Newspoll: 59-41 to Coalition
Word on Twitter is that Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead out from 56-44 to 59-41, from primary votes of 27% for Labor (down two) and 51% for the Coalition (up three). But for a 26% result in the September 16-18 poll, this would be the lowest primary vote Labor had ever recorded since Newspoll commenced in 1985. The two-party figure ranks as the Gillard government’s equal worst result, along with the poll of September 2-4. Newspoll hasn’t always reported two-party preferred results, but my own calculations tell me there remain unbroken records from the respective honeymoon periods of Rudd (63-37 in February/March 2008) and Howard (60.5-39.5 in April 1996). Julia Gillard is up a point on disapproval to 63% and steady on approval at 28%, while Tony Abbott is down two on approval to 33% and up one on disapproval to 55%. Tony Abbott has widened the preferred prime minister lead he gained in the previous poll, from 41-39 to 41-36. As always, the sample for the poll was around 1150, with a margin of error of 3%.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
by guytaur on May 1, 2012 at 12:27 pm
BRING BACK KEVIN RUDD!
by ShowsOn on May 1, 2012 at 12:28 pm
spot on Gweneth.
by middle man on May 1, 2012 at 12:28 pm
So why has the ALP announced a sweeping Aged care plan that is widely supported and then refused to sell it for a week.
by bluegreen on May 1, 2012 at 12:28 pm
bg
You lie. It is the media not covering it in favour of sleaze. It is not like they cannot cover both stories. They just refuse to show the good Labor is doing.
by guytaur on May 1, 2012 at 12:30 pm
Shows another Tory.
by guytaur on May 1, 2012 at 12:31 pm
Maybe because it became a useless exercise once the Slipper crap broke. Get real.
by Gary on May 1, 2012 at 12:31 pm
Rudd supporters deny he no longer wants the top job:
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/kevin-rudd-option-still-open-labor-mps/story-fn59niix-1226343567672
by Thornleigh Labor Man on May 1, 2012 at 12:32 pm
According to 2GB’s Chris Smith, Chris Bowen was overheard on the weekend saying that Gillard will be dumped immediately after the budget is handed down.
by Thornleigh Labor Man on May 1, 2012 at 12:33 pm
Gary
You may have missed it. There was plenty of selling of the aged care package. Live pressers showed us that. Those pressers just did not get on the evening news. Editorial Choice not Labor choice.
by guytaur on May 1, 2012 at 12:33 pm
692 Gweneth – Spot on.
by Gary on May 1, 2012 at 12:33 pm
How many Aged Care homes has Julia Gillard held press conferences at in the last week?
I lie. Hah!
That secret NewsLtd probe in your frontal cortex is causing you to talk piffle.
by bluegreen on May 1, 2012 at 12:33 pm
OH CRAPPING HELL I CAN’T EVEN QUOTE PROPERLY!
THAT’S HOW MUCH THE POLLS ARE EFFECTING AND AFFECTING MY JUDGEMENT!
by ShowsOn on May 1, 2012 at 12:33 pm
Aguirre@614,
Agree with everything you said. The Labor Party should just get on with the job and go into the election in 2013 with their heads held high knowing that what they have done whilst in government has been the right thing to do for the country as a whole and not the vested interests who the Coalition pander to.
As for those who believe everything they are told, I have a friend who is Liberal voter in the main, one of those people who religiously buy the Womans Day every week, the Womens Weekly every month(so logic is obviously irrelevant), and The Daily Telegraph every day. She implicitly believes everything they put down and everyone they put down. She has a flake of a husband who gambled the lot on the Stock Market and property before the GFC, and lost the lot. However, after 2007 it was their opinion that Labor had to find ways to restore their Super value ASAP, plus keep the economy flaring along in the overheated fashion it was going when Howard was in & pre-GFC. In other words, Labor could never in a million years meet their expectations of it. And that is the attitude they have kept as their talisman of discontent ever since.
Of course, Tony Abbott will return Australia to the Howard Glory Days of yore. They are convinced of that.
by C@tmomma on May 1, 2012 at 12:33 pm
You see bluegreen?
Its simple: the ALP is without fault.
ALP problems are always someone elses fault. Thats why they have to make up stories about people not saying things that they have said…
by Mod Lib on May 1, 2012 at 12:33 pm
Shows
The truth hurts.
by guytaur on May 1, 2012 at 12:34 pm
@TLM/709
As long as Labor can get to next election – i don’t care who leads it.
by zoidlord on May 1, 2012 at 12:34 pm
Burgey @ 680
She could have said: “Call it a bloody Elephant if you like but it’s a price on carbon.”
by bemused on May 1, 2012 at 12:34 pm
That you are Guytarded?
YES I KNOW!
by ShowsOn on May 1, 2012 at 12:35 pm
If you are going to have to answer tough questions you may as well do it with a gratuitous background plugging a policy you have just launched.
by bluegreen on May 1, 2012 at 12:35 pm
A reminder to the tories and wannabe tories talking leadership change what doing Murdoch’s bidding gets you.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2012/apr/30/david-cameron-incandescent-rage-hunt
by guytaur on May 1, 2012 at 12:35 pm
A bloke with a criminal conviction, loose hands and a drinking problem
by shellbell on May 1, 2012 at 12:35 pm
We are actually in furious agreement on this. BG asked why they haven’t been selling it the last week. The reality is that they began selling hard then the Slipper shit hit the fan. Form that time on trying to sell the Aged care stuff was impossible. Anyone who can’t see that just isn’t looking.
by Gary on May 1, 2012 at 12:36 pm
BW
Very poor. There are innumerable things he could die from, most likely liver failure. Talk to him about liver transplant like Derryn Hinch. Vomiting blood to death isn’t a great way to go.
by Diogenes on May 1, 2012 at 12:36 pm
Shows
Your personal insult shows your lack of wit intelligence and comprehension.
by guytaur on May 1, 2012 at 12:36 pm
And you can’t see anything but fault and expect everyone to agree with you. Well, I don’t and won’t.
by Gary on May 1, 2012 at 12:37 pm
The Aged Care package got blanket coverage on the day it was released……then Gillard and her ministers stopped selling it the day after.
This government is hopeless at promoting anything good they do.
by Thornleigh Labor Man on May 1, 2012 at 12:38 pm
Gillard needs to resign.
by ShowsOn on May 1, 2012 at 12:38 pm
I am so looking forward to this blog when Rudd is brought back. Its going to be so much fun.
Its elementary self-interest for the caucus. What do you want, Kevin Rudd or unemployment?
by bluegreen on May 1, 2012 at 12:38 pm
I’ve seen them do that before but you and I both know what goes into the news services. Come on, it’s like pissing into the wind.
by Gary on May 1, 2012 at 12:39 pm
INCORRECT!
My personal insult shows that you are GUYTARDED!
by ShowsOn on May 1, 2012 at 12:39 pm
Gywneth @ 692 sounding very 70s retro conspiracy theory – only thing missing was that the CIA are working actively to bring down Gillard.
by blackburnpseph on May 1, 2012 at 12:39 pm
Chris Bowen is no friend of Julia Gillard, he voted for Rudd in early March – of course he’d be behind moves to ditch her.
by Thornleigh Labor Man on May 1, 2012 at 12:40 pm
So you reckon Kev can pull off a miracle? Dream on brother.
by Gary on May 1, 2012 at 12:40 pm
bg
Yes you lie. Another example for you. NDIS rallies around the country. Thousands of people cheering the government in every capital city. Almost nil coverage.
The media treating people with disabilities as second class citizen just to avoid giving the government a good story.
by guytaur on May 1, 2012 at 12:41 pm
Its better than doing it in your pants and having it run down your leg. You have to promote your strengths in all circumstances.
by bluegreen on May 1, 2012 at 12:41 pm
R U Clive Palmer?? LOL
by Mod Lib on May 1, 2012 at 12:41 pm
Yes, the meltdowns will be a treat to witness.
by Thornleigh Labor Man on May 1, 2012 at 12:41 pm
shows your personal insult also shows a lack of respect for people who may be mentally ill.
by guytaur on May 1, 2012 at 12:41 pm
And what happened the day after evan?
Don’t talk about Gillard not selling policy, Rudd was famous for not doing it and you want him back.
by Gary on May 1, 2012 at 12:42 pm
BH
Work hard and engage with the electorate is the simple answer. Take their opinions and concerns seriously and don’t argue with them. Persuasion is the answer not telling them they are wrong.
I am a great fan of Polfile though it is a lot of hard work but it takes your message straight into their homes.
I have been very lucky in that we had an engaged membership to help out but we also had lots of great passionate community members who wanted to be part of a campaign. Include them at all costs never ever reject an offer of help and be sure if you promise to get back to them you do.
You would be surprised how many people love being of assistance and feeling they are part of something. I have had some wonderful times even though we were all bugg…. we had a ball.
Oh and always put on lunch or such for them on the day before the election when all the work is done. They deserve it!
by MTBW on May 1, 2012 at 12:42 pm
Poor Mark Butler was on the radio last week trying to sell the aged care package .. and he tried his best. Has the Aged Care package … always a complex policy area … been cast into the ‘too hard to sell’ basket?
by blackburnpseph on May 1, 2012 at 12:42 pm
You seriously think the ALP factions don’t have scores of internal and public polling and know something about brutal electoral politics.
by bluegreen on May 1, 2012 at 12:42 pm
The answer to why it was not “promoted “.
The Aged Care Package was announced on Friday.
Saturday was the breaking ” news” re Peter Slipper.
BTW, the minister did numerous interviews re the package. None were reported. All attention was on Slipper.
Of course it was pure coincidence.
by Doyley on May 1, 2012 at 12:43 pm
I bet you believe in the tooth fairy as weell. Admirable but useless.
by Gary on May 1, 2012 at 12:43 pm
The Ruddstoration evangelists are out in force today.
by guytaur on May 1, 2012 at 12:44 pm
Are you mentally ill, or only GUYTARDED?
by ShowsOn on May 1, 2012 at 12:44 pm
Only about a quarter of the man .. and I am not someone about whom the adjective ‘thin’ has ever been applied.
by blackburnpseph on May 1, 2012 at 12:44 pm
is it just me?
it seems the Blue Green and Bemused avatars are almost identical, and their posts are almost identical as well.
bit hard to read them, however, as I scroll past quickly.
by sprocket_ on May 1, 2012 at 12:45 pm
We are here to counteract the threat of GUYTARDISM to the future prosperity of the nation.
by ShowsOn on May 1, 2012 at 12:45 pm