Essential Research: 58-42 to Coalition
This week’s Essential Research poll gives Labor its worst result since the company opened for business in 2008: a primary vote of 29%, down two points on last week, and a two-party preferred deficit of 58-42. The former is particularly alarming for Labor, as Essential typically has Labor’s primary vote a few points higher than the phone pollsters. The Coalition and the Greens are steady on 50% and 11%.
With respect to the economy, 66% allowed that it had performed better than other countries’ over the past few years (although this was down from 70% in August last year), with 15% believing it to be worse (up from 10%). In the event of another global financial crisis, 42% would better trust the Liberal Party to deal with it than Labor, on 25%. Forty-six per cent anticipate the economy will get worse over the next 12 months against 23% who think it will get better (the figures when the question was asked a year ago were 37% worse and 27% better).
Sixty-two per cent believe a politician accused of an offence should stand down from their positions, against 27% who believe they should be allowed to continue. Questions on banking suggest the public to be well to the left of the elites on these matters: 55% would support the establishment of a government-owned bank, 74% forcing banks to charge rates in line with the Reserve Bank, 81% capping chief executive’s salaries, 92% limiting bank fees to the costs of the service and 59% a super profits tax on banks (the numbers opposed were respectively 23%, 16%, 12%, 5% and 21%). Fifty-nine per cent would support a levy on large transactions of currencies, bonds and shares, with 16% opposed.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
PTMD @ 6663
Maybe hasn’t quite reached hatred, but strong dislike. I am a moderating influence.
BTW, I think you have been reading too many psychology books and your ideas on this are quite wrong. Some women supported her just because she was a woman initially. But I think she has been steadily losing them.
by bemused on May 10, 2012 at 11:50 pm
Now, connection to Bek.
Landmines ahead.
by This little black duck on May 10, 2012 at 11:50 pm
Cant quite say why but Andy Coulson keeps reminding me of Christopher Maurice Pyne. Disengenuity keeps coming to mind.
by Rossmore on May 10, 2012 at 11:51 pm
evan, you are kidding yourself if you think a change to rudd would save them.
by Gary on May 10, 2012 at 11:51 pm
Zoidlord the PM is not being judged on how many bills she is getting passed in parliament. She may be being partly judged because people don’t like some of the key bills however she is being mainly judged on perceived errors of judgement and a lack of trust.
by davidwh on May 10, 2012 at 11:51 pm
Loathing of Gillard is not rational, therefore no point in researching “why”, but it’s out there, oh boy is it out there!
by Mick77 on May 10, 2012 at 11:52 pm
Andy has a little poise; CM Pyne has none.
by This little black duck on May 10, 2012 at 11:53 pm
by Thornleigh Labor Man on May 10, 2012 at 11:54 pm
The CT is not popular.
BTW, it’s great that you’ve been able to interview the Australian people David and found out how most people are thinking.
by Gary on May 10, 2012 at 11:54 pm
Tony Zappia has switched camps?
by Thornleigh Labor Man on May 10, 2012 at 11:54 pm
davidwh
All the issues you raise will be solved with time. The judgement issue comes down to ongoing legal cases. The lack of trust goes to a lie. Not what JG said, but the one by the Coaliton that what she said was a lie and towns like Whyalla would be wiped out because of it. When that does not happen that too will vanish as an issue.
by guytaur on May 10, 2012 at 11:54 pm
Julia has been great at holding a motley team together and getting real stuff through parliament. She also has low poll ratings. If these do not change, she will probably see the writing on the wall and move aside. No need for all the vitriol, pro and con.
by Toorak Toff on May 10, 2012 at 11:55 pm
I like the colour of Andy’s tie. The sort of colour you wear if you would like to be taken seriously.
Unfortunately …
by This little black duck on May 10, 2012 at 11:55 pm
and that’s about how many votes he’d get now.
by Gary on May 10, 2012 at 11:55 pm
Um Gary……last poll I saw, 56% opposed to the carbon tax.
by Thornleigh Labor Man on May 10, 2012 at 11:55 pm
Seems to me you don’t have to go out into the street to find Gillard haters. The biggest haters are right here on this blog. And most of them claim to be Labor supporters.
by Darn on May 10, 2012 at 11:55 pm
Paper thin poise I suspect …. Bill Sykes lurks beneath the surface ….
by Rossmore on May 10, 2012 at 11:55 pm
TLBD
It is also the colour you wear to funerals.
by guytaur on May 10, 2012 at 11:56 pm
Mick
I think it is interesting because I want to try to understand. I understand, disagreement etc but I am confused why some women seem to “loathe” her…
by swamprat on May 10, 2012 at 11:56 pm
swamprat @ 6692
I have asked the same question and she cannot articulate her feelings or what lies behind them. Sorry about that.
I can sort of understand that as, when I met Peter Costello at uni, I took an instant dislike to him but it took me some time to work out exactly why I was so repulsed.
by bemused on May 10, 2012 at 11:56 pm
“motley”? Check Tone’s team.
by This little black duck on May 10, 2012 at 11:56 pm
The only war abbott knows is to send people to be Killed
http://www.smh.com.au/business/federal-budget/abbott-accuses-government-of-playing-class-war-card-20120510-1yfdc.html
by Schnappi on May 10, 2012 at 11:56 pm
Has Gillard bought off enough MPs with the cash splashes this week?
We’ll see.
by Thornleigh Labor Man on May 10, 2012 at 11:56 pm
bemused
None of this is from psychology or psychology books. I used theStockholm syndrome as a rough analogy that I though people may quickly understand. This is way before I ever opened a psych book.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on May 10, 2012 at 11:57 pm
Mick 77 6705…re Gillard
____________
Yes that loathing is there and on radio I’m surprised how many elderly women..seem to share that view
What is about some women when it comes to women leaders !
by deblonay on May 10, 2012 at 11:57 pm
Those who were most vehement against NSW Labor for changing leaders so many times are now advocating it for federal Labor and expect it to now be a positive. Go figure.
by Gary on May 10, 2012 at 11:57 pm
The “loyalists” around Kev were having a laugh at him/with him during QT today.
Fair enough, there are those who still feel sorry for him.
by Henry on May 10, 2012 at 11:58 pm
guytaur,
The dark green tie is way too gaudy for the funeral. Mind you, with his mien, he wouldn’t be out of place in a mortuary.
by This little black duck on May 10, 2012 at 11:58 pm
Labor + Wilkie + Windsor + Oakeshott + Bandt is motley in anyone’s language.
by Toorak Toff on May 10, 2012 at 11:59 pm
Are you suggesting Rudd will go back on his word and challenge Gillard? Will he be a liar?
by Gary on May 10, 2012 at 11:59 pm
Don’t often agree with you TT. But I think that’s probably a fair call.
by Darn on May 10, 2012 at 11:59 pm
TLBD
On my Screen the dark green looks black.
by guytaur on May 10, 2012 at 11:59 pm
Puff,
How are your studies of mental illnesses going?
by This little black duck on May 11, 2012 at 12:00 am
Gary its not my research other than the limited number of people I come in contact with. However the polls over an extended period are showing that to be the situation. Having said that I’m not one of those who believes the situation can be reversed with a leadership change because it will take more than that. Whoever leads the country had to be able to reach out and connect with people and the PM isn’t doing that at present.
by davidwh on May 11, 2012 at 12:00 am
I am NOT a Gillard hater. I disagree with her on some things (anti-gay, extreme support for USA even to Oz disadvantage…) and pissed off that she cannot articulate a “vision” for this country I can get excited about but I admire her obvious ability to get things done and her grace despite appalling treatment.
by swamprat on May 11, 2012 at 12:01 am
WHICH LIEBRAL CAN BE BELIEVED
http://www.smh.com.au/business/federal-budget/abbott-accuses-government-of-playing-class-war-card-20120510-1yfdc.html
by Schnappi on May 11, 2012 at 12:01 am
Andy is wearing a dark-navy blue jacket, a dark green tie and a white shirt.
by This little black duck on May 11, 2012 at 12:01 am
No, they are showing she and the government are unpopular. They are not showing why, in the detail you are going into.
by Gary on May 11, 2012 at 12:02 am
WHICH LIBERAL CAN BE BELIEVED should be this ref:
http://www.theage.com.au/opinion/political-news/kroger-stands-by-costello-seat-search-account-20120510-1yfp0.html
by Schnappi on May 11, 2012 at 12:02 am
I see the government must be having a good week, all the leadership change fans are back out.
by HaveAchat on May 11, 2012 at 12:05 am
No Liberal can be believed, since Jim Killen died.
by swamprat on May 11, 2012 at 12:05 am
I have met such women as I have described, in smaller arenas. They are the ones who hate the woman who is the first President of the local football club or the first female manager of the council works department.
Without access to those positions, men cannot deliver the ancillary benefits these women would enjoy.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on May 11, 2012 at 12:05 am
Puff is the resident expert on matters sartorial.
by This little black duck on May 11, 2012 at 12:05 am
PTMD @ 6723
Puffy, you have bought too much into the misogyny story. Sure, there are misogynists around, but I think they are relatively small in number and probably outweighed by women who will support JG on the basis of gender.
We have a female Governor General, Governor of NSW, Governor of Qld for example. We have quite a number of female MPs and Ministers who do not evoke the same reaction as does JG. Think about it.
by bemused on May 11, 2012 at 12:07 am
All lliebrals in here
love abbott propaganda 
all norty 
by Schnappi on May 11, 2012 at 12:07 am
HaveAchat
The question is not leadership change, it is WHAT the Labor Party needs to do to get authority. What is your advice, please?
by swamprat on May 11, 2012 at 12:07 am
Gary the concensus here is that the politics are right, the tactics are right and the opposition are fools. So why the disconnect as indicated by the polls. But sure it’s an opinion but an opinion that appears to be supported by the situation the government finds itself in.
Anyway off to bed, night all.
by davidwh on May 11, 2012 at 12:07 am
What does any modern political leader believe in?
What does Rudd believe in? What does Abbott believe in? What does Bob BRown believe in?
by confessions on May 11, 2012 at 12:08 am
I am just saying it is complex, and in there may lay some of the explanation why swamprat is meeting women who are very hostile to Julia Gillard.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on May 11, 2012 at 12:08 am
Andy is now saying that his paper (Murdoch) actively pursued regime change.
by This little black duck on May 11, 2012 at 12:09 am