Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports that Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead at 54-46, unchanged from the previous poll, with the primary votes at 31% for Labor (down one), 44% for the Coalition (down two) and 14% for the Greens (up two). Julia Gillard’s net approval is 4% less bad than last time, her approval up two to 32% and disapproval down two to 58%, while Tony Abbott is respectively up one to 32% and down one to 59%. On preferred prime minister, Gillard is up two to 42% and Abbott is up one to 38%.
It should be noted that most of the polling period (Friday to Sunday) covered what in every state but WA was a long weekend, when an unusually large number of potential respondents would be away from home. Given that absent and postal votes tend to favour the Coalition, it might be anticipated that this would bias the result slightly in favour of Labor, although measures may have been taken to correct for this. As far as I can tell, Newspoll used to abstain from polling over the Queen’s Birthday weekend, but changed this policy last year.
UPDATE: Essential Research has two-party preferred unchanged on last week at 56-44, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (down one), 32% for Labor (down one) and 10% for the Greens (steady). The monthly personal ratings have Julia Gillard up a point on approval to 32% and down four on disapproval to 56%, with Tony Abbott down four on approval to a new low of 32% and up one on approval up one to 54%. Funnily enough, Newspoll and Essential concur that both leaders’ approval ratings are 32%. Gillard and Abbott are tied at 37% on preferred prime minister, compared with a 38-37 lead for Gillard last time.
Other questions gauge public trust in various institutions, recording a remarkable drop for the federal parliament from 55% to 22% since the question was last asked in September, and other sharp drops recorded for trade unions (from 39% to 22%), environmental groups (45% to 32%), business groups (38% to 22%) and, for some reason, the Reserve Bank (67% to 49%). The poll also finds 60% disapproving of bringing in overseas workers with only 16% approving, 32% believing labour costs and taxes might drive mining companies away against 49% who expect them to carry on regardless.
UPDATE 2: Roy Morgan makes it three polls in one day by reporting its face-to-face results, which it evidently does on Tuesdays now rather than Fridays. This result is Labor’s best since March, their primary vote up half a point to 33% with the Coalition down 2.5% to 42.5% and the Greens up two to 12.5%. On two-party preferred, the Coalition’s lead has narrowed from 55.5-44.5 to 52-48 on previous election preferences and from 58-42 to 55-45 on respondent-allocated.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Astrobleme
Don’t bother explaining it to Rummell. It has been done umpteen times before. He is just pushing the same old barrow, even though the wheels are falling off.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:27 pm
whats happening with ashby tomorrow?
by bluegreen on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:27 pm
Cameron is going to have a very interesting Question Time after this. This as one of his close friends faces charges of interfering in a Police Investigation.
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:29 pm
Cameron, PM of the UK at Levenson right now .. A dissembling , lying prick IMHO.
by Rossmore on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:32 pm
I promise thats the last time I post any links to any other socialist pamphlets
by bluegreen on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:32 pm
pursuit of thomson dropped,abbott accuses labor of smear tactics.
by Schnappi on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:33 pm
She delivered the policy which is now immune from coalition tampering should they win office.
In the end the substance will triumph the atmospherics.
by confessions on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:34 pm
…ya think?
Coalition control of the Senate is not out of the question if Gillard is at the helm!
Anyhow, we can re-convene tomorrow, early start tomorrow.
Goodnight all.
by Mod Lib on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:35 pm
Cameron going red again.
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:36 pm
No. I don’t think.
Nor do I accept that an Abbott-led oppsotion will win control of the Senate. You must have a very low opinion of your fellow Australians.
by confessions on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:38 pm
ModLib
OK. So it’s a permit you buy to emit CO2, and it’s tradeable, so if you buy too many you can sell it to another emitter or get refunded. A simple permit scheme. And as the years go by the number of permits on offer gets reduced – that’s how we lower our emissions.
So the Govt decided to have a fixed price period for three years so that business can become accustomed to using them – the Govt is the sole seller and purchaser dring this time. This is to prevent people manipulating the market before people really understand how it works.
I don’t know where the price came from – I am sure you could find out by googling it though. It’s important that the price be enough of a signal to encourage emitters of CO2 to want to reduce their emissions. Out target is 5% reduction on 2000 levels (probably around a 20% reduction in current levels?), so I am guessing that the price came from modelling.
Importantly using this scheme, which is the same sort of scheme either implemented overseas or being implemented means that we will be able to trade our permits with offshore buyers and vice versa. So if someone is desperate to produce CO2, they could buy them from Europe for example.
They key thing is that it makes business more inclined to look at ways to reduce their CO2 emissions.
by Astrobleme on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:39 pm
ian katz@iankatz1000
Problem fr Cameron: he says Hunt Nov memo was sent to him in red box, so No 10 officials would have been aware of it. Why didn’t they raise?
14 Jun 12 ReplyRetweetFavorite
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:41 pm
Three cheers for Trove:
http://trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/70862658
by William Bowe on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:41 pm
Thought team labor might be interested in the following article from eden monaro.
BER Beauties
‘‘We are more than happy with what we have received. I know all the talk that’s gone on about the costing and those sorts of things, but ultimately the school has been a winner in that we’ve received better facilities that we never would have received,’’
http://www.queanbeyanage.com.au/news/local/news/general/ber-beauties/2584927.aspx
by rummel on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:43 pm
Cameron is an Eton boy and showing what $50,000 a year in fees, plus a fast track into Oxford, then the Tory Party buys you. Abbot thinks he’s part of this institutional, born to rule ethos too.
by Rossmore on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:45 pm
b-g
And was this in response to landowners bringing kanaka slave labour into Australia and a desire to make sure we no longer imported slaves?
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:46 pm
Gee, do you think you may want to smurfing read the policy document and the treasury modelling?
You’re one of those people that puts in no effort to learn about a complex issue, and then goes around complaining to everyone that you feel really dumb.
by ShowsOn on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:46 pm
I think this is good.
@akbea: David Cameron is at #Leveson today. I’ve done you a handy chart. http://t.co/Bb0vmznY
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:47 pm
For you Boerwar.
http://newscenter.berkeley.edu/2012/06/11/fire-fuel-reduction-treatments/
by rummel on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:47 pm
@washingtonpost: TEXT: The letter that went out to @LanceArmstrong on anti-doping violations – http://t.co/AspXmHvY
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:53 pm
ian katz@iankatz1000
PM says meeting about moving bid to Hunt tk 2 hours. But Osborne txted Hunt 58mins aftr start of meetings sying “hope you like our solution”
14 Jun 12 ReplyRetweetFavorite
and
ian katz@iankatz1000
Cameron effectively admitting Hunt was told he was deciding BSyB bid (4.58pm) before legal advice was taken on whether he cd be impartial
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:54 pm
@BBCBreaking: David Cameron took “legal advice” on appointing Jeremy Hunt to BSkyB bid; #Hunt was suggested by the Cabinet Secretary http://t.co/VT1vAqII
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:55 pm
William
well found!
I like how how the factions divided up then as white labour and black labour.
by bluegreen on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:55 pm
bluegreen @ 3654
You want to keep them all to yourself?
by bemused on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:56 pm
Chaos for Egypt Court calls election unconstitutional. On AP breaking News.
by guytaur on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:58 pm
Actually the more interesting of the stories on that page linked in Trove is the wives of the unemployed men who tried to see the Minister (?) about work for their men. The story of the woman who was so ill-nnnourished she could no longer feed her baby and got one tin of milk a week for it as ‘relief’, and with only one blanket for the whole family (which the husband was taking with him when he went ‘up country’ looking for work) is heart-rending.
I take it that this was the same time islanders were being brought to work in the canefields for no wages.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:58 pm
re m 3675
Conservatives never change.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:59 pm
So it was out of interest of the Kanaka was it?
Are you trying to rewrite ALP history are you? I don’t try and rewrite the flaws in Deakin
by bluegreen on Jun 14, 2012 at 11:59 pm
@BBCBreaking: @UKSupremeCourt rejects @wikileaks founder Julian #Assange’s request to reopen Sweden extradition appeal. Details soon http://t.co/4VcyleMN
by guytaur on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:00 am
Grub of the week:
Jorian Gardner’s joke about “upskirting” the PM
What can one say? For once, I’m not sure, but misogyny would be in there somewhere.
by Fran Barlow on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:00 am
Bemused: Still lurking. Ever heard of the fifth column?
by Rossmore on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:01 am
Rummell 3663 you have gone up in my estimation with that post. BER was a tremendous initiative.
by Rossmore on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:04 am
Rossmore @ 3680
Yes, and I have heard of stupidity and can observe you practising it.
by bemused on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:04 am
Bemused: your views on fifth columnists in the Labor Party?
by Rossmore on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:09 am
Rossmore @ 3683
We tolerate diversity of opinion unlike some here on PB.
If a member is disloyal (in a serious sense, not a lunatic PB sense) there are disciplinary procedures that can be invoked.
by bemused on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:12 am
I do not know much about Labor history, so I would hardly rewrite it. My understanding is that racism was part and parcel of the social fabric and not confined to one party or group, but I also understand that the union movement feared cheap labour imported from poor areas. But you are obviously the history of the ALP expert, so go for it.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:13 am
Laura Tingle
http://www.afr.com/p/opinion/abbott_needs_new_best_form_of_attack_UQDZ1bHqvXphjdq692xGuN
by spur212 on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:13 am
Blue Green 3672…Black Labor
________
I found the Trove item puzzling..
.the “white Labor ” remak would refer to the QLP which was against all black and asian migration of any kind
Andrew Fisher later minister and PM made a White Australia a key part of his policy when he won Gympie and later Wide Bay …. as did the Labor movement everywhere in Australia…so great was the fear of Asians
What would they have made of Penny Wong ?
There’s a poem by Lawson…with the,line “I think that Asians are worse than Syndicates”
I wonder if the references to Black labour is actually a reference to the people in Q’land who wanted “black labour” as many plantation owners did
Many conservative politicians were in favour of “kanaka ” labour
The first act of the federal parliament in 1901 was to pass the “White Australia ” provisions of the Immigration Act with Labor support from the cross benches
by deblonay on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:16 am
… meet fan
Read more: http://www.canberratimes.com.au/opinion/political-news/slippers-lawyers-seek-to-delay-courts-next-move-20120614-20d69.html#ixzz1xmFdRmjO
by bluegreen on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:18 am
Bemused: examine yourself and your words. A loyal Labor man?
by Rossmore on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:18 am
Leveson breaks for 10
by guytaur on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:19 am
No. Not in the slightest
by bluegreen on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:20 am
Bemused re Fifth Column
_______
Well said Bemused
there is some nasty silly stuff said on PB in this context
Keep up the struggle for free speech
by deblonay on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:21 am
“Mr Slipper also wants the court’s leave to issue subpoenas, although the identities of those he wishes to subpoena are confidential.”
Oh I can’t wait…..
by Rossmore on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:21 am
@washingtonpost: Obama to give major campaign speech today http://t.co/2A2o1mKc Watch live here at 1:45 pm ET http://t.co/XBnWTK5l
by guytaur on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:22 am
Rossmore @ 3689
Stupid question. Of course.
But not a follower of a ‘cult of personality’ and not prepared to blindly follow stupid decisions without dissent.
The disloyal, in my view, are those that don’t speak up about mistakes, but condone them or seek to perpetuate them.
by bemused on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:22 am
I’d say so.
Interestingly, the more overt racism of the ALP helped them branch out into the middle class. Funny how things change.
by bluegreen on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:23 am
Now off to bed.
Goodnight
by guytaur on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:23 am
also this in the afr
by bluegreen on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:24 am
deblonay @ 3692
You are one of the small group or rational people on PB.
There is a seriously Stalinist mind set in some.
by bemused on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:24 am