Essential Research: 58-42 to Coalition
This week’s Essential Research poll gives Labor its worst result since the company opened for business in 2008: a primary vote of 29%, down two points on last week, and a two-party preferred deficit of 58-42. The former is particularly alarming for Labor, as Essential typically has Labor’s primary vote a few points higher than the phone pollsters. The Coalition and the Greens are steady on 50% and 11%.
With respect to the economy, 66% allowed that it had performed better than other countries’ over the past few years (although this was down from 70% in August last year), with 15% believing it to be worse (up from 10%). In the event of another global financial crisis, 42% would better trust the Liberal Party to deal with it than Labor, on 25%. Forty-six per cent anticipate the economy will get worse over the next 12 months against 23% who think it will get better (the figures when the question was asked a year ago were 37% worse and 27% better).
Sixty-two per cent believe a politician accused of an offence should stand down from their positions, against 27% who believe they should be allowed to continue. Questions on banking suggest the public to be well to the left of the elites on these matters: 55% would support the establishment of a government-owned bank, 74% forcing banks to charge rates in line with the Reserve Bank, 81% capping chief executive’s salaries, 92% limiting bank fees to the costs of the service and 59% a super profits tax on banks (the numbers opposed were respectively 23%, 16%, 12%, 5% and 21%). Fifty-nine per cent would support a levy on large transactions of currencies, bonds and shares, with 16% opposed.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
tom_watson@tom_watson
“police are for public not for profit” banners on police demo. It’s huge
by Schnappi on May 10, 2012 at 10:01 pm
How the financial markets could be at all surprised at the turn of political events is hard to fathom…
And there is more depressing reading in the link
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/greeces-jobless-soar-42-unemployment-rises-record-industrial-collapse-accelerates
by Laocoon on May 10, 2012 at 10:02 pm
Whichever way Millner twists it he is in contempt. I can’t see any judge leaving it at that.
by This little black duck on May 10, 2012 at 10:02 pm
(Before I go I just tweeted some of the journos can anyone tell me what people under 30 who are unemployed are going to live on as TA is cutting dole? No answer as yet!!!!)
Crime
by my say on May 10, 2012 at 10:03 pm
TLBD
Yes me as well. He has to be firm and send that message. Do not read what does not concern you.
by guytaur on May 10, 2012 at 10:04 pm
Seriously, I have just been doing some demographic/geographic statistical analysis using census data by electorate and a range of social variables.
The weirdest thing, the north shore seats stand out as an isolated cluster seperate from the rest of Australia. Warringah, North Sydney, Bradfield, MacKellar and throw in Wentworth for good luck.
by bluegreen on May 10, 2012 at 10:05 pm
Abbott’s such a low renter.
What, because the govt make us bend over a get rogered by the wealthy by shouldering their tax cuts – again – like every other budget time, its now ‘class war’?
Imagine that mediocre cliche churner in the PM chair. What an international embarassment.
This guy is as useless as a pile of old copies of The Australian, and as for Hockey, Ive heard better political arguments from my 8 year old.
by lefty e on May 10, 2012 at 10:06 pm
I will start posting some demographic analysis for the marginal seats over the next few days.
by bluegreen on May 10, 2012 at 10:06 pm
Andy Coulson should be interesting. I’d guess Robert Jay QC and a full court room.
by This little black duck on May 10, 2012 at 10:06 pm
citizen
maybe with Ch7 ,could be start of abbott leadership spill,I for one have promoted everywhere that abbott is only leader because of a toxic slipper one vote.
by Schnappi on May 10, 2012 at 10:07 pm
TLBD
The leak whetted the appetite.
by guytaur on May 10, 2012 at 10:08 pm
LateLine at 10:20. Hope it is not the insufferable Tony Jones.
by This little black duck on May 10, 2012 at 10:08 pm
bg @6455
And what are these great characteristics that we bogans on the North Shore possess according to your analysis, apart from the two heads that the Class Warfare crowd have already pointed out?
by Mick77 on May 10, 2012 at 10:08 pm
TP @ 6430
So why didn’t it sink in August 2010? The Rudd resignation under force of humiliation was done and dusted in June. That’s it. There were no further plays in the whole matter. If it was bad, it was bad then, Why would voters flee Labor because of Rudd’s dumping after the 2010 election when they knew about the dumping at the election.
Whatever damage to support Labor suffered because of the dumping of Rudd happened in 2010. The further loss of support has to be due to other reasons. If Rudd was still leader Labor would still be behind in the polls.
by Scrutineer on May 10, 2012 at 10:08 pm
Laocoon @6451,
Would it be right to suggest that what makes it even worse is a significant percentage of those still employed would be at the higher end of the income level, the very people that have failed to pay their fair share of tax for years and have been a root cause of the weak revenue stream in the Greek economy for decades.
by Doyley on May 10, 2012 at 10:09 pm
Thanks Lefty E. I feel better after your post. There is a touch of PJK in your turn of phrase.
by Lynchpin on May 10, 2012 at 10:09 pm
citizen Posted Thursday, May 10, 2012 at 9:57 pm | Permalink
(Yahoo7 poll “Would you vote for Costello if he made a return to politics?” currently stands at:
Yes 10,490 (67%)
No 5,094 (33%)
http://au.yahoo.com/)
So all these people live in costellos would be electorste then
Not ice says wouid vote for, , not would yoy vote liberal if he gott in
18 yer old would not even remember who he was, they woukd of been about 13
by my say on May 10, 2012 at 10:10 pm
Gaia be praised: no more parliament until 21 May. Normal(ish) life can now resume.
Goodnight, all.
by fiona on May 10, 2012 at 10:11 pm
On The Drum: “This government is also handing out middle-class welfare.”
Does he know what he is talking about? They are cutting back on it.
by This little black duck on May 10, 2012 at 10:12 pm
The Insular Peninsula.
by confessions on May 10, 2012 at 10:12 pm
Delroy doing as his issue of the day “A parliamentary Standards Commissioner”
by guytaur on May 10, 2012 at 10:12 pm
Cheers, fiona,
You know you’ll miss it next week.
by This little black duck on May 10, 2012 at 10:13 pm
Thomas,
With the greatest of respect, I think that is something of an overstatement. Let me be as pellucid as I possibly can be. The issue exists in such magnitude only in your own mind as a function of your propinquity to the Rudd period.
Apology: The above statement makes no sense but if I sounded just a little bit like Robert Jay QC on acid, I’m more than happy.
by drake on May 10, 2012 at 10:13 pm
(ted Thursday, May 10, 2012 at 10:06 pm | Permalink
I will start posting some demographic analysis for the marginal seats over the next few days.)
Thats iteresting , do u have the same degree as william then
by my say on May 10, 2012 at 10:13 pm
(ted Thursday, May 10, 2012 at 10:06 pm | Permalink
I will start posting some demographic analysis for the marginal seats over the next few days.)
Thats iteresting , do u have the same degree as william then
by my say on May 10, 2012 at 10:13 pm
Does not compute.
by This little black duck on May 10, 2012 at 10:14 pm
Abbott: Costello was a great leader of our country.
Correction: Costello was a great leadweight of our country.
by This little black duck on May 10, 2012 at 10:17 pm
http://www.marketeconomics.com.au/1973-the-abbott-fact-check-other-matters
by Leroy on May 10, 2012 at 10:17 pm
Rob O was talking on AM this morning re a code of conduct.
I think it would be a good idea. However it would have to be a code that covers standards for both the accused and the accuser.
Otherwise it is just a open invitation to continue with what the coalition have now determined is normal.
by Doyley on May 10, 2012 at 10:18 pm
6467
Who praised him its
reay like some kind of crasy s tory, but you actually wake up releived it snt true
by my say on May 10, 2012 at 10:19 pm
Ducky:
Keep the Lateline commentary coming pls.
by confessions on May 10, 2012 at 10:20 pm
Doyley,
You want Prissy with a permanent gag? On second thoughts …
by This little black duck on May 10, 2012 at 10:20 pm
Annabel Crabb@annabelcrabb
Keep silent and be thought a fool, rather than speaking out and removing all doubt
by Schnappi on May 10, 2012 at 10:20 pm
fess,
I’ll do my best.
by This little black duck on May 10, 2012 at 10:21 pm
Confessions,
You don’t get ABC at your place?
by drake on May 10, 2012 at 10:21 pm
Yes, Bella, but to whom exactly are you referring? Too hard to mention names?
by This little black duck on May 10, 2012 at 10:22 pm
(The lack of any detail about how the aspirations would be paid for is another matter, but at a quick glance, here is what came out:)
Surley in the end big business will be contacting the big wigs in the liberal party,
Wasnt it one of the bank heads said hands of gillard this week,
…………….
by my say on May 10, 2012 at 10:22 pm
drake:
Not eastern states live.
by confessions on May 10, 2012 at 10:22 pm
Tlbd @6481,
In every war there is collateral damage !
by Doyley on May 10, 2012 at 10:23 pm
Are you in SA?
by drake on May 10, 2012 at 10:23 pm
Really Rudd is bidding his time and will be back. Thomas Paine – some very good comments. Paul Howes and the like must be very concerned that their little plan has failed so badly. his buddy Kroger is losing his grip on the other side at the same time. The Rudd restoration will be just the panacea to crush the factions once and for all that is needed with a few crumbs thrown to them in the form of Shorten being installed as deputy. That will be the sweetest victory of them all. a victory for the true believers.
by the spectator on May 10, 2012 at 10:24 pm
(Keep silent and be thought a fool, rather than speaking out and removing all doubt)
Who is she refereing to,
Canmot be abbott , she often writes glowing reports
by my say on May 10, 2012 at 10:24 pm
And in any case drake, who died and appointed you moderator of what can and can’t be commented here?
by confessions on May 10, 2012 at 10:24 pm
Bloody Tony Jones is doing LL!
by This little black duck on May 10, 2012 at 10:24 pm
Eh ksell hent!
by jenauthor on May 10, 2012 at 10:24 pm
Penny later, thanks Dawkins!
by This little black duck on May 10, 2012 at 10:25 pm
TLBD
Besides abbott, think the belle was referring too,one could say murdoch with amensia.
by Schnappi on May 10, 2012 at 10:26 pm
ducky:
Did Abbott front up to Lateline a had been suggested?
by confessions on May 10, 2012 at 10:26 pm
Tony Abbott once again has insulted our Friends in Jakarta with his announcement he will turn the boats within a week. Expect retaliation.
by The Finnigans on May 10, 2012 at 10:26 pm
Confessions,
What do you mean?
by drake on May 10, 2012 at 10:26 pm