Essential Research: 58-42 to Coalition
This week’s Essential Research poll gives Labor its worst result since the company opened for business in 2008: a primary vote of 29%, down two points on last week, and a two-party preferred deficit of 58-42. The former is particularly alarming for Labor, as Essential typically has Labor’s primary vote a few points higher than the phone pollsters. The Coalition and the Greens are steady on 50% and 11%.
With respect to the economy, 66% allowed that it had performed better than other countries’ over the past few years (although this was down from 70% in August last year), with 15% believing it to be worse (up from 10%). In the event of another global financial crisis, 42% would better trust the Liberal Party to deal with it than Labor, on 25%. Forty-six per cent anticipate the economy will get worse over the next 12 months against 23% who think it will get better (the figures when the question was asked a year ago were 37% worse and 27% better).
Sixty-two per cent believe a politician accused of an offence should stand down from their positions, against 27% who believe they should be allowed to continue. Questions on banking suggest the public to be well to the left of the elites on these matters: 55% would support the establishment of a government-owned bank, 74% forcing banks to charge rates in line with the Reserve Bank, 81% capping chief executive’s salaries, 92% limiting bank fees to the costs of the service and 59% a super profits tax on banks (the numbers opposed were respectively 23%, 16%, 12%, 5% and 21%). Fifty-nine per cent would support a levy on large transactions of currencies, bonds and shares, with 16% opposed.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
CC
At at presser as all day if they want to. The press can just walk away after all.
by guytaur on May 10, 2012 at 1:01 pm
Time for a “Downfall” Parody of Gillard on the Thomo Affair:
“and the NSW ALP kept paying the fucking legal Bills!!!”
by Compact Crank on May 10, 2012 at 1:04 pm
by Leroy on May 10, 2012 at 1:05 pm
CC
Now you lie. The ALP stopped paying legal bills when Thomson was suspended.
by guytaur on May 10, 2012 at 1:05 pm
CC
There will be a parody, but it wont be about Thomson. It will be about your coalition friends and Ashby.
by victoria on May 10, 2012 at 1:05 pm
Prettymuch. Hopefully we’ll get to something like that if the conscience vote approach winds up working–it also has the advantage of not looking like a backflip. Though that said, I think there’s quite a few disgruntled people who would be won back by just getting it done.
by rishane on May 10, 2012 at 1:07 pm
So what are you saying CC?
You can’t make up your mind who you support? Liberal one election, Labor the next?
I went to some degree of time to put my thoughts on paper in relation to your one-liners and if your latest is the best you can come up with, I clearly have wasted it
You seem to fall into the category once mentioned by one of the US Presidents – something along the lines of “Everyone in a democracy has the right to be heard. Not everyone in a democracy has the right to be paid attention to.”
You seem to fit into this latter mould.
There are others here who are cleverer than me who can exchange one-liners with you, but quite frankly, your assertions, whether coming out of the Liberal or Labor side of you mouth are beyond me.
by Tricot on May 10, 2012 at 1:09 pm
@5353 – Where did U lie? Yes, the NSW ALP stopped paying when he was suspended – what 2 weeks ago? But they’ve been paying them until then.
by Compact Crank on May 10, 2012 at 1:09 pm
cc
Now you agree I was right.
Nothing about until two weeks ago.
by guytaur on May 10, 2012 at 1:11 pm
http://au.smallbusiness.yahoo.com/article/-/13652142/surprise-drop-in-unemployment-figures/5/
Quite a good write up by Yahoo 7, surprising for them
by mari on May 10, 2012 at 1:13 pm
The quoted unemployment figures are not a true measure although I do accept they are based on the internationally recognised method of recording them.
A realistic measure of unemployment would come up with a figure more than double what is quoted in the official figures.
The government should get serious about reducing unemployment and its devastating impact on those affected by it. I would suggest for a start:
* Get rid of 457 Visas immediately and tell employers to go and train their own workforce.
* Increase scrutiny of other types of Visas used to bring in cheap labour from overseas.
* Use the above to stop Banks and others from having outsourcers bring in people from overseas to learn how to do jobs performed by Australians to facilitate subsequent off-shoring of those jobs.
* Tell Boofhead Baillieu to reverse his TAFE de-funding or the Federal government will take over the sector in Victoria and reduce grants to the state accordingly.
* Piss off all these parasitic Job Network organisations which are ineffective and send unemployed to highly inappropriate course, no doubt getting a kickback for doing so.
* Establish a new Commonwealth Employment Service with a charter to get people back into employment and the funding to do so by paying for appropriate training and working with employers to overcome the skills shortage they keep bleating about.
* Case manage people through training and into employment including an initial period of subsidy to employer.
* Give anti-discrimination legislation real teeth by allowing HREOC to investigate and prosecute. This will assist older workers in particular.
* If we are to have individual contracts legislate so that the individual employee is not pitted against the might of a large company. (Equality of bargaining)
* Make all employment contracts subject to similar criteria to provisions contained in consumer legislation. (Able to strike out unfair provisions)
That should be a good start.
by bemused on May 10, 2012 at 1:13 pm
ShowsOn
But she doesn’t support it.
by triton on May 10, 2012 at 1:13 pm
by victoria on May 10, 2012 at 1:13 pm
CC
Duh!
That was until he was suspended, boy are you CRANKY!.
by 1934pc on May 10, 2012 at 1:15 pm
bemused
A few weeks ago, Ballieu cut bus services in the Greensborough area. Two main bus routes have changed and buses now come at very irregular intervals. Now mainly students and pensioners are stranded.
by victoria on May 10, 2012 at 1:16 pm
@5356 – I look at the issues and decide what is the best outcome both short and long term. I generally always support the conservative side of politics and have only voted for the ALP once at State level – and that was not a policy basis – that was because of the charachter and quality of the Candidate – and is the reason I will be actively campaigning for the election of Bob Kucera. The ALP policy platform is a dog but he is head and shoulders above the current member.
by Compact Crank on May 10, 2012 at 1:16 pm
That is what Craig Thomson is saying, the NSW ALP are quoted as saying that they paid the bills from last September until his suspension.
by blackburnpseph on May 10, 2012 at 1:17 pm
Finally you have admitted to one of your regular lines of bull crap. There’s hope for you yet.
by Tom Hawkins on May 10, 2012 at 1:17 pm
@5362 – it’s only bad discrimination if the Left agree with it – otherwise it’s full slather laid on thick.
by Compact Crank on May 10, 2012 at 1:18 pm
Compact Crank @ 5338
Are you trying to tell us you are an ALP member or supporter?
by bemused on May 10, 2012 at 1:18 pm
The coalition are losing the plot
by victoria on May 10, 2012 at 1:18 pm
CC
How old are you?.
by 1934pc on May 10, 2012 at 1:20 pm
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-05-09/20120509/4001700/?site=hobart§ion=news
Senate vacancy.
Hope its lyn thorpe ,
A lovley southern lady
by my say on May 10, 2012 at 1:20 pm
I am liking Latika today
by victoria on May 10, 2012 at 1:20 pm
bemused
I agree with most of your 5360 but I suppose some of it is only possible with more injections of money.
“Piss off Baillieu and the Job Networks” would be an excellent start, though.
by lizzie on May 10, 2012 at 1:21 pm
“blackburnpseph
Posted Thursday, May 10, 2012 at 1:17 pm | Permalink
Nothing about until two weeks ago.
That is what Craig Thomson is saying, the NSW ALP are quoted as saying that they paid the bills from last September until his suspension.”
Are you happy with that??????
by Compact Crank on May 10, 2012 at 1:21 pm
So this is an interesting image: http://twitter.com/#!/MattCowgill/status/200422521378582528/photo/1
by rishane on May 10, 2012 at 1:21 pm
Of course s/he isn’t. If s/he were, s/he would know why:
by OzPol Tragic on May 10, 2012 at 1:22 pm
I wonder if someone can give me a hands upon some figures.
How much better off is a family with two kids say aged 4 and 7 making $100,000 ($50k each parent) with a $300k mortgage since 2007 as a result of government and reserve bank decisions decisons?
It would have to be close to 10k a year.
Both would be about $2000 better off in tax cuts ($4,000)
Possibly $1000 each better off if they relied on penalty rates stripped under workchoices ($2,000)
$3000 better off as a result of the cash rates dropping from 6.5 % to 3.25% ($3000)
and $1230 better off due to the school bonus
That’s about $10,230 on my reckoning plus wages generally have outstripped CPI.
Is that about right ? Have I missed anything?
by gough1 on May 10, 2012 at 1:22 pm
post 5378 “heads up”
by gough1 on May 10, 2012 at 1:23 pm
rishane
My parents are pensioners, and they constantly tell me that pensioners have never had it so good until now. It frustrates my mum in particular, when Pensioners whinge. She recalls pensioners in the Howard years. They were desperate most of the time. Now she sees pensioners dress and eat bettter. Also, lots of services to assist with daily living and health matters. Sometimes I wonder what is wrong with the people in this country. It is disheartening that they can be so unappreciative.
by victoria on May 10, 2012 at 1:24 pm
victoria @ 5364
I really can’t see him going on for much longer without a sharp decline in the polls.
Oh, but then people here don’t think they count for anything.
I think Daniel Andrews is learning on the job and improving as opposition leader. He is coming across as less carping but needs to work on it.
by bemused on May 10, 2012 at 1:24 pm
@5369 – Nope, fully paid up member of the Liberals, but actively supporting the ALP Candidate for Mt Lawley – going to be hell to pay if Menzies House (the Perth one) finds out.
by Compact Crank on May 10, 2012 at 1:24 pm
Come on Scott, would love to hear your reply to this one you utter slime ball.
by imacca on May 10, 2012 at 1:25 pm
gough1
My circumstances whilst different to the example you give, i can say that as a family we have more disposable income now than three years ago.
by victoria on May 10, 2012 at 1:26 pm
bemused
Daniel Andrews does not have any profile. He has to do a lot of work to make any inroads. All I know is Ballieu and his mob and been even more disappointing then expected.
by victoria on May 10, 2012 at 1:28 pm
BTW, Compact Crank, who paid Senator Mary Jo Fisher’s? Michael Abbott does not come cheaply
http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/south-australia/bolshy-barristers-fire-burns-bright/story-e6frea83-1226212464324
Moreover she was found guilty of assault.
by OzPol Tragic on May 10, 2012 at 1:28 pm
lizzie @ 5374
Please let me know where you disagree.
I enjoy the learning experience I get from the opinions of others.
by bemused on May 10, 2012 at 1:28 pm
Compact Crank @ 5365
OK I can go back to my previous thoughts on you.
by bemused on May 10, 2012 at 1:30 pm
Nah! We’re going to list it on E-Bay!
by scorpio on May 10, 2012 at 1:33 pm
Hook line and sinker on the North Shore
Should be smarter than giving it oxygen. Just ensured a Labor narrative gets oxygen.
Where do I claim my cut on the copyright?
by bluegreen on May 10, 2012 at 1:33 pm
bg
You seem convinced that this is a good narrative for Labor.
by victoria on May 10, 2012 at 1:34 pm
25 mintues until C Pyne gets up in full misguided flight
by guytaur on May 10, 2012 at 1:35 pm
victoria @ 5385
I like Daniel Andrews but was a bit surprised when he got the gig.
He struck me as coming across as whinging and carping at first but he does seem to be improving his performance. He needs a big issue to boost his profile.
Ted is giving him loads of material to work with.
by bemused on May 10, 2012 at 1:36 pm
victoria
Going for North Short types is like talking about Toorak Tractors.
by guytaur on May 10, 2012 at 1:37 pm
bemused
Let’s hope so. This state did so well under State Labor. It just feels stagnant now
by victoria on May 10, 2012 at 1:37 pm
rishane – fantastic graph and that’s what I’d like Labor to do. Put stuff like that on telly because it tells a story, with impact, without the need for too many wordy talking heads.
I had a bit of a discussion with a local shopkeeper who told me that pensioners are far worse off since Howard left. There was no way she would accept any facts so I will take great delight in printing that off and dropping it around.
It was mentioned in the House yesterday that single pensions have risen by $4,000 since 2009.
Graphs, graphs and more graphs are need to hit telly screens.
https://twitter.com/#!/MattCowgill/status/200422521378582528/photo/1
by BH on May 10, 2012 at 1:37 pm
The morning after the state budget, he was just awful – carping, unprepared, refusing to commit anywhere.
I would be surprised if he is still around to fight the Libs in 2014 – note that Tim Holding is starting to lift his profile as is Martin Pakula.
by blackburnpseph on May 10, 2012 at 1:38 pm
BH
How can someone honestly say Pensioners were better off under Howard? It defies belief
by victoria on May 10, 2012 at 1:38 pm
Unemployment Aust 4.9% NZ 6.3% – Yay, we beat them Sheeppen Shaggers
by The Finnigans on May 10, 2012 at 1:39 pm