Essential Research: 58-42 to Coalition
This week’s Essential Research poll gives Labor its worst result since the company opened for business in 2008: a primary vote of 29%, down two points on last week, and a two-party preferred deficit of 58-42. The former is particularly alarming for Labor, as Essential typically has Labor’s primary vote a few points higher than the phone pollsters. The Coalition and the Greens are steady on 50% and 11%.
With respect to the economy, 66% allowed that it had performed better than other countries’ over the past few years (although this was down from 70% in August last year), with 15% believing it to be worse (up from 10%). In the event of another global financial crisis, 42% would better trust the Liberal Party to deal with it than Labor, on 25%. Forty-six per cent anticipate the economy will get worse over the next 12 months against 23% who think it will get better (the figures when the question was asked a year ago were 37% worse and 27% better).
Sixty-two per cent believe a politician accused of an offence should stand down from their positions, against 27% who believe they should be allowed to continue. Questions on banking suggest the public to be well to the left of the elites on these matters: 55% would support the establishment of a government-owned bank, 74% forcing banks to charge rates in line with the Reserve Bank, 81% capping chief executive’s salaries, 92% limiting bank fees to the costs of the service and 59% a super profits tax on banks (the numbers opposed were respectively 23%, 16%, 12%, 5% and 21%). Fifty-nine per cent would support a levy on large transactions of currencies, bonds and shares, with 16% opposed.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Hmmm…..Interesting thought
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 11:06 am
what polling companies should do is take a leaf out of the QandA playbook.
QandA has shown you can write apps to get people to participate in polls on their tablets and smartphones.
by guytaur on May 11, 2012 at 11:06 am
Scittydog
The amount if any will be very minimal, the compensation is amazing more than they need
U have to earn 18 thous, to be taxed now, , pensiiners to receive increase, and i beleive a bonus.
Chidendiwment up,et. Now any one earning huge income may have to wear it
I also remind people if they ir their grand childrrn have asthma, less smog,
And its great to think we sre ckeaning up our water ways, re fishing, et
Peope are very greedy, but on tbe otger hand if the talk in the media had educated, not
Made negstive remarks then who knows i doubt we woukd be having this conversation
I then expkain the uk, chia south korrea ard doing this and 36 other countries ,
The list is i wikki some where
Now some think they pay the tax as the mefia call it, no only polluters
Out come better health
Gee peopleare stupid,, it was only just a few years ago i remember people screaming about pollution in our rivers ect,
by my say on May 11, 2012 at 11:08 am
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 11:08 am
Medifa, / media
by my say on May 11, 2012 at 11:08 am
scoutdog,
Basically, all political parties have agreed to a 5% reduction in Greenhouse gases by 2020. How they get there is where they differ.
Labor want to make the polluters pay for the CO2 pollution they are putting into the air. They hope that this penalty regime will make the polluters think twice about this and find new ways to minimise the amount of CO2 pollution they create and have to pay for. Thus will a ‘price signal’ be sent to them to change their ways. Thus will the amount of CO2 going into the atmosphere decrease and, eventually, this will lead to a reversal in the trend to Global Warming. The Labor Party will hand this money that they get from the polluters back to the consumers to help them cope with the higher prices they will have to pay for the polluters’ products like electricity, as they pass their costs on.
The Liberal National Coalition parties want to take, on average, $1300 from out of the pockets of every family in Australia and give it to the polluters as a sort of bribe to make them stop polluting. Good luck with that I say. I think they’ll take the money and run.
Hope that has helped.
by C@tmomma on May 11, 2012 at 11:09 am
shellbell, peanuts are one of the most nutritious & complete foods available, especially of eaten fresh, or fresh added to other vegetables, lentils, meat etc. The other is egg. Because of their nutritional value, peanuts were the major (& sometimes only) food fed to slaves in the Americas – and they were expected to work like …. In rural China (a major producer), they’re often eaten for breakfast, or taken to work for a snack – far better for you, as their carbs & nutrition longer lasting than breakfast cereal.
They (and the navy beans used in baked beans) are Australian products, though they are being displaced by cheaper imports. But tasty & nutritional peanut paste (if you have a blender) and baked beans are very simple to make, taste great, are loaded with nutrients and have far less “juice” to sog up bread.
If you look for sugar-free, low salt peanut paste – and “paste” is the correct Oz usage – it’s about the best filling for kids lunch (wholegrain, pref) sandwiches. For an even more nutritious lunch, one sanger peanut paste, one egg & lettuce. Or add a water-tight container of home made baked beans – although my experience is that the kid will be offered junk in return for tasty home made goodies.
by OzPol Tragic on May 11, 2012 at 11:09 am
don’t know, mysay, maybe on to something there – media and mafia?
by zoomster on May 11, 2012 at 11:11 am
So with the low ratings of the Budget reply and now Kroger dominating Abbott is eclipsed.
This means more gets out.
Malcolm Turnbull media advisor making commment re Kroger on 24
by guytaur on May 11, 2012 at 11:11 am
That is an excellent point.
by Gary on May 11, 2012 at 11:12 am
victoria @ 7143
This is ridiculous and offensive. You are inferring that I support the “election now” calls of Abbott.
I want the government to run full term, implement it’s policies, go to the next election with a good policy agenda and win that election. I have never said anything that could be interpreted otherwise.
However, the only measures of performance we have, polls, show that we are not on tract to achieve all of those goals.
The most constructive suggestions I have seen on this site to repair the governments situation have come from bluegreen with his comments on rhetoric and other communications issues.
Much of the comment here is mere hand wringing about Abbott’s awfulness and the media bias. You won’t get an argument on that, but merely repeating it goes nowhere.
by bemused on May 11, 2012 at 11:13 am
scoutdog Posted Friday, May 11, 2012 at 10:55 am | Permalink
Henry – hope i can be that articulate good response, we are middle income earners and do not receive Family
So scoutdog,
Family part b then, , ,
There is a site sonewhere re what you getl M re compensation
ring your closest labor memnber
by my say on May 11, 2012 at 11:13 am
Scoutdog 7149
Regardless of the actual price we have to ACT.
Quibbling about price is merely whingeing and creating bad feeling where no genuine criticism can be found.
Technical detail doesn’t sink in with tribally prejudiced people. The crosby/textor method of appealing to emotions sadly works; so try to paint the emotional picture; “These Tea Party LNP people are whingers, lying, and talking down Australia’s efforts”
by d-money on May 11, 2012 at 11:14 am
Aguirre@7131
Yes, agree with you about the “giant reality TV show”.
After the 2010 election, there was a kind of feeling the the ‘judges’ – namely, the electorate, had somehow made a “mistake”.
As in all reality TV show – especially competitions – there should have been a ‘people’s choice’ vote. Kind of, we don’t like the outcome, “let the viewers decide” response.
The recent Rudd challenge had all the hallmarks of this too. It is not so much that the lumpen proletariat are the only ones who want this stuff, the players do as well.
At the time KR was/is “The People’s Choice” and as much as anything else, if you are looking for motivations we have Wicked Witch (JG – Boo), Hard Done By Harry (KR – Yay!) and waiting in the wings, Big Boogey Man (TA – sort of scared hooray but boo as well)
We can bemoan this as much as we like but it is grist for the mill.
Could write tons in support of your view.
We are living in times when the cult of personality means everything, aided and abetted by a shallow and ever-changing media cycle, where people have decided they have a sense of entitlement and they do not have the patience to wait for policies to be developed and implement.
Earlier on someone wrote that if Labor should lose in 2013, they would be out for a “generation”. This is totally wrong, as if an Abbott led government disappoints – as it would undoubtedly – it will be out on its ear in just one term.
by Tricot on May 11, 2012 at 11:14 am
Victoria
I think slowly and steadily they will cut him loose. It will/has start(ed) off with doubts about pre-selection (Crean yesterday) and then grave concern at the allegations (Shorten already). The rhetoric will then move to:
(a) the respect which FWA should be given for its comprehensive work;
(b) the seriousness of the allegations/FWA findings;
(c) the necessity of probity in corporate/union funds management;
(d) trust and reliability generally.
In due course, he wont have a friend in the house as the election gets closer.
by shellbell on May 11, 2012 at 11:14 am
Zoomster
by my say on May 11, 2012 at 11:15 am
Bloke on 24 is making good points; in that Abbott’s strategy of small targets is working – small detail, sound grabs to the suburbs
Do not agree with him but people are fools and go for the sound grabs…..people listen to Abbott’s sound grabs.
Frustrating but true
by scoutdog on May 11, 2012 at 11:15 am
bemused
Leadership change talk is calling for election now. The crossbenches have made it crystal clear. They signed and agreement with Gillard. Any leadership change would mean redoing the agreement. Interesting constitutional questions while that happens you can be sure Abbott would exploit to the max.
Result most likely would be election now.
by guytaur on May 11, 2012 at 11:15 am
OPT
Peanut anything is forbidden at pre and primary schools for fear of someone with an allergy being exposed
by shellbell on May 11, 2012 at 11:16 am
Victoria:
My only interest in Thomson is in why the Coalition were so keen to get him up in parliament talking about the findings. I can’t see those demands on Gillard as to who in her office dealt with him going anywhere. The bankruptcy thing doesn’t ring true, as some here explained yesterday. But they’ve got him talking, which I can only think would work in his favour.
He plainly thinks the report was a put-up job. Whether he’s right about that or not, I don’t know. What will probably come out of it is the finding that nothing he did was illegal, but it all looked bad. That would oblige him to do nothing except sit on the cross-benches and exercise his vote.
We’ll have to wait and see on that, but without criminal charges against Thomson, I can’t see anything much happening. Bad press, but what else is new?
by Aguirre on May 11, 2012 at 11:16 am
You know i did not know until recently that peanuts are not actually nuts.
by Henry on May 11, 2012 at 11:18 am
Will do My Say – your a Tasmanian like me is that right?
by scoutdog on May 11, 2012 at 11:18 am
Tricot
Remember the actual vote that got the hung Parliament meant a lot of people felt frustrated when the cross benches went with Labor and not Coalition.
They are yelling long and hard. Just as would have Labor voters if the cross benches had chosen the other way.
The only difference would have been in Labor not trashing the processes of government to get power.
by guytaur on May 11, 2012 at 11:18 am
“adds in this nice idea he has that kids should learn languages, and they report that he has a plan for kids to learn languages.”
My recollection is that it was the Member of G’s pet project. I believe J Hockey met him in Qland. Just wonder why TA would have picked this particular policy.
by gigi on May 11, 2012 at 11:19 am
Aguirre
Agreed
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 11:19 am
What took you so long to come to that conclusion. His long history of telling different, inconsistent stories to different audiences should have tipped you off long ago.
by It’s Time on May 11, 2012 at 11:19 am
guytaur @ 7167
You are implying that I am agitating for a leadership change now. I am not.
But I suspect caucus might by the end of the year unless there is some significant improvement.
by bemused on May 11, 2012 at 11:20 am
What, you mean they’re sane?
by Gary on May 11, 2012 at 11:21 am
Yes, that was one thing I was spectacularly wrong about.
I fully expected the media to camp outside his house, follow him around all day and basically ensure they were in his face and on the spot, waiting for him to say or do something that might, just might, indicate the challenge is on again.
But then again, it might have been them deciding the Thommo stuff (and later the Slipper stuff) might be far more exciting.
Still, why aren’t any of them camped outside ASHBY’S house?
by Danny Lewis on May 11, 2012 at 11:21 am
Geoffrey
Your suspicions are WRONG. My post was directed to Bemused because, as a life member of the Labor Party and a one-time Labor candidate he should know better if he truly has the values of the party at heart.
If you are also a life member of the Labor Party and have stood as a candidate, then I would also tell you to stop and think how dissing the Leader of Party does to the perceptions of those around you.
For me, I take the view that no-one on this earth is perfect and I have lived my rather long life to look for the best in those I meet and give them the benefit of the doubt that they are what they seem. I was never oblivious to Rudd’s vanity/ego and I did not diss him for his little idiosyncrasies that were highlighted by the media. I was shocked at the events of June 2010 because although the reports were coming fast and furious about his micro-management and discontent among his colleagues, I was concerned when it was reported he called the leaders of other nations “ratf…ers” and when he threw one of his tanties and told a delegation of backbenchers to “f..k off” rather than listen to their concerns.
After June 2010, I like many many other Labor supporters began to put the pieces together and the whole picture became more clear. So, okay the man was impossible to work with and therefore had to go which was sad for him and for the Party. I held a lot of sympathy for the man until he nursed his bitterness, refused to face up to his own failings and went on an revenge binge.
Now Julia Gillard did not shun the man but instead from day 1 declared that his talents should not be wasted and he would have a top position on her front bench should Labor win the election. (I have no doubt she did this against the wishes of the party). The PM moved aside FM Smith and gave Rudd Foreign Affairs where he could shine on the world stage and apply his talents for the benefit of this country. And, what did Rudd do? He spent the whole time undermining the government and endeavouring to destroy the PM and her Cabinet, by feeding a rabid msm and cosying up to coalition friends. He betrayed his Party, the Labor Government and the Australian people. And, he and his small band of caucus supporters continue on this path to this very day albeit further underground. They are grubs one and all.
by janice2 on May 11, 2012 at 11:23 am
And wouldn’t caucus be making the exact same mistake as the NSW Labor Party, with their multiple canges of leader in in quick time, and the federal party in 2010 if they did that?
by Gary on May 11, 2012 at 11:24 am
Bob Katter sounds like he doesn’t want an early election. Don’t blame him as he’d want time to build his party in Queensland. That would suggest he’d either vote with Labor or abstain when these motions to suspend Thomson come up
by spur212 on May 11, 2012 at 11:26 am
janice2
Sadly true, and every chance they may still damage the party down the track. What a shame. Here is hoping that the Libs manage to do some damage to themselves in the meantime.
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 11:27 am
bemused
Let me put it another way. Are you a member of Caucus?
If not I suggest the only people to benefit from Leadership change talk is in fact conservatives.
I am not saying be unrealistic about problems. Just do not suggest leadership change will solve those problems because they will not. All the major problems the Rudd camp people talk about will remain for him or anyone else taking leadership. They have to get the crossbenches on side while remaining true to Labor values.
This means carbon price remains as it is as the Greens will not change. Neither will Oakshott and Windsor as they were part of the process getting that price.
The list goes on.
So that said what can you do to support Labor and its leader Gillard.
I suggest those comments you and bg have been making regarding public statements is one way. In the meantime the Daily Terror is determined along with tabloid television to label Gillard a “class warrior” as if that is a bad thing.
As you have pointed out this is good as the “class” Gillard is standing up for are the swinging voters of Western Sydney against the Silvertail voters of North Shore Sydney
by guytaur on May 11, 2012 at 11:27 am
Champagne comedy Gary!!
by Henry on May 11, 2012 at 11:27 am
spur212
For what it is worth, neither do the other indies.
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 11:28 am
Things have gotten so bad that any change of leadership now would be running away and would cause more damage.
If the numbers on the floor stabilize and Gillard can’t improve, then I’d think drafting Rudd would come back into contention (and he’s the only real choice and it would mean clearing out people like Swan, Conroy, Burke, Roxon etc), but as things stand, Gillard is the only choice
by spur212 on May 11, 2012 at 11:29 am
Tricot:
That was on my mind earlier this morning too. You know, if the current opposition displayed some competence I might agree with the assertion. The current one could probably survive on bad-mouthing the ALP for much of its first term, but they’d probably have to go to an election early to ensure a second term, and they’d be on borrowed time after that. I can understand people being ungrateful when things are going well; I can’t see them being forgiving when things aren’t.
But who knows, maybe the Coalition will stumble onto a boom and just ride that out for a couple of terms. Could happen.
My opinion on their polices, as I’ve said before, is that they have no intention of repealing anything. They’ll fiddle around with the edges of stuff, but fundamentally carbon pricing, NBN and mining tax will all be untouched. They might try to get Nauru up, but that at least is one area where public opinion is not with them. There would need to be some international terrorist issue to push people back to that thinking again. The other thing they’ll do is rebrand and try to reintroduce WorkChoices.
They’ve thrown everything at just finding a way to get into power, and have jettisoned most of the policy work in doing that.
by Aguirre on May 11, 2012 at 11:30 am
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 11:30 am
I suspect the news on Bob Katter’s attitude to the Thomson issue has been discussed earlier but I am growing to like old Bob.
by Gary on May 11, 2012 at 11:31 am
News 24 is highlighting that Abbott has called on Labor to change its leader.
We get people here talking leadership change. Coincidence?
You decide.
by guytaur on May 11, 2012 at 11:36 am
gigi@7173,
Spot on! Dots well-connected.
by C@tmomma on May 11, 2012 at 11:36 am
Did Abbott really say we will save more than $50bn this time?
{giggles}
by bluegreen on May 11, 2012 at 11:37 am
guytaur
Why does Abbott want Labor to change its leader, when he is on track to win in a landslide?
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 11:37 am
Abbott’s saying it, is he? Oh well, I guess they’ve got no choice then. I believe Abbott’s opinion holds great sway around the ALP.
by Aguirre on May 11, 2012 at 11:39 am
gigi
I had missed your post. Well spotted indeed!!
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 11:39 am
victoria
Abbott knows leadership change at Labor’s helm means election now.
by guytaur on May 11, 2012 at 11:39 am
Katter is more sympathetic to the ALP than he appears on the surface. He’s what Labor was in the 1950′s and 60′s. Very pro trade union. He wants to return to centralised wage fixing, give government control over interest rates etc etc etc. What Labor believed in before Whitlam, Hawke and Keating
by spur212 on May 11, 2012 at 11:39 am
Dead, buried, cremated, Costello’d.
by bluegreen on May 11, 2012 at 11:40 am
guytaur
Bingo
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 11:40 am