Newspoll: 59-41 to Coalition
Word on Twitter is that Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead out from 56-44 to 59-41, from primary votes of 27% for Labor (down two) and 51% for the Coalition (up three). But for a 26% result in the September 16-18 poll, this would be the lowest primary vote Labor had ever recorded since Newspoll commenced in 1985. The two-party figure ranks as the Gillard government’s equal worst result, along with the poll of September 2-4. Newspoll hasn’t always reported two-party preferred results, but my own calculations tell me there remain unbroken records from the respective honeymoon periods of Rudd (63-37 in February/March 2008) and Howard (60.5-39.5 in April 1996). Julia Gillard is up a point on disapproval to 63% and steady on approval at 28%, while Tony Abbott is down two on approval to 33% and up one on disapproval to 55%. Tony Abbott has widened the preferred prime minister lead he gained in the previous poll, from 41-39 to 41-36. As always, the sample for the poll was around 1150, with a margin of error of 3%.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Morning All
I guess it was bound to happen – government wants a surplus at all costs so who do they go after??? Single mums of course – the every time target
In terms of cuts to the public service – I wish they’d dump the stupid efficiency dividend increases and just offer redundancies – they’ll have thousands of takers and the cuts will be much more transparent. Or is Penny looking for more savings in stationery orders and travel budgets – it really doesn’t work that way
Mind you, good to see Defence finally having to pay their share – they’ve been excluded for too long.
Abbott at it again playing both sides of the fence – GST carve up per capita when in WA, will look after Tassie when he was there, apparently The Mercury called him out on it which is good – he gets away with it way too often.
Pyne stuff has plenty more to play out but needs something more substantive – my guess as to the next development – the reply to Pyne’s email contained both an email address and a phone number – most people would offer both when asked for one or the other I’d suggest
by womble on May 4, 2012 at 7:38 am
confessions Posted Friday, May 4, 2012 at 7:29 am | Permalink
Morning all.
I can’t find much on Pyne
Last night confesdions there was a link, to the front page of
Smh, the suggestion was that that would be the front page today, back a page here it would of been around 10 pm
by my say on May 4, 2012 at 7:39 am
confessions Posted Friday, May 4, 2012 at 7:29 am | Permalink
Morning all.
I can’t find much on Pyne
Last night confesdions there was a link, to the front page of
Smh, the suggestion was that that would be the front page today, back a page here it would of been around 10 pm
by my say on May 4, 2012 at 7:39 am
by castle on May 4, 2012 at 7:40 am
Reprogramming has commenced
by castle on May 4, 2012 at 7:41 am
Womble:
What is the govt proposing re single parents?
by confessions on May 4, 2012 at 7:42 am
My say, good morning
Who would have thunk that, Fran Kelly & @michellegrattan “dont mention Christopher Pyne” on #ABCRN but “plenty of HSU please” #auspol
by The Finnigans on May 4, 2012 at 7:44 am
I just sent a complaint to the ABC. Possum pointed out on twitter a URL on the Justin ABC site included the term gillard-fluff.
How the f*ck can you explain this url used for an online news story as anything but political bias and extremely unprofessional journalism. This is in the context of a policy announcement. The responsible staff member should be sacked. I demand an on line apology, absolute and utter partisan bullsh*t.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-05-03/gillard-fluff/3990152
by Smaug on May 4, 2012 at 7:45 am
Who would have thunk that The NeoCons & Looney Rights in USA complain about Bin Laden been used as a political football propaganda by Obama
by The Finnigans on May 4, 2012 at 7:45 am
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/pyne-email-surfaces-as-coverup-claims-persist-20120503-1y1df.html#ixzz1toHiugQz
Here is something
by my say on May 4, 2012 at 7:46 am
This has to be Tongue in Cheek winner of the day!
From The Age front page.
by OzPol Tragic on May 4, 2012 at 7:46 am
here you go Confessions
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/more-news/tough-love-budget-targets-single-parents-to-save-700m/story-fn7x8me2-1226346399471
I avoid the website now it’s behind the paywall but they seem to go hardest at it
by womble on May 4, 2012 at 7:47 am
I don’t think Pyne is the key player.
Who’s gone quiet lately? Abetz, Brandis, Dixon. Anyone else?
In any case, Lewis made a gaffe by bragging to Ray Hadley he’d been in contact with Ashby “for some time”. He’s the man who knows what’s going on.
by Bushfire Bill on May 4, 2012 at 7:48 am
@abcmarkscott Mr. Scott, how low can #ABCnews get by calling PM Gillard’s Food speech as “Gillard Fluff” URL http://yfrog.com/z/nunrodp #auspol
by The Finnigans on May 4, 2012 at 7:49 am
I’m sure the government will cop a stack of pain on the “boat people in the granny flat” idea BUT it really does make sense – $130 per asylum seeker per week when it costs $2600 (figure I heard last night) in detention. Of course the other huge benefit is in terms of the mental health outcomes and being able to adapt faster to life here.
Great idea – they just need to sell it right
by womble on May 4, 2012 at 7:52 am
Fairfax poll still open
Poll: Do you believe the Coalition has assisted former Slipper staffer James Ashby?
Yes. 76%
No. 16%
I don’t know. 8%
Total votes: 28795.
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/pyne-email-surfaces-as-coverup-claims-persist-20120503-1y1df.html#ixzz1toHiugQz
NEW poll – 5 hours left
Is the government right to cut Defence spending in a bid to bring the budget into surplus?
Yes 42%
No 54%
Don’t know 4%
Total votes: 5116. Poll closes in 5 hours.
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/military-funding-takes-a-direct-hit-20120503-1y0e9.html#poll
by OzPol Tragic on May 4, 2012 at 7:52 am
Good Morning
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/05/01/new-yorker-covers_n_1465751.html
Deemed too controversial to print.
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 7:53 am
My fervent wish is that, when parliament resumes and Slipper addresses the floor prior to standing aside he will dump a huge bucket of 20 years of Liberal party filth on the floor. Given the fact that he comes from a substantial legal background I hope anything he does drop has the necessary evidence.
On another note if the Pynne taxi receipt/harassment thing is proven to be a stitch up isnt there any number a crimes that have been committed, from the more mundane to the incrediably
by Smaug on May 4, 2012 at 7:54 am
I think this little heading should go to sen,, conroy
Finns is he on twitter the senator,
by my say on May 4, 2012 at 7:54 am
womble
I am pleased to say I think you are wrong. It does not seem to feature much anywhere that I have seen. I think going on comments last night it is popular with people. comments on programs like the drum via twitter.
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 7:55 am
Mal Brough’s mentor, Alex Somylay; the Lib who wanted the Deputy Speaker’s job in 2010 – the one Slipper landed.
by OzPol Tragic on May 4, 2012 at 7:56 am
Not a bad article for those that missed it.
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/grotesque-cases-show-failure-of-regulation-20120503-1y1nt.html
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 7:59 am
Richard Ackland thinks things have gone too far in the media… telling us that publishing nude photos of Lara Bingle in order to expose… how grubby the papparazzi can be … is not good enough.
by Bushfire Bill on May 4, 2012 at 7:59 am
That is most inexplicable.
by confessions on May 4, 2012 at 7:59 am
Oops, the very serious. Bringing false charges against a member of parliament in an attempt to pervert the parliamentary process has to be criminal.
by Smaug on May 4, 2012 at 7:59 am
OzPol Tragic @ 5393,
by C@tmomma on May 4, 2012 at 8:02 am
Womble:
Thanks for that. Sounds very grim.
I know a few women who will be impacted by that.
by confessions on May 4, 2012 at 8:02 am
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2139113/EXCLUSIVE-Jeremy-Hunt-facing-new-sleaze-probe-failing-declare-7-000-donations-media-firms.html
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 8:04 am
The media. Now that there’s the possibility of a Liberal set up.
by confessions on May 4, 2012 at 8:04 am
If Twiggy and Gina get really pissed off, they could always take their businesses elsewhere…
by Bushfire Bill on May 4, 2012 at 8:05 am
The story about single mums
Remember how the gv, put in lace an educatio attached to the payments , i though
Good idea,
I heard if a story where an estranged couple mum gives up work so father has to pay more alamony, is this fare,
by my say on May 4, 2012 at 8:05 am
C@tmomma:
To do the embarrassed emoticon put oops between two colons.
by confessions on May 4, 2012 at 8:06 am
Hockey on AM attacking Defence Plans. Doing badly IMO as usual.
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 8:06 am
Well then in that case Emerson’s activism on the Pyne story has worked.
by Bushfire Bill on May 4, 2012 at 8:06 am
my say:
That was for teen mums, and is an evidence-based policy.
This one is different.
by confessions on May 4, 2012 at 8:07 am
Guytaur 5569 – maybe you should judge it by the comments on the Murdoch sites rather than those on the Drum etc
Got a brief mention at work yesterday at work – “stupid government can’t run anything, now it’s paying people to look after boat people”
I didn’t jump on it at the time but will follow up and whack them on it today
Speaking of which, better get going – have a great day All
by womble on May 4, 2012 at 8:09 am
Labour polling fortunes showing up in elections.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/local-elections/9244547/Local-elections-Labour-expecting-strong-performance.html
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 8:14 am
Womble
Too depressing. Have a great day yourself
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 8:15 am
Michelle Grattin today, appearing to be writing off Labor at next year’s election, and talking up the prospect of a Lib-friendly Senate.
http://www.theage.com.au/opinion/politics/abbott-close-to-finishing-line-but-we-still-need-two-in-the-race-20120503-1y1q8.html
by confessions on May 4, 2012 at 8:15 am
guytaur @ 5569
And confessions @ 5576
The West Australian has this as its lead article online, guytaur:
http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/newshome/13596529/single-parents-to-lose-benefits/
And fess, this single DAD is not too pleased eitther! We are numerically insignificant, but we do exist…
by Ozymandias on May 4, 2012 at 8:17 am
Womble, we’ve been doing it at least as far back as the period just before WW II (though there were Vic Era programmes) when people volunteered to look after those caught in Oz by the pre1 Sept 1939 German advance through Europe (esp Jews – might be something in the Melb museum). The programme extended into the War, esp where fostering children & minors was concerned (eg Vienna Boys Choir) and, during the War, refugees from the over-run Northern Archipelagos (inc those who arrived on Ban Hong Liong) and Pacific Islands.
It continued through the Bombed-out postwar migrant period, during the last days of the Vietnam War and during the Fraser & Hawke Govs Boat People surges, then Latin American refugees. Right now, it continues, in my area, Tony W’s New England & other places, integrating African refugees.
Until Howard decided to out Pauline Pauline Hanson, we’d always been a welcoming nation – after all, except for those who recently flew in, we’ve been a nation of Boat People since Indigenous Australians’ earliest ancestors arrived.
I’m so glad the tide is turning on bigots and those who hope to ride on their disgraceful prejudice to political victory!
by OzPol Tragic on May 4, 2012 at 8:19 am
Peter Hartcher can:
http://www.theage.com.au/business/federal-budget/dear-foes-invade-us-in-2028-20120503-1y1vl.html
by confessions on May 4, 2012 at 8:20 am
Ozymandias:
I will wait to read the budget papers, but from what I’ve read so far, I don’t like it either.
by confessions on May 4, 2012 at 8:22 am
Peter Hatcher will be forever in misery until Rudd is back as PM – Dear foes: Invade us in 2028. Sad bitterment http://www.theage.com.au/business/federal-budget/dear-foes-invade-us-in-2028-20120503-1y1vl.html#ixzz1tqdHpqWe
by The Finnigans on May 4, 2012 at 8:24 am
Ozymandiaa
I think that the confected outrage via shock jocks and Limtied News types over this government policy will die down pretty quickly. The usual people to get fired up over these comments are the ones that are going to remember the points that Ozpol makes in 5590.
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 8:25 am
On billeting boat people, Scott Morrison’s rant of a press release yesterday is quite something to behold.
http://www.scottmorrison.com.au/info/pressrelease.aspx?id=869
If he was seeking to out-2GB Ray Hadley or the Parrot, I think he might just have succeeded!
by confessions on May 4, 2012 at 8:27 am
Clean Energy Future. Here is some cars that may be with us.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/motoring/green-motoring/9243378/Low-carbon-transport-on-show.html
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 8:27 am
I’m convinced the ABC is now full of nasty Young Lib careerists using their time spent there as a launch pad to a job in News Ltd.
Who would want to be the next George Negus or Kerry O’Brien when you can be the next Penbo?!
*holds head in hands*
by Sossman on May 4, 2012 at 8:30 am
confessions
I agree with you. Something of note. You do not hear much talk about it but it is fact. ABC Radio in Sydney has been out rating the shock jocks. More people are listening to vile Kyle than to Hadley and the Parrot. The bigot audience is in decline.
Hopefully this means the same for voters too.
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 8:31 am
Sorry, guytaur, I thought your earlier post was a response to womble’s mention of the single parent welfare cuts.
by Ozymandias on May 4, 2012 at 8:33 am