Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports that Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead at 54-46, unchanged from the previous poll, with the primary votes at 31% for Labor (down one), 44% for the Coalition (down two) and 14% for the Greens (up two). Julia Gillard’s net approval is 4% less bad than last time, her approval up two to 32% and disapproval down two to 58%, while Tony Abbott is respectively up one to 32% and down one to 59%. On preferred prime minister, Gillard is up two to 42% and Abbott is up one to 38%.
It should be noted that most of the polling period (Friday to Sunday) covered what in every state but WA was a long weekend, when an unusually large number of potential respondents would be away from home. Given that absent and postal votes tend to favour the Coalition, it might be anticipated that this would bias the result slightly in favour of Labor, although measures may have been taken to correct for this. As far as I can tell, Newspoll used to abstain from polling over the Queen’s Birthday weekend, but changed this policy last year.
UPDATE: Essential Research has two-party preferred unchanged on last week at 56-44, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (down one), 32% for Labor (down one) and 10% for the Greens (steady). The monthly personal ratings have Julia Gillard up a point on approval to 32% and down four on disapproval to 56%, with Tony Abbott down four on approval to a new low of 32% and up one on approval up one to 54%. Funnily enough, Newspoll and Essential concur that both leaders’ approval ratings are 32%. Gillard and Abbott are tied at 37% on preferred prime minister, compared with a 38-37 lead for Gillard last time.
Other questions gauge public trust in various institutions, recording a remarkable drop for the federal parliament from 55% to 22% since the question was last asked in September, and other sharp drops recorded for trade unions (from 39% to 22%), environmental groups (45% to 32%), business groups (38% to 22%) and, for some reason, the Reserve Bank (67% to 49%). The poll also finds 60% disapproving of bringing in overseas workers with only 16% approving, 32% believing labour costs and taxes might drive mining companies away against 49% who expect them to carry on regardless.
UPDATE 2: Roy Morgan makes it three polls in one day by reporting its face-to-face results, which it evidently does on Tuesdays now rather than Fridays. This result is Labor’s best since March, their primary vote up half a point to 33% with the Coalition down 2.5% to 42.5% and the Greens up two to 12.5%. On two-party preferred, the Coalition’s lead has narrowed from 55.5-44.5 to 52-48 on previous election preferences and from 58-42 to 55-45 on respondent-allocated.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
About those Housing Commission rents -
If the government is smart the Carbon Price compensation will be included in the Pension Supplement which already includes the GST compensation, utilities allowance and pharmaceutical allowance. That payment cannot be used when public housing rent is assessed.
I can’t see why this wouldn’t happen and it would really get up the nose of the NSW government in particular.
by leone on Jun 14, 2012 at 6:35 pm
BK
I apologise. I actually got a bit above myself earlier when I dared to address the new site moderator. Won’t do either actyion again.
by lizzie on Jun 14, 2012 at 6:37 pm
#faksophie#
lizzie, grrrr, my advice to you girl is to stay away. Finders keepers.
BK
Your playing hard to get gets me all hot and bothered. *growls huskily*
Let’s get together and read your will tonight. That always gets me in the mood.
by Boerwar on Jun 14, 2012 at 6:38 pm
Boerwar
You’re incorrigible!!
by BK on Jun 14, 2012 at 6:41 pm
ABC’s ‘dirt unit’ is just another dog bites man story.
http://www.abcgonetohell.net/post/25081827227/abcs-dirt-unit-is-just-another-dog-bites-man-story
by ABC gone to hell on Jun 14, 2012 at 6:41 pm
guytaur
I didn’t know she got into trouble for it. I just thought somebody was showing some sense.
by lizzie on Jun 14, 2012 at 6:43 pm
lizzie
News to me as well. I thought it was a conclusion reached due to analysis and not an opinion, Same with the Mr Long comment Morrison complained about.
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 6:49 pm
leone @ 3250
I think that is what happening, the state governemnt can not touch the carbon price compensator
by Meguire Bob on Jun 14, 2012 at 6:49 pm
If a carbon tax is the answer, what is the question? by ZIGGY SWITKOWSKI From a man at 6pm 11/3/12 declared Fukushima was a minor incident and gave rise to the global Empire of Finns & Boerwar Fukushima Inc
by The Finnigans on Jun 14, 2012 at 6:51 pm
compensation i mean
by Meguire Bob on Jun 14, 2012 at 6:51 pm
Is the Libs concern about an ALP dirt unit based on the vast amount of dirt so far uncovered and being prepared as WOMD?
by Tom Hawkins on Jun 14, 2012 at 6:51 pm
I thought all the stuff on Insiders was opinion (even the ‘analysis’). If they are just going to parrot the weekly news headlines, no point in being there. The interest is (was?) in hearing what the political insiders thought.
Now I’m completely confused.
by lizzie on Jun 14, 2012 at 6:53 pm
Truzzzzz
http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-national/fishing-industry-slams-marine-park-plan-20120614-20b5m.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter
This is just like Abbott on the carbon price. Truss, old fellow, the seas haven’t been locked up yet. You’re ahead of yourself.
by lizzie on Jun 14, 2012 at 6:58 pm
r
It all depends.
by Boerwar on Jun 14, 2012 at 6:58 pm
Tickled my funny bone
david ewart@davidbewart
“@Laberal: Labor has a dirt unit. Cartoon http://twitpic.com/9w9ak7” the liberal party IS a dirt unit
by Schnappi on Jun 14, 2012 at 6:58 pm
lizzie
Imagine how the poor staff at the ABC must feel.
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 6:58 pm
Next we cross live to London as British PM David Cameron appears before the #Leveson Inquiry into media ethics bit.ly/abcnews24
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:00 pm
guytaur
Mark Scott lurking over every shoulder. The staff representative fired from the Board. No one can have an opinion. Is that truly the picture?
by lizzie on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:00 pm
A delivery driver told me today that I must believe in fairy dust if I think the carbon tax won’t turn Australia into another Greece.
by Dee on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:01 pm
who needs a dirt file on Abbott when you have this
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/book-tackles-dangerous-bullying-abbott/story-fn59niix-1226154470110
by The Finnigans on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:01 pm
Dee
Tell him to shift to Greece before it is too late.
by Boerwar on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:02 pm
lizzie
It is starting to look like it. If that happens Shows CSpan suggestion will be their only option left.
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:02 pm
Dee
Another tick in the “Delivery drivers with IQ’s less than their shoe size” column.
by poroti on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:03 pm
There’ll be a backlash allright – it’ll be against the power companies, Housing Commission and others who exploit the pricing to jack up their prices. I’ve already heard a bit of it, but it’s mixed with cynicism – “they always stiff us” kind of talk.
The trouble with the scare campaign is that it’s been so public and so loud and so prolonged that it’s forced a lot of people to get up off their arses and ask some questions. And the idea that the tax cuts and compensation cover the costs, that’s cutting through. Plus the “what about my compensation” stuff like we saw of Q&A the other night – people know what’s going on.
I’d say if anyone’s going to cop it, it’ll probably be the ACCC.
Abbott’s gone on about businesses going under, and industries being shut down. That’s what people have been so scared about. If the economy stays healthy, needling about this or that going up in price might elicit a few groans, but the blame will get shared around.
by Aguirre on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:03 pm
Oh dear.. the “dirt file” thing is being run on ABC TV news
by cud chewer on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:04 pm
Abc dirt unit, news
by my say on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:04 pm
Our supermarkets have been overflowing with imported seafood for years. Muck farmed in polluted waters in Asia. Muck like Mekong River catfish aka Basa. (sounds much nicer, doesn’t it.) Surely Truss knows this. Or maybe not. Somehow I just can’t picture him popping into Colesworths on a Thursday night to do the household shopping.
by leone on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:05 pm
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:05 pm
lizzie
Ewwwww, Mark Scott an Incubus ? Shudder.
by poroti on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:06 pm
The first rule in the Art of War: Know Your Enemy
by The Finnigans on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:06 pm
Dee
That delivery bloke probably has Jones and Hadley yammering in his earhole constantly. My Australia Post parcel delivery bloke does, at top volume. I get an earful whenever he pulls up.
by leone on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:07 pm
Boerwar
That was his last retort after a heated discussion.
I can only work 1 to 2 days a week and unfortunately he delivers the day I work.
My colleague was laughing and commented that he thought we were going to tear each other apart.
Grrrrrrrrrrr…..
by Dee on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:09 pm
Simon Crean gave the PM a bit of a slap over the PM’s dirt unit.
by davidwh on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:09 pm
Ashby unlikely to involve much tomorrow.
I cannot rationally predict what KJackson will do.
by shellbell on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:09 pm
Hope the Bludgers enjoyed the Origin last night. What a game!
Imagine reading repeats of Ruddstoration from the likes of Shows ON, MTBW, Bemused, and Evan instead. Ohhh YUCK!
Da lillal smirfies wuuun
Just as predicted like usual
by Centre on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:10 pm
Centre
Did you win a motza?
by shellbell on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:11 pm
There will be MOAR toMOARrow !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
by The Finnigans on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:13 pm
Cameron talking a lot
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:14 pm
Shellbel, I wouldn’t say a motza but the game was profitable
by Centre on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:17 pm
Compared to the other three Prime Ministers who have appeared at Leveson, Cameron is coming over a bit pompous.
by BK on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:17 pm
bk, when posh boys got into troubles, they sack the servants
by The Finnigans on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:19 pm
No lamp for Cameron
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:19 pm
Crean not spinning with gillard on her dirt unit is a surprise. Must be a sign of disunity and a leadership challenge.
by rummel on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:19 pm
As usual.
by dave on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:19 pm
leone Posted Thursday, June 14, 2012 at 7:05 pm | Permalink
Our supermarkets have been overflowing with imported seafood for
Leone. Thats why i only buy from the fisher men direct on the wharf.
http://www.redbubble.com/people/tonycrehan/works/6105339-fishermans-wharf-and-hobart-cityscape
by my say on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:20 pm
Tobe @3238,
thanks for that rundown.
You would leave Oakes for dead.
Cheers.
by Doyley on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:20 pm
BK – Unlike the other three Cameron is one of the ‘Upper Class’.
by CTar1 on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:21 pm
my say, i like the fish so much, i bought the boat
by The Finnigans on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:22 pm
He aint stupid, unlike Gillard, who yet again proves she is a dud.
She must have the worst political instincts of any Prime Minister in our history- other than on PB where she is considered a gem not a dud of course!
by Mod Lib on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:22 pm
lizzie
I just got my first reply in a tweet. From one Benjamin Law.
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 7:25 pm