start in life…
And…
by zoomster on May 1, 2012 at 7:15 pm
Centre,
Leveson’s report will be out around 12 months before the next federal election is due.
by This little black duck on May 1, 2012 at 7:16 pm
I have been told by somebody who knows Joel Fitzgibbon that its crap!
by Centre on May 1, 2012 at 7:16 pm
SNIP: More than usually ill-advised attempt at humour deleted – The Management.
by The Finnigans on May 1, 2012 at 7:16 pm
LOL, Danny.
As a political staffer, I DID meet regularly with MPs from the other side…
…they were trying to get me to undermine another MP!!
by zoomster on May 1, 2012 at 7:16 pm