Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports (though James J in comments had the numbers 45 minutes earlier) that Newspoll has the two-party preferred vote at 54-46, compared with 55-45 a fortnight ago and 59-41 the fortnight before. The primary votes are 32% for Labor (up two on last time), 46% for the Coalition (up one) and 12% for the Greens (steady). Julia Gillard’s approval rating is up three to 30% and her disapproval down three to 60%, while Tony Abbott is respectively down three and up four to 31% and 60%. Julia Gillard leads as preferred prime minister 40-37, reversing Abbott’s 40-36 lead last time.
Today’s Essential Research was less encouraging for Labor: it had them losing one of the points on two-party preferred which were clawed back over previous weeks, the result now at 57-43. Primary votes were 50% for the Coalition (up one), 33% for Labor (steady) and 10% for the Greens (steady). Other questions gauged views on the parties’ respective “attributes”, with all negative responses for Labor (chiefly “divided” and “will promise anything to win votes”) rating higher than all positives. The Liberal Party did rather better, rating well for “moderate” and “understands the problems facing Australia”. Bewilderingly, only slightly more respondents (35%) were willing to rate the state of the economy as “good” than “bad” (29%), with 33% opting for neither, although 43% rated the position of their household satisfactory against 28% unsatisfactory.
UPDATE (29/5/12): Morgan have broken the habit of a lifetime by publishing their weekend face-to-face poll results on a Tuesday, never having been known in the past to do it earlier than Thursday. My best guess is that they wished to offer a riposte to Newspoll’s relatively encouraging figures for Labor – “today’s Newspoll showing a swing to the ALP is simply unbelievable”, says Gary Morgan in the accompanying release – with their own results, which show Labor support at an all time low on every measure. The poll has Labor’s primary vote down 4.5% on the previous week to 27.5%, the Coalition up 3.5% to 49% and the Greens up 2.5% to 13%. This translates into 61.5-38.5 on respondent-allocated preferences and 58-42 on preferences as they flowed at the previous election.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Yellow for Blood Oaf!
by fiona on May 29, 2012 at 3:04 pm
Yellow for Abbott.
by Boerwar on May 29, 2012 at 3:04 pm
Yellow for Abbott!
by BK on May 29, 2012 at 3:04 pm
Whoa Abbott warned!
by victoria on May 29, 2012 at 3:04 pm
Pyne getting frantic – the next hearing date (21 June??) looming.
Mr Bornstein may tell truth – dead pyne ???
by CTar1 on May 29, 2012 at 3:05 pm
I noted yesterday that Mr Abbott did a sort of psychological ‘Umma, umma, umma, umma…’ like his nodding fit with the journo.
I reckon he is close to having the long-awaited explosion.
With his figures he must know he is on thin ice.
by Boerwar on May 29, 2012 at 3:06 pm
It’s definitely LABOR DAY today.
by gigi on May 29, 2012 at 3:06 pm
Burke on fire! It’s open season on Shadow Ministers.
by BK on May 29, 2012 at 3:06 pm
Boerwar,
It was in full slither as I arrived – so much so that I had to avert my eyes.
by fiona on May 29, 2012 at 3:06 pm
The Great Unhingement is imminent.
by BK on May 29, 2012 at 3:06 pm
Is it just my imagination or does the opposition front bench seem more than a little glum today? Hardly a smirk to be seen.
by leone on May 29, 2012 at 3:06 pm
Roy it was a poor phrase for the alternative PM to use however it is a common expression to describe someone who will fight hard to the end. I don’t think it’s any worse than referring to protestors as being of no consequence or incontinence.
by davidwh on May 29, 2012 at 3:07 pm
fiona
*laughs*
Demure is as demure does.
by Boerwar on May 29, 2012 at 3:07 pm
Julia’s trumped Abbott again!
by BK on May 29, 2012 at 3:07 pm
Albo sticking the boot in some more. Donations to the National Party from the so-called carbon-destroyed affected airlines.
by Boerwar on May 29, 2012 at 3:08 pm
A gal like moi is vewwy vewwy demure, BW.
by fiona on May 29, 2012 at 3:09 pm
Gubbies won QT hands-down today.
by Boerwar on May 29, 2012 at 3:09 pm
Truss is an ineffective buffoon.
by BK on May 29, 2012 at 3:09 pm
Blast 24 for cutting – I wanna watch the next bit!
by fiona on May 29, 2012 at 3:09 pm
The Coalition members are just Droogs, with Abbott starring as Alex and Hockey as Dim.
They know how to bring on the old ultraviolence, but their hearts are cold and barren…
by Mr Pajama Pudding on May 29, 2012 at 3:09 pm
MPI
EMI!
by Boerwar on May 29, 2012 at 3:10 pm
Yeah Julia!
by OzPol Tragic on May 29, 2012 at 3:10 pm
Whoops. EMA.
by Boerwar on May 29, 2012 at 3:10 pm
Boerwar
Yes, although I think I understood it the way Morris intended, it was an unnecessarily violent metaphor. We can do without such inflammatory language.
by triton on May 29, 2012 at 3:11 pm
Morrison anything but fluent.
by BK on May 29, 2012 at 3:11 pm
Scoot is a very sad man. He thought immigration meant boats.
by ruawake on May 29, 2012 at 3:12 pm
Better still, Lyndal Curtis admitted it! :laugh:
by OzPol Tragic on May 29, 2012 at 3:12 pm
Looks like Bowen and Roxon are batting for the Government on this MPI.
by BK on May 29, 2012 at 3:12 pm
Wonder if QT will be reported like Maley reported yesterday’s?
by rishane on May 29, 2012 at 3:14 pm
Not bothered listening to Scoot
by victoria on May 29, 2012 at 3:14 pm
Scoot likes the EMA stuff.
by ruawake on May 29, 2012 at 3:15 pm
Interesting how Richo cheered by the coalition today. Speaks volume
by victoria on May 29, 2012 at 3:17 pm
Is Scoot reading Bowen’s speech by mistake?
by ruawake on May 29, 2012 at 3:17 pm
All this immigration stuff seems so “yesterday”.
Who gives a flying f**k when she knew what she knew? The deal is done. Even Daily Telegraph readers don’t care. It’s all back office stuff.
by Bushfire Bill on May 29, 2012 at 3:17 pm
Morrison chanting to himself to keep calm:
When after five chants he realises, ‘Hang on, that’s wrong’.
Meltdown
by CTar1 on May 29, 2012 at 3:18 pm
BB
Says a lot about where the coalition are at
by victoria on May 29, 2012 at 3:18 pm
“Either she DIDN’T know and is incompetent. Or she DID know and has mislead the Australian people.”
Sheesh… this is clutching at straws.
by Bushfire Bill on May 29, 2012 at 3:18 pm
Ooh new Morgan Poll
http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2012/4782/
Its a RECORD!
by bluegreen on May 29, 2012 at 3:19 pm
Abbottkind cannot bear very much reality
Apologies to TS Eliot “Four Quartets”
by OzPol Tragic on May 29, 2012 at 3:21 pm
And they don’t mind spilling a bit o’ claret in their metaphores.
by Flaneur on May 29, 2012 at 3:22 pm
And it’s a joke given Newspoll.
by Gary on May 29, 2012 at 3:22 pm
Did you notice the exaggerated simian gait of Abbott as he waddled from the chamber after QT today?
by BK on May 29, 2012 at 3:22 pm
HA, heard on the radio not long ago in QLD:
LNP We giving the OK for Coal mine via Gina Rineheart.
LNP We selling some government buildings to save money.
by zoidlord on May 29, 2012 at 3:23 pm
bg and given its a ftf from morgan it really means it is 98-2.
by ruawake on May 29, 2012 at 3:24 pm
lol bk @ 841
by Meguire Bob on May 29, 2012 at 3:24 pm
lol @ the morgan poll
what a joke
by Meguire Bob on May 29, 2012 at 3:26 pm
Very good QT from Govt. Notice when JG addressed Pyne to his face during a question she really gave him a both barrells stare. But apart from this one time contemptuous look, the PM was laughing at them all of the time.
by RNM1953 on May 29, 2012 at 3:28 pm
Pick the rogue.
by bluegreen on May 29, 2012 at 3:28 pm
DavidWH,
1) Not concerned with the regularity the alternative PM comes out with these violent allusions?
2) Did the current PM refer to protesters being of no consequence or was it another minister/MP?
3) Did the incontinence comment come from an MP or simply a nuffy forum like this one? If it is the latter, you should say so
4) Since when does the Coalition get it’s feelings hurt by what is said or done to protesters? You, of all people, as a Queenslander should know the answer to that. If you get it right, I’ll even come up and buy you a pot (do they still drink out of those pathetic eye-droppers?) at the Bellevue Hotel.
by Roy Orbison on May 29, 2012 at 3:29 pm
seriously… are we seeing the reversal of the shy tory effect?
by middle man on May 29, 2012 at 3:29 pm