Crikey



Newspoll: 59-41 to Coalition

Word on Twitter is that Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead out from 56-44 to 59-41, from primary votes of 27% for Labor (down two) and 51% for the Coalition (up three). But for a 26% result in the September 16-18 poll, this would be the lowest primary vote Labor had ever recorded since Newspoll commenced in 1985. The two-party figure ranks as the Gillard government’s equal worst result, along with the poll of September 2-4. Newspoll hasn’t always reported two-party preferred results, but my own calculations tell me there remain unbroken records from the respective honeymoon periods of Rudd (63-37 in February/March 2008) and Howard (60.5-39.5 in April 1996). Julia Gillard is up a point on disapproval to 63% and steady on approval at 28%, while Tony Abbott is down two on approval to 33% and up one on disapproval to 55%. Tony Abbott has widened the preferred prime minister lead he gained in the previous poll, from 41-39 to 41-36. As always, the sample for the poll was around 1150, with a margin of error of 3%.

Categories: Federal Politics 2010-2013

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  1. James Ashby has been interviewed by AFP.

    He is going for a job with the AFP?

    by This little black duck on May 2, 2012 at 4:47 pm

  2. Danny Lewis,

    In regards to Ashby’s internet history – even cache has been wiped.

    by Space Kidette on May 2, 2012 at 4:49 pm

  3. bbp

    The drinking question came up due to the question of responsible drinking of alcohol.
    eg a train driver cannot drink for large chunks of time even when not at work.
    I think that drinking only impairs the work being done. I see no advantage to the work being done to allow drinking.
    If you want to drink do it on your own time. If you are working too long that is a question to take to a union.

    by guytaur on May 2, 2012 at 4:50 pm

  4. dovif

    The Liberals did develope policies for the last election and they almost won

    They also had an ELEVEN BILLION black HOLE in their costings!.
    You have been brainwashed!.

    by 1934pc on May 2, 2012 at 4:51 pm

  5. No wonder the Liberals have rubbery figures! This is the calculator Kentucky Joe uses:

    http://www.flickr.com/photos/64041833@N04/6999108137/in/photostream

    {Image thanks to @GeorgeBludger}

    by Cuppa on May 2, 2012 at 4:51 pm

  6. Abbott/Hockey Blackhole, so far:

    1. Axing Carbon tax: $27B
    2. Axing Mining tax: $11B
    3. Last election promise: $37B
    4. PPL $3.3B
    5. Indexation of veterans’ pensions: $1.7B
    6. Direct Action: $3.2B

    total: $83.2B

    by The Finnigans on May 2, 2012 at 4:53 pm

  7. I wonder if it is due to his accounting skills that sloppy joe did not go into small business?

    by guytaur on May 2, 2012 at 4:54 pm

  8. Well, Malcolm Farr, grow some and report that he refuses to answer questions when he gets uncomfortable but put it in the headlines you use for the PM. Grow some and make sure you ask him the same questions first up at the next presser. Grow some and tell us why he’s all blather and spin. Grow some and face him directly with it or does he have too much influence with your boss.

    Farr seems to be surprised by this. FFS, Abbott walked out of the first presser after the election mid-question – well, walked / strutted / whatever it is he does – and has been doing it ever since.

    As you point out, the reason he keeps doing it is because the journos let him get away with it. Pretty easy problem to fix really.

    by Son of foro on May 2, 2012 at 4:54 pm

  9. Abbott/Hockey Blackhole, so far:

    No costing for the FTTN “policy” Mr Turnbull has invented. Its got to be $20 billion and of course that come from consolidated revenue, no nasty NBN Co borrowing at 3.4%.

    by ruawake on May 2, 2012 at 4:57 pm

  10. Possibly you should broaden your world beyond your two obsessions.

    Right-Wing Projection.

    If you claim to know my two obsessions, you’re obviously the one who needs to broaden heir world.

    by Cuppa on May 2, 2012 at 4:57 pm

  11. @TheFinns/3305

    7. NBN $37.5 billion

    by zoidlord on May 2, 2012 at 4:58 pm

  12. boerwar

    Indeed. The ANZ result today focused on declining net interest margins in Oz.

    by Laocoon on May 2, 2012 at 4:59 pm

  13. TheFinnigabs .

    Think retaining super part of the MRRT costs a few Billion

    by Schnappi on May 2, 2012 at 4:59 pm

  14. Fit & Proper Geek ‏ @geeksrulz

    Indeed RT @markjs1: RT @awelder: Why would @tonyabbottmhr run away from a press conference? This is as good as it will get for him #auspol

    by Space Kidette on May 2, 2012 at 4:59 pm

  15. sorry typo The Finnigans

    by Schnappi on May 2, 2012 at 4:59 pm

  16. ABC analysis of HSU coming up. 24

    by guytaur on May 2, 2012 at 5:00 pm

  17. Finns,

    Abbott/Hockey Blackhole, so far:

    1. Axing Carbon tax: $27B
    2. Axing Mining tax: $11B
    3. Last election promise: $37B
    4. PPL $3.3B
    5. Indexation of veterans’ pensions: $1.7B
    6. Direct Action: $3.2B

    total: $83.2B

    Bernard Keane, Crikey, 02 February 2012

    Don’t look now, but there’s another hole in the Coalition’s numbers. But don’t worry, it’s only $4 billion.

    http://www.crikey.com.au/2012/02/02/repealing-a-tax-will-save-4b-er-no-tony-abbott/

    by Cuppa on May 2, 2012 at 5:00 pm

  18. While we on the NBN side of things Sweden CBA:
    http://www.abc.net.au/technology/articles/2012/05/01/3493131.htm

    While only a preliminary study, conducted for Sweden’s ICT research body Acreo, this document, “Socio-economic return of FTTH investment in Sweden, a prestudy” suggests that the economic benefits of fibre-to-the-home pay for the network in just 3.5 years.

    by zoidlord on May 2, 2012 at 5:02 pm

  19. http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2012/may/01/mps-news-corp-rupert-murdoch

    by my say on May 2, 2012 at 5:02 pm

  20. 3307

    Son of foro

    Posted Wednesday, May 2, 2012 at 4:54 pm | Permalink

    As you point out, the reason he keeps doing it is because the journos let him get away with it. Pretty easy problem to fix really.

    Really?

    by grey on May 2, 2012 at 5:02 pm

  21. Kathy Jackson on 7.30 Report AGAIN!

    by Dee on May 2, 2012 at 5:02 pm

  22. Really?

    Really.

    by Son of foro on May 2, 2012 at 5:03 pm

  23. Did you get this one, Finns?

    Misha Schubert, The Age, 18 March 2012

    Abbott on brink of $9bn hole, says Wong

    Finance Minister Penny Wong will step up an attack on the Coalition's fiscal challenge today, releasing Labor's own costings of opposition policies that it says would blow a $9 billion hole in the budget next year.

    http://www.theage.com.au/opinion/political-news/abbott-on-brink-of-9bn-hole-says-wong-20120317-1vcan.html

    by Cuppa on May 2, 2012 at 5:06 pm

  24. ‘I did not drink alcohol with that man.’

    Some particularly sick person on Twitter yesterday was wondering whether James Ashby has a stained blue dress in his wardrobe …

    by Danny Lewis on May 2, 2012 at 5:06 pm

  25. Dee

    She has been on twice before and uhllman allows her to make accusations without evidence,the first time on she said she would produce evidence maybe she has some tonight ,but doubt it .
    Think it is more beat up the PM.

    by Schnappi on May 2, 2012 at 5:08 pm

  26. Cuppa @ 3309

    ABC Media bias and use of the word ‘serfchoices’ . I recall you posting little else though once you had a spray about bogans in the western suburbs. No wonder the Labor is polling 27% if the people who support them bag out those who were once the party heartland.

    by blackburnpseph on May 2, 2012 at 5:08 pm

  27. So how are you going to fix it?

    I was thinking investigating them as they do others but I am open to enlightenment.

    by grey on May 2, 2012 at 5:08 pm

  28. staff were welcome to have one if working late

    One, two, three, four, five … how many is acceptable?

    How about almost 2 hours of drinking with someone who is your boss’s political rival?

    by Danny Lewis on May 2, 2012 at 5:10 pm

  29. releasing Labor's own costings of opposition policies

    Who costs these costings? – the party or the government i.e. the taxpayer?

    by blackburnpseph on May 2, 2012 at 5:10 pm

  30. Just got off the phone with a potential new supplier (manufacturer). He told me business is slow because the government has wrecked the economy. I gave him the BISON treatment (abridged version) and he agreed with it all.

    Economy still stuffed up, according to him. Can’t tell me why, but says we’re doomed. I said we’d all be doomed if he kept on saying “We’re all doomed” to all his customers.

    Asked him if he thought this attitude would inspire me to give him my work.

    Told me he doesn’t care. His firm is doing really well with or without me. Apparently it’s only OTHER firms that are doing it tough.

    Crossed him off the Xmas list.

    by Bushfire Bill on May 2, 2012 at 5:11 pm

  31. The ABC just showed video of Ashby working at a computer.

    by guytaur on May 2, 2012 at 5:12 pm

  32. Quite a longwhile ago I posted a link regarding Kathy Jackson’s partner.
    Cannot find it now but did find this snippet on VexNews.

    Jackson’s fiancé or partner is Michael Lawler, a high-ranking official within FWA, appointed by Tony Abbott when he was minister.

    by Dee on May 2, 2012 at 5:12 pm

  33. blackburnpseph, the costings would’ve been undertaken by government departments/agencies. I suppose the ALP could’ve got a catering company to do it ;)

    by ltep on May 2, 2012 at 5:13 pm

  34. So how are you going to fix it?

    I was thinking investigating them as they do others but I am open to enlightenment.

    One headline around the lines of ‘Abbott runs scared from …’ would do the trick.

    Ask him the question first up at the next presser. Keep asking it until he answers / keep writing that he won’t answer questions.

    Get Michelle Grattan to write an outraged rant about how Abbott is denying the voters of Australia their birthright of hearing his genius take on everything.

    by Son of foro on May 2, 2012 at 5:13 pm

  35. I thought of a nice analogy for FTTN v FTTH.

    FTTN is like having your grocery delivery dumped at your front gate, whereas FTTH is like having your groceries carried into the house for you.

    Yes, your groceries still get there, but the second option is obviously quicker.

    And the speed of transferring your groceries from the front gate into the house obviously depends on how many groceries you’ve bought – a few items won’t really be an inconvenience, but several bags worth and you’ll really notice the difference!

    by zoomster on May 2, 2012 at 5:14 pm

  36. Itep@ 3332

    Is it right and proper that the taxpayer should be paying for public servants to be costing opposition promises purely for party political gain?

    by blackburnpseph on May 2, 2012 at 5:16 pm

  37. penny wong on now 24

    by guytaur on May 2, 2012 at 5:17 pm

  38. And the speed of transferring your groceries from the front gate into the house obviously depends on how many groceries you’ve bought – a few items won’t really be an inconvenience, but several bags worth and you’ll really notice the difference!

    I solved that problem.

    Her Indoors has standing instructions to bring the lot inside by herself. I used to be kinder to her until she said I looked fat in my new purple polo shirt. She is now paying for her spitefulness.

    Like the good trooper that she is, she whistles while she carries the bags in. What a champ!

    by Bushfire Bill on May 2, 2012 at 5:18 pm

  39. blackburnseph

    Bought in by costello and howard ,but hockey/ro b and abbott would not use their own policy,but abbott to get office does not vote for liebral policies.

    by Schnappi on May 2, 2012 at 5:18 pm

  40. Wong: Is Tony Abbott that much of a wrecker that he is going to wreck the Surplus?

    by guytaur on May 2, 2012 at 5:20 pm

  41. blackburnpseph,

    Thanks all the same but I don’t require anyone to tell me what subjects I comment about.

    I’m what you might call the one and only Living Authority on what subjects I like to comment about.

    Do you need someone to tell you the subjects that you comment about?

    I don’t think anyone would care, actually.

    by Cuppa on May 2, 2012 at 5:20 pm

  42. BB

    Someone did some statistical analysis of the distribution of consumer confidence. It split fairly well along partisan lines. Coalition voters’ confidence is severely depressed at the moment. I assume that this is a values statement rather than a clear view based on the bisons. I also assume that these are the folks who spent both their rising house values and their rising share values prior to the GFC and who are now blaming Labor for the world economy.
    They also believe Mr Abbott that the carbon tax has ALREADY destroyed the prospects of the Australian economy.
    Then of course we have Mr Shanahan accusing the Gillard Government of creating uncertainty and a lack of confidence in the economy.

    We live in strange times.

    by Boerwar on May 2, 2012 at 5:20 pm

  43. Get Michelle Grattan to write an outraged rant about how Abbott is denying the voters of Australia their birthright of hearing his genius take on everything.

    If I made a pass at Michelle and ignored her hideousness,I would be taking one for the party. My loyalty goes so far. Not that far.

    by grey on May 2, 2012 at 5:20 pm

  44. Wong listing BISONS

    by guytaur on May 2, 2012 at 5:22 pm

  45. My loyalty goes so far. Not that far.

    Fair point.

    by Son of foro on May 2, 2012 at 5:22 pm

  46. grey

    Too much info. :lol:

    by ruawake on May 2, 2012 at 5:22 pm

  47. BB

    just wait until her lawyers have you up at the High Court for sexual harrasment and you can only communicate to her through her PR team!

    by zoomster on May 2, 2012 at 5:22 pm

  48. Dee@3331

    Are you trying to draw a long bow. If there was a bow to be drawn there, it would have come to the surface a long while ago.

    by blackburnpseph on May 2, 2012 at 5:23 pm

  49. Curtis: There is going to an election in 18 months .......

    That casual question reveals the truth as Lyncal Curtis sees it.

    by guytaur on May 2, 2012 at 5:24 pm

  50. solved that problem.

    Her Indoors has standing instructions to bring the lot inside by herself. I used to be kinder to her until she said I looked fat in my new purple polo shirt. She is now paying for her spitefulness.

    Like the good trooper that she is, she whistles while she carries the bags in. What a champ! B B POSTED

    I get groceries from coles on the i nternet, then home delivered have not set foot in a supermarket

    For over 6 mths

    by my say on May 2, 2012 at 5:26 pm

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