Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports that Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead at 54-46, unchanged from the previous poll, with the primary votes at 31% for Labor (down one), 44% for the Coalition (down two) and 14% for the Greens (up two). Julia Gillard’s net approval is 4% less bad than last time, her approval up two to 32% and disapproval down two to 58%, while Tony Abbott is respectively up one to 32% and down one to 59%. On preferred prime minister, Gillard is up two to 42% and Abbott is up one to 38%.
It should be noted that most of the polling period (Friday to Sunday) covered what in every state but WA was a long weekend, when an unusually large number of potential respondents would be away from home. Given that absent and postal votes tend to favour the Coalition, it might be anticipated that this would bias the result slightly in favour of Labor, although measures may have been taken to correct for this. As far as I can tell, Newspoll used to abstain from polling over the Queen’s Birthday weekend, but changed this policy last year.
UPDATE: Essential Research has two-party preferred unchanged on last week at 56-44, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (down one), 32% for Labor (down one) and 10% for the Greens (steady). The monthly personal ratings have Julia Gillard up a point on approval to 32% and down four on disapproval to 56%, with Tony Abbott down four on approval to a new low of 32% and up one on approval up one to 54%. Funnily enough, Newspoll and Essential concur that both leaders’ approval ratings are 32%. Gillard and Abbott are tied at 37% on preferred prime minister, compared with a 38-37 lead for Gillard last time.
Other questions gauge public trust in various institutions, recording a remarkable drop for the federal parliament from 55% to 22% since the question was last asked in September, and other sharp drops recorded for trade unions (from 39% to 22%), environmental groups (45% to 32%), business groups (38% to 22%) and, for some reason, the Reserve Bank (67% to 49%). The poll also finds 60% disapproving of bringing in overseas workers with only 16% approving, 32% believing labour costs and taxes might drive mining companies away against 49% who expect them to carry on regardless.
UPDATE 2: Roy Morgan makes it three polls in one day by reporting its face-to-face results, which it evidently does on Tuesdays now rather than Fridays. This result is Labor’s best since March, their primary vote up half a point to 33% with the Coalition down 2.5% to 42.5% and the Greens up two to 12.5%. On two-party preferred, the Coalition’s lead has narrowed from 55.5-44.5 to 52-48 on previous election preferences and from 58-42 to 55-45 on respondent-allocated.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
fess
I rememeber BB’s post as well. Now Pyne is very careful with his words. Too little, too late comes to mind.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:28 pm
Final list of polluters which will have to pay carbon price released today.
294 in total. Some may fall off, others may be added over time.
Even though well less than 500 calculated earlier no significant revenue loss as most permits will be allocated to the largest polluters anyway.
34 Councils included. However, they will not be liable until 2013/2014 financial year.
by Doyley on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:30 pm
What is ‘model litigent’, plz?
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:30 pm
To everybody (gold star and elephant stamp to Shellbell in particular) who has been posting about today’s events – especially KJackson and JAshby – thank you. You’ve saved me from contaminating myself with Unlimited News and soon-to-be Rinehax, not to mention Their IPABC.
by fiona on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:32 pm
Confessions,
A journalist cannot be compelled by a court to disclose the identity of their sources unless the court decides, on a public interest test, that it should do so.
by Jake on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:32 pm
if kathy jackson is too sick to brief her lawyers surely she is too sick to administer HSU at such a turbulent time . . . . time to go, girley
by billie on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:33 pm
Interesting how non Murdoch MSM will react to Lewis angle.
Will they back off to cover one of their own or will they go in for the kill and try to get the jump on others ?
Ratings and all that.
I would think the smell of blood will take over and they will eat one of their own in the frenzy.
Only time will tell.
by Doyley on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:34 pm
Fiona hope u noticec my correction re horned animal
by my say on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:34 pm
shellbell @ 4799
It does mean that the C’wlth takes care to try to evaluate fairness before taking action either in defence or against another party.
Litigation just because you think the other party can be litigated to death is not considered the ‘go’.
by CTar1 on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:35 pm
Evening all. Seems I upset Bemused last night. Offending post was this and a retraction demanded.
Bemused: My simple claim was you haven’t made a single positive claim, expression, assertion or statement of support for present Labor Party policy in the months I’ve been on this blog. Every one of your posts seems tainted, obsessively so, with the old Rudd/Gillard leadership issue. The world has moved on. Get over it, and start grappling with the challenges in front of your nose.
Happy to retract and correct the record. How does this sound?:
Bemused: My simple claim was you rarely make a positive claim, expression, assertion or statement of support for present Labor Party policy in the months I’ve been on this blog. The great majority of your posts seems tainted, obsessively so, with the old Rudd/Gillard leadership issue. The world has moved on. Get over it, and start grappling with the challenges in front of your nose.
by Rossmore on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:38 pm
Oh well, I won’t give up my day job then. (but I think it was worth at least 1 or 2).
by Darn on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:38 pm
PTMD – see 4808 on model litigant. Very poorly expressed.
by CTar1 on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:38 pm
where is the seat of the week? Surely Christian Porters Pearce should get a run William, it will never be an interesting seat.
by WeWantPaul on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:39 pm
As I wrote on May 1st, rather presciently (I thought):
http://www.thepoliticalsword.com/post/2012/05/01/No-Room-in-the-Lifeboats.aspx
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:40 pm
My Say,
Yes, I did notice
by fiona on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:40 pm
Puff
Please check your email re lunch
by crikey whitey on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:41 pm
I agree with My Say earlier tonight that it has been a good week.
It was fantastic to see that parcel of 60 million fxj shares trading after market and Gina getting up to 18.00% . She should hit the 19.90% threshold level some time next week.
That should be a nice game changer no wonder the friend of mine told me how shaken Greg Hywood was when they lunched together last week.
I suspect this will be a weekend of some reflection over the weekend by Laura Tingle and Lenore Taylor to name a few of the ” progressive” group thinkers namely how to get a full time gig at the wonderful ABC.
Wil be great sport watching or maybe they could work for Beecher or that superstar online journal the Global Mail.
Looking forward to next week and the announcement.
by stanny on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:45 pm
Bushfire Bill
The text that followed seems to imply why McClellan has been subpeoned
by Schnappi on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:47 pm
And if they fail to disclose after that, they can be found to be in contempt of court with an appropriate stay “at her majesties pleasure”.
by Dan Gulberry on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:47 pm
Rossmore
Does this help
Comment from me today
Later on when I was not around. Bemused posts this
by victoria on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:49 pm
After a v looooooong day with the gorgeous 6 and 7 year olds, I would like to wish the South Australian Chapter a delightful lunch tomorrow.
If there are any unwanted intruders, I suggest the following (last verse in particular) – though some might prefer the original with the late great Kirsty MacColl.
And if there are no gatecrashers, perhaps after lunch you might like to mosey off to the electoral division of Sturt and practise your new-found skills on the local member
Anyway, have a great time!
by fiona on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:49 pm
BB- good post you did then.
On that, it will also become more obvious as we go on just how ahead of the media Vexnews was, on both the Slipper & HSU issues. Not that the rest of the media will give him any credit.
by Leroy on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:50 pm
Leroy,
Agree 100% with respect to BB.
But … did you possibly mean Peter Wicks rather than VexNews – at least on the HSU matter?
by fiona on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:52 pm
Never heard this on PB,so think both twitter and PB are great for info
Jake@Australian_Blue
Remember when @AlanKohler said Kathy Jackson was impressive on the 7.30 Report? He’s been very, very quiet on the subject lately
by Schnappi on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:54 pm
Leroy
Vexnews and IA together with some of us bludgers have been ahead of the msm. Of course, along the way, there have been the naysayers
by victoria on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:57 pm
Stanny, I’m happy for you to get all hot under the collar about your grotesque dream girl but we really shouldn’t have to witness your disgusting acts of self-pleasure.
by Jake on Jun 15, 2012 at 8:59 pm
Stanny i take no interest in tbe market.
My comments where on the news stories,
There was not one gotcha, gov,
Full of good things only. Have not seen that for years, and no abbott
by my say on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:00 pm
Jake,
Oh, that imagery of Gina just doesn’t sit well.
by Space Kidette on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:01 pm
SK
How did the furniture removal go today?
by victoria on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:02 pm
Yes once Rhinehax comes to pass the ABC will reseamble to Titantics life boats no doubt… apologies in advance to any Titantic survivors reading this.
Pyne’s weasel words are just delaying the inevitable for him… its coming for him… slowly but surely…
I still want to know who is funding this sideshow!
by middle man on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:06 pm
Thanks Jake
You can’t stop progress
I feel the same way about your grotesque dream girl too btw her reign as leader reminds me of Hans Christian Andersen’s classic tale known as the Emperor’s new clothes except with the public role reversed . History will show that there was nothing there bucko nothing at all.
by stanny on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:06 pm
Unlikely to be ever taken up, that apology. But good on you nevertheless for making it.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:07 pm
Stanny
The lieberals are behaving true to their name. You must be proud
by victoria on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:09 pm
Pegasus @ 3877
Posted Friday, June 15, 2012 at 10:18 am | Permalink
Bemused,
“Re rossmore….he provided comedic gold when he took on Fran Barlow and her posting style. His ridiculous attempts to discredit her provided me with the most fun I have ever had on PB”
I too enjoyed my little exchange with Ms Barlow on the need to make her posts a tad more easy on the mince pies.
A personal highlight was this little nugget from Ms Barlow which drew a rare round of applause from across the blog:
Fran Barlow
Posted Tuesday, June 5, 2012 at 11:12 pm | Permalink
“It gives me no trouble. Clearly the animus stems mainly from their fear of the Left and a disinterest in ideas, which they conceal by concentrating on my style of communication.
Or we could go totally authentic.
No skin off my nose. Obviously they’re a pack of rightwing wankers who wouldn’t want to know if their arses were on fire and who try covering it up by crapping on about how I write.”
Even former combatants offered hearty congratulations to Ms Barlow for this rare show of emotion. And good on her for doing so.
Since our exchange of views, Ms Barlow’s posts are much tighter, concise with an occasional admirable turn of phrase. And not to mention the considerable savings in bandwith for our hosts. Everyone was a winner, a rare feat on this blog.
by Rossmore on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:09 pm
I’m an empathic soul BB.
by middle man on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:10 pm
All is set for the SA Chapter nosh-up, in Pyneys seat or near to it, I think. If I hear a high pitch whine or see a furtive figure hiding in the garden I will know I am right.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:13 pm
If I could be any woman in the world right now, I’d be Michelle Obama.
Just sayin’.
by confessions on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:15 pm
I must say that todays events have really put a smile on my face.
There will be some skulking about and whispering going on in certain parts of the country this weekend thats for sure!
I imagine the thought processes will be along the lines of – “Right, I’ve got my balls caught in a rabbit trap… if i run its going to hurt… but if i stay its going to hurt…”
by middle man on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:15 pm
Julian Assange gets a free trip to Sweden!
Lucky guy!
by ShowsOn on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:15 pm
Hey Puff!
Behave yourself tomorrow!
by BK on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:15 pm
shellbell
thanks for the clarification
re ashby now after slipper
cheers
by kezza2 on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:15 pm
Bring back Kevin!!
by feeney on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:16 pm
victoria,
All done, but I am physically shattered. Had a nanna nap this afternoon!
by Space Kidette on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:16 pm
BK
I am bringing a surprise guest from the wilds of Victoria. She likes to wear red lipstick.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:16 pm
OMG.
ABC news makes Su Kyi’s vomiting at a press conference into a news story!
FFS!!
by confessions on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:17 pm
Victoria 4819 You have his mark….
by Rossmore on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:17 pm
My Say
Good points and I concur with you happy not to see Abbott for a few weeks quite frankly. Most of us Lib supporters are pretty tired of Abbott and his head on approach funnily enough most of the talk around the biz community the last week or so is the general change towards Turnbull who has been a class act. Most of us were pretty hostile until recently to a Turnbull comeback. Given that most of us know him I have been fairly surprised by this given that his affiliations are pretty deep with patrician Labor in Sydney.
by stanny on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:17 pm
SK
Fair enough. I would have been knackered too!
by victoria on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:18 pm
Middle Man,
Oops, in my earlier post I should have typed Rhinehax© …
by fiona on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:18 pm
Rossmore
by victoria on Jun 15, 2012 at 9:18 pm