Crikey



Essential Research: 58-42 to Coalition

This week’s Essential Research poll gives Labor its worst result since the company opened for business in 2008: a primary vote of 29%, down two points on last week, and a two-party preferred deficit of 58-42. The former is particularly alarming for Labor, as Essential typically has Labor’s primary vote a few points higher than the phone pollsters. The Coalition and the Greens are steady on 50% and 11%.

With respect to the economy, 66% allowed that it had performed better than other countries’ over the past few years (although this was down from 70% in August last year), with 15% believing it to be worse (up from 10%). In the event of another global financial crisis, 42% would better trust the Liberal Party to deal with it than Labor, on 25%. Forty-six per cent anticipate the economy will get worse over the next 12 months against 23% who think it will get better (the figures when the question was asked a year ago were 37% worse and 27% better).

Sixty-two per cent believe a politician accused of an offence should stand down from their positions, against 27% who believe they should be allowed to continue. Questions on banking suggest the public to be well to the left of the elites on these matters: 55% would support the establishment of a government-owned bank, 74% forcing banks to charge rates in line with the Reserve Bank, 81% capping chief executive’s salaries, 92% limiting bank fees to the costs of the service and 59% a super profits tax on banks (the numbers opposed were respectively 23%, 16%, 12%, 5% and 21%). Fifty-nine per cent would support a levy on large transactions of currencies, bonds and shares, with 16% opposed.

Categories: Federal Politics 2010-

7724 Responses

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  1. spur212 @2394
    You only have to look at his face to see he has had some sort of surgery. He cannot communicate any other way. It is a physical trait. There is not one damn thing he can do about it.

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on May 8, 2012 at 8:06 pm

  2. spur212
    Posted Tuesday, May 8, 2012 at 8:01 pm | Permalink
    On policy, Swan is superb. It’s his communication that’s the problem. He’s like the Al Gore of Australian politics

    Oh, FFS, what did he do wrong this time?
    Was it his voice?
    His delivery?

    OR WAS IT WHAT HE HAD TO SAY?

    Get over it spur212 or just for the helluva it vote Lib/Coal 1

    by kezza2 on May 8, 2012 at 8:06 pm

  3. Sky panel concurs this is a Howard budget because of the handouts to families.

    by confessions on May 8, 2012 at 8:08 pm

  4. Puff

    I didn’t know about the surgery for Swan.
    All the people who put him down should be ashamed, in that case.

    by lizzie on May 8, 2012 at 8:08 pm

  5. drake
    And they say the feminists have nothing left to do. What a bucket of shame for a so-called modern developed country.

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on May 8, 2012 at 8:08 pm

  6. Odd about the company tax cut. Wong was on ABC radio this morning complaining about the coalition opposing it. Seemed an ideal opportunity to wedge the coalition on an issue they should own.

    Where the hell were the business groups screaming at the Coalition to pass it?

    That’s the hypocrisy of politics. If a Labor opposition dared to block a business tax cut you’d have every business union out there yelling at them, but the Coalition can get away with it and business groups do SFA.

    by ShowsOn on May 8, 2012 at 8:08 pm

  7. lol

    Ill say it: congrats to labor for being the first govt in donkey’s to cut defence spending.

    another labor lie. how can we trust anything swan has said when swan was blowing his trumpet only three years ago on how much money he was going to put into defence. This is an aspirational budget that must be taken with a grain of salt and the winds of Labor desperation at any given moment.

    by rummel on May 8, 2012 at 8:10 pm

  8. On the surface it looks like a great labor budget,after the GFC ,cyclone yasi,qld floods and elsewhere,providing no more disasters,next years budget should bring home the bacon,to use PJK words.

    by Schnappi on May 8, 2012 at 8:10 pm

  9. For anyone who wants the Australian political system to be different to the way it is, this is the attitude that you have to take: Abbott must be destroyed. Abbott is the problem with out political system: not Gillard, not the independents or the Greens, and not even the dead-men-walking Slipper and Thomson.

    Certainly, Liberal numbers men know this. Political parties appoint whips to ensure that MPs/Senators vote in line with their leader's wishes. The Deputy Liberal Whip in the House of Reps and the Liberal Senate Whip have each been rolled, a direct attack on the authority of the leader and a sign that real power in the Liberal Party is exercised by rightwing factional bosses, not the leader. That's why Abbott is not the solution to the Liberals' problem, but part of the problem itself.

    I have been saying this for ages. Julia Gillard wields far more authority over her partyroom than Abbott does over his. Indeed the only thing keeping Abbott as leader is the current party polling.

    by confessions on May 8, 2012 at 8:11 pm

  10. Uhlmann being objectionable as usual.

    by lizzie on May 8, 2012 at 8:11 pm

  11. Link to above:
    http://andrewelder.blogspot.com.au/2012/05/abbott-delenda-est.html

    by confessions on May 8, 2012 at 8:11 pm

  12. ru

    No she is not an actress. I have worked on thousands of shoots where we tried to get people to look natural, it is impossible.

    Didn’t you work in porn?

    by Diogenes on May 8, 2012 at 8:11 pm

  13. Once again the media focus:

    http://www.smh.com.au/business/federal-budget/budget-gifts-mining-boom-to-families-20120508-1yb0v.html

    With the twin scandals of stood-down Speaker Peter Slipper and former Labor MP (and newly minted crossbencher) Craig Thomson bogging down the Gillard government

    by zoidlord on May 8, 2012 at 8:12 pm

  14. lizzie

    It has not been confirmed by an official source, but I always thought he looked as though he was labouring to speak. When I remarked about it to some friends who are well into the disability rights movement, they said he had a cleft palate as a kid and that you can see where the has had he surgery to fix it.

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on May 8, 2012 at 8:12 pm

  15. Uhlmann hasn’t landed a single piss weak gotcha!

    by BK on May 8, 2012 at 8:12 pm

  16. I thought Tanya Plibersek was looking extra tired during the budget speech. Hope she’s OK.

    by lizzie on May 8, 2012 at 8:12 pm

  17. Yes, ModLib, because Howard always looked so natural bouncing around the loungeroom in his tracksuit….

    I remind people yet again: ML is the ultimate hypocrite, arguing here in support of a party he has admitted he will not vote for under its present leader.

    He wants JG gone because he thinks that means Abbott will go too.

    by zoomster on May 8, 2012 at 8:12 pm

  18. ShowsOn:

    It is indeed rank hypocrisy from business.

    by confessions on May 8, 2012 at 8:14 pm

  19. Puff, the Magic Dragon.
    Posted Tuesday, May 8, 2012 at 8:08 pm | Permalink
    drake
    And they say the feminists have nothing left to do. What a bucket of shame for a so-called modern developed country

    Maybe you haven’t heard of Phil Cleary.

    He won Bob Hawke’s seat of Wills when Hawke quit parliament.

    Cleary’s sister was stabbed to death by her erstwhile companion. He stalked her, he wouldn’t leave her alone. He stabbed her to death when she left her new lodgings because he thought she’d been with someone.

    Since then, Cleary has been a champion of changing the laws of provocation.

    I’m not sure, but I think he has been successful in Victoria.
    shellbell may be able to confirm.

    The last high-profile case was a man who murdered his estranged wife after she “provoked” him by telling him she had her period. Post-mortem showed she did.

    I think Victoria’s “provocation” defence has since been watered down, but not dispensed with totally. Phil Cleary is still working on it.

    by kezza2 on May 8, 2012 at 8:14 pm

  20. kezza2

    This is an excellent budget, the policies are excellent. This should be a very easy sell. The problem is that the message simply isn’t getting through. There is no ownership or authority over it.

    by spur212 on May 8, 2012 at 8:14 pm

  21. fess

    You only have to look at his face to see he has had some sort of surgery.

    I don’t think he has had any surgery on his face. What kind of surgery were you thinking of?

    by Diogenes on May 8, 2012 at 8:14 pm

  22. Uhlmann out of his depth with the worlds best treasurer.

    by Schnappi on May 8, 2012 at 8:14 pm

  23. Puff

    He always sounds strained, which tends to come over as nervous, but if that’s his natural tone, it’s a shame.
    Right now he’s sounding super-confident with Uhlmann – high adrenaline charge.

    by lizzie on May 8, 2012 at 8:15 pm

  24. Uhlmann is a disgrace.
    Will he be as objectionable to Hockey on Thursday? I think not. He will just let Sloppy peel off his tired throwaway lines without interruption.

    by BK on May 8, 2012 at 8:15 pm

  25. Windsor says he expects the budget will pass the parliament.

    I tend to accept his view of the landscape than the hysterical, warped view of the opposition.

    by confessions on May 8, 2012 at 8:16 pm

  26. Labor polls should go up.
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/federal-budget/the-budget-the-winners-and-losers-20120508-1yb11.html

    by guytaur on May 8, 2012 at 8:16 pm

  27. Uhlmann is an absolute farce!

    by spur212 on May 8, 2012 at 8:17 pm

  28. kezza2
    Juries cannot be allowed the chance to use a woman’s behaviour as an excuse for her partner to kill her.

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on May 8, 2012 at 8:17 pm

  29. kezza2

    I actually thought that provocation excuse had been done away with. Perhaps UK? Perhaps only Vic?

    by lizzie on May 8, 2012 at 8:17 pm

  30. I don’t think he has had any surgery on his face. What kind of surgery were you thinking of?

    I’m talking budget, not surgery.

    And who is supposed to have had surgery? Sorry, but I haven’t been following surgery comments.

    by confessions on May 8, 2012 at 8:17 pm

  31. BUDGET FOR BATTLERS is the Terror headline.
    http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/

    by guytaur on May 8, 2012 at 8:18 pm

  32. I can take bias/fake gravitas from Sky or The Australian or even Grattan, but Uhlamnn is a complete joke

    by spur212 on May 8, 2012 at 8:18 pm

  33. Uhlmann out of his depth with the worlds best treasurer.

    Uhlmann is out of his depth with the lady from the school tuckshop who has the opening float.

    by WeWantPaul on May 8, 2012 at 8:18 pm

  34. Uhlmann is now just being plain rude!

    by BK on May 8, 2012 at 8:18 pm

  35. Labor polls should go up.

    Peter Costello is still waiting for his 2007 budget to wash through and effect the polls :) .

    by rummel on May 8, 2012 at 8:18 pm

  36. O is contradicting his comments on RN yesterday about carbon pricing. He now seems to be agreeing the structure of carbon pricing is right.

    I find it hard to keep track of O’s views, he seems so prone to chopping and changing.

    by confessions on May 8, 2012 at 8:19 pm

  37. Spur212 – we had the unfortunate experience for 11.5 yrs of Costello, a strong, smirky Treasurer, who spoke mostly baloney and was a lazy worker – just ask Treasury people. He did give the appearance of being in control even tho Howard had his measure.

    Just because Swannie is a lesser speaker, but harder worker (just ask Treasury) he is marked down. How shallow we have all become. It seems that Labor pollies have to be darn ‘celebrities’ or they are no good.

    by BH on May 8, 2012 at 8:19 pm

  38. National Times ‏ @NationalTimesAU
    Labor gambles credibility on cash splash, writes Lenore Taylor http://www.nationaltimes.com.au/business/federal-budget/labor-gambles-credibility-on-cash-splash-20120508-1yb20.html

    by lizzie on May 8, 2012 at 8:19 pm

  39. 10 minutes of comedy coming up-jollyjoe

    by Schnappi on May 8, 2012 at 8:19 pm

  40. rummel

    I am talking about the media coverage.

    by guytaur on May 8, 2012 at 8:20 pm

  41. Excellent response from Swan in regards to whether he’s the problem with the ALP owning their economic credentials.

    by spur212 on May 8, 2012 at 8:20 pm

  42. Windsor not opposed to cuts to defence spending. Says we can certainly afford it given the history of wasteful defence spending.

    by confessions on May 8, 2012 at 8:20 pm

  43. I thought Tanya Plibersek was looking extra tired during the budget speech. Hope she’s OK.

    Tanya has a lazy eye, whenever she is tired, or can’t cope with the $#@@% her ALP brethren are pouring out, one of her eyes starts to wander to the right

    by Mr Squiggle on May 8, 2012 at 8:20 pm

  44. spur212
    Posted Tuesday, May 8, 2012 at 8:14 pm | Permalink
    kezza2

    This is an excellent budget, the policies are excellent. This should be a very easy sell. The problem is that the message simply isn’t getting through. There is no ownership or authority over it.

    Oh, and where are you getting the message of “no authority” or “no ownership” from?

    It really helps when people like you and DTT, supposed Laborites, crap on about “selling”.

    Shits me to tears quite frankly.

    As if PR is the be all and end all.

    Get out there and sell it yourselves if the stinking msm isn’t doing their job.
    And we know it isn’t/
    So why blame the govt.

    by kezza2 on May 8, 2012 at 8:20 pm

  45. Joe says the whole Budget is a lie.
    Well, he would, wouldn’t he!

    by lizzie on May 8, 2012 at 8:21 pm

  46. BK

    Uhlmann is a disgrace.

    I think there is a connection between being “a disgrace” and being a failed seminarian. Did I mention that Tones and Uhls share that honour with Iosif Vissarionovich Dzhugashvili :lol:

    by poroti on May 8, 2012 at 8:21 pm

  47. Uhlmann hasn’t landed a single piss weak gotcha!

    The prick interrupted Swan 24 times.

    by dave on May 8, 2012 at 8:21 pm

  48. Sloppy will go through this “interview” without fully answering a question.

    by BK on May 8, 2012 at 8:21 pm

  49. fess

    Oops. Should have been Puffy.

    I think the budget looks OK. The two things I disagree with are delaying the increases in foreign aid and the cuts to the public service.

    The bureaucracy will see its first significant cut in more than a decade with 4227 full-time jobs to be cut in the next year.

    http://www.smh.com.au/business/federal-budget/the-budget-the-winners-and-losers-20120508-1yb11.html#ixzz1uGw7FLzK

    Still both of those are pretty easy to sell to the voters, unless they are commonwealth public servants or aid workers.

    by Diogenes on May 8, 2012 at 8:21 pm

  50. poroti
    Apposite indeed!

    by BK on May 8, 2012 at 8:22 pm

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