Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports that Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead at 54-46, unchanged from the previous poll, with the primary votes at 31% for Labor (down one), 44% for the Coalition (down two) and 14% for the Greens (up two). Julia Gillard’s net approval is 4% less bad than last time, her approval up two to 32% and disapproval down two to 58%, while Tony Abbott is respectively up one to 32% and down one to 59%. On preferred prime minister, Gillard is up two to 42% and Abbott is up one to 38%.
It should be noted that most of the polling period (Friday to Sunday) covered what in every state but WA was a long weekend, when an unusually large number of potential respondents would be away from home. Given that absent and postal votes tend to favour the Coalition, it might be anticipated that this would bias the result slightly in favour of Labor, although measures may have been taken to correct for this. As far as I can tell, Newspoll used to abstain from polling over the Queen’s Birthday weekend, but changed this policy last year.
UPDATE: Essential Research has two-party preferred unchanged on last week at 56-44, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (down one), 32% for Labor (down one) and 10% for the Greens (steady). The monthly personal ratings have Julia Gillard up a point on approval to 32% and down four on disapproval to 56%, with Tony Abbott down four on approval to a new low of 32% and up one on approval up one to 54%. Funnily enough, Newspoll and Essential concur that both leaders’ approval ratings are 32%. Gillard and Abbott are tied at 37% on preferred prime minister, compared with a 38-37 lead for Gillard last time.
Other questions gauge public trust in various institutions, recording a remarkable drop for the federal parliament from 55% to 22% since the question was last asked in September, and other sharp drops recorded for trade unions (from 39% to 22%), environmental groups (45% to 32%), business groups (38% to 22%) and, for some reason, the Reserve Bank (67% to 49%). The poll also finds 60% disapproving of bringing in overseas workers with only 16% approving, 32% believing labour costs and taxes might drive mining companies away against 49% who expect them to carry on regardless.
UPDATE 2: Roy Morgan makes it three polls in one day by reporting its face-to-face results, which it evidently does on Tuesdays now rather than Fridays. This result is Labor’s best since March, their primary vote up half a point to 33% with the Coalition down 2.5% to 42.5% and the Greens up two to 12.5%. On two-party preferred, the Coalition’s lead has narrowed from 55.5-44.5 to 52-48 on previous election preferences and from 58-42 to 55-45 on respondent-allocated.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
“@StephenJonesMP: “@purserj: Is there anything that Australia is allowed to be ahead of the world in according to the Coalition?” negativity!”
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:24 pm
rummel
As long as that is all the fishing they do. Fisheries officers in SA have to keep a sharp eye out here for illegal fishing from ”recreational” fishing boats.
The penalties are really tough, but they still do it. They can and do lose their gear, the boat, the vehicle that towed it plus $thousands in fines. These guys are ruining the fish stocks for other rec fishers too. But still they take more than their bag limit, or try to disguise commercial fishing as recreational.
So it is not a simplistic mindset of all rec fishing is good.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:25 pm
@2842 – depends on which specie.
I’ve dived up at Exmouth where there are “No take” zones – the fish almost behave like there is a fence – it is quite amazing.
I really don’t object to us managing our fish stocks and if that includes some “No take” zones then that is a good thing – but locking up massive swathes of our waters needs to be supported by both the science and the public.
by Compact Crank on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:25 pm
I don’t know what the shorten rumours are, however who says the rumours are comming from the libs. I would say there is a fair chance the rumours could be comming from the same tap that keeps hosing down gillard when she starts warming up and scoring runs.
by rummel on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:25 pm
@rummel/2846
You are never happy with Labor regardless, so stop trying to act like you do.
by zoidlord on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:25 pm
CC
Good insight, IMHO, that provides a useful guide to why rec fishers need to be protected from themselves.
The expenditure per rec fish weight equivalent is astronomically above the shop value of the fillets.
Of course, as with all commons, open slather increases the effort required (travel further, bigger boats, bigger trailers, more expensive equipment). The end result is that the costs makes your high-end fishing costs above those of the common man.
by Boerwar on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:26 pm
CC
It is simple. Go do your recreational fishing elsewhere. It is a BIG ocean.
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:27 pm
And i onky got to grade 10
But i take a bit of interest in our fishing induscheck out salmon ponds
Really woukd doit for you
But my lunch break is over
by my say on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:27 pm
Puff
For the small illegal problems that do happen is it worth the political pain taking on a huge swag of fishermen who do the right thing.
by rummel on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:28 pm
@2846 – the most important asset in enforcement is the public – if the boating public aren’t onside to report suspected breaches the job is just so much harder and the best resource is wasted.
by Compact Crank on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:28 pm
guytaur
Gold!
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:30 pm
The media are only allowed to use Abbott Facts. Stuff the coalition do and say are not Abbott Facts.
by Roger Miller on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:30 pm
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:31 pm
Tones is instinctively deeply disappointed.
It’s also said that Steve Irwin would be deeply disappointed.
I’m sure Mr Wilke is disappointed as well.
Bob’s on now – is he disappointed too?
by CTar1 on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:32 pm
Personally I think all sides are hyprocritical and basically justify events based on that invisible line in the sand that no one seems to be able to define other than “if we do it then it’s fine but if they do it then it’s wrong”.
by davidwh on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:32 pm
Compact Crank
As we are having a polite conversation, I would like to help you. The word “species” is both singular and plural. There is no such thing as a specie.
A common fault, especially in gardening catalogues
by lizzie on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:32 pm
@2855 – I am a pretty crap fisherman but there is nothing like messing about in boats. I find being on the water a remarkable stress management tool.
by Compact Crank on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:32 pm
We need a federal shooters and fishers party.
by rummel on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:33 pm
BB
http://www.abc.net.au/am/content/2012/s3524756.htm
has the transcript from AM this morning
Labor sources
a member of the government
plus others unnamed
by sprocket_ on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:33 pm
The small illegal problems are a HUGE threat to fishing stocks. We would have no Abalone left in SA without regulation.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:34 pm
CC
I agree that general statements don’t apply to all species.
Your personal observation is interesting in that it reflects something that is reasonably well-known, scientifically.
Benthic, territorial fish will stay where they are unless something extrinsic happens. In a marine park, this means that they can get to grow big, old and capable of spawning hundreds of thousands of eggs.
The same species in a fished area will be killed by fishers before they get very big, so will not approach the same size. The reduction in the proportion of large fish in commercial fisheries is well documented, globally. As if the increase in effort required for the same amount of catch.
My understanding of marine science in the broad is that it would be, if anything, critical of much of the marine parks proposals for their inadequacy.
In relation to the public, sometimes governments have to lead. Good governments will do that, and will try to take people with them.
Mr Abbott with his populist ratbaggery is being, as usual, destructive in relation to marine parks.
Chap really can’t help himself.
by Boerwar on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:35 pm
LOL Brown saying he should have retired earlier as the polls for the Greens have gone up.
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:36 pm
SA Abalone. note the two last paragraphs.
http://www.pir.sa.gov.au/fisheries/recreational_fishing/target_species/abalone
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:37 pm
Ps we closed our scallopindustry downyears ago for some years
Nows thriving agsin
Same with crays we where on the west oastlast year and i have never seen so many crays
by my say on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:37 pm
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:38 pm
now ex Howard staffer Greg Barns spilling the beans on Liberals Dirt Unit
http://afr.com/p/national/politics/howard_govt_ran_dirt_unit_ex_advisor_WNBPKUOjCUqhQWFgXSI5gM
by sprocket_ on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:39 pm
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:39 pm
Fishing waters ain’t waters.
I imagine that consultations with rec fishers would have had an impact on the location of proposed park boundaries. This would mean for example, that places where many rec fishers get their tinnies in and out of the water would have been avoided, where it made scientific sense to do so
by Boerwar on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:39 pm
A trip down memory lane…
http://www.theage.com.au/news/opinion/no-bones-about-her/2007/09/08/1188783558418.html
by zoomster on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:39 pm
r
You already have one. It is called the Coalition.
by Boerwar on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:41 pm
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:41 pm
g
Not if you are rich, you don’t.
by Boerwar on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:42 pm
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:42 pm
Just had a look at the proposed map – small map – big hands – so hard to get much detail but it actually doesn’t look too bad for recreational fishers outside the Coral Sea.
The real issue will be monitoing and enforcement – who, what and how much will it cost? Can’t say I hold much hope given our inabilty to stop the current border crashers.
by Compact Crank on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:43 pm
I would be pretty damned annoyed if the ALP wasn’t trawling public records for Coalition hypocrisy.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:44 pm
rummel
You got Bob Katter on your side regarding Marine Park.
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:44 pm
You beat me to it Zoomster…
But can I add that this very article was the subject of the very last MPI ever held under the Howard government?
After the MPI Howard went to Yarralumla and called the election.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:46 pm
This Dirt Unit stuff is hilarious – everyone pointing at everyone else – “but-but-but . . . ”
As long as they aren’t using too much of public servants and assets it is unremarkable.
by Compact Crank on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:46 pm
One of the effects of the shift to aquaculture is that diseases are fostered and spread. Basic evolutionary theory easily explains why.
by Boerwar on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:47 pm
Bugger off Crank, if that is the best you can do to try to idamage an important and worthwhile gov’t action.
Do something useful, study those self-castrating spiders, you will learn a lot about your glorious LOTO.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:47 pm
Note the use of the words: “plush ministerial suite”.
Jason Koutsoukis was banished soon after to be the Age’s “Middle East stringer”.
He was hardly ever heard from again.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:48 pm
Which, I suspect, is the idea behind the whole thing.
Get ready for something very big to be coming out about a senior Coalition figure. I feel it in my bones.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:49 pm
Try these ones, Rummel.
http://www.aec.gov.au/Parties_and_Representatives/party_registration/Registered_parties/aust-fish-lifestyle.htm
http://www.aec.gov.au/Parties_and_Representatives/party_registration/Registered_parties/shooters-fishers.htm
by William Bowe on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:50 pm
Finns
along the lines of your BISONS
http://www.petermartin.com.au/2012/06/where-we-are-economy-in-seven.html
by Lyne Lady on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:53 pm
And i reckon it will happen in one of the courts tomorrow where one or two of them may be mentioned for subpoena for evidence.
by Gaffhook on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:53 pm
Link to the abalone disease:
http://www.dpi.vic.gov.au/fisheries/pests-weeds-diseases/abalone-disease
by Boerwar on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:54 pm
William
Does it cost to register or maintain the registration of a party?
by Boerwar on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:54 pm
This headline in the Terror
Gillard responds to claims of a ‘dirt unit’
is the only coverage I can see in the media about the so called dirt unit. So that is a fail strategy from the LNP.
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:56 pm
Thanks WB
by rummel on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:56 pm
The destruction of brand government continues.
*sighs*
by Boerwar on Jun 14, 2012 at 1:59 pm