Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports that Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead at 54-46, unchanged from the previous poll, with the primary votes at 31% for Labor (down one), 44% for the Coalition (down two) and 14% for the Greens (up two). Julia Gillard’s net approval is 4% less bad than last time, her approval up two to 32% and disapproval down two to 58%, while Tony Abbott is respectively up one to 32% and down one to 59%. On preferred prime minister, Gillard is up two to 42% and Abbott is up one to 38%.
It should be noted that most of the polling period (Friday to Sunday) covered what in every state but WA was a long weekend, when an unusually large number of potential respondents would be away from home. Given that absent and postal votes tend to favour the Coalition, it might be anticipated that this would bias the result slightly in favour of Labor, although measures may have been taken to correct for this. As far as I can tell, Newspoll used to abstain from polling over the Queen’s Birthday weekend, but changed this policy last year.
UPDATE: Essential Research has two-party preferred unchanged on last week at 56-44, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (down one), 32% for Labor (down one) and 10% for the Greens (steady). The monthly personal ratings have Julia Gillard up a point on approval to 32% and down four on disapproval to 56%, with Tony Abbott down four on approval to a new low of 32% and up one on approval up one to 54%. Funnily enough, Newspoll and Essential concur that both leaders’ approval ratings are 32%. Gillard and Abbott are tied at 37% on preferred prime minister, compared with a 38-37 lead for Gillard last time.
Other questions gauge public trust in various institutions, recording a remarkable drop for the federal parliament from 55% to 22% since the question was last asked in September, and other sharp drops recorded for trade unions (from 39% to 22%), environmental groups (45% to 32%), business groups (38% to 22%) and, for some reason, the Reserve Bank (67% to 49%). The poll also finds 60% disapproving of bringing in overseas workers with only 16% approving, 32% believing labour costs and taxes might drive mining companies away against 49% who expect them to carry on regardless.
UPDATE 2: Roy Morgan makes it three polls in one day by reporting its face-to-face results, which it evidently does on Tuesdays now rather than Fridays. This result is Labor’s best since March, their primary vote up half a point to 33% with the Coalition down 2.5% to 42.5% and the Greens up two to 12.5%. On two-party preferred, the Coalition’s lead has narrowed from 55.5-44.5 to 52-48 on previous election preferences and from 58-42 to 55-45 on respondent-allocated.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
I hope Qld unionists remember the elected offcials who worked so hard to undermine Bligh in her last term.
by kevjohnno on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:45 pm
BG if the LNP honour their election promise then they will take any proposed asset sales to the next election to obtain a mandate. In the meantime they will have to work on reducing expenditure and perhaps an increase in mining royalties.
by davidwh on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:45 pm
Poor old Julian Burnside – supporting the downtrodden Speaker against the vast might of two Staffers – now that’s what I call natural justice.
And there I was thinking he wasonth side of the whistle blowers and victims in society – apparently not – must prefer the money.
by Compact Crank on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:47 pm
Alternatively they could hold a plebiscite if the matter is sufficiently urgent.
by davidwh on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:47 pm
On the issue of unredacted affidavits and legal professional priviledge, I wonder if the Cth is actually asking for earlier drafts of the affidavit to establish time lines for when certain infomation appeared and such lock in the possible conspirators.
If so there is a strong legal professional priviledge argument I would have thought.
Query whether the judge could view the material so as to make a determination or order disclosure of specific material contained in an earlier affidavit which directly relates to a specific allegation of conspiracy, lets say.
by gough1 on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:47 pm
@4145 – I woud have thought Legal Priviledge would have ben tossed straight out the back door in order to protect the ALP Government.
by Compact Crank on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:49 pm
Ignore my post above. Justice Rares can and did.
by gough1 on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:49 pm
davidwh
They have to find at least $3bn in recurrent funding across three years.
That means services- teachers aides, park rangers, bus drivers etc etc.
It means cancelling every local election promise made by each candidate. It means rationalising regional and rural offices. It means not building infrastructure.
Its a tough gig and will be politically painfull.
by bluegreen on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:50 pm
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:50 pm
Commonwealth going for broke? Ashby and Doan to get the sack?
by Boerwar on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:51 pm
Karen Doane is another Slipper staffer. She went ‘on leave’ after Ashby went public with his legals.
It seems this crap from Blot didn’t quite work out as he hoped.
http://blogs.news.com.au/couriermail/andrewbolt/index.php/couriermail/comments/a_second_slipper_staffer_talks_to_lawyers/
Earlier today Julian Burnside, representing the Commonwealth, said the Commonwealth was seriously considering the employment of Doane and Ashby. It looks like they will both get the boot. I’d love to get a look at the resumes they send to future employers.
by leone on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:53 pm
BW
Take no prisoners?
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:53 pm
Did Sloane work for Slipper?
by Gecko on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:53 pm
Boerwar, if two staffers were deliberately undermining the person they were employed to work for, then they should be sacked.
by Burgey on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:53 pm
@CC/4155
What crank did you clime out of to think of that idea (i.e. any money involved)?
The evidence is clear.
by zoidlord on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:54 pm
Oops too late… thanks leone.
by Gecko on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:54 pm
by leone on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:54 pm
That was spelt out long ago -
by dave on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:54 pm
Sloane and Ashby – more coalition roadkill. You would think they would have considered the fate of Grech.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:55 pm
Ha ha very funny. There was only one horse to pick. The other was (and is) a dog.
by Lynchpin on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:55 pm
The C’wlth is doing their normal steady law and keeping focused on the main point for them which has nothing to do with a stouch between political parties.
The C’wlth is a large employer and they will want to demonstrate that it is not OK to just go off and lodge crap in a court as a claim against the C’wlth when you have a disagreement with your supervisor – there are well known processes in place to resolve this sort of thing without going to court.
by CTar1 on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:56 pm
This information regarding Asby/Slipper Case is why we need an Inquiry into Media and Politicians.
by zoidlord on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:57 pm
Pyne must be sh!tting in has nappy right now.
by Lynchpin on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:58 pm
Ken @KoenjiEikaiwa
by leone on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:58 pm
Ol’ Poopy Pyne has been very quiet of late.
by Lynchpin on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:58 pm
Can a judge (say in this case of Ashby) make recommendations – eg Royal Commission?
by Lynchpin on Jun 15, 2012 at 12:59 pm
a judge can refer papers to the DPP – would not recommend Royal Commissions etc
by shellbell on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:01 pm
Seems a bit unclear whether the subpeonas are to give evidence or produce documents (information)
by shellbell on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:02 pm
Didn’t Julie Bishop say she met Ashby as well? Or is my recollection wrong with regards to that?
by Burgey on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:02 pm
More or less; but you weren’t on your lonesome. Next time ABC24 plays it, watch Robert Jay’s face light up, followed by smiles/ smirks from others in the room as they see the smutty side
by OzPol Tragic on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:03 pm
Just looked at how the #cashforyou stuff is going on twitter.
Reminds me of this classic scene from Platoon
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9HzIVc2vwVE
by spur212 on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:04 pm
by bluegreen on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:05 pm
let’s hope we see slipper back in the chair soon…
by Lyne Lady on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:05 pm
I wonder if CanDo will take the axe to the Queensland Treasury since Costello has revealed their figures were totally out.
Perhaps they treasury job could be handed over to a private firm headed by Costello and his mates?
by trawler on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:05 pm
I would have thought that many electorate staffers have closer ties and loyalty to the political party of their boss than to their boss.
I’m sure Slipper knew that he needed to watch his back when he quit the Libs.
by kevjohnno on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:05 pm
Neal James supports a Royal Commission.
by Boerwar on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:07 pm
SMH being dumb:
No comments allowed on asby/slipper case:
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/text-trail-reveals-link-between-ashby-journo-and–slippers-rivals-court-20120615-20e55.html
attacking the PM (including the comments below the “oppinion”):
http://www.smh.com.au/technology/technology-news/hundreds-of-dollars-no-sense-as-gillards-cashforyou-tweets-backfire-20120615-20e5k.html
by zoidlord on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:07 pm
Subpoena duces tacem?
by Lynchpin on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:07 pm
I think it’s pretty clear Mr Slipper is going to be back in the chair pretty soon.
The question is whether it can be proved that the LNP were involved. There’s definitely political motive although there’s just enough in it to be circumstantial.
by spur212 on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:08 pm
OPT @ 4179
‘Dave’ at around his best red by then but added some squirming as well when this came up.
by CTar1 on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:08 pm
and Boerwar, we all know he’s speaks for the ADF
by middle man on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:08 pm
A three legged dog with fleas, rabies and mange.
by Dan Gulberry on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:08 pm
tecum
by shellbell on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:08 pm
spur212
[Just looked at how the #cashforyou stuff is going on twitter.
Reminds me of this classic scene from Platoon
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9HzIVc2vwVE
Looks more like the Ashby case to me
by poroti on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:09 pm
The thing that saddens me about #cashforyou is it’s come right at a time when #asktony was beginning to cop a lot of media flak outside of twitter.
by spur212 on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:09 pm
I thought he had a drink with him? Wouldn’t there have been an exchange of “information”?
by Lynchpin on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:10 pm
poroti
I didn’t think of that
You’ve cheered me up a bit
by spur212 on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:11 pm
Brough is a member of the LNP isn’t he? Isn’t that enough?
by Lynchpin on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:11 pm
Been out since 9 can some one in one se tance give me a clue pls to todays happeni gs
by my say on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:12 pm
Not quite. Opposition Slipper story slips
by OzPol Tragic on Jun 15, 2012 at 1:12 pm