Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports that Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead at 54-46, unchanged from the previous poll, with the primary votes at 31% for Labor (down one), 44% for the Coalition (down two) and 14% for the Greens (up two). Julia Gillard’s net approval is 4% less bad than last time, her approval up two to 32% and disapproval down two to 58%, while Tony Abbott is respectively up one to 32% and down one to 59%. On preferred prime minister, Gillard is up two to 42% and Abbott is up one to 38%.
It should be noted that most of the polling period (Friday to Sunday) covered what in every state but WA was a long weekend, when an unusually large number of potential respondents would be away from home. Given that absent and postal votes tend to favour the Coalition, it might be anticipated that this would bias the result slightly in favour of Labor, although measures may have been taken to correct for this. As far as I can tell, Newspoll used to abstain from polling over the Queen’s Birthday weekend, but changed this policy last year.
UPDATE: Essential Research has two-party preferred unchanged on last week at 56-44, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (down one), 32% for Labor (down one) and 10% for the Greens (steady). The monthly personal ratings have Julia Gillard up a point on approval to 32% and down four on disapproval to 56%, with Tony Abbott down four on approval to a new low of 32% and up one on approval up one to 54%. Funnily enough, Newspoll and Essential concur that both leaders’ approval ratings are 32%. Gillard and Abbott are tied at 37% on preferred prime minister, compared with a 38-37 lead for Gillard last time.
Other questions gauge public trust in various institutions, recording a remarkable drop for the federal parliament from 55% to 22% since the question was last asked in September, and other sharp drops recorded for trade unions (from 39% to 22%), environmental groups (45% to 32%), business groups (38% to 22%) and, for some reason, the Reserve Bank (67% to 49%). The poll also finds 60% disapproving of bringing in overseas workers with only 16% approving, 32% believing labour costs and taxes might drive mining companies away against 49% who expect them to carry on regardless.
UPDATE 2: Roy Morgan makes it three polls in one day by reporting its face-to-face results, which it evidently does on Tuesdays now rather than Fridays. This result is Labor’s best since March, their primary vote up half a point to 33% with the Coalition down 2.5% to 42.5% and the Greens up two to 12.5%. On two-party preferred, the Coalition’s lead has narrowed from 55.5-44.5 to 52-48 on previous election preferences and from 58-42 to 55-45 on respondent-allocated.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Been out all day. every time I have heard radio news the “dirt unit” beat-up has featured the PM highlighting the Libs buying shares in an industry they claim is dying. Abbott meanwhile is being thin-skinned again the day after Morrision was sooking.
by roaldan1000 on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:25 am
fun fun fun
by bluegreen on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:25 am
Laura Tingle:
As the heir apparent to the prime ministership, Tony Abbott has to come under pressure at some point to say how he would do the job. He knows the longer he keeps on the attack and the government on the back foot, the longer he can put off that day.
Finally…….
by Rossmore on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:26 am
Popcorn tomorrow.
Subpoenas!
I wonder who will be wearing the brown pants tomorrow?
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:26 am
Rossmore,
So the fun begins…
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:27 am
Utopia Girls earlier tonight on SBS
_________
There was a brilliant program tonight on SBS telling the history of the 50 year long struggle to get the vote for women in Australia…which became, after Federation,, the first nation to do so
A remarkable program with some very interesting historical techniques used too provide the info
Try a get a copy and see if SBS will repeat it
One of the best things I have ever seen….
“Utopia Girls”
by deblonay on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:30 am
I really think this talk of ‘disloyalty’ is a bridge too far. This is a blog, not a party meeting.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:30 am
PTMD @ 3706
The ‘thought police’ are among us.
by bemused on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:33 am
PTMD @ 3706
I should have added that you would find party meetings generally much more tolerant than PB.
by bemused on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:35 am
Bemused: can you provide any evidence of a single positive reference you have made of a Labor policy in the last three months. You seem to spend all your blogging hours condemning current Labor policy and spruiking a leadership challenge. You seem confused about who the enemy is. That disappoints me. I get your disappointment with th the leadership, but not your obsession with it.
by Rossmore on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:35 am
Rossmore @ 3709
Do your own research.
Show me where I have attacked Labor policy.
I read the polls and interpret what they are saying and they indicate to me that the present leader, rightly or wrongly, is massively unpopular and is dragging down the Labor vote. Thee is an abundance of evidence that supports this interpretation of the polls.
If the present leader is to be replaced, then there is only one viable choice. Spur212 is right in this respect.
That is not an attack on Julia Gillard and nor is it an attack on any Labor policy. If you think otherwise then you have seriously lost the plot.
by bemused on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:42 am
Bemused no I ain’t gonna do your research. If you can’t provide any evidence of your support for present Labor policy, that speaks volumes.
by Rossmore on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:47 am
Bemused no I ain’t gonna do your research. If you can’t provide any evidence of your support for present Labor policy, that speaks volumes.
by Rossmore on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:47 am
Bed time. To be continued I expect.
by Rossmore on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:51 am
Rossmore @ 3711
No, it is your research.
You have made a malicious and untrue assertion. If you think there is evidence there to support your claim then produce it. Otherwise, do the decent thing and withdraw it.
Put up, or shut up.
by bemused on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:51 am
Goodnight all.
by bemused on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:52 am
Big Ted’s troubles in Vic..and a hiccup
________
The water utility..Melbourne Water..made a major billing error and overcharged everyone by $172…a total of $300 million overcharged which Big Ted Bailleau described on 3AW to Mitchell as:” a hiccup”. Miktchyell leaped on that statement
a very big hiccup !!
The talkbacks have run hot today with angry callers as M>Water seems uncertain as to a refund
while Big Ted seems to regard it as of not much importance,,
“a hiccup” he said
Some callers are saying that will deduct the amound when paying their bill..and M Water says thats not on and willsee your water cut off.. troubled waters indeed!
Big Ted bounces from crisis to crisis
I suspect his backbencher’s phones have run hot today with angry calls
all it needs now is a bad poll
by deblonay on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:57 am
Bemused: My simple claim was you haven’t made a single positive claim, expression, assertion or statement of support for present Labor Party policy in the months I’ve been on this blog. Every one of your posts seems tainted, obsessively so, with the old Rudd/Gillard leadership issue. The world has moved on. Get over it, and start grappling with the challenges in front of your nose.
by Rossmore on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:00 am
Deblonay
I sincerely hope south aussies are watching the smurfups by the new Liberal govts in the Eastern states and stay away from the SA state Libs, and the federal ones too.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:02 am
speechless
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:35 am
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-06-14/defence-report-details-horrific-tales-of-abuse/4071324?WT.svl=news0
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:35 am
Th Greek socialists challenge the Criminal Bankers
___________
Counterpunch looks at the way Greece may lead the broad European left to challange the bankler-imposed Austerity program dished out by Frau Merkel and causing such terrible hardships right across Europe’
There is a terreible story of the wave of suicides in Athens
e.g A 60 year old man…sole support of his 90 year old dementia -patient Mother…and about to be evicted and onto the street…jumped from his flat holding his Mother’s hand and both died
Dozens a day are suiciding in many ways
So why kowtow to the Bankers ??
http://www.counterpunch.org/2012/06/14/economic-karma-in-greece/
by deblonay on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:37 am
China tells USA to Back off re sanctions on Iran
____________________________
Obama has been told where to go by China which will not take partt in any US-Israel sanctions on Iran
http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90883/7843837.html
by deblonay on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:43 am
The police in NSW may have picked on the wrong people.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 2:00 am
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-06-14/family-of-brazilian-taser-victim-breaks-silence/4071338
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 2:01 am
Hi Puff see you have outlasted the others, good on you.
Over here very hot, was 39c in Athens but a “balmy’37c here, just wish I could understand more Greek with the party leaders speaking etc, had dinner last night with the family I stay with including a cousin who speaks English well, I naturally asked about the elections, he was pessimistic what would happen, he is a banker, a though crossed my mind re the army taking over again, he had also though of that and that worries the who;e family. I remember when we first came to Greece , the old airport with the armed soldiers and a tank parked outside, not very welcoming. Also spoke to a restaurant owner who I often go to, he is really worried, but WOULD not say why??
The party doing the most advertising is the KKI the Communist party, but noone seems to think they will do any good
Pleased with the tend in Australia that article of Laura Tingle was most interesting
All the best here until next week then onto Serifos
by mari on Jun 15, 2012 at 2:37 am
mari
it is so good to hear from you. it sounds very worrying over there. army taking over is drastic muchly!
Continue to have a good holiday, no Abbott for you.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 2:44 am
”Deblonay @ # 3705
Utopia Girls earlier tonight on SBS
_________
There was a brilliant program …”
Have to agree. Should be compulsory watching for all of us.
We can see the daughters of these remarkable women around us today from our Governor General and Prime Minster and all the way through our society.
What a lucky country we are.
However, I think it must have been on the ABC (not SBS) and can be watched via Iview
http://www.abc.net.au/iview/?WT.srch=1&WT.svl=TV_iview_au
by Ratsars on Jun 15, 2012 at 2:53 am
This just increases the chance of Israel and the U.S. reverting to military action.
by ShowsOn on Jun 15, 2012 at 3:16 am
Hi to you too Puff, was good of people to have me for dinneras a very sad anniversary for me if you know what I mean,’Hope it won;t get that drastic re army
by mari on Jun 15, 2012 at 3:45 am
I’m off to bed, and I’m much too early for Dawn Patrollers. BK can you pass this on to lynchpin, please? http://polliepomes.wordpress.com/2012/06/14/why-leave-the-west/
by PatriciaWA on Jun 15, 2012 at 5:12 am
Rubbish.
Women’s suffrage in New Zealand was an important political issue in the late 19th century. Of countries presently independent, New Zealand was the first to give women the vote in modern times.[1]
The Electoral Bill granting women the franchise was given Royal Assent by Governor Lord Glasgow on 19 September 1893, and women voted for the first time in the election held on 28 November 1893 (elections for the Māori electorates were held on 20 December). In 1893, Elizabeth Yates also became Mayor of Onehunga, the first time such a post had been held by a female anywhere in the British Empire.[2]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Women's_suffrage_in_New_Zealand
by muttleymcgee on Jun 15, 2012 at 6:01 am
Surprise, surprise, surprise. Looks like Costello has discovered that the Bligh government was responsible for borrowing bucket loads of money and providing the LNP with an excuse to renege on their promises. Of course there was no mention of the biggest recorded cyclone destroying the entire road infrastructure of north Qld, which occurred only three years after the previous one. The Brisbane floods and the drought. Amazingly enough this all costs money. No mention of the worst downturn since the depression.
I winner what the books of Brisbane city council look like. Of course Newman isn’t prepared to do anything about global warming so won’t be prepared for the next inevitable disaster either.
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/debt-paid-labors-bills-audit-20120614-20d24.html
by Smaug on Jun 15, 2012 at 6:36 am
Good morning all from a relatively mild pre-dawn Melbourne.
I was about to make my lunch before heading off to school but we are out of bread. Curses, foiled again!
Have a happy day everyone – I shall take every chance I can to catch up on the legal contortions. Here’s hoping
by fiona on Jun 15, 2012 at 6:45 am
Even the strongest coaliton supporter will have to admit
abbott is one of the weakest leaders the liberal party has
Everything has gone abbotts way in the media biased, thomson,slipper affair
yet The minority government still has fallen and if anything has gotten stronger
by Meguire Bob on Jun 15, 2012 at 6:56 am
Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
Lynchpin – PatriciaWA asked me to pass this on to you.
http://polliepomes.wordpress.com/2012/06/14/why-leave-the-west/
KEEP THE LOOPHOLES!!!!
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/tax-cut-a-waste-if-businesses-have-to-pay-for-it-gillard-told-20120614-20d4i.html
Fatty (and Can-Do) are playing with fire.
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/winds-of-wonder-precede-blows-to-public-services-20120612-2089k.html
Ted’s water problem won’t go away quickly. Ron Tandberg.
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/opinion/cartoons/ron-tandberg-20090910-fixc.html
Stand by now for a full court press from the ADF Boys’ Club against Minister Smith.
http://www.theage.com.au/national/defence-may-have-been-infiltrated-20120614-20d7j.html
Gutless SA politicians bow to the Christian Mafia.
http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/south-australia/parliament-kills-off-euthanasia-laws/story-e6frea83-1226395772400
A classic David Rowe effort.
http://www.afr.com/p/home/cartoon_gallery_david_rowe_1g8WHy9urgOIQrWQ0IrkdO
by BK on Jun 15, 2012 at 6:56 am
has not fallen
by Meguire Bob on Jun 15, 2012 at 6:56 am
I suspect the Slipper subpoenas would be for documents rather than for witnesses at this stage.
by shellbell on Jun 15, 2012 at 7:09 am
who would have thunk that Rebekah is rooting David Cameron, upstairs Downstairs in it together
by The Finnigans on Jun 15, 2012 at 7:12 am
Paul Barry on ABC24 giving the lowdown on the Camerom/Brooks/Murdochs closeness.
“Not a good look”, he says.
by BK on Jun 15, 2012 at 7:13 am
The Tory’s MO & BO: There’s no conflict of interest between Rebekah & Cameron. Just as in Brough/Slipper/Ashy & Lawler/Jackson/Thomson
by The Finnigans on Jun 15, 2012 at 7:15 am
Question for the day/ “Did Cameron get the leg over?”
by BK on Jun 15, 2012 at 7:16 am
Report highlights abuse in military, PAEDOPHILES suspected – http://www.smh.com.au/national/report-highlights-abuse-in-military-20120614-20dac.html – where are @WilkieMP & Sen Xenophon when you need them?
by The Finnigans on Jun 15, 2012 at 7:20 am
If you want to see an example of superb oration have a look at his effort from Christopher Hitchens in his declining days.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/101734473
by BK on Jun 15, 2012 at 7:31 am
Good morning Bludgers brave and true!
The sun is up.
The birds are singing.
Labor is still in government.
Julia Gillard is still Prime Minister.
Wayne Swan is still the WGT.
Tony Abbott is still the WGD.
The BISONs continue to stampede their way across our wide brown land.
Today in court we have Jacksonville and Slippergate. By the end of the day, The Unhinging might reach fever pitch.
I can’t wait
by Danny Lewis on Jun 15, 2012 at 7:32 am
Hey Danny! We can have a drink to this tomorrow!
by BK on Jun 15, 2012 at 7:34 am
http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2012/jun/14/leveson-inquiry-david-cameron-rebekah-brooks
by my say on Jun 15, 2012 at 7:39 am
Oh, and on the female vote thingy; while it is true that New Zealand was the first place in the world to give women the vote (in 1893), South Australia followed close on its heels (1894). But what was significant about the SA vote was the way it was debated in parliament.
Obviously the “pro-women” vote was strong, but there was still significant resistance across the other side of the chamber. For some men, though, the resistance was not strong enough and they were angered that there were sufficient men on their own side of the chamber to ensure the vote got up.
Someone (apologies for not remembering who!) hit upon this brilliant idea of amending the Bill so that it also gave women the right to STAND for parliament, not merely the right to vote. He thought this idea would horrify his colleagues so much that they would knock the whole Bill on the head.
Thankfully, the SA parliament – brave and true – called his bluff and so, in 1894, South Australia became the first place in the world to give women the right to stand for parliament.
Yay, SA!
by Danny Lewis on Jun 15, 2012 at 7:40 am
Hopefully we will have a LOT to drink to tomorrow!
by Danny Lewis on Jun 15, 2012 at 7:41 am
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/jun/14/greece-on-edge-financial-collapse
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/jun/14/greece-on-edge-financial-collapse
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2012/jun/14/debt-crisis-emergency-measures-mervyn-king
by my say on Jun 15, 2012 at 7:42 am