Crikey



Essential Research: 58-42 to Coalition

This week’s Essential Research poll gives Labor its worst result since the company opened for business in 2008: a primary vote of 29%, down two points on last week, and a two-party preferred deficit of 58-42. The former is particularly alarming for Labor, as Essential typically has Labor’s primary vote a few points higher than the phone pollsters. The Coalition and the Greens are steady on 50% and 11%.

With respect to the economy, 66% allowed that it had performed better than other countries’ over the past few years (although this was down from 70% in August last year), with 15% believing it to be worse (up from 10%). In the event of another global financial crisis, 42% would better trust the Liberal Party to deal with it than Labor, on 25%. Forty-six per cent anticipate the economy will get worse over the next 12 months against 23% who think it will get better (the figures when the question was asked a year ago were 37% worse and 27% better).

Sixty-two per cent believe a politician accused of an offence should stand down from their positions, against 27% who believe they should be allowed to continue. Questions on banking suggest the public to be well to the left of the elites on these matters: 55% would support the establishment of a government-owned bank, 74% forcing banks to charge rates in line with the Reserve Bank, 81% capping chief executive’s salaries, 92% limiting bank fees to the costs of the service and 59% a super profits tax on banks (the numbers opposed were respectively 23%, 16%, 12%, 5% and 21%). Fifty-nine per cent would support a levy on large transactions of currencies, bonds and shares, with 16% opposed.

Categories: Federal Politics 2010-

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  1. As for fowl, drake and sparrow; whatever! Not for this little black duck.

    by This little black duck on May 9, 2012 at 8:25 pm

  2. Von Kirsdarke @ 4484

    maybe he’ll try to kick Frydenburg out of Kooyong

    Nooooooooooooo! I’d have to move, and after 28 years that would take me to way past the next election.

    by fiona on May 9, 2012 at 8:26 pm

  3. Dan,

    I did pepper prawns, with a brown sugar, garlic and fish sauce combo, on a bed of leek.

    by This little black duck on May 9, 2012 at 8:27 pm

  4. ALP – when are you going to stand in front of the cameras and just say the obvious: this lot in the opposition arent up to it. They have nothing sensible to say about the direction of economic policy.

    I heard Swan say it last night and this morning, and Wong say it yesterday morning. The PM says it all the time. You only hear these things however, if you listen to whole interviews or watch news conferences.

    by confessions on May 9, 2012 at 8:28 pm

  5. Here’s the story on the Costello push.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-05-09/liberal-ructions-emerge-over-costello/4001600

    by Greensborough Growler on May 9, 2012 at 8:28 pm

  6. Apparently, Kroger said he did.

    Costello is calling bullshit.

    GG – wouldn’t that be ironic if Kroger and Cossie were now at loggerheads. Looks like Kroger is finished as kingmaker in the Libs.

    by BH on May 9, 2012 at 8:28 pm

  7. Lynchpin
    Posted Wednesday, May 9, 2012 at 7:56 pm | Permalink
    What is happening? John Hunt and The Hammock both in the news. There is something not quite right in ToryWorld.

    Know who The Hammock is but who is John Hunt, googled was told he was a Lutheran minister??? Only Hunt I know is the MP in Queensland?

    by mari on May 9, 2012 at 8:28 pm

  8. GG, gee!

    by This little black duck on May 9, 2012 at 8:28 pm

  9. As for fowl, drake and sparrow; whatever! Not for this little black duck.

    I think what Duck’s trying to say is it’s hard to soar like an eagle when you’re surrounded by turkeys.

    by drake on May 9, 2012 at 8:29 pm

  10. What is this about Costello coming back?

    The country and this economy have no need for someone with his bone idleness and sheer cowardice.

    by confessions on May 9, 2012 at 8:29 pm

  11. a Lutheran minister

    The ultimate self-flagellants.

    by This little black duck on May 9, 2012 at 8:30 pm

  12. So has Cossie pissed all his money up against a wall or was it the pokies :P
    Or did he just invest in the same stocks etc as the Future Fund :P

    by Last name red wombat on May 9, 2012 at 8:30 pm

  13. GG:

    Thanks for the link.

    I agree with victoria that the Liberals are eating their own. They are wracked with hubris!

    by confessions on May 9, 2012 at 8:31 pm

  14. mari

    Don’t you like my’ Ode to Joy’ said with a pout

    In sheepen shagger land it is called a “Hapuka lip” . Now first up I did enjoy, BUT remember I am more a Led Zeppelin, Bowie fan than a Beethoven fan :) . So to wipe the “pout” from your dial here is Leonard Bernstein with the Vienna Philharmonic “doing” Ode to Joy. Soloists Gwyneth Jones, Shirley Verrett, Placido Domingo, and Martti Talvela.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nZJ1Tgf4JL8
    .
    Hapuka = http://www.australianseafoodexports.com/images/fish/hapuka1.jpg

    by poroti on May 9, 2012 at 8:31 pm

  15. http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,25180519-5005961,00.html

    Peter Costello a petulant child, says John Hewson

    Herald-Sun, 13 March 2009

    Former federal Liberal leader John Hewson has renewed his attack on Peter Costello, labelling him a "petulant child".

    Opposition Leader Malcolm Turnbull was being undermined as Mr Costello remained in the media limelight, he said.

    "Costello is just being a petulant child these days," Dr Hewson told Sky News, adding the former treasurer was taking his bat and ball home because he wasn't made captain.

    "In the schoolyard analogy, somebody should take him out behind the dunny and beat him up at some point."

    I suppose it makes a change from the “kicking to death” Liberal theme…

    by Cuppa on May 9, 2012 at 8:32 pm

  16. drake,

    You think your a high flyer. But actually you are a low flyer with occaissional gusts of wind.

    by Greensborough Growler on May 9, 2012 at 8:32 pm

  17. drake,

    Not quite. Birds of a feather fly together.

    by This little black duck on May 9, 2012 at 8:33 pm

  18. Jack the Insider: Costello comeback. Pffft. Now if Harold Holt made a comeback, I’d sit up and pay attention.

    Superecededman!: A dead Holt would still likely outpeform Then again a wet Cossie probably cost Holt his life.

    by Super on May 9, 2012 at 8:33 pm

  19. Jack the Insider: Costello comeback. Pffft. Now if Harold Holt made a comeback, I’d sit up and pay attention.

    Superecededman!: A dead Holt would still likely outpeform Then again a wet Cossie probably cost Holt his life.

    by Super on May 9, 2012 at 8:33 pm

  20. TLBD

    Nah he lost it all at those prostitutti places :evil:

    by Schnappi on May 9, 2012 at 8:33 pm

  21. The Australian, 23 June 2008:

    Mr Costello did get an early offer from the Australian arm of giant US investment banking group Citigroup. But this didn’t proceed in the wake of protracted arguments about how much he was worth

    But Cuppa – what about his dynamic career since leaving the *sheltered workshop that IS the lib party*- his achievements, his vision, surely foreman material ?

    Nope not a sausage – he is still on the public tit. Getting old. without prospects.

    But he coulda been a contender.

    Just no ticker. not enough.

    The ball been in his court for years since he left the parliament and he has done nothing.

    How appropriate. Sums him up really.

    by dave on May 9, 2012 at 8:34 pm

  22. Now if Harold Holt made a comeback

    My comrades say it’s on.

    by This little black duck on May 9, 2012 at 8:34 pm

  23. Oh should be LNRW not TLBD

    by Schnappi on May 9, 2012 at 8:35 pm

  24. dave,

    PC does seem to have gone to seed.

    by This little black duck on May 9, 2012 at 8:35 pm

  25. Know who The Hammock is but who is John Hunt, googled was told he was a Lutheran minister??? Only Hunt I know is the MP in Queensland?

    Perhaps Greg Hunt, a Liberal minster for the environment who did a theses that concluded the best way to tackle climate change was to introduce a carbon trading scheme.

    by fredn on May 9, 2012 at 8:36 pm

  26. GG@4515:

    drake,

    You think your a high flyer. But actually you are a low flyer with occaissional gusts of wind.

    Ever the kind mentor, eh, GG?

    by don on May 9, 2012 at 8:36 pm

  27. GG,

    As Doc Holliday said to Wyatt Earp,

    “That’s a terrible thing for you to say to me.”

    by drake on May 9, 2012 at 8:36 pm

  28. The interesting thing about MacDonald threatening to call a spill of all Senate Leadership positions is that were it to be successful and there was a change, Abbott would then have to select two of his Shadowy Mnisters to take a pay cut.

    This is due to the deal abbott struck with Gray earlier this year.

    However, it makes the ambitious young and restless seethe as the see non performers like Mirrabella, Bronnie Bishop, Dutton and others hold on to their possies because the Libs are snookered.

    Expect more angst.

    by Greensborough Growler on May 9, 2012 at 8:37 pm

  29. Why not Ducky?

    by dave on May 9, 2012 at 8:37 pm

  30. Denton has sold himself to Myrmidon. He is not funny.

    by This little black duck on May 9, 2012 at 8:37 pm

  31. Why would costello need money he has the snout in the trough with jobs for the boys newman.

    by Schnappi on May 9, 2012 at 8:37 pm

  32. Dave,

    Didn’t he get a “jobs for mates” gig with the Queensland Premier? Wonder if that’s still on.

    by Cuppa on May 9, 2012 at 8:37 pm

  33. Just realised the Costello story is rubbish. Cossie is busy fixing up QLD finances.

    by davidwh on May 9, 2012 at 8:38 pm

  34. Ryan Moore‏@mooreryan3

    Abetz told Senator Kroger her position was ‘untenable’ as fellow Senator Fifield could not work with her. #abc730 #auspol

    by Schnappi on May 9, 2012 at 8:39 pm

  35. dave

    But he coulda been a contender.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3QsNXd57Ppw

    by poroti on May 9, 2012 at 8:39 pm

  36. Perhaps Cossie is hard up for a quid and needs a steady income now that he knows he won’t be Chairman of the Futures Fund for quite some time, if ever.

    mari – Apocalyptica – bewdiful, thanks.

    by BH on May 9, 2012 at 8:39 pm

  37. Why has Costello gone to seed?

    I don’t know. He just has the baggy jowls that might signify a certain a loss of “morale compass” or, just of age.

    by This little black duck on May 9, 2012 at 8:40 pm

  38. Cossie is busy fixing up QLD finances.

    Thats right at $3k a day………..hope he declares it to Centrelink

    by Last name red wombat on May 9, 2012 at 8:40 pm

  39. The interesting thing about MacDonald threatening to call a spill of all Senate Leadership positions

    What?!

    They are visibly slow combusting.

    Hubris: the ultimate balloon prick.

    by confessions on May 9, 2012 at 8:40 pm

  40. davidwh

    Costello making a comeback is the least of the fibs problems.

    by victoria on May 9, 2012 at 8:41 pm

  41. swmbo is watching Denton in the next room. It sounds dreadful.

    by This little black duck on May 9, 2012 at 8:41 pm

  42. maybe KOD could get a Senate spot after the election?

    by Gary Sparrow on May 9, 2012 at 8:42 pm

  43. As I said earlier. Its a made up leadership story. The MSM at its best.
    Just this time its the Libs suffering. (does best cartoon snicker)

    by guytaur on May 9, 2012 at 8:42 pm

  44. Cuppa

    costello never stood for anything, never introduced anything, never had the guts to put his balls on the line for anything…

    Thats why cut n run campbell reckons he’s the guy.

    Plus costello needs the money – no one apart from the public tit will give him the big bucks.

    Lets see his spin, his reforms for Qld – turn the water in wine. In truth it will be all whine and squealing.

    by dave on May 9, 2012 at 8:43 pm

  45. What was the push polling Textor performed?

    It relates to a poll conducted during the 1995 Canberra by-election campaign. As related by Mike Seccombe of the Sydney Morning Herald at the time, polling commissioned from Roy Morgan by the Liberal Party included the following questions:

    * One claimed Ms Robinson had "publicly stated that she supports the right to abortion up to the ninth month of pregnancy". The Liberals justified this assertion on the basis of media reports of conflict within the ACT Labor Party over an abortion bill. Anti-abortion elements in the party had attacked the bill as being inadequately drafted and therefore likely to permit late-term abortions. Ms Robinson, then a spokeswoman for the member proposing the bill, had simply defended the way it was drafted. She had never made any statement supporting abortions at nine months.

    * A second claimed Ms Robinson had been a director of the Canberra Labor Club "in the period before it went bankrupt". The supporting evidence was that she had been a director in 1988, and in the 1992-93 financial year the Labor Club had an excess of debts over assets, although it was still trading with the support of its banks.

    * A third claimed Ms Robinson's left faction "actively participated in the violent AIDEX demonstrations in Canberra last year". In fact, the demonstrations were more than three years ago and the best supporting evidence the Liberal Party could advance was that another woman leader of the Left (from Queensland) had called for an end to such armaments fairs.

    * The fourth claimed Ms Robinson warned in a book she co-wrote that technological change could result in the rich getting richer and the poor getting poorer, "until the poor take up arms and fight for their livelihoods". Trouble was, another Sue Robinson wrote the book. Even the Liberals had to concede they had it wrong.

    Gary Morgan “apologised to Ms Robinson for any inaccuracies and denied either he or his senior management had seen the questions in advance”, but the then Liberal national secretary, Andrew Robb, “continue(d) to claim they have nothing to apologise for, that great efforts were taken to ensure the accuracy of the allegations-disguised-as-questions, and that they are not involved in push polling”.

    Richard McGregor in The Australian in December 1998:

    THE Liberal Party's former federal director and a party pollster have apologised to a Labor candidate, and paid her substantial damages, for a defamation action lodged after the controversial 1995 Canberra by-election ... The former director, Andrew Robb, and the pollster, Mark Textor, both wrote letters to Ms Robinson regretting the harm caused by the polling. Mr Robb admitted some of the comments did not have due regard to accuracy or the consequences of their publication.

    Crosby and Textor remain very sensitive about this.

    by William Bowe on May 9, 2012 at 8:43 pm

  46. Denton is making himself the centre of attention. Not good for a about-to-be-a-has-been.

    by This little black duck on May 9, 2012 at 8:43 pm

  47. Just realised the Costello story is rubbish. Cossie is busy fixing up QLD finances.

    Lucky Qld. They’re forked.

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on May 9, 2012 at 8:44 pm

  48. Back to your WorkChoices, fellas…

    http://www.theage.com.au/ffximage/2007/06/02/svASLEEP_wideweb__470x301,0.jpg

    by Cuppa on May 9, 2012 at 8:44 pm

  49. The trouble is that once a pollster pushes then the rest of his stuff becomes up to the microscope.

    by This little black duck on May 9, 2012 at 8:45 pm

  50. fess 4538
    That is not a nice way to refer to Mr Hockey.

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on May 9, 2012 at 8:46 pm

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