Essential Research: 58-42 to Coalition
This week’s Essential Research poll gives Labor its worst result since the company opened for business in 2008: a primary vote of 29%, down two points on last week, and a two-party preferred deficit of 58-42. The former is particularly alarming for Labor, as Essential typically has Labor’s primary vote a few points higher than the phone pollsters. The Coalition and the Greens are steady on 50% and 11%.
With respect to the economy, 66% allowed that it had performed better than other countries’ over the past few years (although this was down from 70% in August last year), with 15% believing it to be worse (up from 10%). In the event of another global financial crisis, 42% would better trust the Liberal Party to deal with it than Labor, on 25%. Forty-six per cent anticipate the economy will get worse over the next 12 months against 23% who think it will get better (the figures when the question was asked a year ago were 37% worse and 27% better).
Sixty-two per cent believe a politician accused of an offence should stand down from their positions, against 27% who believe they should be allowed to continue. Questions on banking suggest the public to be well to the left of the elites on these matters: 55% would support the establishment of a government-owned bank, 74% forcing banks to charge rates in line with the Reserve Bank, 81% capping chief executive’s salaries, 92% limiting bank fees to the costs of the service and 59% a super profits tax on banks (the numbers opposed were respectively 23%, 16%, 12%, 5% and 21%). Fifty-nine per cent would support a levy on large transactions of currencies, bonds and shares, with 16% opposed.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
ru
Pyne’s bowels may be causing him trouble, he doesn’t seem to be able to pass motions…
by zoomster on May 8, 2012 at 5:00 pm
Budget leaks
No company tax rate cut.
by ruawake on May 8, 2012 at 5:01 pm
Trico outsider
As lynchpin said
Thank u
Now must get tea
That otger quant tas,, word lol
No graces with us
by my say on May 8, 2012 at 5:01 pm
Will Slipper just lay down and take the attacks from the libs without responding ?
His response today just looked too low key.
Maybe use his time from now on to pursue FOI stuff on expenses etc on those tories with stuff to hide..
by dave on May 8, 2012 at 5:02 pm
ruawake@2077,
Yes, I was perplexed as to why the only real question of the day from the Noalition was about raising the ‘Debt Ceiling’ as the Tea Party Repugs like to term it.
Obviously there are still enough Friedmanites left in Treasury feeding confidential information such as this to Abbott to allow him to attempt to blindside the government with it as a question.
I guess we’ll find out what it is all about at 8PM.
by C@tmomma on May 8, 2012 at 5:02 pm
Benefits of the Boom package.
by ruawake on May 8, 2012 at 5:02 pm
Ah Schnappi at 2099. Let’s just wait and see how the worm turns….
by Outsider on May 8, 2012 at 5:02 pm
Well I just had a quick look through the PM’s and Albo’s press releases and not one of them raises these issues ie not concerned about the budget, wasting time in QT when important issues should be discussed etc. I know they have to respect their offices (PM and Minister) and not get too grubby and personal, so I’m just making a general point that they could do more to bring attention to the Coalition’s tactics. For us to criticise Pyne for his QT antics is missing the point of why he’s doing them.
You’re probably right for tonight. But have you paid attention to every other bit of coverage the Coalition gets on the TV news? It’s all snippets of them attacking the government, being on the front foot. What they’re doing is effective and, forgive me, to think otherwise is just digging your own grave.
by Son of foro on May 8, 2012 at 5:03 pm
Bingo. Its just for TEH POLLS, nothing else.
by rishane on May 8, 2012 at 5:03 pm
GG
by fiona on May 8, 2012 at 5:04 pm
Greensborough Growler Posted Tuesday, May 8, 2012 at 5:00 pm | Permalink
Colin Brooks @ColinBrooksMP Baillieu axes whooping cough vaccination program for newborns. Our most vulnerable put at risk by a heartless and clueless government.
Leave of sences, so this will be abbott way too
by my say on May 8, 2012 at 5:04 pm
It’s hard to pass a motion when one’s head is stuck up one’s fundament.
by Lynchpin on May 8, 2012 at 5:04 pm
The labor hacks are a lot happier today, the attacks ont he greens have started.
by fredn on May 8, 2012 at 5:04 pm
Son of foro
Geez I stuffed that last sentence. I blame daylight saving. Or the end thereof. Still telling myself it is really 5 o’clock and the the sun is just about to go over the yard arm and I was in between getting the clothes off the line before the evening dew hit.
So, what I really meant to say:
OTOH, all media outlets, receive daily, thousands of PR releases. Believe me, 99.99% go in the bin (after the regulatory chuckling – if indeed any made the news desk).
Hope that helps!
by kezza2 on May 8, 2012 at 5:06 pm
Babies die fromwhooping cough adult children get very very sick
Its so contageous
How much is a chikdrs life worth, no vaccination cost
by my say on May 8, 2012 at 5:06 pm
Gosh we can expect boats over bas strait then,
by my say on May 8, 2012 at 5:07 pm
Foreign aid increases axed. Saving $3 billion. The Green bait.
by ruawake on May 8, 2012 at 5:07 pm
fredn
nah, just peg.
by zoomster on May 8, 2012 at 5:07 pm
Baillieu should be funding whooping cough vaccinations for adults, is the guy mad?
by ruawake on May 8, 2012 at 5:08 pm
What Labor needs are a few outside parliament who are willing to go in boots and all and do the attacking.
Unfortunately, Richo, who would have been good at it, has sold his soul, and some of the others are past it, or have been burned so severely by media or their fellow Laborites that they are unwilling.
Or they don’t care any more. Tired of fighting.
by lizzie on May 8, 2012 at 5:09 pm
Because she’s a Tory, and Tories get the Presumption no matter what, but not those beastly Socialists, God rot their heathen souls. They get Trial by Media.
Hell, a good Tory can be found guilty of assault no less and keep their seat.
by smithe on May 8, 2012 at 5:09 pm
Tories repulse me to the core.
by Cuppa on May 8, 2012 at 5:10 pm
I agree. Only the most ardent political animals bother to watch. I don’t know anyone who takes any notice of it. Most dismiss it as nasty and pointless. The real work of the parliament isn’t done there, it’s just a daily grand-standing opportunity which all sides exploit. If it didn’t exist who would really miss it?
I seldom bother with it. If something interesting happens there’s always the late night replay, I hardly ever feel the need to watch that either. My blood pressure is much better if I don’t have a daily dose of Prissy and Jules and their motions.
by leone on May 8, 2012 at 5:10 pm
Repeat, rinse and digest. It is all you will be hearing about after 7.30.
by ruawake on May 8, 2012 at 5:11 pm
ruawake
Foreign aid increases axed. Saving $3 billion. The Green bait
Only delayed for one year
by Schnappi on May 8, 2012 at 5:11 pm
You have got tobe kidding; we are starting to see cases again because of the Nut and Berry crowd refusing to get their kids vaccinated and we get this.
by fredn on May 8, 2012 at 5:14 pm
It’s interesting that Labor Federally extend the Bowel Cancer detection programme. However, the Libs in Victoria take away Whooping Cough screening for new borns.
A lot of people focus on the MSM and the atmospherics. However, this lack of care for the Health and well being of its citizens is always a difference between Labor Governments and the Tories.
by Greensborough Growler on May 8, 2012 at 5:15 pm
tricot
The difference people see in QT will be Slipper n the chair and out of the chair.
ie General Q Public
May be a reason whey Oppn plan attacking him not so good.
by guytaur on May 8, 2012 at 5:16 pm
Yep, you were clear. I understand the competition for space in the media.
by Son of foro on May 8, 2012 at 5:17 pm
Think business bought this on themselves,they were not showing gratitude anyway.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-05-08/swan-scrapping-company-tax-cut/3998784?section=business
by Schnappi on May 8, 2012 at 5:17 pm
Schnappi
Please could you do me a big favour and put square brackets around the bits you quote from other people’s posts. I’m getting very confused.
by lizzie on May 8, 2012 at 5:17 pm
Lizzie 2119
Spot on. Where are the M Krogers, the Reiths, the Hewsons of Labor. The only ex Labor high fliers wading in are Latham and Richardson, but for the other side. PJK is an occasional, and of course says it as it is.
Did you hear Abbott quoting/praising Latham in QT!
by psyclaw on May 8, 2012 at 5:18 pm
Taking a leaf out of Fatty O’Barrell’s book. Visioncare, the NSW body that provides free spectacles to pensioners and disadvantaged familes, had higher than expected demand for its services. In January Fatty decided that they would not be given extra funding to get them through to the end of the financial year. Instead he decreed that no more prescriptions would be filled until July. So kids with vision problems have had to struggle through months of poor eyesight and headache which must be doing wonders for their education. And oldies can’t have new specs either. Too bad if they fall over and break a few bones because they can’t see.
Don’t these dolts realise that saving a few measly dollars on vital stuff like infant vaccinations and specs will mean more hospital admissions? That’s going to cost heaps.
This is what you get when you vote for the Coalition. No whooping cough vaccinations, no specs, but in NSW a billion dollars to be spent demolishing the barely 30 year old Sydney Entertainment Centre and then … drumroll please… .rebuilding it. I’m sure Mr Baillieu has equally trival things he wants to fritter away his money on.
by leone on May 8, 2012 at 5:19 pm
Newborns don’t/never receive whooping cough vaccine.
I repeat, never.
It is part of the multi-vaccine at 3 months. Diptheria, Tetanus, Whooping Cough.
It is the parents who receive the vaccine
Or the grandparents
Or those adults who come into contact with newborns.
Having said that, it is reprehensible, now that it is verified how pertussis is carried and passed on, that Baillieu would stop this funding.
Is it now only the babies of those who can afford it/those who have knowledge, who survive this insidious disease?
(And I blame those anti-innoculation bunch anyway. They’re the ones who keep telling peeps not to get their children immunised – because they think these diseases have disappeared. They haven’t.)
by kezza2 on May 8, 2012 at 5:20 pm
While I do not subscribe to the “all the media is against Labor” stuff, ABC on-line, this afternoon, has certainly written up QT all in terms of the “the Liberals on the attack” and “near-run things” on various attempts to put the government under pressure.
In fact, the last line in the continuing article, is to suggest that with Slipper and Thompson the government is continuously under pressure.
To the extent that the scribes from the ABC take this line, it does tend to make the opposition look aggressive and on the attack. The tenor is to make it look as though the government is on the back foot, and to some extent it is.
However, I think the Libs would cop the same if they were in government under the same circumstances.
The beauty of it all, none of the above progresses the Opposition one centimetre closer to power than 18 months ago and 16 months to come.
Unfortunately, for them, close enough is not good enough and they still have 16 plus long months in opposition and, with things to turn around come later this year, even longer after 2013.
I gather that after 1962 – the near loss of government by Menzies drove the (Labour) opposition into continuous rage with frequent attempts to put “the government under pressure” as we are seeing now. There were frequent attempts by Artie Caldwell to embarrass the Libs out of office.
It did not ounce of good.
Menzies was returned at the next election with an increased majority which stood the Liberals in good stead for nearly another 10 years.
Nothing but nothing should be taken for granted in politics and I am still amazed at some so-called informed political pundits who have written Labor off so quickly and so definitely at this point in time.
There is just so much water to flow under the bridge yet and just so much can happen.
This doe not mean Labor might come to an end in 2013 but I would not write them off until two weeks before the election and the polls out at 60-40 for the conservatives and even THEN I would not give it away completely.
I do not consider myself deluded by the way – just a pragmatist.
by Tricot on May 8, 2012 at 5:21 pm
psyclaw
Please don’t mention today’s QT again. I’ll be coming out in purple spots. I was so disgusted.
And you’re right – there are frequent articles from the slimy Reith, who also has a gig on The Drum. Adn from Costello.
Criticism from outside Parl “the non-players” is much more telling.
by lizzie on May 8, 2012 at 5:22 pm
I think the borrowing cap is $300 or $330 Billion,
Both major parties have given markets undertakings to maintain a Government bond market of about $200 Billion, so that it represents the vast bulk of current Government debt, more correctly Gross Debt.
(Government Bond markets are required to give a benchmark cost of so called *risk free* borrowings. Without them our capital markets cannot function efficiently.
Also remember the Government does NOT *spend* the $200 Billion it raises to keep the Bond Market functioning – it hold large contra (offsetting) investments mainly held overseas – ie the proceeds of its Bond raising activities.)
Additionally, borrowings for the GFC measures, which were budget deficits during the GFC which were financed by selling more bonds of around $80 Billion or so plus some drawdown of the borrowings to get the NBN up and running – and the figure is somewhere up in that $300 Billion or so range.
by dave on May 8, 2012 at 5:22 pm
kezza
the free whooping cough shots were available to carers.
by zoomster on May 8, 2012 at 5:23 pm
Axing whooping cough vacs?
That’s just plain bloody stupid.
Can we look forward to a Pink Batts type campaign from Labor once the first kid dies as a result? I hope so.
There would certainly be better justification for it than there was for the original.
by smithe on May 8, 2012 at 5:23 pm
lizzie@2130
damn lot of squares in here and which post are you referring to ,people hardly use brackets in here let alone square ones.
by Schnappi on May 8, 2012 at 5:24 pm
Doubtful if Swannie will put that in his speech – but it will certainly be in the Budget papers.
by dave on May 8, 2012 at 5:24 pm
So we’ve got the Liberals in Victoria axing the whooping cough vaccination program for newborns. But that’s only part of their attacks on Victorian citizens.
http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/despair-for-dental-clinic-20120503-1xzsy.html#ixzz1tl9KzlDB
___
http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/kinders-face-funds-shortfall-20120502-1xzi7.html#ixzz1tl9WHIZB
___
http://m.smh.com.au/victoria/energy-bill-discounts-to-be-cut-20120502-1xzi2.html
by Cuppa on May 8, 2012 at 5:26 pm
my say
I hope you’ve already taken advantage of the free whooping cough vaccination for grandparents.
by kezza2 on May 8, 2012 at 5:26 pm
tricot/2134
Well posted. I agree with you. I also think the Greens are going to do well too. I think it is the right that is going to take the hit. Just as it is around the planet. Your mention of the early sixties is in my view entirely the appropriate period.
by guytaur on May 8, 2012 at 5:27 pm
Maybe they can hold the grand prix there.
by Son of foro on May 8, 2012 at 5:27 pm
Tricot, thanks for the history re post-1962 politics. Worth keeping in mind. I appreciate your posts and your level headed and optimistic view of things. Thanks.
by Lynchpin on May 8, 2012 at 5:27 pm
Schnappi
Sorry, I didn’t make myself clear – a continuing fault of mine.
See how your quoted words are in italics in this post?
I did that by enclosing the pasted text with square brackets [ ]
The brackets don’t show, but the text is ‘highlighted’ as a quote from someone else.
by lizzie on May 8, 2012 at 5:29 pm
The closest to politics at SMH now is the Pell lawsuit.
http://www.smh.com.au/
by guytaur on May 8, 2012 at 5:31 pm
Hey Schnappi
I hope you don’t bracket me with the “squares” on this site!
by Lynchpin on May 8, 2012 at 5:31 pm
Re the borrowing cap the coalition made a big deal about it last year and were hoping to push the huge debt angle this year by opposing any attempt to increase it. Ala Repubs in America.
The coalition would have tried to push it as a crisis in government, on the brink of not being able to pay bills etc. Sound familiar ?
It would have been played up as a supply crisis etc. However, the government has determined that no increase will be necessary. Hockey has been on about it once or twice in recent weeks, trying to put doubt out there. The whole huge debt argument.
Shot down today by the government but watch Hockey concentrate on debt level.
by Doyley on May 8, 2012 at 5:34 pm