Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports that Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead at 54-46, unchanged from the previous poll, with the primary votes at 31% for Labor (down one), 44% for the Coalition (down two) and 14% for the Greens (up two). Julia Gillard’s net approval is 4% less bad than last time, her approval up two to 32% and disapproval down two to 58%, while Tony Abbott is respectively up one to 32% and down one to 59%. On preferred prime minister, Gillard is up two to 42% and Abbott is up one to 38%.
It should be noted that most of the polling period (Friday to Sunday) covered what in every state but WA was a long weekend, when an unusually large number of potential respondents would be away from home. Given that absent and postal votes tend to favour the Coalition, it might be anticipated that this would bias the result slightly in favour of Labor, although measures may have been taken to correct for this. As far as I can tell, Newspoll used to abstain from polling over the Queen’s Birthday weekend, but changed this policy last year.
UPDATE: Essential Research has two-party preferred unchanged on last week at 56-44, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (down one), 32% for Labor (down one) and 10% for the Greens (steady). The monthly personal ratings have Julia Gillard up a point on approval to 32% and down four on disapproval to 56%, with Tony Abbott down four on approval to a new low of 32% and up one on approval up one to 54%. Funnily enough, Newspoll and Essential concur that both leaders’ approval ratings are 32%. Gillard and Abbott are tied at 37% on preferred prime minister, compared with a 38-37 lead for Gillard last time.
Other questions gauge public trust in various institutions, recording a remarkable drop for the federal parliament from 55% to 22% since the question was last asked in September, and other sharp drops recorded for trade unions (from 39% to 22%), environmental groups (45% to 32%), business groups (38% to 22%) and, for some reason, the Reserve Bank (67% to 49%). The poll also finds 60% disapproving of bringing in overseas workers with only 16% approving, 32% believing labour costs and taxes might drive mining companies away against 49% who expect them to carry on regardless.
UPDATE 2: Roy Morgan makes it three polls in one day by reporting its face-to-face results, which it evidently does on Tuesdays now rather than Fridays. This result is Labor’s best since March, their primary vote up half a point to 33% with the Coalition down 2.5% to 42.5% and the Greens up two to 12.5%. On two-party preferred, the Coalition’s lead has narrowed from 55.5-44.5 to 52-48 on previous election preferences and from 58-42 to 55-45 on respondent-allocated.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Steve (ersatz email) Lewis will become a large part of the story as the legal events further unfold.
by BK on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:03 pm
BK
Agreed. It will likely play out like the Health pay issue played out very badly for the ALP in Qld.
by Lynchpin on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:03 pm
Hey finns
I checked el slacko tweeter feed. How unsurprisement. She is not tweeting Roxon’s comments. Noticed you questioning her. What a lame response
Libtika gets a big fail
by victoria on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:05 pm
Yes, and this affects everybody, not just those in close contact wit public health workers.
by BK on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:06 pm
Lynchpin
Nassios is alive and well and at home in Melbourne and while on leave being contacted when needed by those evaluating his report.
This came out at EricA ‘smoking gun’ Estimates hearing
by CTar1 on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:07 pm
Its hard to understand why Mr Slipper would subpena Brough, after all Brough and his deeply caring wife were only concerned with regards to the pressure upon Princess Ashby’s mental health caused by the disturbing moral dilemma he found himself in while working in Mr Slipper office.
I am sure the Judge will throw out all that nonsense about texts and secret meetings showing that Princess Ashby was a double agent for the LNP. The Judge will look into Brough’s warm and caring heart and realize that naked ambition played absolutely no role at all in these shenanigans.
Undermining the Speaker to facilitate a change of Government and screw Australian democracy would never entered the pure and noble mind of a future LNP Prime Minister.
by Bill B. on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:07 pm
Who said there wasn’t justice in the world, even if it is a TV fantasy.
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/entertainment/tv-and-radio/game-of-thrones-attacked-for-putting-bushs-head-on-a-pike-20120615-20dl1.html
by Smaug on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:07 pm
Vic, my response to #Elslacko
TheFinnigans天地有道人无道 @Thefinnigans
@latikambourke two words: Potential Conspiracy
by The Finnigans on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:07 pm
If Lewis has to tell the dates of contacts with Ashby it could get messy for drinking buddies.
by ruawake on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:08 pm
The finns
Libtika has really pissed me off the past couple of days. Her focus today has been the frickin hashtag. Can you let her know that the parents getting the education bonus do not give a rats arse about a twitter hash tag.
by victoria on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:10 pm
So where has Abbott been today? Any sightings? Is he in hiding?
by leone on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:11 pm
Won’t he claim that he has nothing to say as he must protect his sources?
How far can he go in withholding info?
by Tom Hawkins on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:11 pm
by victoria on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:11 pm
1. What did Nicola Roxon say?
2. Sky News just said the text transcripts had been RELEASED by the Fed Court. If so, how can we get them?
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:12 pm
Problematic if the Commonwealth already has the SMS text transcripts. If Lewis refuses to flesh them out they might look pretty bad for him.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:14 pm
Also…
by Leroy on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:14 pm
The title tickles my fancy.
Judge ‘n Jury rocket@sprocket___
The Ashby-Pyne-Brough-Doane-SteveLewis-Slipper conspiracy – great mini series “Rats in the Ranks”? #auspol @abcmarkscott
by Schnappi on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:14 pm
KJ taking first steps in “give me sympathy” campaign.
No way!
“Illness” didn’t stop her throwing crap all along, nor did it stop her throwing more crap at HRNicholls.
by psyclaw on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:16 pm
Incidentally, Ray Hadley said today that the “state of the Queensland economy” will be the story on everyone’s minds tonight.
Sky dutifully leads off with just that.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:16 pm
I’m hanging out desperate for a Pyne subpoena. Maybe next time.
by psyclaw on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:17 pm
Perhaps we should ask those nice men Mr Leveson and Mr Jay if they could pop over to find out ? They are already full bottle on Murdochland and would hit the ground running
by poroti on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:17 pm
I have now upset Lerteekah & Lyndal
by The Finnigans on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:17 pm
More like the Australian Leveson.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:17 pm
I’m not really a popcorn kind of person. Can I have some jaffas please?
by Darn on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:18 pm
PvO now saying that the Qld government, who won “in a landslide” on the sale of Qld assets, is now gutless for not selling assets.
Lib shill saying that “circumstances change” and Can-Do should SELL.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:19 pm
Victoria
Are you satisfied with the MOAR now?
by Darn on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:19 pm
psyclaw
by CTar1 on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:21 pm
Grubby journalist Steve Lewis and Mal Brough have been subpoenaed by the federal court.
Beauty, that’s the end of Brough’s political career before it even restarted.
Hmmm “subpoenaed” spelt correctly $2.50 / Incorrectly $1.60 ?
by Centre on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:22 pm
finns
Oh , thought they were impregnatable.
by Schnappi on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:23 pm
Won’t he be able to claim some sort of journalistic privilege or doesn’t aht fly in court?
by Lynchpin on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:23 pm
sorry, that
by Lynchpin on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:24 pm
Darn
Sales of port zoomed today in my location.
by Schnappi on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:25 pm
vic, see, Gussie & I have been telling you to be patient. AG Roxon’s Presser is HUGE!!!!!!!!!!!!
by The Finnigans on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:25 pm
Did anyone tell her that Peter Reith admitted on Sky this morning that the Howard Govt. ran dirt files. Poor Tony Abbott – one can never trust expollies to keep their mouths shut (cue Richo, Beattie)
by BH on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:26 pm
Very well said Victoria – and with a touch of class too.
by Darn on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:26 pm
I hadn’t heard any more, been out since I posted that. But it looks like someone has covered it above.
It might interest you all to know that News Radio has been running wall to wall on….
defence force abuse claims and their implications for the Government. It’s the only thing they’ve been really interested in. Smatterings of reports from Ashby and (more rarely) Jackson cases. I only heard the one mention of #cashforyou, so I’m taking it the negative aspect of it is very limited, and the ABC are of the opinion that giving it publicity is probably handing the ALP a free kick.
No-one – repeat, no-one – on NewsRadio has been giving lengthy woe-is-the-ALP-ha-ha-ha commentary, on anything. I usually hear lots of them when there’s something to kick the ALP with.
So in all it’s likely been a good day for the ALP.
by Aguirre on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:28 pm
Apart from turning national parks into shooting galleries, and sacking some staff, has Mr O’Farrell actually done anything?
by Boerwar on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:28 pm
Are the ABC really this thick?
There is no speculation ABC he nominated yesterday, if your own website is to be believed.
by ruawake on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:29 pm
Wot… like a hung parliament? AS opposed to the massive majority in QLD?
by Tom Hawkins on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:30 pm
#cashforyou has no importance in your life and you couldn’t give a flying fark what is happening on Twitter just so long as the money goes into the account at the designated time.
Norman K
Thank you i will take the above
And that we know the value of social media.
GOSH I THOUGHT IT WAS SOMETHING SERIOUS
by my say on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:32 pm
I see Morrison was chucked into the fray earlier to do a ‘stop the boats’ look over there thing. Sunk like a stone.
by CTar1 on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:32 pm
BW, neither did the Romans.
by The Finnigans on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:33 pm
Space Kidette (if you’re around):
Just saw this from you on Twitter:
He’s the guys who’s been issuing statements on behalf of Ashby. Here’s one of them:
http://www.scribd.com/anthony_mcclellan_3/d/93880102-Ashby-Statement-17-May
by Aguirre on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:33 pm
cashforyou has no importance in your life and you couldn’t give a flying fark what is happening on Twitter just so long as the money goes into the account at the designated time.
Norman K
Thank you i will take the above
And that we know the value of social media.
GOSH I THOUGHT IT WAS SOMETHING SERIOUS
by my say on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:33 pm
Vale Dr Alan Saunders – an excellent broadcaster who will be sorely missed
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-06-15/abc-radio-philosopher-alan-saunders-dies/4073618
by Tom Hawkins on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:34 pm
Boerwar
Answer here http://hasbarryofarrellfixednswyet.com/
by poroti on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:35 pm
I dearly hope this is the start of the end for that effing
and his stooges.
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/text-trail-reveals-link-between-ashby-journo-and–slippers-rivals-court-20120615-20e55.html#ixzz1xqDcaJoz
by Lynchpin on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:35 pm
[ Who said there wasn’t justice in the world, even if it is a TV fantasy.
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/entertainment/tv-and-radio/game-of-thrones-attacked-for-putting-bushs-head-on-a-pike-20120615-20dl1.html
Maybe the Lannisters aren’t so bad after all.
by kakuru on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:36 pm
Our Pm in a chaff bag… as reported in the Age:
Unbelievable
by Gecko on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:36 pm
The media ran a ferocious campaign against Slipper creating the assumption that he was guilty of sexual harrassment.
I hope Slipper sues to the max and Thomsen will get his chance as well.
The Party led by Abbott has scooped to lows which render it not fit to be in government and him not fit to be an MP.
by Centre on Jun 15, 2012 at 4:36 pm