Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition

Monday, May 28, 2012

by William Bowe

Federal Politics 2010-

GhostWhoVotes reports (though James J in comments had the numbers 45 minutes earlier) that Newspoll has the two-party preferred vote at 54-46, compared with 55-45 a fortnight ago and 59-41 the fortnight before. The primary votes are 32% for Labor (up two on last time), 46% for the Coalition (up one) and 12% for the Greens (steady). Julia Gillard’s approval rating is up three to 30% and her disapproval down three to 60%, while Tony Abbott is respectively down three and up four to 31% and 60%. Julia Gillard leads as preferred prime minister 40-37, reversing Abbott’s 40-36 lead last time.

Today’s Essential Research was less encouraging for Labor: it had them losing one of the points on two-party preferred which were clawed back over previous weeks, the result now at 57-43. Primary votes were 50% for the Coalition (up one), 33% for Labor (steady) and 10% for the Greens (steady). Other questions gauged views on the parties’ respective “attributes”, with all negative responses for Labor (chiefly “divided” and “will promise anything to win votes”) rating higher than all positives. The Liberal Party did rather better, rating well for “moderate” and “understands the problems facing Australia”. Bewilderingly, only slightly more respondents (35%) were willing to rate the state of the economy as “good” than “bad” (29%), with 33% opting for neither, although 43% rated the position of their household satisfactory against 28% unsatisfactory.

UPDATE (29/5/12): Morgan have broken the habit of a lifetime by publishing their weekend face-to-face poll results on a Tuesday, never having been known in the past to do it earlier than Thursday. My best guess is that they wished to offer a riposte to Newspoll’s relatively encouraging figures for Labor – “today’s Newspoll showing a swing to the ALP is simply unbelievable”, says Gary Morgan in the accompanying release – with their own results, which show Labor support at an all time low on every measure. The poll has Labor’s primary vote down 4.5% on the previous week to 27.5%, the Coalition up 3.5% to 49% and the Greens up 2.5% to 13%. This translates into 61.5-38.5 on respondent-allocated preferences and 58-42 on preferences as they flowed at the previous election.

Categories: Federal Politics 2010-

5792 Responses

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oops….time does make mash out of ones brain doesnt it?

by Mod Lib on May 29, 2012 at 8:48 pm
stick to wanking about hansard, which as a oncer is really quite a low achievement

yeah Gussie, you have been quoted there 3 TIMES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

and my BISONs have been quoted everywhere and everyday

poor Showy, he aint no big swinging dick, not even a small swinging dick

by The Finnigans on May 29, 2012 at 8:48 pm
Thanks Shellbell. Do you think there is a case for Lawler to answer having regard to his position on the FWA tribunal?

by BH on May 29, 2012 at 8:48 pm
CTar1 1158
Re Mid East and Australia
_________
Your right…our habit of involving ourselves there is long -standing
Both world wars and on other occasions…

The first overseas campaign for Australians was the sending of a small force from the NSW colonial Govt in the 1880 to ,support the UK in the Sudan campaing after a local revolt had seen the british General Gordon trapped and killed by the rebels in Khartoum

The decision to send them aroused the first real anti-war movement in Sydney too

The NSW contingent lost more men from ill -health and mis-adventure and UK miliktary muddles than in action..as in Gallipoli ..including some who caught pneumonia when they stood in pouring rain in the welcome home ceremony on Circular Quay and had to listen to long speeches by local NSW politicians who wanted to get into the act.

A farcial adventure but for some a fatal one with no value for the men involved
…sounds just like Afghanistan doesn’t it?
so our politicians never learn I fear

by deblonay on May 29, 2012 at 8:49 pm
Mario Milano if you please, Mod Lib!

I preferred Brute Bernard.

by Bushfire Bill on May 29, 2012 at 8:51 pm
Feeney @ 1249

Did you ever keep a scrapbook when you were a kid?

Finns keeps one with good economic data.

That is commendable but he goes further into deluding himself that he somehow ‘owns’ them and calls them his ‘Beautiful Inspiring Set Of Numbers’.

by bemused on May 29, 2012 at 8:52 pm
gus – What variety mask?

No need to depart – being subtle is good.

by CTar1 on May 29, 2012 at 8:52 pm
Senator Abetz at recalled Estimates making a complete idiot of himself…

by susan winstanley on May 29, 2012 at 8:52 pm
The Finnigans

poor Showy, he aint no big swinging dick, not even a small swinging dick

Gawd , I’d forgotten about the Liberal’s BSW’s

Julie Bishop targeted by 'big swinging dicks'

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/breaking-news/big-swinging-dicks-chase-bishop/story-fn3dxity-1225700360060

by poroti on May 29, 2012 at 8:53 pm
oops….time does make mash out of ones brain doesnt it?

Not as much as wrestling, Mod Lib.

by BK on May 29, 2012 at 8:53 pm
BH

Do you think there is a case for Lawler to answer having regard to his position on the FWA tribunal?

If he was a judge operating where there is a judicial commission and a complaint was made, he would be counselled by his head of jurisdiction. Such a sanction would cause people in the old days to consider their position but no one resigns any more except the bloke who feed qs to SHY.

There is no judicial commission at the Federal level until the AG gets her legislation through so it is up to Shorten/AG to refer him to parliament but that does not sound likely.

by shellbell on May 29, 2012 at 8:54 pm
That is commendable but he goes further into deluding himself that he somehow ‘owns’ them and calls them his ‘Beautiful Inspiring Set Of Numbers’.

Bemused, something that you will never understand, it’s called packaging of IPs. It will be too much for your tiny brain

by The Finnigans on May 29, 2012 at 8:55 pm
I preferred Brute Bernard.

BB
Yes, he was a beauty! Also George (The Animal) Steele who, when agitated, would eat the studding out of the turnbuckle covers.

by BK on May 29, 2012 at 8:55 pm
Gus:

Will see you then.

by confessions on May 29, 2012 at 8:56 pm
Deblonay

I understand the history of involvement somewhat well – no return.

by CTar1 on May 29, 2012 at 8:57 pm
studding = stuffing

by BK on May 29, 2012 at 8:57 pm
If any Bludgers want to attend to inaugural Sydney Chapter Carbon Tax Celebration of Bludgers International Lunch on July 1 (tentatively at Abduls Exotic Lebanese Restaurant,cnr. Elizabeth and Cleveland Sts. Surry Hills) please ask William to send my email address to youse so that you can reply and make a booking.

William, I hereby give permission to you to send my email address to any Bludgers that want to attend.

Yours sincerely,

Bushfire.

P.S. It might be Lebbo food, but as far as payment is concerned, we go strictly Dutch.

by Bushfire Bill on May 29, 2012 at 8:58 pm
Shows

U have really pissed me off

why are buying into something which you NO have skin in the game

where are your sources??????????????????????????//

I’m waiting to see I.A.’s sources. They shouldn’t go spreading rumours on Twitter before backing things up with sources. Standard journalistic ethics. If News Ltd. did the same you’d be complaining day in day out.

stick to wanking about hansard, which as a oncer is really quite a low achievement

but as a lowlife you probably consider it the height of your wankery

Clearly you’re just jealous that I’m in Hansard. That’s OK, you’ll get over it some day.

by ShowsOn on May 29, 2012 at 8:58 pm
Shellbell

Do you think you could make your comments a bit less fact based and informed? And a bit more testosterone fuelled.

You are raising the tone too much.

by Diogenes on May 29, 2012 at 8:58 pm
Abdulah the Butcher was a nasty piece of work.

As was pointed out on The Drum, who exacty is this smoking gun pointing at? Not the government. It has nothing to with any stuff-up by FWA. The oppn can’t make up its mind – first FWA was incompetent or dragging its feet to look after Julia Gillard, and then they produced a detailed and “forensic” report with “findings” about Thomson so he has to go. And now they’ve got FWA in their sights again with a smoking gun. For what purpose?

Hi there Gus.

by triton on May 29, 2012 at 8:58 pm
Finns @ 1230
And of course none of it is IP you created.

Hard to imagine you ever putting any ‘I’ into IP.

by bemused on May 29, 2012 at 8:58 pm
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-05-29/fairfax-sends-jobs-offshore/4040384
Always a sign of useless management.

by BK on May 29, 2012 at 8:58 pm
BB
Yes, he was a beauty! Also George (The Animal) Steele who, when agitated, would eat the studding out of the turnbuckle covers.

There was that Indian Chief guy too. Can’t remember his name, but I seem to recall he was one of the “Scientific” wrestlers.

by Bushfire Bill on May 29, 2012 at 8:59 pm
1261

by bemused on May 29, 2012 at 8:59 pm
Bulldog Brower, the perfect gentleman!
Andre the Giant, man it was painful to watch him negotiate his way out of a taxi.

by Dee on May 29, 2012 at 8:59 pm
And another example of useless (that’s the best one can say of them) management.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-05-29/hastie-collapse/4039946

by BK on May 29, 2012 at 9:00 pm
Chief Little Wolf?

by Dee on May 29, 2012 at 9:00 pm
BB & BK

Tex Mckenzie one of the good guys. Those cowboy boots!!

by vote1maxine on May 29, 2012 at 9:00 pm
Here are some names to bring a tear to the eyes of Bludgers of a certain age:

Killer Kowalski, Ray Stevens, Dominic Denucci, Mario Milano, Spiros Arion, Karl Gotch, Bruno Sammartino, Gorilla Monsoon.

They all have Wikipedia entries, here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Professional_wrestling_in_Australia

by Bushfire Bill on May 29, 2012 at 9:01 pm
and my BISONs have been quoted everywhere and everyday

Show me where a politician as used the term “BISON”. You’re making shit up.

poor Showy, he aint no big swinging dick, not even a small swinging dick

Clearly you’re just jealous that I’m in Hansard and you’re not.

by ShowsOn on May 29, 2012 at 9:01 pm
Do you think you could make your comments a bit less fact based and informed? And a bit more testosterone fuelled.

I save that for my daughter’s netball games – they lost 18-0 last week

by shellbell on May 29, 2012 at 9:02 pm
Guss

Welcome back, u where my first friend here along with finns

Lbd. Endduring pb friendshio

I do t blogg much any more
But posts are gems
Been following u o twitter

by my say on May 29, 2012 at 9:02 pm
A Good Lurk, #1133

Someone’s trying to con you! It’s a hoax, and it’s been around since 2007 – prob what figures quoted re Old Age Pensions for Australians are crap, as are quotes for a spousal allowanace that doesn’t exist:

Hoax e-mails about Centrelink benefits

In October 2007, RCOA issued a media release calling on Australians to ignore a hoax e-mail which claimed that refugees receive more money from Centrelink than age pensioners. Recently, a new hoax e-mail, which claims that that illegal immigrants and refugees receive higher rates of payment under a number of Centrelink programs, has also been circulated. Both e-mails are blatantly inaccurate and intended to create resentment towards refugees and fuel disharmony.

The Refugee Council recommends that anyone receiving these hoax emails should delete them and inform the person who forwarded the email that the information it contains is false. A media release containing updated information and responding to the claims in the new hoax e-mail can be downloaded **here.

** in the url above, “here” is a link to a pdf …9 Updated Response to email on Centrlink.pdf

Why e-mail are inaccurate

What follows this are the myths in the email … and the Facts, eg

Myth: Refugees can receive social security payments simply because they are refugees.
Fact: A refugee who has permanent residency in Australia receives exactly the same social security benefit as any Australian-born person in the same circumstances. Refugees apply for social security through Centrelink like everyone else ...

Myth: A single refugee receives $1458 more per month than an age pensioner.
Fact: A single person applying for Special Benefit or the Newstart Allowance (whether or not he or she is a refugee) will receive $456 per fortnight, whereas a single person on an Age Pension payment will receive a fortnightly payment of $671.90.

Myth: Refugees receive higher rates of payment under Centrelink programs than age pensioners or other Australians.
Fact: Centrelink payments are calculated at exactly the same rate for both refugees and non-refugees

Recognise them? Yep! There are more on the page.

BTW 1. Figures have, at least since 2005 (when OH & I qualified for the OAP) always been quoted per fortnight

2. Current OAP “News For Seniors” Issue 87, May 2012 (p30)

Basic Pension $ 695.30 + Maximum Pension Supplement $60.20 = $755.50pf ($377.75pw)

So Current single OAP is $124 higher than stated.

3. Weekly Spouse allowance
There is no such thing as a Spouse allowance for an OAP’s husband/ wife who is not of pensionable age; however seem New Start allowance can be claimed.

by OzPol Tragic on May 29, 2012 at 9:02 pm
ML:

http://yfrog.com/nunyep

Possum has updated the trend graph to show the slight down blip from the two Newspolls!

The bra’s shaping up…

by Aguirre on May 29, 2012 at 9:02 pm
BB
And the perennial fall guy, Brocker Cortez.

by BK on May 29, 2012 at 9:02 pm
But your posts are gems

by my say on May 29, 2012 at 9:03 pm
bemused

No disrespect meant – but you are a bitter f’ck.

Get up to date and be useful if current politics is your intended thing.

by CTar1 on May 29, 2012 at 9:03 pm
On his return, Slipper will get things back under control, and stomp this grub Abbott into the HOR carpet.

The Speaker’s job isn’t to stomp an MP into the carpet, it is to defend the standing orders. Burke is doing a good job in extraordinarily difficult circumstances, including the fact she isn’t actually the Speaker.

by ShowsOn on May 29, 2012 at 9:04 pm
shellbell, can you expand a bit more, please.

by Harry “Snapper” Organs on May 29, 2012 at 9:04 pm
Awwwww…. Killer was just a pussy cat…

Killer Kowalski's rise in the business came quickly. His first recorded match occurred on May 6, 1948, and by November 29 of the same year, Kowalski was facing NWA champion Orville Brown in a heavyweight championship match. Kowalski stood out in his era for his larger-than-normal size, and for a faster-paced style in the ring. He wrestled as a demonstrative "heel," or villain, except when facing the even-more-hated Buddy Rogers. In his matches with Rogers, Kowalski would adopt a more serious "babyface" approach. Out of the ring, however, Kowalski was considered so friendly and polite that some wrestling promoters complained about the way he would "drop character" in public.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Killer_Kowalski

Lucky he never came up against Tony Abbott.

by Bushfire Bill on May 29, 2012 at 9:04 pm
HSO

Which post?

by shellbell on May 29, 2012 at 9:05 pm
poor showy, doesnt understand the packaging is the message

by The Finnigans on May 29, 2012 at 9:05 pm
The bra’s shaping up…

by confessions on May 29, 2012 at 9:05 pm
The bra’s shaping up…

Perhaps God is just having a great belly laugh at our expense! That would explain lots…

by Mod Lib on May 29, 2012 at 9:06 pm
On a serious note – where is TLBD? (Have I missed something?).

by CTar1 on May 29, 2012 at 9:06 pm
Wiki is great on Andre the Giant.

As a child, he very early displayed symptoms of his gigantism, reaching a height of 6'3" (190.5 cm) and weight of 240 pounds (110 kg) by age 12. Unable to fit on the school bus, he was driven to school by playwright Samuel Beckett, a friend of his father.

I remember seeing this below. Sport ats its best.

The following year, at WrestleMania 2 on April 7, 1986, André continued to display his dominance by winning a twenty-man battle royal which featured top NFL stars and wrestlers. André last eliminated Bret Hart to win the contest.

by shellbell on May 29, 2012 at 9:06 pm
Dee

Chief Little Wolf?

JTI dealt with that

Gidgee says:
Fri 05 Jun 09 (12:49pm)
Why not mention Big Chief Little Wolf applying a half-nelson or does that fond memory of mine go back beyond the twinkle in your father’s eye?

Jack the Insider says:
Fri 05 Jun 09 (12:58pm)
Big Chief Little Wolf last wrestled in 1958, Gidgee, so yes it does.

http://blogs.theaustralian.news.com.au/jacktheinsider/index.php/theaustralian/comments/smacka_fitzgibbon_taps_the_mat/desc/P275/

by poroti on May 29, 2012 at 9:06 pm
Finns i have sent your set of numbers that you update
to well over 100 people and have ask them all to pass on’

by my say on May 29, 2012 at 9:07 pm
The bra’s shaping up…

Does that mean Abbott’s gone tits up?

by BK on May 29, 2012 at 9:07 pm
CTar1 @ 1286

Your application to go on my list of certified dickheads has been received and is under consideration.

by bemused on May 29, 2012 at 9:07 pm

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