Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports (though James J in comments had the numbers 45 minutes earlier) that Newspoll has the two-party preferred vote at 54-46, compared with 55-45 a fortnight ago and 59-41 the fortnight before. The primary votes are 32% for Labor (up two on last time), 46% for the Coalition (up one) and 12% for the Greens (steady). Julia Gillard’s approval rating is up three to 30% and her disapproval down three to 60%, while Tony Abbott is respectively down three and up four to 31% and 60%. Julia Gillard leads as preferred prime minister 40-37, reversing Abbott’s 40-36 lead last time.
Today’s Essential Research was less encouraging for Labor: it had them losing one of the points on two-party preferred which were clawed back over previous weeks, the result now at 57-43. Primary votes were 50% for the Coalition (up one), 33% for Labor (steady) and 10% for the Greens (steady). Other questions gauged views on the parties’ respective “attributes”, with all negative responses for Labor (chiefly “divided” and “will promise anything to win votes”) rating higher than all positives. The Liberal Party did rather better, rating well for “moderate” and “understands the problems facing Australia”. Bewilderingly, only slightly more respondents (35%) were willing to rate the state of the economy as “good” than “bad” (29%), with 33% opting for neither, although 43% rated the position of their household satisfactory against 28% unsatisfactory.
UPDATE (29/5/12): Morgan have broken the habit of a lifetime by publishing their weekend face-to-face poll results on a Tuesday, never having been known in the past to do it earlier than Thursday. My best guess is that they wished to offer a riposte to Newspoll’s relatively encouraging figures for Labor – “today’s Newspoll showing a swing to the ALP is simply unbelievable”, says Gary Morgan in the accompanying release – with their own results, which show Labor support at an all time low on every measure. The poll has Labor’s primary vote down 4.5% on the previous week to 27.5%, the Coalition up 3.5% to 49% and the Greens up 2.5% to 13%. This translates into 61.5-38.5 on respondent-allocated preferences and 58-42 on preferences as they flowed at the previous election.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Newman has:
Lied about asset sales – we will not sell CBD land.
Lost a Minister for Transport who forgot to have a drivers licence.
Alienated the entire arts community by stupid cuts to literary awards
Decided electricity price rises were too soon, so put the State further in debt.
Lied about reducing Car Registration charges
Lied about the Alpha coal projects and Federal approvals.
Not bad for a couple of months.
by ruawake on May 31, 2012 at 5:36 pm
out the LNP are as accurate as those leading up to the election. That gives me some hope.DAVID FROM QLD POSTED!
Hope for what,
by my say on May 31, 2012 at 5:37 pm
Typical Tory tossers thinking they can tell someone in the Labor Party what they can and can’t put up on the walls of their electorate office.
I thought they were all for the supremacy of the individual and the non-interference of anything or anyone in people’s private lives? Well, the Electorate Office of a duly-elected Member of Parliament is about as private a place as they can get. I know, you can’t get past the door to the inner sanctum unless you have the security code. Ergo, ‘No Trespassers Allowed’. So it follows that, as long as the said poster doesn’t break any indecency laws, or say anything defamatory about thin-skinned Tony Abbott, then all the bleating in the world from Julie Bishop on the poor petal’s behalf, simply amounts to an invasion of the privacy and the sanctity of the Member’s Electorate Office.
Tony Abbott should be told to go suffer in his Budgie Smugglers. Sheesh! You’d think he’d have been flattered that someone from Labor had bothered to expend the ergs putting the poster up, from where he could look down on the employees every day, and that he could count it as a quasi-invasion success of an ALP office.
by C@tmomma on May 31, 2012 at 5:37 pm
As I said earlier Boinzo how events get reported here are not necessarily how things are being felt in QLD and you only have to refer to the latest Galaxy Poll to see that people are very happy with the new government. Of course 67/33 is not sustainable and it wont be 78/7 after the next election. However there is a general feeling of confidence in the new government which is unlikely to go away in the short-term.
by davidwh on May 31, 2012 at 5:38 pm
Speaking of invasion of privacy this has to come close to the most intrusive.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2152107/Student-sex-video-shown-shocked-crowd-graduation-ceremony-Denmarks-Gammel-Hellerup-Gymnasium.html
by guytaur on May 31, 2012 at 5:39 pm
C@tmomma
Is ms nash on twitter,, could let her know, how effensive that is,
Can u all magine if that sort of thing happened to some one like menzies,
I
by my say on May 31, 2012 at 5:40 pm
my say sorry about the levy but it wasn’t imposed on you by either a QLD or LNP government.
by davidwh on May 31, 2012 at 5:40 pm
BH
What kezza2 said.
Why is it that the Fed ALP women seem to be delightful, caring, dedicated people almost of whom are tougher than many of their male colleagues, whereas many of the Fed Lib women seem to be Margaret Thatcher wannabes and at least as nasty if not nastier than many of their male colleagues?
by fiona on May 31, 2012 at 5:42 pm
And allowed the candidate for Lilley, billionaire Clive Palmer, an unprecedented/illegal amount of time to challenge a $300+ fine to be challenged (something not allowed to “ordinary” citizens)
How does davidwh explain that?
by kezza2 on May 31, 2012 at 5:43 pm
Nash was the one who suggested to Michael Kirby that legalising gay marriage could lead to polygamy a notion which still seems to fester among a Lib or two in the NSW Upper House
by shellbell on May 31, 2012 at 5:43 pm
http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-national/pm-challenges-abbott-over-gambling-20120531-1zk8c.html
by Leroy on May 31, 2012 at 5:43 pm
Poor widdle Pwincess Wabbott. Does um’s want mummy & daddy to go to The Lodge and bash nasty, PM’ship-thieving Julia for hurting their pwecious pwtal’s feelings?
by OzPol Tragic on May 31, 2012 at 5:46 pm
Plus what role did Jarrod Bleijie ,Qld AG, have in the SCRC Mayoral election, that the CMC and Qld Plod are investigating?
by ruawake on May 31, 2012 at 5:48 pm
Clive Palmer is not a candidate for Lilley – he is possibly a candidate for preselection in Lilley. And as much as it irks me to defend Clive Palmer – anybody can challenge a speeding ticket – though if you were to ask Marcus Einfeld, you may never know where it might lead.
by blackburnpseph on May 31, 2012 at 5:48 pm
OPT,
Couldn’t have said it better myself!
by Space Kidette on May 31, 2012 at 5:49 pm
davidwh – yes I saw the Galaxy results. I accept that people are happy to see the back of the Bligh Govt. But I would not go so far as to characterise the entire State’s mood as a general feeling of confidence in the new government which is unlikely to go away in the short-term.
I don’t think that answering a Galaxy question about who you’d vote for shows the existence of confidence – in fact I think plenty of Queenslanders are feeling pretty nervous about what might happen next despite how they may have responded to Galaxy.
Of course I don’t have a poll to prove it either!
by Boinzo on May 31, 2012 at 5:51 pm
It doesn’t irk you at all, bbp?
(forgetting your little nitpicking over pre-selection)
Clive Palmer’s ticket had 28 days in which to challenge – like the rest of us.
He didn’t pay the fine and he shouldn’t have been allowed extra time.
The fact is, he is a donor to the LNP, and the LNP have allowed him to challenge that would NOT have been extended to any other citizen.
That’s corrupt.
by kezza2 on May 31, 2012 at 5:53 pm
Not after the 28 days given to challenge or pay has expired. This is the entire point and why the Plod is seething at the unique opportunity given to Palmer. Once again Jarrod Bleijie knows nothing.
by ruawake on May 31, 2012 at 5:54 pm
Good God! Just got off the phone with another whingeing supplier!
He admits business is booming. He has healthy exports, now easier with the fall in the dollar. His overdraft is the lowest it’s ever been, both in total amount and interest. He has good staff, a nice car and works bloody hard.
CARBON TAX!
He can’t shut up about it. I pointed out it was 0.7%, and the GST was 10%. I pointed out he was being compensated for the puny extra he’d have to pay anyway.
He seems to think that no electricity supplier will ever become more efficient. They’ll just continue polluting and charge us for the privilege. He also believes there’s nothing HE can do to reduce his carbon footprint. I gave him a few suggestions: turn off some lights, turn the reverse cycle air-conditioning down 1 degree (it was FAR too hot when I visited his premises), don’t leave his machines on when they’re not running. Within a few months he’ll pay his bloody carbon tax off.
I suggested that one or two suppliers might get smart, too, and find ways to cut back on carbon emissions, selling the excess carbon permits. Maybe they’d build solar farms or windmills…. I mean, whatever happened to competition? He had to compete, why shouldn’t electricity suppliers? No answer to that. But he found another excuse….
WINDMILLS!
He told me that until I could promise him I lived next to one, he wouldn’t listen to anything about windmills. Should’a heard him: they kill birds, they use valuable land, they send people crazy. On and on it went.
Finally I had to tell him that I didn’t want to do business with him.
He was surprised. Why didn’t I want to do business with his firm? Was it something about his price?
No… it’s because you’re a bloody whinger Raffi. And if you whinge about 0.7%, then you’ll find an excuse to whinge about something else. Good-bye….
Wait a minute, you’d not do business with me because I don’t share your politics?
It’s not politics mate, it’s refusal to face facts. Someone as dumb as you and who whinges as much as you is bound to be bad news at one stage or another, as far as I’m concerned. I only want to deal with positive people: people who are making money, have good staff, a nice car, a nice house, whose businesses are prosperous – like yours is – but (and this is the clincher) WHO DON’T THEN GO AND WHINGE ABOUT IT.
He thought I was crazy, but told me he wanted my business. So I gave him the BISONs web address and told him I’d ring him in the morning to see if he was still a whinger.
It’s the same reason the newspapers are going broke: the straw that’s breaking the camel’s back – quite apart from the loss of classified “rivers of gold” – is that they’re so negative, and so smartarsed about being negative at the same time.
Well, as far as I’m concerned, it’s Judgement Day. Whingers NOT welcome in my business.
We’ll see how it goes tomorrow morning after he’s read the BISONs.
by Bushfire Bill on May 31, 2012 at 5:55 pm
Boinzo it’s one of those issues that will only be determined in the fullness of time and we are only expressing opinions which people are free to accept or reject. No one can say anything with any certainty.
by davidwh on May 31, 2012 at 5:55 pm
I think its just a desperate attempt to try and cover up for the fiasco yesterday. Some media seems to be mysteriously buying it though… 7′s headlines are advertising ‘a government minister in hot water’ over the posters.
by rishane on May 31, 2012 at 5:56 pm
Clive Palmer should be locked in a cupboard for the bright yellow monstrosity he has inflicted on the residents of the Sunshine Coast who drive past the Palmer Resort.
by ruawake on May 31, 2012 at 5:57 pm
True that!
by Boinzo on May 31, 2012 at 5:58 pm
BB. Good on you! I’m a big fan of the 80-20 rule in my business. Life’s too short to work with people who moan all the time. Optimism gets results!
by Boinzo on May 31, 2012 at 6:00 pm
Offspring just commented: :Tell Tony to buy a Snickers and get some nuts
by OzPol Tragic on May 31, 2012 at 6:00 pm
@tanya_plibersek: Have instituted formal satire ban in office.
Well done Mr Abbott hope you are proud of yourself. There goes decades of proud pollies posting cartoons on office walls.
by guytaur on May 31, 2012 at 6:01 pm
Who was just going on about how bad and vicious parliament (aka Libs) is at the moment. So much for running, Tanya go make Tony a sandwich.
http://www.news.com.au/national/tanya-plibersek-refuses-to-apologise-for-offensive-posters-of-tony-abbott-in-her-electorate-office/story-e6frfkvr-1226377446341
by rummel on May 31, 2012 at 6:01 pm
rummel
Coalition’s version of guffaw.
You are such a bore.
by kezza2 on May 31, 2012 at 6:04 pm
So, really, what Mesma was about was getting full on national media exposure for those posters, which most people are going to find funny.
I can see her now muttering as she is stirring her cauldron in her parliamentary office suite………
by imacca on May 31, 2012 at 6:05 pm
Kezza
I had not been aware that Clive Palmer had gone beyond the 28 days – that puts a different complexion on things. No wonder the plod are upset. He really is a loathsome man.
by blackburnpseph on May 31, 2012 at 6:06 pm
Thing is, the dickhead is doing really well! And he’s STILL whingeing!
by Bushfire Bill on May 31, 2012 at 6:07 pm
I like this response from Lyndal Curtis
@lyndalcurtis: What about informal satire? RT @tanya_plibersek: Have instituted formal satire ban in office.
by guytaur on May 31, 2012 at 6:07 pm
Rummel:
Remember all comments made here only refer to the Liberal party.
The ALP can do no wrong…get it?
by Mod Lib on May 31, 2012 at 6:08 pm
Abbott said he was threatened by Gays, how is the sign inaccurate?
by ruawake on May 31, 2012 at 6:10 pm
I’d like to see some Dorothy Dixers re Coalition shenanigans.
I remember, back in 1975, a Dorothy Dixer to Fred Daly, about “the misuse of Commonwealth cars”, and what Fred (the responsible minister) was doing about it.
An incredible story Fred told, about a a man called Tirith Khemlani, being chauffeured around by the Libs in Commonwealth cars. One of the classic answers to a Dixer of all time.
by Bushfire Bill on May 31, 2012 at 6:10 pm
Looks like the liberals are going through the motions of defeat
the longer abbott is the leader
by Meguire Bob on May 31, 2012 at 6:11 pm
Mod lib
I get it, thats why Gillard is still PM
by rummel on May 31, 2012 at 6:12 pm
Mod Lib
Do you think the PM will lose her job in the next 8 sitting days?
by ruawake on May 31, 2012 at 6:12 pm
From having gone to the link above, it just seems that Tanya Plibersek is just reflecting the thoughts of a lot of her electorate.
by blackburnpseph on May 31, 2012 at 6:12 pm
Mesma says LOTO Abbott is offended by signs of him to be pinned up in a Minister’s office. Solly, i have him on a floor mat in my toilet
by The Finnigans on May 31, 2012 at 6:14 pm
Ru, she was GORN on 27/5 according to Richo & Hewson
by The Finnigans on May 31, 2012 at 6:15 pm
Why did Chris Uhlmann, when he had the opportunity to interview Mal Brough, not ask him about his Ashby dealings?
http://www.abc.net.au/7.30/content/2012/s3514752.htm
by joe2 on May 31, 2012 at 6:16 pm
This isn’t about a speeding ticket or indeed the time to dispute or pay it.
This is about telling every Queenslander where the power lie and just exactly who exercises it.
by Ian on May 31, 2012 at 6:16 pm
She should, but I cannot be held responsible for the stupidity of the ALP caucus!
by Mod Lib on May 31, 2012 at 6:16 pm
BB @ 4168,
I for one await your report with interest
by fiona on May 31, 2012 at 6:17 pm
Drum playing Whately call of Abbott and Pyne run
by guytaur on May 31, 2012 at 6:17 pm
Needs Mantovani soundtrack.
by muttleymcgee on May 31, 2012 at 6:17 pm
Finny,
Do you ever “accidentally on purpose” … erm … how should I put it?
by fiona on May 31, 2012 at 6:18 pm
Perhaps because they were discussing the ongoing rape of 5 year old children. From my perspective that would warrant the entire 30 minutes of the show rather than just one interview, but if it is just one interview nothing else should be covered.
by Mod Lib on May 31, 2012 at 6:18 pm
Abbott is in trouble.
His former cheerleaders in the media are starting to join everyone else in taking the piss out of him.
As a man with a glass jar and no sense of humour where it pertains to himself, I wonder how much longer Abbott will go before he blows.
Aaargh! Sorry about that mental image …
by Danny Lewis on May 31, 2012 at 6:18 pm