Essential Research: 58-42 to Coalition
This week’s Essential Research poll gives Labor its worst result since the company opened for business in 2008: a primary vote of 29%, down two points on last week, and a two-party preferred deficit of 58-42. The former is particularly alarming for Labor, as Essential typically has Labor’s primary vote a few points higher than the phone pollsters. The Coalition and the Greens are steady on 50% and 11%.
With respect to the economy, 66% allowed that it had performed better than other countries’ over the past few years (although this was down from 70% in August last year), with 15% believing it to be worse (up from 10%). In the event of another global financial crisis, 42% would better trust the Liberal Party to deal with it than Labor, on 25%. Forty-six per cent anticipate the economy will get worse over the next 12 months against 23% who think it will get better (the figures when the question was asked a year ago were 37% worse and 27% better).
Sixty-two per cent believe a politician accused of an offence should stand down from their positions, against 27% who believe they should be allowed to continue. Questions on banking suggest the public to be well to the left of the elites on these matters: 55% would support the establishment of a government-owned bank, 74% forcing banks to charge rates in line with the Reserve Bank, 81% capping chief executive’s salaries, 92% limiting bank fees to the costs of the service and 59% a super profits tax on banks (the numbers opposed were respectively 23%, 16%, 12%, 5% and 21%). Fifty-nine per cent would support a levy on large transactions of currencies, bonds and shares, with 16% opposed.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Swans budget has pushed so much spending into the future its like a burning paper bag filled with dog turn left on the front step of the future Liberal Government.
by rummel on May 8, 2012 at 11:29 pm
HaveAChat
I just ordered a book on Bathory called “Infamous Lady” which looks pretty reliable. I’ll let you know what it says.
Between Vlad the Impaler and Countess Bathory, Hungary was a real hot spot for nutters in the 15 and 16th centuries, hence Dracula.
by Diogenes on May 8, 2012 at 11:30 pm
And before Wenesday 9th of May at 12:00am:
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/government-survives-as-wilkie-withdraws-support-20120508-1yatl.html
by zoidlord on May 8, 2012 at 11:30 pm
Confessions, this may prove illuminating. Or not.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbTFv5M3OtQ&feature=youtube_gdata_player
by William Bowe on May 8, 2012 at 11:30 pm
GRRRRR!
by imacca on May 8, 2012 at 11:31 pm
Horsey, facts dont lie.
by The Finnigans on May 8, 2012 at 11:32 pm
High praise if we forget europe.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-05-08/long-budget-2012/3998712
by Schnappi on May 8, 2012 at 11:32 pm
2877
We should not have been in Vietnam. The Americans were never going to win and should not have been there in the first place.
by Tom the first and best on May 8, 2012 at 11:32 pm
my partner only very occasionally and intuitively tunes into politics in a busy schedule. she tracked swan’s speech tonight and thought it excellent. she is appalled as the quality of reporting facing this government. she think they are doing well under circumstances. there you have it. she is quite perceptive overall. quite a different and fresh perspective than my own labored worrying
by geoffrey on May 8, 2012 at 11:33 pm
Rummel, Surely you jest, yes the economy is flat but unless Europe tanks we wont be having a recession anytime soon.
Chris Richardson saying we might have a surplus, well only problem when did he last get a forecast correct, he tends to underrate our economy which might actually be a good thing.
by mexicanbeemer on May 8, 2012 at 11:34 pm
2891
Do not encourage that. It is annoying.
by Tom the first and best on May 8, 2012 at 11:34 pm
Another ungrateful bastard on abc
by Last name red wombat on May 8, 2012 at 11:36 pm
Why are these small business pricks whingeing about Wayne Swan?
They should be moaning to Abbott, who is the one that refused to pass the tax cut!
by Bushfire Bill on May 8, 2012 at 11:38 pm
I miss Ali talking about footsie, dax and hang seng
by Last name red wombat on May 8, 2012 at 11:38 pm
William:
Most illuminating. Not!
by confessions on May 8, 2012 at 11:38 pm
Mex, he also said that the surplus will depend on what happen in China & Europe.
Doh, what an insight. Of course it will, we are a trading nation. China is our biggest trading and Europe is our 2nd largest.
How much money he gets for an insight like that. Jesuz.
by The Finnigans on May 8, 2012 at 11:38 pm
So – any poll bounce out of this?
Strongly doubt it.
What “dog ate my homework” excuses is Swannee going to roll out when the deficit occurs?
Strongest economy . . . .sound fundamentals . . .unprecedented blah blah blah blah blah . . . Abbott, Abbott, Abott, Oi, Oi,Oi . . .look a Unicorn. . .
by Compact Crank on May 8, 2012 at 11:39 pm
is joes brother on abc now?
by Last name red wombat on May 8, 2012 at 11:40 pm
Them greeks are in full stuff you Europe mode. The French are going to drive the germans through the ardennes in anger for daring to change the agreed monetary rules on debt and spending.
Europe is a basket case and i have more hope in Gillard lasting longer as PM then europe getting through it current issues as one.
by rummel on May 8, 2012 at 11:40 pm
geoffrey
Sometimes she who must be obeyed have real bursts of intuition that cannot be ignored,mothers usually have it as well.
by Schnappi on May 8, 2012 at 11:41 pm
@2908 – oh, that’s alright then. Polling is obviously flawed and the ALP are actually loved by all abnd 2PP vote will skyrocket – you just watch!!!
by Compact Crank on May 8, 2012 at 11:41 pm
hmmm, do i smell Truthie
by The Finnigans on May 8, 2012 at 11:41 pm
Compact Crank
Nah a rabbit with a horn.
Damn do not have those devil emicons.
by Schnappi on May 8, 2012 at 11:43 pm
rummel,
And which future government would you be thinking of here Rumms?
The 2020 one after Labor has started to run out of steam and your mob have woken up to the fact that renewal after a prolonged stretch of government is essential to get the electorate to take notice that they are a viable alternative once again?
by scorpio on May 8, 2012 at 11:44 pm
Schappi
: evil :
without the spaces
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on May 8, 2012 at 11:45 pm
2918 – I shouldn’t ahve been suprised that the Germans thought the Greeks would actually accept the terms of their bail out given their past self serving attitude towards fiscal responsibility. I mean for an Atheist God’s sake the Box Heads think the Euro is a great idea – a normally rational people with the ability for mass cultural delusion.
by Compact Crank on May 8, 2012 at 11:46 pm
also works as
: devil :
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on May 8, 2012 at 11:46 pm
2923 – Scorpio – what ever you are taking I want some.
by Compact Crank on May 8, 2012 at 11:48 pm
Night all!
The Tories have been exceptionally entertaining today and this evening.
Keep it up. There’s a long way to go to the next election. Be certain to make it as interesting as you can.
by scorpio on May 8, 2012 at 11:50 pm
@ 2921 The Finnigans – I don’t knwo what you smell but there sure is some good stuff being smoked, snorted, injected and ingested around this place. There a few who are clearly sane such as Thomas Paine et al who admit the reality of the current and near temr future for the Federal ALP, but not many.
by Compact Crank on May 8, 2012 at 11:51 pm
While we’re asking about opaque house terminology, who / what / whuh is ‘BISON’?
by Bird of paradox on May 8, 2012 at 11:52 pm
Compact Crank,
Château cardboard. It helps one to get through the night here.
Night!
by scorpio on May 8, 2012 at 11:53 pm
Scorps
thats comedy at its finest.
by rummel on May 9, 2012 at 12:00 am
2930 – I believe BISON stands for Beautiful Immaculte(?) Set Of Numbers.
They are clearly delusional.
by Compact Crank on May 9, 2012 at 12:00 am
compact crank
yes fair amount of groupthink think or else staffers moonlighting … there is a prevailing mood of pessimistic rationalism – this is a good as it is going to get, this is best of possible world as bad as it is, full marks for effort. determination, consistency, fortitude – these are virtues. unfortunately is the business of governments to be popular midst all else. i’ve given up sweating it out here. some of us are on the midnight watch, sitting it out for another 3 months/hours, praying the ship doesn’t fall apart in the meantime. but it is very sad that the collective talents of labor could not be working together. some of us think june 2010 was as big in consequences as keating dumping hawke (sorry about that – maybe only i think that as tragedy) or whitlam’s sacking. too serious for late night too serious altogether. que sera future will be good regardless, labor will still transmute and triumph – now there’s some injested thinking
by geoffrey on May 9, 2012 at 12:01 am
Seriously??
by imacca on May 9, 2012 at 12:01 am
cc
The numbers are facts. Your darling Abbott is delusional.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on May 9, 2012 at 12:02 am
by Schnappi on May 9, 2012 at 12:03 am
aha
by Schnappi on May 9, 2012 at 12:03 am
Any poll bounce Labor get out of this will be temporary – wait until July 1.
by Thornleigh Labor Man on May 9, 2012 at 12:04 am
abbott:evil:abbott:evil:abbott:evil:
by Schnappi on May 9, 2012 at 12:04 am
schnappi
Try this one.
Abbott into his pillow tonight.
: cry :
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on May 9, 2012 at 12:05 am
i give bipartisan support to this comment
by rummel on May 9, 2012 at 12:05 am
by Schnappi on May 9, 2012 at 12:05 am
Just because a dead cat does bounce, if does not mean its walking away alive with the next election.
by rummel on May 9, 2012 at 12:06 am
abbott
by Schnappi on May 9, 2012 at 12:09 am
Night all. Budget 2012. Despite all the odds the ALP, yet again (god this so infuriates the Tories) lives to fight yet another day, as she has for the last 18 months, as she will for the next 18 months. The fury tonight of the Tories is in direct correlation with the benefits to the Labor heartland. Chin up, and keep the faith fellow comrades. None shall shatter the crystal spirit.
by Rossmore on May 9, 2012 at 12:09 am
July 1 will stop most of abbotts caper as he will not be able to rescind any labor policy,all he will rescind is his pat aspirations.
by Schnappi on May 9, 2012 at 12:11 am
@rummel/2944
If someone asked you to jump off a cliff(that being Abbott), would you? (in reply to bouncing)?
by zoidlord on May 9, 2012 at 12:11 am
And bring on July 1 Rummell. Your mob’s panic and hysteria about the end of civilization as we know it will be shown for what it is. A pack of crap. Bring on 1 July!!!!
by Rossmore on May 9, 2012 at 12:13 am