Essential Research: 58-42 to Coalition
This week’s Essential Research poll gives Labor its worst result since the company opened for business in 2008: a primary vote of 29%, down two points on last week, and a two-party preferred deficit of 58-42. The former is particularly alarming for Labor, as Essential typically has Labor’s primary vote a few points higher than the phone pollsters. The Coalition and the Greens are steady on 50% and 11%.
With respect to the economy, 66% allowed that it had performed better than other countries’ over the past few years (although this was down from 70% in August last year), with 15% believing it to be worse (up from 10%). In the event of another global financial crisis, 42% would better trust the Liberal Party to deal with it than Labor, on 25%. Forty-six per cent anticipate the economy will get worse over the next 12 months against 23% who think it will get better (the figures when the question was asked a year ago were 37% worse and 27% better).
Sixty-two per cent believe a politician accused of an offence should stand down from their positions, against 27% who believe they should be allowed to continue. Questions on banking suggest the public to be well to the left of the elites on these matters: 55% would support the establishment of a government-owned bank, 74% forcing banks to charge rates in line with the Reserve Bank, 81% capping chief executive’s salaries, 92% limiting bank fees to the costs of the service and 59% a super profits tax on banks (the numbers opposed were respectively 23%, 16%, 12%, 5% and 21%). Fifty-nine per cent would support a levy on large transactions of currencies, bonds and shares, with 16% opposed.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
I have a lot of time for Laura Tingle, so I’m sorry to see her drop the ball on the following point:
The earliest date for a normal election is indeed August 3 – but next year, rather than this year. So whether the election happens in late July, August or any time in the second half of this year or the first half of the next, the houses will be out of sync and Abbott will face his hostile Senate.
by William Bowe on May 11, 2012 at 2:39 am
You’d think someone would have picked it up before publication, assuming it was an honest mistake. Though the skeptical part of me wonders if it got through in part because it adds to the impression of IMMINENT ELECTION/CHAOS that has so successfully been kept alive since the election.
by rishane on May 11, 2012 at 2:44 am
Aft six months of boring guff about naval engagements and Norway, RealTimeWWII on Twitter is now up to the invasion of the Low Countries:
by William Bowe on May 11, 2012 at 3:58 am
I’m finding it amusing listening to the ABC trying to be polite about Abbott’s speech last night.
They appear to have agreed that “Learnng A Foreign Language” is the least embarrassing way out of their dilemma.
by Bushfire Bill on May 11, 2012 at 6:38 am
Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
Well, Abbott’s speech had plenty of bile and invective and lots of aspiration. Now for the perspiration. That will be harder.
Not a good look for pretty boy Romney.
http://www.smh.com.au/world/romney-was-bully-who-cut-off-a-gay-pupils-fringe-say-exschool-friends-20120511-1yg4m.html
Lenore Taylor sees through Abbott.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/federal-budget/abbott-makes-a-con-into-a-pro-and-backtracks-on-education-promises-20120509-1yd57.html
Andrew Dyson on the budget.
http://images.smh.com.au/2012/05/10/3284466/dyson_cartoon-620×0.jpg
Alan Moir brings out Popeye for a ripper!!
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/opinion/cartoons/alan-moir-20090907-fdxk.html
by BK on May 11, 2012 at 6:48 am
The decline of the fin review continues:
by Space Kidette on May 11, 2012 at 6:50 am
Tony Abbott in his #BudgetReply said: I can save $50B. That still leaves a blackhole of near $70B – read more here – http://thefinnigans.blogspot.com.au/p/blackhole_10.html
by The Finnigans on May 11, 2012 at 6:52 am
Advice to @TonyAbbottMHR today from Confucius: The superior man is modest in his speech, but exceeds in his actions.
by The Finnigans on May 11, 2012 at 6:53 am
Abbott’s vow: I can save $50 billion – http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/abbotts-vow-i-can-save-50-billion-20120510-1yfof.html – Many have also vowed they can find Nessie #auspol
by The Finnigans on May 11, 2012 at 6:55 am
Greiner in trouble
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/business/swiss-firm-takes-aim-at-bradken-greiner-20120510-1yfmx.html#ixzz1uVEBWzaX
I expect he may be out of a job after Abbott rings O’Farrell demanding he be sacked.
by castle on May 11, 2012 at 6:59 am
The problem with the Alan Moir cartoon is that it portrays Popeye Abbott playing (and loosing) chess. Given his tactical capabilities I suspect Battleships is about as sophisticated as his strategic thinking can go.
by Smaug on May 11, 2012 at 7:01 am
Nick Sherry has been a fine Senator and a fine man. I wish him well.
by BK on May 11, 2012 at 7:11 am
Tony Abbott gave you the lies at his #budgetreply and @TheKouk gives you the facts, a must read http://www.marketeconomics.com.au/1973-the-abbott-fact-check-other-matters #auspol
by The Finnigans on May 11, 2012 at 7:17 am
by Space Kidette on May 11, 2012 at 7:34 am
Poor journos: having to try and find something serious about last night’s rant by Abbott.
So Coorey picks on “$50 billion savings”. A number pulled out of Abbott’s arse makes front page news.
I do wonder sometimes whether the punters really do expect Abbott to get rid of all the things he says he’s getting rid of.
Last night he spoke about the NBN and the MRRT, linking them in with the Carbon Tax in the same sentence, as if these measures were hated out there.
They are in fact popular, quite popular… everywhere except on 2GB and similar shock jock platforms, where they are disparaged on an almost minute-by-minute basis.
I do suspect that the punters reckon Abbott will end up keeping these programs, that they can get rid of Gillard but not the goodies. It’s a pure Reality TV mentality: voting has no consequences.
At the moment we are seeing a battle, not between Labor and Liberal, or even the government and the people, but between the government and the political journalists.
The latter make up the game and the rules of the game. They are the referee and the commentators in the media box far above the playing field. They bring out the oranges and give the massages when a thigh gets corked.
by Bushfire Bill on May 11, 2012 at 7:39 am
morning
Thanks Ducky and others reporting on the Leveson inquiry. As for the usual suspects ranting about Labor. What a waste of frickin time
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 7:43 am
BK Posted Friday, May 11, 2012 at 7:11 am | Permalink
Nick Sherry has been a fine Senator and a fine man. I wish him well
An his father ray sherry, was our member, when i was very young, tall sophiticated man
With a very kind heart, they lived in the villiage of richmond, in a beautiful 1800 centuary home.’
by my say on May 11, 2012 at 7:43 am
sums up the poor state of affairs
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 7:45 am
Its to be hopped every day as people enjoy the nbn abbott says , well folks i am coming around to each and every one of you and disconnevting it,, in my flro jacket and ute lol
U have to laugh so times
by my say on May 11, 2012 at 7:47 am
If I were the PM, I would support this. Love to see how Abbott responds
[Latika Bourke @latikambourke 1m
Tony Abbott says he learnt Latin, Greek and French at school but barely remembers them today. Wants Oz to be less 'linguistically lazy.]‘
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 7:48 am
So will the abbott kids be taught indonesian,
just wondering
Againg see the funny side
by my say on May 11, 2012 at 7:49 am
What????
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 7:49 am
Obviously I have missed something in all the furore. What is this about Nick Sherry?
by janice2 on May 11, 2012 at 7:50 am
BB
First they should try getting something from Peter Sellers’ party political speech. If they can then they may have a chance with TA’s.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GxBtGuu9BVE
by poroti on May 11, 2012 at 7:50 am
janice2
Nick Sherry is bringing forward his retirement as Senator. He finsihes today I believe
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 7:51 am
Janice
After 21 years in parliament Nick is retiring from the Senate at the end of this month.
by BK on May 11, 2012 at 7:52 am
vic
I stand corrected.
by BK on May 11, 2012 at 7:52 am
BK
Thanks for clarification. I thought it was today
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 7:52 am
Yes but the bogan vote will not want their kids learnrning an asian language,
Unkess its to yell turn your boat around
He really is contradictory and, st,,,,,,,
If only us here wrote the front pages
Ithink he thought it was a campaign speech, not budget reply
by my say on May 11, 2012 at 7:53 am
Bk
Now I am confused!
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 7:53 am
Good morning all.
I am loving the disconnect from them whereby they loathe the PM and use that as their reason for their voting intention. They sum up the problem we have with our media: foam and froth about personalities, and little or no care for actual policies and legislative reform.
by confessions on May 11, 2012 at 7:53 am
vic
I think you are right about him retiring today.
by BK on May 11, 2012 at 7:53 am
Morning All
Great link Finns – The Kouk hits the nail on the head with the real story
Good to see Katter will put a stop to the “kangaroo court” – looks like Thomson will get censured but will be safe for a while yet
I see Labor is continuing the “class warfare” – nothing to lose so why not – it seems like Abbott and the Liberals think you are only a “hard working Australian” if you earn over $100k (insert angry face)
NAB boss on Radio National was good – mentioned he doesn’t worry about what hasn’t happened yet when asked re the 1% company tax cut, said if there was a change of government he would face a 1.7% tax rise to pay for Abbott’s Parental Leave Scheme but he won’t worry about that yet either – worth a listen if you can get hold of it somewhere, was just on
by womble on May 11, 2012 at 7:53 am
My kids are already starting to learn foreign language basics in kindy.
Maybe it’s just a South Australian curriculum thing (or even a just a coincidence that all the kindies I have been in contact with do).
Either way, it’s Abbott being unoriginal again.
by Danny Lewis on May 11, 2012 at 7:54 am
FLIP FLOP RABBOT
by kezza2 on May 11, 2012 at 7:55 am
confessions
It was easy going over last night’s posts. Recognised the names and scrolled on by. boring with a capital B!
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 7:55 am
Kezza2
As far as I can tell, the extra family payments are funded by the mining tax. What on earth is Abbott talking about.
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 7:56 am
womble
That is encouraging coming from the NAB boss.
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 7:57 am
Latika may do her job well today too.
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 7:58 am
victoria
Must be getting a lot of stick about not supporting KidsBonus – and trying to differentiate between Mining Tax-supported KidsBonus and extra payments for families in the budget via Family Tax Benefit.
Just a guess.
by kezza2 on May 11, 2012 at 7:59 am
Kezza2
I think Mr Abbott might just be LYING
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 8:00 am
Thank you Victoria and BK. Nick Sherry will be missed and I, for one, wish him the very best in his retirement from politics.
by janice2 on May 11, 2012 at 8:00 am
janice2
It will be interesting to see who replaces him
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 8:00 am
I thought I heard on the news last night that the opps had voted against the family payments?
by confessions on May 11, 2012 at 8:01 am
confessions
The opps voted against the Kid education bonus which has now passed through both houses and will be banked into accounts very soon
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 8:01 am
No, my mistake. It was the school stuff.
by confessions on May 11, 2012 at 8:01 am
http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2012/may/10/police-officers-march-cuts
This is the caos, the liberals in uk briing
by my say on May 11, 2012 at 8:03 am
DL
Abbott is being unoriignal, but I believe the govt should agree with this initiative. If i am correct, there was this type of initiative years ago, and Howard dumped it. I cant be sure. Will need to check it out.
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 8:04 am
my say
For this govt to really have a chance, we need slipper back in the chair and Thomson to remain on the cross benches. Every day, i hope there is something to indicate that these things will happen.
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 8:05 am
Yes, danny our liitle ones here in the catholic system can only speak for themlearn
About the country, and then a few basic words, thenit progrsses up the grades
by my say on May 11, 2012 at 8:05 am