Essential Research: 56-44 to Coalition
The latest Essential Research result has Labor gaining a point on two-party preferred for the second week in a row, with the Coalition now leading 56-44, and has Labor gaining three points on the primary vote – a very unusual occurrence in this series, which publishes weekly results derived from a two-week rolling average. Labor’s primary vote is at 33%, with the Coalition and the Greens each down a point to 49% and 10% respectively.
The first of the supplementary questions measures respondents’ knowledge rather than opinions: namely, the question of whether interest rates are higher or lower now than they were when Labor came to power, the purpose presumably being to determine whether misapprehensions are behind Labor’s diabolical polling. A majority (35% to 20%) were in fact aware that they were now lower, but only 10% thought they were a little lower against 25% for a lot, when the official interest rate has in fact gone from 6.75% to 3.75%. Respondents were then asked how much credit they gave Labor for the drop: 7% said a lot, 19% a fair amount, 27% a little and 35% none. Further questions cover the casualisation of the workforce, the mining boom, the value of various industries to average Australians, and the notion that the government is engaged in “class warfare” (28% agree, 46% disagree).
Further polling snippets:
• Yesterday’s Sunday Mail reported that the Galaxy poll of Queensland respondents covered in the previous post also found that Kevin Rudd’s lead over Julia Gillard in the state at 67-21, and at 62-37 among Labor voters.
• News Limited tabloids carried another Galaxy poll yesterday, this one conducted online from a national sample of 606, which showed support for gay marriage at 50% against 33% opposed. However, 26% of respondents said legislation to allow gay marriage would make them less likely to vote Labor, against only 22% who said more likely.
• Labor has gone public with polling conducted for it by UMR Research, which apparently found that 25% of respondents “would vote for” Julian Assange if he ran for a Senate seat. This tendency was fairly evenly spread among supporters of different parties: 39% for Greens, 26% for Labor and 23% for Coalition. The combined figure is similar to the 23% of respondents to a Galaxy poll in September last year who rated themselves “likely” to vote for Katter’s Australian Party at the Queensland state election: 11.5% would actually do so. It is not clear if the poll was entirely national, as the report from Phillip Coorey in the Sydney Morning Herald only spoke of results from New South Wales and Victoria, which perhaps surprisingly showed slightly stronger support for Assange in the former.
Preselection:
• Tasmanian Labor Senator Nick Sherry, who had already announced he would not contest the next election, has brought forward his retirement. David Killick of The Mercury reports the vacancy looks set to be filled by Lin Thorp, member for the state upper house seat of Rumney from 1999 until her defeat in 2011. Thorp has the backing of Sherry’s Left faction, including from Premier Lara Giddings. However, earlier reports suggested others in the Left wanted a younger candidate, and that a move was on to have the party’s administrative committee reserve the position for a candidate from northern Tasmanian – with Launceston commercial lawyer Ross Hart fitting the bill on both counts. Notably, Unions Tasmania secretary Kevin Harkins, who was said to have been locked out preselection in 2007 because Kevin Rudd had him confused with Kevin Reynolds, and again in 2010 because Rudd did not want to admit to his mistake, had ruled himself out because “we’re likely to have a very conservative government in just a tad over 12 months’ time, (and) the best place for me is with the union movement”.
Page 1 of 3 | Next page
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
TLM
Er, because he isn’t presently a member of the ALP and only ALP members can stand for preselection.
If he is re admitted to the party, he can then put his name up.
by zoomster on May 23, 2012 at 3:14 pm
TLM
No he did not.
by victoria on May 23, 2012 at 3:14 pm
Bemused
Explain to me the Australian Labor Movements role in the Kanak dispute in the context of worker versus capital.
Explain to me why Holt did more to dismantle the white australia policy than Chifley did in the context of worker versus capital.
Explain to me why Don Farrell prevented for so long Same-Sex marriage in terms of worker versus capital.
by bluegreen on May 23, 2012 at 3:14 pm
my say
I’d have to look up the exact quote as I haven’t read the New Testament for a number of years. It was to do with denying Christ before the cockerel (sic) crowed three times.
by lizzie on May 23, 2012 at 3:14 pm
I saw a small clip on Sky in which the captain of an aircraft reported having full control of the cockpit.
I caught none of the context.
by Boerwar on May 23, 2012 at 3:14 pm
Evan, I’m pretty sure he voted for Rudd; but I admit I could be wrong on that.
by ltep on May 23, 2012 at 3:15 pm
Paul Kelly:
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/thomson-affair-shows-the-need-for-a-federal-icac/story-e6frg74x-1226363899111
by Thornleigh Labor Man on May 23, 2012 at 3:15 pm
Judge and Jury now are you Evan ?
by Mick Collins on May 23, 2012 at 3:16 pm
Lizzie
I am pretty sure the the new testament has no mention of Abbott’s cock. The old testament however….
by bluegreen on May 23, 2012 at 3:16 pm
TLM still moving targets avoiding a discussion.
by zoidlord on May 23, 2012 at 3:16 pm
We don’t have a lot of information but Mr Abbott claims to have begat three daughters.
by Boerwar on May 23, 2012 at 3:18 pm
Is this illuminating?
by William Bowe on May 23, 2012 at 3:18 pm
Emergency services are heading to Melbourne Airport after reports of an incident aboard a flight to Mauritius.
An MFB spokeswoman said 13 trucks were responding and two had already arrived on the scene after the police asked them “to respond to a possible full emergency”.
The captain has reportedly turned the flight around and is returning to Melbourne Airport.
Air Mauritius Flight MK943 was heading to Perth and then Mauritius and reportedly had 190 people on board when the captain declared an emergency.
d more: http://www.theage.com.au/travel/travel-incidents/fire-crews-called-to-airport-over-flight-incident-20120523-1z4m5.html#ixzz1vfQTADj1
by lizzie on May 23, 2012 at 3:19 pm
There are around 43,000 churches in France with a cock on the roof. No-one had much of a idea why. They are just on the roof, apparently.
by Boerwar on May 23, 2012 at 3:19 pm
bluegreen @ 3352
I don’t know the details.
Did he? The old union position was to keep out cheap labour.
Seems 457 visas now provide some of the cheap labour that Clive, Gina and mates want.
Peripheral issue. Farrell will lose and he is only one man.
by bemused on May 23, 2012 at 3:19 pm
Have to agree with yesterday’s posters who queried Abbott’s health. Might have been a camera trick of the light etc BUT HE DID LOOK YELLOW.
Not a healthy look. Liver disease??, Kidney failure, hepatitis A, B, C or Z?
Diog??? OC???
by daretotread on May 23, 2012 at 3:19 pm
Lizzie, is this of any help?
Denies before cock crows
(Mathew 26:34,74-75) – “Jesus said to him, “Truly I say to you that this very night, before a cock crows, you shall deny Me three times . . . 74Then he began to curse and swear, “I do not know the man!” And immediately a cock crowed. 75And Peter remembered the word which Jesus had said, “Before a cock crows, you will deny Me three times.” And he went out and wept bitterly.”
by gigi on May 23, 2012 at 3:19 pm
Oh dear, I do apologise to all women who are reading this Blog atm.
Didn’t mean the discussion on fowl to continue past my throwaway remark
by lizzie on May 23, 2012 at 3:20 pm
Would the sex worker necessarily recognise Thomson’s face? This is not as silly/sexist as it sounds. in the Porfumo Affair an eminent Harley St urologist was called upon to identify a participant from a photograph of his (ahem) extraordinarily large member.
by Oakeshott Country on May 23, 2012 at 3:21 pm
QT over
by guytaur on May 23, 2012 at 3:22 pm
Maybe karma.
by Gary on May 23, 2012 at 3:22 pm
daretotread @ 3365
Nothing too trivial I hope.
by bemused on May 23, 2012 at 3:22 pm
DTT
That sounds like a wish list!
by Dee on May 23, 2012 at 3:22 pm
TLM
No he didn’t. He voted for Thomson.
I remember gusface being unimpressed.
by Diogenes on May 23, 2012 at 3:23 pm
@D2R/3365
Didn’t the Coalition at the time was using Cattering Food Company in Nauru?
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/coalitions-nauru-costings-linked-to-caterer-20120206-1r1yl.html
by zoidlord on May 23, 2012 at 3:23 pm
by victoria on May 23, 2012 at 3:23 pm
The true colour of the Greens
by The Finnigans on May 23, 2012 at 3:24 pm
Normally it’s too much fake tan.
I had a colleague at med school who turned up looking orange. He had been on a fad carrot diet. In retrospect, it was the first sign of his schizophrenia.
by Diogenes on May 23, 2012 at 3:25 pm
gig
It was My Say who wanted more detail!
by lizzie on May 23, 2012 at 3:25 pm
by victoria on May 23, 2012 at 3:26 pm
View details ·
by victoria on May 23, 2012 at 3:27 pm
Dio I agree with your diagnosis – my server shredded my post.
by Oakeshott Country on May 23, 2012 at 3:28 pm
I don’t see what’s surprising about it. The gag is undemocratic and has no place in Parliament. I’d be disappointed if the Greens lightly supported it.
by ltep on May 23, 2012 at 3:28 pm
by victoria on May 23, 2012 at 3:29 pm
He is probably taking Carotene for his winter tan now that you can’t find a good solarium If so his palms will be a strange orange colour.
by Oakeshott Country on May 23, 2012 at 3:30 pm
Victoria
Are you SURE about the way Thomson voted? I thought I saw him of a Gillard list.
There were not MANY on the Rudd list and I think Thomson would be noticed
Who are his closest mates?
by daretotread on May 23, 2012 at 3:30 pm
Ruddock to replace Alexander on privilege committee
by guytaur on May 23, 2012 at 3:31 pm
They just are.
by joe2 on May 23, 2012 at 3:31 pm
DTT
I remember him voting for Rudd.
by victoria on May 23, 2012 at 3:31 pm
Diogenes @ 3377
Is that medical speak for Abbott is going nuts?
by bemused on May 23, 2012 at 3:31 pm
John Alexander shafted from the Privileges Committee in favour of P. Ruddock.
by hugh moran on May 23, 2012 at 3:31 pm
Poor John Alexander kicked off the Privileges Committee in favour of Ruddock.
by ruawake on May 23, 2012 at 3:31 pm
by victoria on May 23, 2012 at 3:32 pm
Seconded.
by bluegreen on May 23, 2012 at 3:32 pm
Better at the backhander, I would say.
by joe2 on May 23, 2012 at 3:32 pm
Aust economy to grow faster than most other advanced economies: OECD – 3.1 percent in 2012 and 3.7 percent in 2013. What a fracking BISON
by The Finnigans on May 23, 2012 at 3:33 pm
Diog OC
So are we saying that Abbott is nits enough to have overdosed on fake tan stuff, or on carrots, or is going (has gone) bonkers.
by daretotread on May 23, 2012 at 3:33 pm
LOL Boerwar comments 3302 & 3337
by Meguire Bob on May 23, 2012 at 3:34 pm
He’s going to have his rant outside the Parl, then?
by lizzie on May 23, 2012 at 3:34 pm
No Carotene always does that – he is just vain about his body image.
by Oakeshott Country on May 23, 2012 at 3:35 pm