Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports (though James J in comments had the numbers 45 minutes earlier) that Newspoll has the two-party preferred vote at 54-46, compared with 55-45 a fortnight ago and 59-41 the fortnight before. The primary votes are 32% for Labor (up two on last time), 46% for the Coalition (up one) and 12% for the Greens (steady). Julia Gillard’s approval rating is up three to 30% and her disapproval down three to 60%, while Tony Abbott is respectively down three and up four to 31% and 60%. Julia Gillard leads as preferred prime minister 40-37, reversing Abbott’s 40-36 lead last time.
Today’s Essential Research was less encouraging for Labor: it had them losing one of the points on two-party preferred which were clawed back over previous weeks, the result now at 57-43. Primary votes were 50% for the Coalition (up one), 33% for Labor (steady) and 10% for the Greens (steady). Other questions gauged views on the parties’ respective “attributes”, with all negative responses for Labor (chiefly “divided” and “will promise anything to win votes”) rating higher than all positives. The Liberal Party did rather better, rating well for “moderate” and “understands the problems facing Australia”. Bewilderingly, only slightly more respondents (35%) were willing to rate the state of the economy as “good” than “bad” (29%), with 33% opting for neither, although 43% rated the position of their household satisfactory against 28% unsatisfactory.
UPDATE (29/5/12): Morgan have broken the habit of a lifetime by publishing their weekend face-to-face poll results on a Tuesday, never having been known in the past to do it earlier than Thursday. My best guess is that they wished to offer a riposte to Newspoll’s relatively encouraging figures for Labor – “today’s Newspoll showing a swing to the ALP is simply unbelievable”, says Gary Morgan in the accompanying release – with their own results, which show Labor support at an all time low on every measure. The poll has Labor’s primary vote down 4.5% on the previous week to 27.5%, the Coalition up 3.5% to 49% and the Greens up 2.5% to 13%. This translates into 61.5-38.5 on respondent-allocated preferences and 58-42 on preferences as they flowed at the previous election.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
GG:
If I am a strong supporter of Gillard, she is in even more trouble than I thought!
by Mod Lib on May 31, 2012 at 9:08 pm
CTar1
On that I have no doubt.
by poroti on May 31, 2012 at 9:08 pm
Showsy,
While you were pissing me off, I managed to clear some correspondence, go to Church with my family, have a nice brunch with friends and maanged to get to the footy for a glorious Carlton victory.
You should be so pissed.
by Greensborough Growler on May 31, 2012 at 9:12 pm
Apologies if already posted.
http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/no-secret-deal-with-shooters-ofarrell-20120531-1zkls.html
Just unbelievable!
by liyana on May 31, 2012 at 9:13 pm
Jeremy Bleisch might be a bit of a looker
But as far as I’m concerned USA truth died with JFK.
I wouldn’t take any assurances from the USA at face value.
WMD anyone?
War in Iraq to free the Iraqis?
by kezza2 on May 31, 2012 at 9:13 pm
Im a strong Gillard supporter as well. She is the person to lead Labor to the next election.
I think i need a Gillard badge.
by rummel on May 31, 2012 at 9:13 pm
poroti
These days if your parents played that to you they’d be vilified by ACA and child care authorities would be called in.
by CTar1 on May 31, 2012 at 9:14 pm
Mod Lib,
You’ll be glad I signed you up come the election.
by Greensborough Growler on May 31, 2012 at 9:14 pm
Gotta go again.
Night all.
by kezza2 on May 31, 2012 at 9:15 pm
rummel:
U is norty!
GG:
U don’t want me door knocking for Gillard, trust me!
by Mod Lib on May 31, 2012 at 9:15 pm
I bought an old Chifley badge on eBay the other week. It’s on good nick too.
“Chifley Means Security” it says. It’s a lapel badge. Dunno if it’s the 46 or 49 campaign, but I’m very happy with it.
by Burgey on May 31, 2012 at 9:16 pm
rummel,
If you like badges so much, there is a job going for a Sheriff in a porno Western.
You won’t believe where they pin the badge.
by Greensborough Growler on May 31, 2012 at 9:16 pm
http://andrewelder.blogspot.com.au/
I noticed andrew put a bible entrance in his last piece, i was i ntererested to see
What luke 3_7
Luke 3.7-18
7 John said to the crowds that came out to be baptized by him, “You brood of vipers! Who warned you to flee from the wrath to come?
by my say on May 31, 2012 at 9:17 pm
Mod Lib,
Rather you than Bemused.
by Greensborough Growler on May 31, 2012 at 9:17 pm
lisa o’carroll@lisaocarroll
Love that Hunt can, with poker face, say that he came back from xmas hols to have an “introductory meeting” with Murdoch/News Corp
by Schnappi on May 31, 2012 at 9:18 pm
Fiona,
(re Finn’s toilet mat)
If there are males in your life, I’m sure that you’re (ruefully) aware that we never hit the target with precision. Frankly, I find it becomes more difficult as senior citizen status sets in.
by Peter Fuller on May 31, 2012 at 9:19 pm
guytaur
Yep!
I’m sure it was that easy!
by Dee on May 31, 2012 at 9:20 pm
BRILLIANT! Thank you for confirming that my plan worked and that you are ultimately a light weight who can’t hack any criticism.
I don’t care about any of this, it has nothing to do with the fact that I pissed you off because you can’t handle a bit of heat.
And no, I don’t want to see the slides that you photographed on the day.
by ShowsOn on May 31, 2012 at 9:22 pm
GG:
We libs just need to sit back and let you ALP types fight each other!
by Mod Lib on May 31, 2012 at 9:23 pm
What a surprise IA are incapable of correcting their own distortion without creating yet another distortion. Where in the financial report does it show they were bonus payments? And people take this rubbish seriously.
by davidwh on May 31, 2012 at 9:23 pm
[From donovan IA thompson 7
http://www.independentaustralia.net/2012/politics/thomson-7-credit-card-slips-clarifications-and-truth-bombs/
Schnappi
The credit card slip shown is the top, white copy sent to the bank, the yellow copy goes to the customer and the green stays with the establishment as their record.
Looks like the white copy was never sent to the bank, no bank processing details, which is in line with the 211 reject code.
Strange one offering up a non-processed, rejected, misspelled, credit card imprint as some sort of proof.
Shades of the fabricated godwin gordon news ltd email.
by castle on May 31, 2012 at 9:24 pm
liyana Posted Thursday, May 31, 2012 at 9:13 pm | Permalink
Apologies if already posted.
http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/no-secret-deal-with-shooters-ofarrell-20120531-1zkls.h
Hope u are still reading,
The shooters and stuff like that got a bit of a run in the last tas election,
I think a lot of votes went back to labor then
Lyania
Read my bob ellis link he talks about your premier and others
by my say on May 31, 2012 at 9:25 pm
CTar1
On the same (reel to reel) tape was my fave
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uPJNXVZh2ns&feature=fvst
by poroti on May 31, 2012 at 9:25 pm
@Mod Lib 4395
1. Julia Gillard only stated that what Assange did was “Illegal”, although according to Wikipedia this was retracted when AFP said he had not broken any Australian laws.
2. Robert McClelland is no longer the Attorney-General.
3. While yes, US Politicians have said horrible things about what they want to do to Assange, they have been known to back down over issues that gather enough public support (as they did with SOPA).
However, I don’t really trust the USA to do the right thing after what they did to people in Guantanamo Bay and are currently doing to Bradley Manning.
Furthermore I was glad to see that Craig Emerson said “We condemn absolutely the threats that have been made by some people in the United States against Julian Assange and he deserves all of the rights of being an Australian citizen.”
by Von Kirsdarke on May 31, 2012 at 9:25 pm
liyana Posted Thursday, May 31, 2012 at 9:13 pm | Permalink
Apologies if already posted.
http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/no-secret-deal-with-shooters-ofarrell-20120531-1zkls.h
Hope u are still reading,
The shooters and stuff like that got a bit of a run in the last tas election,
I think a lot of votes went back to labor then………
Lyania
Read my bob ellis link he talks about your premier and others
by my say on May 31, 2012 at 9:26 pm
Bit surprised no one has taken interest i bob ellis view on the liberal party,
Hope he right
by my say on May 31, 2012 at 9:28 pm
my say
A mistranslation there. As BK will confirm he actual words were..:)
by poroti on May 31, 2012 at 9:29 pm
Mod Lib,
As I said, you’ll be grateful for tonight’s endorsement when the full humiliation of the coming Liberal electoral debacle plays out in all its gory glory.
by Greensborough Growler on May 31, 2012 at 9:29 pm
I was out in the car about an hour ago and caught the beginning of the Nightline show on 3AW with Bruce and Phil. The first caller proceeded to tell them that he had found a new respect for Julia Gillard after her speech to the mining executives and that he would now be voting for her. He said he was particularly impressed (as was I) with the part about the resources not belonging to the miners but to all Australians. He also said it was the best speech he had ever heard her give and went on to give a lot of other detail about it and why he believed her approach was very important for the future of Australia..
It surprised me that they allowed him to go on for so long. But what really amazed me the most was that Bruce and Phil, who are both normally very conservative in their political attitudes (especially Phil) both whole heartedly agreed with him. It seems Julia may be on a winner with her mining policy and that Abbott may have shot himself in the foot by backing the miners.
by Darn on May 31, 2012 at 9:31 pm
Showsy,
I don’t take photographs. I get photographed.
by Greensborough Growler on May 31, 2012 at 9:31 pm
VK:
I am glad Gillard retracted her statement, I missed that, but it doesn’t mean she didn’t screw up when she said he was guilty. She screwed up.
I am glad RMc lost the AG position
I am glad Obama is going to be re-elected but his Administration was part of the team that said stupid things, although nowhere near as stupid as the Republicans
Craig Emerson is a beacon of light amidst the darkness of the ALP frontliners.
by Mod Lib on May 31, 2012 at 9:31 pm
davidwh,
Don’t pout.
by Greensborough Growler on May 31, 2012 at 9:32 pm
Four related articles/blog posts worth reading
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-05-31/green-qanda-celebrity/4043332
http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/4044082.html
http://andrewelder.blogspot.com.au/2012/05/politics-media-and-you.html
http://dragonistasblog.com/2012/05/31/the-big-business-bogeyman/
by Leroy on May 31, 2012 at 9:32 pm
It’s amazing how far the news travels.
While doing research for a trip to China, I came across this on the Zhuhai government website (Zhuhai is a Mainland China city next door to Macau).
http://www.zhuhai.gov.cn/english/Citynews/201205/t20120527_293300.htm
by citizen on May 31, 2012 at 9:32 pm
Thank you My Say- Will do.
by liyana on May 31, 2012 at 9:33 pm
Peter Fuller I guess you know how appropriate your name is for that discussion
by Oakeshott Country on May 31, 2012 at 9:33 pm
GG:
Thanks. Cut and stored for future use (once the election results start coming in on election night!
by Mod Lib on May 31, 2012 at 9:33 pm
Mod lib bob elliss certainly thonks in his pie e
http://www.independentaustralia.net/2012/politics/the-last-days-of-the-liberals/
by my say on May 31, 2012 at 9:33 pm
mysay @ 4424:
It looks like you link was truncated: No secret deal with Shooters: O’Farrell
by Jaeger on May 31, 2012 at 9:36 pm
Wow! My Say! Thanks for that… That’s an amazing article…I’ll pass it around to my friends and such…Scary, yet true and brilliantly written…
by liyana on May 31, 2012 at 9:37 pm
poroti – I remember …
Definitely child abuse!
by CTar1 on May 31, 2012 at 9:37 pm
Darn Posted Thursday, May 31, 2012 at 9:31 pm | Permalink
I was out in the car about an hour ago and caught the beginning of the Nightline show on 3AW with Bruce and Phil. The first caller proceeded to tell them that he had found a new respect for Julia Gillard after her speech to the mining executives and that he would now be voting for her. He
My say
Darn we are hearing a lot of goid stuff at the momemt,
Read my link, the last days of the libs
U will love it hope bob elliss is right
by my say on May 31, 2012 at 9:39 pm
My Say
Probably too busy listening to reith on all abc shows,it is now Their ABC
by Schnappi on May 31, 2012 at 9:39 pm
GG not pouting just amazed that people believe what is obviously a deliberate distortion of the situation. Read the report total salaries $600k of which we now know Jackson received $74k and the auditors confirmed the note (yes only a note) to the accounts was incorrect.
by davidwh on May 31, 2012 at 9:39 pm
I wouldn’t pay too much attention to Ellis -he tends to make things up. My favourite was that a section of the RAAF was preparing to bomb Yarralumla after the Dismissal but were unable to get the support of ground troops.
by Oakeshott Country on May 31, 2012 at 9:40 pm
Bob Ellis has a section on his webpage called Classic Ellis which is dedicated (other than to himself) to some piece about Assange. No want of ego there.
Wick’s latest instalment does involve a lot of discussion about himself and the level of correspondence he is getting blah blah. He has not repeated his assertion about having scores of documents etc. That is wise when the coppers have already executed the odd search warrant in relation to the affairs of the HSU.
by shellbell on May 31, 2012 at 9:40 pm
I’m not interested in your frequent run ins with the law.
And no, I don’t want to know the precise reasons why you aren’t allowed within 1 KM of all schools.
by ShowsOn on May 31, 2012 at 9:41 pm
My Say:
I note your joy at the prediction of the Libs being reduced to a rump by 2017, however, I suspect that is much more likely to be the fate of another political party!
by Mod Lib on May 31, 2012 at 9:42 pm
!!!
by Mod Lib on May 31, 2012 at 9:43 pm
Try this ‘
Re copied from lyinya
http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/no-secret-deal-with-shooters-ofarrell-20120531-1zkls.html
by my say on May 31, 2012 at 9:43 pm