Newspoll: 59-41 to Coalition
Word on Twitter is that Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead out from 56-44 to 59-41, from primary votes of 27% for Labor (down two) and 51% for the Coalition (up three). But for a 26% result in the September 16-18 poll, this would be the lowest primary vote Labor had ever recorded since Newspoll commenced in 1985. The two-party figure ranks as the Gillard government’s equal worst result, along with the poll of September 2-4. Newspoll hasn’t always reported two-party preferred results, but my own calculations tell me there remain unbroken records from the respective honeymoon periods of Rudd (63-37 in February/March 2008) and Howard (60.5-39.5 in April 1996). Julia Gillard is up a point on disapproval to 63% and steady on approval at 28%, while Tony Abbott is down two on approval to 33% and up one on disapproval to 55%. Tony Abbott has widened the preferred prime minister lead he gained in the previous poll, from 41-39 to 41-36. As always, the sample for the poll was around 1150, with a margin of error of 3%.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Ozymandias.
I am in agreement with you about the welfare cut. I think that middle class welfare for “working families” that do not need it should be cut first. Not struggling families of all makeups.
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 8:37 am
From Scott Morrison’s website
“My Christian faith remains the driving force for my family, beliefs and values.”
Except maybe for the part about loving one’s neighbours; doing unto others …, etc. To claim the above shows what a hypocrite the man is.
by hugh moran on May 4, 2012 at 8:37 am
Hand on a mo, Ozymandias. And it’s in the West Australian, part of Seven West Media Wasn’t it only yesterday that a Channel 7 presenter admitted there was no truth in her nasty antiGillard story?
This isn’t an announcement, it’s another rumour by a newspaper in the Seven West Media group
by OzPol Tragic on May 4, 2012 at 8:37 am
hugh
That says it all!
by BK on May 4, 2012 at 8:38 am
@markwillacy reported Japan turned off all its nuke reactors (produced 30% power) replace with huge imports of natgas & thermal coal #auspol
by The Finnigans on May 4, 2012 at 8:38 am
There should be absolutely no surprises when it comes to the conservatives complaining about government cuts when it comes to “defence”.
What the so-called fiscal conservatives on the right never deny themselves is opened-ended expenditure on the war toys, yet cuts to anything else – except perhaps more hand outs to the National Party.
In simple terms the conservatives are strong on Queen, God and Country – and lower taxes – for them. Under the “Country” heading though this means heaps of money for the armaments.
I gather one torpedo for the Collins class sub costs $1 million a piece, but then what’s a million for that?
The old gag used to be that when volunteer groups had to have a cake stall to raise funds for a new plane or tank, you know that defence needs more money.
by Tricot on May 4, 2012 at 8:40 am
: oops:
by C@tmomma on May 4, 2012 at 8:41 am
by C@tmomma on May 4, 2012 at 8:41 am
Ta da!
by C@tmomma on May 4, 2012 at 8:41 am
Interestingly I found this about our media on CNN.
http://edition.cnn.com/2012/05/03/business/australia-murdoch-review/index.html?hpt=hp_bn1
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 8:42 am
Peter Reith has to take the cake as the most disgusting Lib creature on TV.
by BK on May 4, 2012 at 8:42 am
And I was homeless and you took me in?
Makes me wish I believed there really was a hell to match what happens to those whose attitude matches I was homeless and you took me NOT in? Wtte Depart from me ye cursed into the everlasting bonfire … May ye rot in hell forever!
Depart from me ye cursed Scott Morrison, and burn in hell forever To that I can relate!
by OzPol Tragic on May 4, 2012 at 8:45 am
I should have made it a little clearer. The review part is by ACMA including Murdoch owning Foxtel @5609
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 8:47 am
[Peter Hatcher will be forever in misery until Rudd is back as PM – Dear foes: Invade us in 2028. Sad bitterment http://www.theage.com.au/business/federal-budget/dear-foes-invade-us-in-2028-20120503-1y1vl.html#ixzz1tqdHpqWe
LOl … maybe I can counter that with…Labor has been in misery every since they knifed KR, which is pretty accurate.
by Thomas Paine. on May 4, 2012 at 8:47 am
Yes, I’ve often observed in the past that it seems to be those who trumpet their christian faith the loudest, who are the most removed from it when it really matters.
by confessions on May 4, 2012 at 8:49 am
This from his church’s website
“We believe that the bible is God’s word. It is accurate, authoritative and applicable to our every day lives”
http://www.shirelive.com/about-us/our-beliefs/
Except, by his actions, he must be one of the special people who can pick and choose which parts apply to him.
by hugh moran on May 4, 2012 at 8:52 am
The Defence Establishment scribes in The Australian (of whom Mr Sheridan is the head honcho) are not happy at all. Mr Sheridan might learn that constantly criticising the government over everything, as he does, simply means that the Government no longer has to listen to him. Why bother when you know that his only variations are how wrong you are and how much wrong you are?
As far as I know Mr Sheridan hasn’t bothered to laud the Government for getting us out of the Coaltion mess in Afghanistan. But I may have missed something there.
Apparently, as we draw down on o/s commitments, we should have INCREASED our expenditure on Army. This is what all countries straight out of a war are supposed to do. Apparently the $250,000,000 for the self-propelled guns would have purchased two giant SP guns and Army wants them. It doesn’t matter that the US has bailed out of the same option, apparently.
Oh, and they want the sub decision to made yesterday. They are criticising the Rudd/Gillard governments for not sticking to Mr Rudd’s grand plan. They ignore the dramatic fall in government receipts post-GFC.
I assume that that want spending on schools, roads, hospitals, education and training to be converted into SP guns, instant submarines and instant JS fighers. But they don’t say that. Nor do they say they want spending on upper class nanny state stuff cut so that they can have more guns. Oh, and they want an extra couple of billion spent on indexing of defence super.
Oh, and they also criticise the Government for being ‘big spending’. No contradiction there, apparently.
The self-referential group think is interesting.
Oh, and I have yet to see Mr Sheridan excoriate the Coalition performance in Indonesia. As he should.
by Boerwar on May 4, 2012 at 8:53 am
The costs of the illegal Iraq war, plus the futile Afghan war & War on Terror is $20B. Not to mention AWB $290B – http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/war-on-terror-costs-us-20-billion/2006/11/24/1164341396598.html
by The Finnigans on May 4, 2012 at 8:53 am
Fool Gilbert being very aggressive towards Stephen Smith and using Hockey/Johnson talking points.
Smith says wtte “that’s crap”
by BK on May 4, 2012 at 8:53 am
BW, the Mongers of War are barking
by The Finnigans on May 4, 2012 at 8:55 am
Ozpol Tragic @ 5602
While I am in furious agreement with you about the nature of Seven West Media, I am afraid it IS an announcement, OPT…
http://www.smh.com.au/business/federal-budget/single-jobless-parents-to-carry-budget-cut-burden-20120504-1y2jm.html
by Ozymandias on May 4, 2012 at 8:55 am
Ha ha ha mention Rudd, the Painful Pavlovian dog will appear
by The Finnigans on May 4, 2012 at 8:56 am
Finns
Yep. The guns not butter crowd are in full cry.
by Boerwar on May 4, 2012 at 8:57 am
hugh moran@5601,
Sorry to invoke Godwin’s Law, but I think it is relevant to make the point re Scott Morrison’s brand of Christianity, that I seem to remember that Adolph Hitler was a devout Christian too. Which, as we are all well aware of, led to some decidedly uncharitable, shall we say, actions towards those who were not Christians, eg the Jews, and those whom the Bible vilified, eg Homosexuals.
So, it is quite appropriate to say, therefore, that the beauty of Scott Morrison’s Christianity is in the eye of the beholder, him. It is not what we would generally conceive of as exhibiting aspects of Christian behaviour which Jesus Christ himself espoused. In fact, modern day Evangelical Christianity has less to do with emulating Jesus Christ than it has to do with reimposing a conformist, socially-conservative straightjacket. With an undercurrent of religious and social bigotry towards those who are not of them, eg Muslims and us wanton types, ie Social Progressives.
Actually, it is something I have been noticing of late when it comes to those candidates Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party are offering up to the electorate. Check out how many are, increasingly, blonde-haired females. It appears that Aryan stereotypes are the new black again in Conservative parties, both here and around the world. Scott Morrison again, for a male example.
Of course, they also make room for the Machiavellian types, such as Sophie. And the scions of wealthy benefactor families, such as ‘Pong’ Gambaro in Queensland.
by C@tmomma on May 4, 2012 at 8:57 am
So further to my post at 5609 do any of you think Murdoch is in danger of failing the “suitability for a license” test for owning Foxtel?
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 9:01 am
Morning bludgers
Seems that News Ltd is steering away from The Slipper saga. How unsurprisement.
Front page Herald Sun re welfare cuts. People who spend more than 6 weeks overseas will have their benefits cut, and single parents whose youngest turns 8 will need to find work. With respect to the latter. I already thought this was policy and when the youngest turns 6
by victoria on May 4, 2012 at 9:02 am
Today
the coalition supporters may be trying to gain some lost ground over the last few days
today could be challenge for the labor supporters not to lose ground
by Meguire Bob on May 4, 2012 at 9:04 am
An interesting article from the Economist on-line relating to growth in the US and how important Govt stimulus has been to it. It rather highlights the idiocy of austerity as a ‘policy’ at the moment.
Hello Sloppy? Hello Ted Ballieu? And, yes, hello Swannie?
And of course a huge hello to Cameron, Osborne and the rest of the European Governing elites at the moment too.
by grantplant on May 4, 2012 at 9:09 am
Yup. After all that idiot Mesma is the Shadow FM. If there was to be a change in Govt it would be her job to handle the diplomacy so that we DONT have to use any of this remarkably expensive gear in anger.
Where are the calls from commentators and politicians concerned about minimizing the risks to our troops and the nation for her to be replaced?? …………crickets…………..
by imacca on May 4, 2012 at 9:10 am
Checked on Slipper’s tweeterstream. He has not posted since Monday. The Day AFP started formally investigating matter.
I sense this is the quiet before the storm
by victoria on May 4, 2012 at 9:10 am
victoria @5629
Yeah there is something in the air about it
by Meguire Bob on May 4, 2012 at 9:12 am
http://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/style/suddenly-audiences-everywhere-want-to-have-fun/2012/05/02/gIQA9GvfxT_story_1.html
http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/dc-politics/post-poll-obama-leads-romney-as-campaigns-converge-on-virginia/2012/05/03/gIQAgH1hzT_story.html?hpid=z1
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 9:12 am
Re the proposed changes in the Parenting allowing being alluded to this morning. How long will it take for an oppo to come out and say WTTE well what would you expect from a childless woman?
by hugh moran on May 4, 2012 at 9:13 am
parenting allowance
by hugh moran on May 4, 2012 at 9:14 am
So the media are letting Abbott get away with telling WA its Liberal policy to distribute GST on a per capita basis, then telling Tasmania that it’s not?
How surprising.
by Son of foro on May 4, 2012 at 9:14 am
I think the media has gone quiet on Slipper and Thomson is because it is now clear a number of investigations are underway and as is proper we all need to be patient and wait for these to play out. There is not a lot of point in speculating now because the issues are being delt with by the appropriate bodies.
by davidwh on May 4, 2012 at 9:15 am
hugh moran
As I mentioned, there is already a policy in place re single parents and benefits. I recall a few mums mentioning that they had to find 15 hours work a week when their youngest turned 6, to retain their benefits. Apparently this is to incentivise parents to get back into the workforce and contribute, once all their children are at school. I could be wrong, but being involved in school community, i Heard this on several occasions over the past few years
by victoria on May 4, 2012 at 9:17 am
davidwh
Hopefully the AFP will find out the truth, because the fibs are up to their necks in filth
by victoria on May 4, 2012 at 9:18 am
davidwh
Btw what crap re media going quiet because of investigations under way. Explain why the msm and coalition have not shut up for one millisecond on The Thomson matter. There were and still are investigations under way?
The truth is the msm know that the fibs may have kicked an own goal, and all is quiet now
by victoria on May 4, 2012 at 9:21 am
Great article from Simon Jenkins:
[The Olympics have become a festival of the global security industry, with a running and jumping contest as a sideshow. No one in government dares call a halt. Nero in his prime could not have squandered so much money on circuses.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/may/03/olympics-2012-kabul-baghdad-london-avoid
by Son of foro on May 4, 2012 at 9:22 am
If they are then it will come out Victoria. It usually does.
by davidwh on May 4, 2012 at 9:22 am
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 9:22 am
Watch the hypocrisy come onto centre stage. Qantas have just announced that they are delaying the purchase of further A380s, due to a tight Budget position. However, it’s not OK according to the political pundit class in the media for the Gillard government to do the same thing with respect to Defence purchases.
by C@tmomma on May 4, 2012 at 9:25 am
Forrest has same position as the Greens on Budget Surplus.
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 9:25 am
Ozymandis & confessions
Re the Sole Parent stuff.
The reality is the end of the grandfather clause has been brought forward by one year.
That’s all.
That means those sole parents who benefited from the grandfather clause (because the ones who had kids after that were part of the new scheme, i.e. off the pension when the youngest turned 6) now have one year only to take advantage of all the training that has been on offer for the past six years.
by kezza2 on May 4, 2012 at 9:25 am
[How the f*ck can you explain this url used for an online news story as anything but political bias and extremely unprofessional journalism. This is in the context of a policy announcement. The responsible staff member should be sacked. I demand an on line apology, absolute and utter partisan bullsh*t.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-05-03/gillard-fluff/3990152
As ye speak, so shalle ye know thee. Or something: it’s now become ‘Food for thought’.
by Son of foro on May 4, 2012 at 9:26 am
Forrest talking down economy by claiming investment at risk.
In other words nothing new here.
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 9:27 am
kezza2
Thanks for clarification on that policy
by victoria on May 4, 2012 at 9:28 am
Er, thankfully, it’s still a Fairfax report sourced from …
Hello! That’s a Howard Government reform!
The Fairfax article continues
So far, this is NOT yet an announcement (though it probably will be)! This is the MSM again stirring up more sympathy for the “poor widdle petals” on 6 figure family incomes, with a massive sense of entitlement to loads of taxpayer-funded benefits! Unless there are health & mobility issues – in which case the mother’s benefit includes sickness/ Carer Benefits – there’s no reason for the mother of an 8 year old to be sucking on the taxpayer’s teat!
I can’t see why Tax-paying parents who ARE working {after} their youngest child turns eight, often those most need the money, should help bankroll stay-at-home mothers of children 8 and over who don’t pay tax. In the main, this is Middle Class welfare. Most of the poor work.
People tend to forget that Oz’s biggest income tax pool by far funded by PAYE taxpayers – that means ordinary wage & salary earners, not those “negative gearing”, not most of those with an ABN, not managerial level & above (excluding PS), not doctors, lawyers, etc.
by OzPol Tragic on May 4, 2012 at 9:28 am
Former Justice Michael Kirby gets some ink in the UK.
http://www.pinknews.co.uk/2012/05/03/australia-former-high-court-judge-speaks-up-for-equal-marriage/
by guytaur on May 4, 2012 at 9:30 am