Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports (though James J in comments had the numbers 45 minutes earlier) that Newspoll has the two-party preferred vote at 54-46, compared with 55-45 a fortnight ago and 59-41 the fortnight before. The primary votes are 32% for Labor (up two on last time), 46% for the Coalition (up one) and 12% for the Greens (steady). Julia Gillard’s approval rating is up three to 30% and her disapproval down three to 60%, while Tony Abbott is respectively down three and up four to 31% and 60%. Julia Gillard leads as preferred prime minister 40-37, reversing Abbott’s 40-36 lead last time.
Today’s Essential Research was less encouraging for Labor: it had them losing one of the points on two-party preferred which were clawed back over previous weeks, the result now at 57-43. Primary votes were 50% for the Coalition (up one), 33% for Labor (steady) and 10% for the Greens (steady). Other questions gauged views on the parties’ respective “attributes”, with all negative responses for Labor (chiefly “divided” and “will promise anything to win votes”) rating higher than all positives. The Liberal Party did rather better, rating well for “moderate” and “understands the problems facing Australia”. Bewilderingly, only slightly more respondents (35%) were willing to rate the state of the economy as “good” than “bad” (29%), with 33% opting for neither, although 43% rated the position of their household satisfactory against 28% unsatisfactory.
UPDATE (29/5/12): Morgan have broken the habit of a lifetime by publishing their weekend face-to-face poll results on a Tuesday, never having been known in the past to do it earlier than Thursday. My best guess is that they wished to offer a riposte to Newspoll’s relatively encouraging figures for Labor – “today’s Newspoll showing a swing to the ALP is simply unbelievable”, says Gary Morgan in the accompanying release – with their own results, which show Labor support at an all time low on every measure. The poll has Labor’s primary vote down 4.5% on the previous week to 27.5%, the Coalition up 3.5% to 49% and the Greens up 2.5% to 13%. This translates into 61.5-38.5 on respondent-allocated preferences and 58-42 on preferences as they flowed at the previous election.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
BB
Not permantley withdrawn,and they have documents to be given to police etc if required,so think all still stands
by Schnappi on May 29, 2012 at 7:23 pm
I just tried to link the IA article, but it is not there.
by victoria on May 29, 2012 at 7:24 pm
[@JuliaGillard Dear PM, as you stand up and fight Tony Abbott everyday. The magnificent BISONs will be along side you http://www.thefinnigans.blogspot.com.au/
As someone who was mentioned in Hansard, I can tell you that sending a tweet to Gillard’s twitter account is just not the same as being mentioned in Hansard.
by ShowsOn on May 29, 2012 at 7:24 pm
On my quick reading,Wixxy claimed that the $639k was on top of the salary of $270k, making it $929k all up.
But when I went to look at the auditor’s report, salaries weren’t mentioned. So the $270kmay have been part of the $639k.
Link was dead by the time I went back to check.
by Bushfire Bill on May 29, 2012 at 7:25 pm
Those I.A. people seem like blow hards that don’t back up their rumours with actual evidence.
by ShowsOn on May 29, 2012 at 7:26 pm
If the Wixxy documents prove to be kosher and FWA missed them, or failed to look for them I guess the Govt Solicitor would be running away from court at a zillion miles an hour?
by ruawake on May 29, 2012 at 7:27 pm
@bb
Just been lurking around tonight and saw the IA stuff , it appears they were dealing with a MSM outlet to run it at 6pm . Now it’s going to run at 11 pm.
by Paul_J on May 29, 2012 at 7:27 pm
BB
$522,000 was paid directly to jackson,forget what account
by Schnappi on May 29, 2012 at 7:28 pm
That’s just not true at all. They link to original documents.The link that’s been taken down tonight had VERY extensive original documentation, all linkable.
by Bushfire Bill on May 29, 2012 at 7:29 pm
LOL! Gary Morgan ridiculing Newspoll for reliability!
Hehe…
by Mod Lib on May 29, 2012 at 7:30 pm
Why was it taken down?
by ShowsOn on May 29, 2012 at 7:30 pm
@Mod Lib/1109
Isn’t that Anti-Competitive ?
by zoidlord on May 29, 2012 at 7:31 pm
What’s this about members contacting IA with concerns about their Hesta superannuation accounts?
by Dee on May 29, 2012 at 7:31 pm
What is it about the right and incapacity for logical thinking?
by joe2 on May 29, 2012 at 7:33 pm
Showy, it’s all the same to m now. As The BISONs have gone #MSM & got mention by the PM, DPM etc everyday.
Solly, nobody reads Hansard
by The Finnigans on May 29, 2012 at 7:34 pm
I don’t run the site, mate.
I just noted it was put up then taken down. But what I saw there was EXTENSIVELY linked with what purported to be (and what looked like at face value) original documents, chiefly the chartered accountants’ audit report listing HSU expenses for 2010.
It might just be as simple as someone hitting the PUBLISH button by mistake.
by Bushfire Bill on May 29, 2012 at 7:34 pm
I keep a copy of
http://www.independentaustralia.net/2012/politics/thomson-6-the-falling-few-and-the-fall-guy/
in PDF
by The Finnigans on May 29, 2012 at 7:35 pm
If only you knew the problems that were caused getting people out of Lebeonon (sp!) a decade or so ago when it was really needed …
by CTar1 on May 29, 2012 at 7:35 pm
Jackson is reportedly on the board of trustees of HESTA.
by Bushfire Bill on May 29, 2012 at 7:35 pm
How did Shows On get in the Hansard?
By declaring the 54/46 was a bad poll for Labor I assume
by Centre on May 29, 2012 at 7:36 pm
http://wixxy.wordpress.com/2012/05/29/quick-and-to-the-pointless/
Wicky writes about himself – ALP candidate etc
Why does he not disclose who in the HSU is feeding him info so he can really put his credibility on the line? He is not bound by anything.
The HSU is so dysfunctional the Feds and NSW are competing to see who is first to wind it up/appoint administrator. That means his source (I say Williamson) might be someone responsible for that degree of dysfunctionality.
by shellbell on May 29, 2012 at 7:37 pm
Eeyore Robb currently spreading his message of joy in the HoR. I laugh every time he goes on about ALP ‘negativity’.
by Aguirre on May 29, 2012 at 7:40 pm
By pointing out a major inconsistency in Joe Hockey’s characterisation of Australia’s debt level compared to other countries.
No, this is just obvious.
by ShowsOn on May 29, 2012 at 7:43 pm
I think the ‘package’ was $305,000 – equal to the new leader of the Union association that ‘her’ union was to amalgamate with.
by CTar1 on May 29, 2012 at 7:43 pm
This confirms that someone else saw the $522,000 amount
Judge ‘n Jury rocket@sprocket___
The only recipient of this payment is Katherine Jackson — and it is for $522,570.
by Schnappi on May 29, 2012 at 7:44 pm
Bb
Google hesta boar d
by my say on May 29, 2012 at 7:44 pm
Given the viciousness of those involved in the HSU schemozzle, whoever it was probably wanted anonymity.
by Dan Gulberry on May 29, 2012 at 7:44 pm
It looks like Fair Work Aus’s recall to Abetz’s committee (“smoking gun”) is now on Sky multi-view (A-PAC-2). I can’t check News 24 at the moment to see if it’s there too.
by triton on May 29, 2012 at 7:44 pm
The link to the Health Services Union – Victoria No 3 Branch
Audited by Agostinelli Perlen
Signed off November 16, 2010
http://www.independentaustralia.net/Wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/2010-Auditors-report.pdf
by kezza2 on May 29, 2012 at 7:46 pm
triton
not on 24
by Schnappi on May 29, 2012 at 7:47 pm
You can listen here:
http://webcast.aph.gov.au/livebroadcasting/asx2/hms911a.asx
by ShowsOn on May 29, 2012 at 7:48 pm
Is ‘ShowsOn’ envious of the HSU getting more mentions in Harsard ?
by CTar1 on May 29, 2012 at 7:49 pm
So we dont know if the source/whistleblower is a white or black hat.
by shellbell on May 29, 2012 at 7:49 pm
Does anyone have any data accurate with which to answer this thing which is currently doing the rounds?
Left unanswered, many just continue this chain of outrage. (I have altered the email address.)
by A Good Lurk on May 29, 2012 at 7:50 pm
So according to your logic, a good poll is:
a) where one party leads the other, or
b) where a party is close (according to your definition of close) to being ahead in the poll.
Both are wrong; a good poll is one where the results are greater than what was expected.
DAPTO 
by Centre on May 29, 2012 at 7:52 pm
IndependentAustralia@independentaus
@conceravota Sorry, story wasn’t meant to go up yet. Be back up soon.
by Schnappi on May 29, 2012 at 7:53 pm
Good, ShowsOn. I’m surprised it’s not more prominent on TV. Who wants to watch another Sky News or News 24 hourly bulletin?
by triton on May 29, 2012 at 7:53 pm
http://www.abc.net.au/mediawatch/transcripts/s2191987.htm
These chain emails have been going around for years. They started in the U.S. and have just been adapted to Australia.
I believe Centerlink even has a webpage repudiating all of the claims in them.
by ShowsOn on May 29, 2012 at 7:54 pm
Shellbell, they may all have Degrees in Dysfunctionality. Who cares?
It’s all about the information and if it’s for real, not who is delivering it.
by joe2 on May 29, 2012 at 7:54 pm
by guytaur on May 29, 2012 at 7:55 pm
Dan
Plus, MSM wouldn’t bother with claims that contradict their promotion of KJ as a hero.
by Dee on May 29, 2012 at 7:55 pm
CTar1
Australia should place itself firmly at the back of the pack on this one. Our national interest in Syria is very, very low. There is no particular reason why Syria is any more important to our interests than other murderous dictatorial regimes such as those in Zimbabwe and Burma, etc, etc, etc.
In particular, we should be aiming:
(1) not to become embroiled in yet another war. The excessive militarization of our society needs the sort of rest that comes from a couple of decades of peace. We should be focussing on supporting existing Australian casualties, psychological and physical to the max before we start fighting another war. We have around 30,000 cases of PTSD on Defence books. Let’s help them properly before we add to their numbers.
(2) to get out of Afghanistan completely before we start in another war.
(3) not to end up with Australian uniforms in Syria in any shape, way or form.
(4) not to be seen to be taking religous ‘sides’ in any way, shape or form.
In practical terms, Syria contains fault lines that include competition for regional hegemony by Saudi Arabia, Israel, Turkey and Iran. They have been at it for millenia and they will be at it for millenia to come.
By all means expel some diplomats – as long as we simultaneously decry publicly any and all known examples of cold-blooded torture and murder by those seeking to foment a civil war in Syria.
by Boerwar on May 29, 2012 at 7:56 pm
A Good Lurk
http://www.refugeecouncil.org.au/resources/hoaxes.php
by Pegasus on May 29, 2012 at 7:56 pm
No, showy is jealous of My BISONs have gone #MSM & being quoted by PM, DPM, Emmo and every galah in the pet shops are talking about them.
by The Finnigans on May 29, 2012 at 7:56 pm
WTF? This makes no sense at all. A 54/46 poll with the Labor primary 5% worse than at the last election is a bad poll for Labor. It is only 1% ‘better’ than the previous Newspoll, which is a change well within the margin of error.
by ShowsOn on May 29, 2012 at 7:57 pm
Horsey, it’s good to see your cut & paste skills are still in tact.
by The Finnigans on May 29, 2012 at 7:57 pm
Abetz going in hard on FWA’s refusal to confirm existence of document.
by triton on May 29, 2012 at 7:58 pm
I’m yet to see them quote your webpage or mention that their stats were provided to them by someone on the internet who likes to pretend he is a dolphin.
by ShowsOn on May 29, 2012 at 7:58 pm
Useless as usual. Like when they cut from Leveson to Q&A, last night, when it was already available on another station.
by joe2 on May 29, 2012 at 7:58 pm
Centre
As someone from cow cocky heritage I can assure you THIS is a “good poll” , nay a magnificent one http://www.herefordsaustralia.com.au/downloads/breed/AJDD26.jpg
by poroti on May 29, 2012 at 7:58 pm