Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports (though James J in comments had the numbers 45 minutes earlier) that Newspoll has the two-party preferred vote at 54-46, compared with 55-45 a fortnight ago and 59-41 the fortnight before. The primary votes are 32% for Labor (up two on last time), 46% for the Coalition (up one) and 12% for the Greens (steady). Julia Gillard’s approval rating is up three to 30% and her disapproval down three to 60%, while Tony Abbott is respectively down three and up four to 31% and 60%. Julia Gillard leads as preferred prime minister 40-37, reversing Abbott’s 40-36 lead last time.
Today’s Essential Research was less encouraging for Labor: it had them losing one of the points on two-party preferred which were clawed back over previous weeks, the result now at 57-43. Primary votes were 50% for the Coalition (up one), 33% for Labor (steady) and 10% for the Greens (steady). Other questions gauged views on the parties’ respective “attributes”, with all negative responses for Labor (chiefly “divided” and “will promise anything to win votes”) rating higher than all positives. The Liberal Party did rather better, rating well for “moderate” and “understands the problems facing Australia”. Bewilderingly, only slightly more respondents (35%) were willing to rate the state of the economy as “good” than “bad” (29%), with 33% opting for neither, although 43% rated the position of their household satisfactory against 28% unsatisfactory.
UPDATE (29/5/12): Morgan have broken the habit of a lifetime by publishing their weekend face-to-face poll results on a Tuesday, never having been known in the past to do it earlier than Thursday. My best guess is that they wished to offer a riposte to Newspoll’s relatively encouraging figures for Labor – “today’s Newspoll showing a swing to the ALP is simply unbelievable”, says Gary Morgan in the accompanying release – with their own results, which show Labor support at an all time low on every measure. The poll has Labor’s primary vote down 4.5% on the previous week to 27.5%, the Coalition up 3.5% to 49% and the Greens up 2.5% to 13%. This translates into 61.5-38.5 on respondent-allocated preferences and 58-42 on preferences as they flowed at the previous election.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Remind me; how many Australians support the work of Assange again?
by JohD on May 30, 2012 at 7:03 pm
The Finnigans
Exhibit A, his sisters said he was “The Golden Child”. Exhibit B, his mummy predicted that he will end up being either the PM or Pope. Set up for self esteem ‘roid rage or what !!
by poroti on May 30, 2012 at 7:04 pm
Lee Rhiannon?
by ruawake on May 30, 2012 at 7:04 pm
JohD@2783,
How so, when the Opposition are in lockstep with the government over Assange, as just confirmed by Peter Hartcher on The Drum?
by C@tmomma on May 30, 2012 at 7:05 pm
I’m not sure there has been much polling on this question.
by ShowsOn on May 30, 2012 at 7:06 pm
So why did the CBs ignore him then?
by The Finnigans on May 30, 2012 at 7:06 pm
No, I have always resolved to do this this in the event Assange loses his case against extradition and is renditioned to the US. Whoever is in charge, and I can get to, will pay.
It is not on the run at all.
We survived 11years on rightwingnuttery, we can survive another period. Governments have to understand that the peoples will matters.
by JohD on May 30, 2012 at 7:07 pm
“@BreakingNewsUK: Ex-News of the World editor Andy Coulson arrested on perjury charges by Strathclyde Police in London – @STVNews http://t.co/uHXR2uJY”
by guytaur on May 30, 2012 at 7:07 pm
poroti,
Exhibit C, the Christian Brothers said no
by The Finnigans on May 30, 2012 at 7:07 pm
Punishment
by JohD on May 30, 2012 at 7:07 pm
rua
This is why Mr Abbott was running to the green door today. He is just grumpy that Mr Pyne made it to the other side of the green door. You will note a reference to a certain ‘joe’ whom I take to be one of the three stooges.
by Boerwar on May 30, 2012 at 7:08 pm
Abbott would have been the darling of the Aunties. They’d have loved the way cheeky Tony could talk himself out of wet cement. How cute!
Likewise, when I was at school we had a Golden Boy. Not a bully, but one of those blessed people who got the gorgeous girlfriends, was in the First XV, good looking etc. etc. The teachers loved him. He had a magnetic personality.
Did brilliantly in his trial and other on-house exams. Close to top marks. But when ot came to the public exam, the HSC, he failed so badly that he had to repeat his final year.
That’s what happens when you believe your own publicity. The saem will happen to Abbott. Once the media turns on him, it’ll turn on him hard.
by Bushfire Bill on May 30, 2012 at 7:08 pm
Abbott is safe, however, with the ABC. Not a whisper of today’s farce on their main news bulletin.
by Bushfire Bill on May 30, 2012 at 7:08 pm
JohD
Remind me; what is the work of Assange?
by Dee on May 30, 2012 at 7:09 pm
Rummel i hope u read my whole post and gove your negativety som thought
For your own sake
by my say on May 30, 2012 at 7:09 pm
@ Finns and C@tmomma
The danger of lavishing false praise.
http://blogs.edweek.org/edweek/inside-school-research/2011/08/back_to_school_means_back.html
by ABC gone to hell on May 30, 2012 at 7:10 pm
I’m glad JohD has found his rightful home in supporting the Coalition.
I feel much better now that my vote won’t be tainted by being in any way associated with JohD’s vote.
by ShowsOn on May 30, 2012 at 7:11 pm
Nah, it’ll probably look more like this:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7BVpuPIcqrE
by Aguirre on May 30, 2012 at 7:11 pm
Ben Fenton@benfenton
So, problems mount for Andy Coulson as Scottish police arrest him on perjury charges, according to STV. http://bit.ly/JMt3T3
by Schnappi on May 30, 2012 at 7:11 pm
“@BBCBreaking: David Cameron’s ex-communications chief Andy Coulson detained by Strathclyde Police over perjury claims. Details soon http://t.co/YDay8FZ3”
by guytaur on May 30, 2012 at 7:12 pm
A survey conducted by the ruling Labor party’s internal pollsters UMR Research and published in the Sydney Morning Herald newspaper showed 25 per cent of those polled would vote for the whistleblowing website chief.
Supporters of the left-wing Greens party were most likely to be pro-Assange, with 39 per cent saying they would vote for him, meaning he had a good chance of wresting a Greens Senate spot, UMR’s John Utting told the newspaper.
“There is clearly a significant level of support for Julian Assange which crosses party lines and is more concentrated amongst Greens voters,” he said.
“At this stage Julian Assange stands a very real chance of being elected to the Senate should he run.”
Some 27 per cent of Labor supporters said they would vote for him, as did 23 per cent of conservatives, in the survey of 1,000 voters.
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/more-news/poll-shows-julian-assange-would-be-real-chance-of-election-in-australia/story-fn7x8me2-1226360946057
His support would be enough to be a game changer in any election.
by JohD on May 30, 2012 at 7:12 pm
Friggin Idiot.
Assange went to Sweden to get immunity for wikileaks, he used their laws to his advantage, now he also has to face their laws when it does not suit him.
He cannot have it both ways.
by ruawake on May 30, 2012 at 7:12 pm
Fairfax strike – everyone wins
by Compact Crank on May 30, 2012 at 7:13 pm
Wow. ABC News in Victoria showed the Opposition in parliament today in a very negative light. Not just the Abbott/Pyne/Entsch quickstep, but the nastiness shone through tonight, especially Anna Burke’s chastisement of the LNP for disgracefully using Greg Wilton’s death as some kind of insult. And Thomson looked reasonable!
Bad day at the office for Tony Abbott and Peta Credlin.
by Fiz on May 30, 2012 at 7:13 pm
In one state and in the Senate where governments aren’t formed.
Put the crack pipe down, and go for a walk outside.
by ShowsOn on May 30, 2012 at 7:14 pm
“@BBCWorld: Andy Coulson, UK PM’s ex-communications chief, held on suspicion of committing perjury at 2010 trial of Tommy Sheridan http://t.co/uDpgyYdw”
More detail in this one.
by guytaur on May 30, 2012 at 7:14 pm
Did Channel 9 ACA say they were giving the escort a trip out of the country or overseas?
A trip over seas could include a ride on the Manly ferry.
Realistically, Channel 9 and the escort might now expect questions from the Taxation Office about how much (if anything) she has been paid.
by citizen on May 30, 2012 at 7:14 pm
It lead the bulletin down here in Victoria, Bushfire, in all it’s filth. Not a good look for Abbott.
by Fiz on May 30, 2012 at 7:14 pm
Abbott dissapproval rating will rise. The question is will it start to affect the party approval rate.
by guytaur on May 30, 2012 at 7:16 pm
And so they should.
Nice to see our media doing their job- and the lack of argument here about the media portrayal as being unfair!
by Mod Lib on May 30, 2012 at 7:18 pm
It was on channel 7 news also, Abbott was made to look like a first class fool
by Mick Collins on May 30, 2012 at 7:18 pm
Run Geek Run@geeksrulz
Breaking: Today Tonight exclusive on real story behind ACA dumping of hooker story. She will tell all on sleazy, slimy ACA shame
Do not watch CH 7 anyone confirm
by Schnappi on May 30, 2012 at 7:18 pm
He sought sanctuary from the fascist tendencies of our erstwhile allies.
Labor will pay for Bob Carr’s mealy mouthed false politically opportunist crap in the senate committee last night.
I am Green voter because I have allegiance to issues that matter to me; not the Labor party. I will support who I believe serves my agenda. Geddit?
I will dump the Greens if that is what serves my agenda.
I am dumping Labor because it is TIME. goodnight.
by JohD on May 30, 2012 at 7:19 pm
wtte – a series of divisions “so I suggest that nobody gets up and runs away.”
by fiona on May 30, 2012 at 7:19 pm
Warning for parents.
http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/entertainment/sydney-confidential/justin-bieber-tweets-that-he-is-heading-to-australia-and-will-land-in-sydney-on-july-15-for-three-days/story-e6frewz0-1226374650491
by guytaur on May 30, 2012 at 7:21 pm
Are you in Victoria as well Mick?
by Fiz on May 30, 2012 at 7:21 pm
Sydney gave it a good run, and also all the nastiness and insults from the coalition.
by jenauthor on May 30, 2012 at 7:21 pm
Throwing around the term “fascist” in this way is an affront to all the people throughout history who had to live under actual fascist regimes rather than the fictitious ones that you hallucinate in your mind after smoking too many drugs.
by ShowsOn on May 30, 2012 at 7:22 pm
Selfish bastard.
by ruawake on May 30, 2012 at 7:22 pm
JohD, I respect your decision, thats your right. However, it also means that you lose your right to complain about any potential Abbott Coalition Government
by Mick Collins on May 30, 2012 at 7:23 pm
Ah, that’s what the wtte were – “A series of one-minute divisions.”
by fiona on May 30, 2012 at 7:23 pm
Comment from informed Oz voter in our vox populi……..regarding Julian A………
“If one of our Oz boys is being picked on by those Towel Head Swedes then we should stick up for him. Bob Carr should send a Qantas jet to pick him up or the SAS should be sent in to release him.”
“It is true he had it off with one of those really grouse blond ABBA look-alike chics?”
“Cor!”
Reality: About 98% of those in Oz have never heard of Julian and care even less.
Maybe he could stand for the Sex Party when and if he comes back. They at least have some fun.
by Tricot on May 30, 2012 at 7:23 pm
Shows
No he is right to call Bush and Palin types fascist. That is the laws Obama is using put in place by those war criminals.
by guytaur on May 30, 2012 at 7:23 pm
JohD
Legally, the govt has done all it can at this stage. Just like with Corby, they must respect the laws of the country where Assange is.
I am sure you would jump up and down like an idiot if someone overseas tried to circumvent our laws for one of their cits.
I just don’t get why ppl are so wound up over this.
by jenauthor on May 30, 2012 at 7:23 pm
Camerons ex right hand man in the news again. One gets the feeling that Cameron must be getting very close to throwing in the towell.
It really shows the values of the tories world wide, the bigger grub you are the more chance of high office.
http://local.stv.tv/glasgow/103888-former-news-of-the-world-editor-andy-coulson-arrested-on-perjury-charges/
Vince Cable now on at Leveson.
http://www.levesoninquiry.org.uk/hearings/
by Gaffhook on May 30, 2012 at 7:23 pm
Fiz
Yep
by Mick Collins on May 30, 2012 at 7:24 pm
Clean Energy Finance Corporation Bill now through the HoR.
Good.
by fiona on May 30, 2012 at 7:24 pm
Why the angst over Assange? I honestly don’t get it. The man is accused of a crime and is going through the porcess of being extradited to the place where the crime is alleged to have taken place.
Now, if he’s acquitted, he’ll presumably walk. If the Swedes want to try to render him to the US without a criminal charge against him, then presumably the government will step in to try and stop that.
I mean, if he’s innocent then obviously I feel sorry for him. But I don’t see how you could reasonably expect this government to stop him being extradited from another country to a third. Imagine if the Indonesian government tried to stop one of their citzens being extradited here from, say, Malaysia when they were facing an allegation of a sex crime in Australia. There would be zero sympathy for the alleged offender.
by Burgey on May 30, 2012 at 7:24 pm
Mod Lib
Having just watched it I can only say WTFFF were they thinking ? They seemed to have had a flash to back to student union debates or time in the Young Liberals.
by poroti on May 30, 2012 at 7:24 pm
BREAKING NEWS: ACA confirms they paid a hooker $60K to say: I never had sex with Craig Thomson
by The Finnigans on May 30, 2012 at 7:25 pm