Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports (though James J in comments had the numbers 45 minutes earlier) that Newspoll has the two-party preferred vote at 54-46, compared with 55-45 a fortnight ago and 59-41 the fortnight before. The primary votes are 32% for Labor (up two on last time), 46% for the Coalition (up one) and 12% for the Greens (steady). Julia Gillard’s approval rating is up three to 30% and her disapproval down three to 60%, while Tony Abbott is respectively down three and up four to 31% and 60%. Julia Gillard leads as preferred prime minister 40-37, reversing Abbott’s 40-36 lead last time.
Today’s Essential Research was less encouraging for Labor: it had them losing one of the points on two-party preferred which were clawed back over previous weeks, the result now at 57-43. Primary votes were 50% for the Coalition (up one), 33% for Labor (steady) and 10% for the Greens (steady). Other questions gauged views on the parties’ respective “attributes”, with all negative responses for Labor (chiefly “divided” and “will promise anything to win votes”) rating higher than all positives. The Liberal Party did rather better, rating well for “moderate” and “understands the problems facing Australia”. Bewilderingly, only slightly more respondents (35%) were willing to rate the state of the economy as “good” than “bad” (29%), with 33% opting for neither, although 43% rated the position of their household satisfactory against 28% unsatisfactory.
UPDATE (29/5/12): Morgan have broken the habit of a lifetime by publishing their weekend face-to-face poll results on a Tuesday, never having been known in the past to do it earlier than Thursday. My best guess is that they wished to offer a riposte to Newspoll’s relatively encouraging figures for Labor – “today’s Newspoll showing a swing to the ALP is simply unbelievable”, says Gary Morgan in the accompanying release – with their own results, which show Labor support at an all time low on every measure. The poll has Labor’s primary vote down 4.5% on the previous week to 27.5%, the Coalition up 3.5% to 49% and the Greens up 2.5% to 13%. This translates into 61.5-38.5 on respondent-allocated preferences and 58-42 on preferences as they flowed at the previous election.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Mr Christensen gets a yellow.
by Boerwar on May 31, 2012 at 3:02 pm
Oh goody, now they’re reading more letters out. Totally bereft now.
by Aguirre on May 31, 2012 at 3:03 pm
@LatikaQT: We’ve made to 1500. Has it really been a SSO-free week?! #qt
This is not correct unless it refers to QT only.
by guytaur on May 31, 2012 at 3:03 pm
http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/how-william-kristol-purged-the-arabists/
Purge of the Arabist-experts in The Govt and State Dept in the USA
by deblonay on May 31, 2012 at 3:03 pm
A couple of days ago My Say made reference to a JFK speech,wtte: We choose to go to the moon -not because it is easy, but because it is hard”. My Say said there were opportunities in Australia today for such sentiments. She was observant,and smart. “We choose to put a price on polluters not because …etc.
JG should think about those words in a July 1 address to the nation.
by al palster on May 31, 2012 at 3:05 pm
bg, all of those averages of polls etc only tells us what went before, not what will happen in 16 months time.
by Gary on May 31, 2012 at 3:05 pm
Oh spare us from the scourge of Bishop the Elder
by fiona on May 31, 2012 at 3:05 pm
Sorry triton, been busy and thought I would pop in for a little while
by Dario on May 31, 2012 at 3:06 pm
by victoria on May 31, 2012 at 3:06 pm
Just to add to your point Blue Green
The 2PP in Queensland right now is around the 36% mark. That’s an 8% 2PP swing required in order to get back to where they were last time (which wouldn’t be a bad result now all things considered). Gillard might be able to wrestled 4-5% of that back, but that’s still a landslide leaving the ALP with one or two seats considering what would happen on the primary vote.
In order to actually win seats, they need around a 9-10%+ swing on the 2PP from where things are. Try shifting 9-10% of the vote in a 16 month period. Extremely difficult without something radical happening
by spur212 on May 31, 2012 at 3:07 pm
Burke is worse then Harry.
Unfit for purpose.
by dave on May 31, 2012 at 3:07 pm
Why is Burke letting B Bishop read all that out? She had been doing better this week.
by triton on May 31, 2012 at 3:07 pm
younger members!!
by Laocoon on May 31, 2012 at 3:07 pm
BW:
Wot, no whips?
by fiona on May 31, 2012 at 3:07 pm
fiona
They already have whips.
by Boerwar on May 31, 2012 at 3:08 pm
Burke has lost control yet again.
by dave on May 31, 2012 at 3:08 pm
d
Yes. A few good reds would improve the cellar.
by Boerwar on May 31, 2012 at 3:09 pm
Oppn has lost it. They have forgot after yesterday no horse references. Pyne beat Abbot to the doors by a nose.
by guytaur on May 31, 2012 at 3:09 pm
Does Bronny carry that procedural book when she goes to the toilet to find the right way to shit
by The Finnigans on May 31, 2012 at 3:09 pm
What the hell was that last quip from Bronny all about? Was she having a go at Gillard’s nose? Was it some Pinocchio thing?
by Aguirre on May 31, 2012 at 3:10 pm
Finns
Ms Bishop is very frustrated would-be Speaker.
by Boerwar on May 31, 2012 at 3:10 pm
I see worki g people is now being used
by my say on May 31, 2012 at 3:10 pm
Nick Champion asks about workplace bullying – Bill Shorten now discussing Brodie’s Law.
by fiona on May 31, 2012 at 3:11 pm
It’s okay, Dario, the fault was mine.
They should just cancel the rest of today and go home for a good rest. It’s the last sitting day so that’s what they’re hanging out for anyway.
by triton on May 31, 2012 at 3:11 pm
by lizzie on May 31, 2012 at 3:12 pm
He needs to learn this song:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-UAh7ogwAYQ
by citizen on May 31, 2012 at 3:12 pm
BW:
But they have to share. Surely Pyne wants one of his vewy own.
by fiona on May 31, 2012 at 3:12 pm
At least, that’s what ‘polls’ are saying. Enough said really.
by Dario on May 31, 2012 at 3:13 pm
lizzie
That is not really fair of Ms Middleton. The biggest bully in the house has been trying, using bullying tactics, to destroy Mr Thomson.
by Boerwar on May 31, 2012 at 3:13 pm
QT over. A very bad week for Oppn,
by guytaur on May 31, 2012 at 3:13 pm
Ummm bullying
Kettlttes and pots
by my say on May 31, 2012 at 3:14 pm
Yep, a SSSO free week of QT!
by OzPol Tragic on May 31, 2012 at 3:14 pm
8 more sitting days till Carbon Price Party day.
by ruawake on May 31, 2012 at 3:16 pm
my say,
Tony Abbott has been workplace bullying #Thomson big time #qt
by The Finnigans on May 31, 2012 at 3:17 pm
al palster
JG has already said that several times and in several speeches. She makes the point we are doing it despite the forces against her and the Govt, the hard task of getting it in place, that it would be easier to do nothing but that’s not the right thing to do, etc. etc. All this is rarely seen in news or current affairs but for those who see the full pressers and speeches it is a shock to see just how little is reported.
by BH on May 31, 2012 at 3:17 pm
Boerwar
I didn’t take it that she was accusing Labor.
by lizzie on May 31, 2012 at 3:17 pm
Finns hope u have a great tweet for ms middleton.
Re all the work place bully re mr thompson
Actually i cannot recall any from the gov side.
by my say on May 31, 2012 at 3:17 pm
Now “Abbott as the victim”.
Bullies always get to this point, as soon as the going gets tough.
by Bushfire Bill on May 31, 2012 at 3:19 pm
Bemused, do me a little favour and don’t quote half a post to reverse its meaning.
The second sentence makes it absolutely clear I think parents who don’t immunise are stupid.
by roaldan1000 on May 31, 2012 at 3:19 pm
BH’
Tks. It’s probably why she should think of an Address to the Nation and make those points without edit. (Of course, if she does that the Runner gets equal time).
by al palster on May 31, 2012 at 3:19 pm
lizzie
She was being even-handed when it is patently obvious that Mr Abbott has been the biggest bully of the lot.
by Boerwar on May 31, 2012 at 3:20 pm
I noticed a Tweet that said in effect: Beware, current articles in Faurfax are not necessarily written by the signatories.
Couldn’t see much difference, myself.
by lizzie on May 31, 2012 at 3:20 pm
labor supporters won 95% of the debates this month
Coalition supporters won 3 % of the debate
the remaining 2% where the coalition and labor supporters shown grief
by Meguire Bob on May 31, 2012 at 3:20 pm
Was is mesma waffling about. Who cares what someone has in their office?
by ruawake on May 31, 2012 at 3:21 pm
Boerwar
Of course he has and is.
That’s what paternal spoiling does for you.
by lizzie on May 31, 2012 at 3:21 pm
Apparently it has offended the delicate sensibilities of petal Abbott.
by Boerwar on May 31, 2012 at 3:22 pm
Thanks to Aguirre for a brilliant summary of Question Time:
10/10
by Dan Gulberry on May 31, 2012 at 3:22 pm
ruwake, these:
http://twitpic.com/9r6hni
http://twitpic.com/9r6i2u
by triton on May 31, 2012 at 3:23 pm
lizzie
Is there any evidence that it is paternal praise rather maternal praise that is the problem?
by Boerwar on May 31, 2012 at 3:23 pm
They are supposedly inside Tanya Plibersek’s office.
by triton on May 31, 2012 at 3:24 pm