Essential Research: 58-42 to Coalition
This week’s Essential Research poll gives Labor its worst result since the company opened for business in 2008: a primary vote of 29%, down two points on last week, and a two-party preferred deficit of 58-42. The former is particularly alarming for Labor, as Essential typically has Labor’s primary vote a few points higher than the phone pollsters. The Coalition and the Greens are steady on 50% and 11%.
With respect to the economy, 66% allowed that it had performed better than other countries’ over the past few years (although this was down from 70% in August last year), with 15% believing it to be worse (up from 10%). In the event of another global financial crisis, 42% would better trust the Liberal Party to deal with it than Labor, on 25%. Forty-six per cent anticipate the economy will get worse over the next 12 months against 23% who think it will get better (the figures when the question was asked a year ago were 37% worse and 27% better).
Sixty-two per cent believe a politician accused of an offence should stand down from their positions, against 27% who believe they should be allowed to continue. Questions on banking suggest the public to be well to the left of the elites on these matters: 55% would support the establishment of a government-owned bank, 74% forcing banks to charge rates in line with the Reserve Bank, 81% capping chief executive’s salaries, 92% limiting bank fees to the costs of the service and 59% a super profits tax on banks (the numbers opposed were respectively 23%, 16%, 12%, 5% and 21%). Fifty-nine per cent would support a levy on large transactions of currencies, bonds and shares, with 16% opposed.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Or a resignation.
by bluegreen on May 11, 2012 at 12:17 pm
As much as Laurie may think otherwise, no parliamentary privilege attaches to his interviews.
by shellbell on May 11, 2012 at 12:17 pm
Scoutdog:
There is a good article on Newmatilda on why our carbon price isn’t really the world’s biggest:
http://newmatilda.com/2012/05/09/our-carbon-tax-really-biggest
by Think Big on May 11, 2012 at 12:18 pm
(only interest in Thomson is in why the Coalition were so keen to get him up in parliament talking about the findings. I can)
But the plan was to ask him to speak then and there unprepared, , isuppose tbry thought he woukd be nervous
But it backfired.
It back fired.’
by my say on May 11, 2012 at 12:18 pm
bg
You may not agree, but there is trouble in liberal land on a few fronts. There is going to be blowback on Slipper for one.
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 12:18 pm
by guytaur on May 11, 2012 at 12:18 pm
by guytaur on May 11, 2012 at 12:19 pm
by guytaur on May 11, 2012 at 12:20 pm
PJK-His repeated interruptions of her were as impertinent as they’re off point. http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/4004234.html – Yes, 26 as my tweet to @abcmarkscott
by The Finnigans on May 11, 2012 at 12:21 pm
by guytaur on May 11, 2012 at 12:22 pm
With the Abbott PPL levy Australia will fall behind Cuba and Italy on the international company tax rate front. And further behind all our competitors.
by bluegreen on May 11, 2012 at 12:22 pm
Poroti, you deserve more red herrings
by The Finnigans on May 11, 2012 at 12:24 pm
That “Abbott is an economic illiterate” quote is getting out there big time today.
by guytaur on May 11, 2012 at 12:24 pm
victoria @ 7248
It is here now, not a future event.
What concerns me greatly is people like kezza who is obviously highly intelligent, held responsible, skilled jobs and is now unemployed and can’t get a job. The pain comes through in her posts and is testament to the enormous damage that is being inflicted on so many people. A lot more than 4.9%.
We need a new White Paper on Full Employment and a commitment to achieving it.
True full employment has not existed in Australia since the 1960s.
by bemused on May 11, 2012 at 12:25 pm
spur212
keating does not mince his words
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 12:25 pm
There’s no point talking about the good things here – that would be preaching to the converted (whether for or against). What would benefit the ALP is cogent discussion on future policies which it could pursue and the effective presentation and communication of its current policies and actions. I hope that the general public’s cognitive dissonance where it prefers Labor’s individual policies but prefers to vote for the coalition will be broken under the pressure of an election campaign but that may be hope and faith over fact.
Mindlessly following the same party line and expecting a different outcome to the present polling position is irrational.
by It’s Time on May 11, 2012 at 12:25 pm
Thankfully caucus are more discerning than the befuddled fairweather tunnel viewers who think they know better than those doing the job and doing it bloody well. Get over it and suck up the fact that it is PM Gillard or die for the cause. The only other option for you is join the grubs you admire so much. If the Labor led Gillard Government lose the election to the rabid Abbott wreckers then so be it, but this nation will soon rue their stupidity in allowing themselves to be conned by a mob spewing lies and vitriol aided and abetted by a media owned by a disreputable old man who has spent a life time chasing money and power.
by janice2 on May 11, 2012 at 12:25 pm
Keating syays what many have been saying about Uhlmann. No ones watching but is any body listening in ABC Management.
“My criticism of Uhlmann is not that of bias, but of competence. His apologists say he is learning on the job. But what is the route to accomplishment when the technique is formulaic – limited to loaded set questions invariably posed in an accusatory tone?”
http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/4004234.html
by Greensborough Growler on May 11, 2012 at 12:25 pm
bemused
I doubt full employment is achievable anywhere now. In any event, a white paper is one way to go
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 12:28 pm
Repeat. Repeat. Repeat.
For the next 12 months.
by gloryconsequence on May 11, 2012 at 12:28 pm
janice2 @ 7266
Your obsession on this topic betrays the inner doubts you must harbour.
by bemused on May 11, 2012 at 12:30 pm
Integrity is pulling out of a deal with the Labor Party if any new leadership team reaffirms Labor’s commitments to the agreement?
We’ll have to agree to disagree on this hypothetical situation because we won’t know for sure unless it actually happens.
by It’s Time on May 11, 2012 at 12:30 pm
What’s Minchin up to today?
by Son of foro on May 11, 2012 at 12:31 pm
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 12:32 pm
The class warfare stuff is going down a treat. Abbott and Hockey sounding shrill defending it- labels them ‘not one of us” for the first time.
by bluegreen on May 11, 2012 at 12:32 pm
SoF
Minchin is one the puppet masters of the Liberal Party. Tells me there are changes afoot
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 12:33 pm
victoria,
I think you should take a deep bow.
More than once over the few weeks you commented that labor would change direction after the budget.
I believe they have big time.
Enjoy your time in the sun!
by Doyley on May 11, 2012 at 12:34 pm
Endlessly bagging out the leader and the party and expecting the electorate to stop doing so is also irrational.
The message that sends is that even party members can’t support their leader and their party.
If that’s the case, then why should anyone else?
by zoomster on May 11, 2012 at 12:34 pm
d Friday, May 11, 2012 at 11:58 am | Permalink
Stephen Spencer @sspencer_63
‘It just got better. Great pics of Hockey confronting Kroger at 3AW. Heaps of finger pointing. Hockey clearly very angry.’
Any pictures
by my say on May 11, 2012 at 12:35 pm
victoria @ 7268
IIRC the definition of “Full Employment” is (or was) about 2% unemployment to allow for people between jobs.
We have 4.9% but a whole lot of hidden unemployment or underemployment.
I meet new graduates who have trouble getting a job because employers say they want … ‘experience’. WTF???? They are new graduates.
Of course the real motivation is often to enable the employer to say they cannot find an Australian to fill the job and to look to getting a cheap 457 worker who will be a new graduate…. without ‘experience’.
It is a scandal.
by bemused on May 11, 2012 at 12:35 pm
Doyley
I wish I could take credit, but it was just a logical observation. Once the budget was announced, the govt would start spruiking.
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 12:35 pm
Vic, if you are about, you have your MOAR this morning and will be tomorrow morning with Thomson with Oakes
by The Finnigans on May 11, 2012 at 12:36 pm
I don’t see why. Minchin gifted Abbott the party leadership on the condition that he reject the ETS deal. He did that and has not shown any sign of an about face on that particular issue, as opposed to just about any other “policy” position he tentatively holds.
by It’s Time on May 11, 2012 at 12:37 pm
The finns
Yes I do realise that. Now I do have my suspicions which direction Thomson may go in, but as usual, I do have a ferment imagination. Anyhow, all I will say is KJ and others have some explaining to do?
by victoria on May 11, 2012 at 12:37 pm
Victoria,
I must disagree ( in the nicest possible way ).
But anyway, sit back and enjoy.
cheers.
by Doyley on May 11, 2012 at 12:37 pm
Its Time
I will Repeat. News 24 has highlighted Abbott wants leadership change in the Labor party.
The only people leadership change talk is benefiting is the conservatives.
The crossbenches want their policies implemented. Do not make the mistake of thinking they will stay in power for that reason. As I said look to Tasmanian Green/Labor history and find out.
Especially at this time when finally Labor is getting traction.
by guytaur on May 11, 2012 at 12:38 pm
And Minchin backs Costello’s story.
Oh goody!
by spur212 on May 11, 2012 at 12:38 pm
zoomster @ 7277
More often than not, the questioning of leadership is started by the defenders of JG.
My concern is not so much JG per se, but the public perception of her which is toxic. It may be entirely undeserved, but it is there and has to be dealt with. And you cannot deny it exists as she is now less popular than Abbott!
by bemused on May 11, 2012 at 12:38 pm
my say@7278
https://twitter.com/#!/sspencer_63/status/200774430950043648/photo/1
https://twitter.com/#!/sspencer_63/status/200774664438546432/photo/1
by ShiftyPhil on May 11, 2012 at 12:38 pm
Vic, and we promise MOAR with Ashby, Sophie etc
by The Finnigans on May 11, 2012 at 12:39 pm
Vic, intuitive i think.
can i also mention my thoughts have been, bad thing sonetimes happen to flush out evil
It may take a few weeks yet, but the paving is being laid on the road,
If you look back u sometimes see where it began,
Good over evil most times,
by my say on May 11, 2012 at 12:39 pm
Cry me a river, and i will piss over you
by The Finnigans on May 11, 2012 at 12:40 pm
real finger pointing. They could be discussing whether Joe should try soy in his coffee.
by shellbell on May 11, 2012 at 12:41 pm
Gosh phil great work
and ch, 10 are not ignoring this
Must be somthing going on
by my say on May 11, 2012 at 12:42 pm
Ummm, I thin k they’r3e behind him.
by It’s Time on May 11, 2012 at 12:43 pm
Labor should respond by getting anything Costello said about Abbott on the economy and playing it over and over again.
by spur212 on May 11, 2012 at 12:44 pm
Its Time
From last year
http://www.smh.com.au/national/liberals-split-by-brawling-20110526-1f6hr.html#ixzz1uWd3OoLA
by bluegreen on May 11, 2012 at 12:44 pm
Bemused@7263
I agree 100%. Battles such as this one are best fought from the strength of majority Government. Hard to do that when even your base, lifelong members, wont even back the best person for the job. Julia Gillard.
Ms Gillard may not be the most adept politician around but, to me anyway, she epitomises what the Labor movement is about. Standing up to vested interests and staring them down. Why do think they hate her so much? She stares them down now, what would she achieve should she win Government in her own right in 2013? That’s why they want her gone.
They own Abbott and Rudd hasn’t got the backbone to stand up to them. Who else is there? This is not politics; this is not a cerebral exercise. This is about people such as kezza. It is fu^&&*g important.
by Ian on May 11, 2012 at 12:44 pm
As I’ve said before, bemused, why even talk about it?
How does it help – other than confirming, for others, that people in the Labor party don’t back their leader?
There’s plenty of other posters here who aren’t Labor members willing to do the JG bashing, if you think that’s something that needs to be done.
by zoomster on May 11, 2012 at 12:44 pm
spur212 @ 7245
http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/4004234.html
Thanks for the link and what an eloquent writer PJK is. A truly great man…
by Peter of Marino on May 11, 2012 at 12:45 pm