Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports that Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead at 54-46, unchanged from the previous poll, with the primary votes at 31% for Labor (down one), 44% for the Coalition (down two) and 14% for the Greens (up two). Julia Gillard’s net approval is 4% less bad than last time, her approval up two to 32% and disapproval down two to 58%, while Tony Abbott is respectively up one to 32% and down one to 59%. On preferred prime minister, Gillard is up two to 42% and Abbott is up one to 38%.
It should be noted that most of the polling period (Friday to Sunday) covered what in every state but WA was a long weekend, when an unusually large number of potential respondents would be away from home. Given that absent and postal votes tend to favour the Coalition, it might be anticipated that this would bias the result slightly in favour of Labor, although measures may have been taken to correct for this. As far as I can tell, Newspoll used to abstain from polling over the Queen’s Birthday weekend, but changed this policy last year.
UPDATE: Essential Research has two-party preferred unchanged on last week at 56-44, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (down one), 32% for Labor (down one) and 10% for the Greens (steady). The monthly personal ratings have Julia Gillard up a point on approval to 32% and down four on disapproval to 56%, with Tony Abbott down four on approval to a new low of 32% and up one on approval up one to 54%. Funnily enough, Newspoll and Essential concur that both leaders’ approval ratings are 32%. Gillard and Abbott are tied at 37% on preferred prime minister, compared with a 38-37 lead for Gillard last time.
Other questions gauge public trust in various institutions, recording a remarkable drop for the federal parliament from 55% to 22% since the question was last asked in September, and other sharp drops recorded for trade unions (from 39% to 22%), environmental groups (45% to 32%), business groups (38% to 22%) and, for some reason, the Reserve Bank (67% to 49%). The poll also finds 60% disapproving of bringing in overseas workers with only 16% approving, 32% believing labour costs and taxes might drive mining companies away against 49% who expect them to carry on regardless.
UPDATE 2: Roy Morgan makes it three polls in one day by reporting its face-to-face results, which it evidently does on Tuesdays now rather than Fridays. This result is Labor’s best since March, their primary vote up half a point to 33% with the Coalition down 2.5% to 42.5% and the Greens up two to 12.5%. On two-party preferred, the Coalition’s lead has narrowed from 55.5-44.5 to 52-48 on previous election preferences and from 58-42 to 55-45 on respondent-allocated.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
This is a bad decision. Rewarding bad behavior.
http://news.brisbanetimes.com.au/breaking-news-national/325m-rescue-package-for-tassie-health-20120615-20eb2.html
by Diogenes on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:11 pm
BB 4813 exceptionally prescient.
by Rossmore on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:11 pm
Mod Lip
Yeah your sexist language ,fancy using the word SEXIST ,you biased thing
by Schnappi on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:12 pm
TP is right, nearly everyone else is wrong.
by ShowsOn on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:12 pm
Michallef is good tonight.
by imacca on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:12 pm
If TP is right, I would rather be wrong
by victoria on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:14 pm
I seem to recall that Glen, for reasons that now elude me, was keen on Brough as next Liberal leader/PM…
Wonder what his latest thoughts are on that?
by Laocoon on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:15 pm
Thomas Paine you know nothing.
by joe2 on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:15 pm
Puff
Resent message, meet earlier if possible
by crikey whitey on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:16 pm
Rudd passed up a golden opportunity to paint the coalition with his kitchen table economics fail Labor had successfully prosecuted leading up to the 2007 election. Labor are paying for that today, without a doubt.
Worse, and more galling is that his govt appointed coalition people to key diplomatic posts, in the process cementing the public view that the coaltion are the effective party, not Labor.
Rudd owes Labor a huge debt. He took the reins when the party was sailing into govt, only to see its fortunes plummet with his own uncertainty and dithering. He white-anted the leadership when he was replaced, leaked against the party in an election campaign, and continued to act dishonorably against his colleagues for over a year.
It amazes me that there continues to be this coterie claque of Rudd Cultists who continue to ignore his appalling behaviour in favour of hoisting him on some kind of pedestal. In time you people will come to eat your words.
by confessions on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:16 pm
Thomas Paine is being most degrading on PB, i feel like throwing up because William is not here to moderate people.
by zoidlord on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:16 pm
Laocoon
I believe Glen was partial to Mal Brough and Bruce Billson
by victoria on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:17 pm
Where’s Evan Parsnip tonight, TP and he usually appear as a pigeon pair.
Some statue somewhere else must be copping it …
by Fulvio Sammut on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:19 pm
zoidlord,
The only moderation this site needs is your mouse wheel. Just skip to the saner comments and bypass the rubbish.
by Space Kidette on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:21 pm
Hey victoria
)
Yes indeed; I had forgotten about Bruce Bilson (imagine that
by Laocoon on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:22 pm
No doubt off wailing somewhere about Alan Jones being chipped by ACMA for telling falsehoods about climate science.
by confessions on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:24 pm
Bailleau and the Water Crisis
______________
If you live in Melb and want to give Premier Faileau a rocket over the water overcharging see the legal info on how to make your claim for a refund from Melb Water
The attachment gives a template for a legal letter to your water supplier…npt Td on melb Water but those who gave billed you
Remember
Big Ted thinks it’s just a hiccup
in the last two days the talkbacks have melted down Ted…!!!
‘Dear Melbourne Water, give me back my money’
by deblonay on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:26 pm
Did you here tha ACMA spokesman on the ABC today? He did everything but apologise to Jones for having to make a finding against him.
These media types are a real closet community.
by Fulvio Sammut on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:27 pm
Don’t know if this has already been posted.
http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/opinion/post/-/blog/13957643/why-porter-didnt-want-to-wait/
by Leroy on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:30 pm
Letter to water supplier demanding refund on your overcharged bill
if you are a Melb consumer
Follow the outtline of the letter see below
_________________
http://images.theage.com.au/file/2012/06/15/3377765/Melbourne_Water%2520letter.htm
by deblonay on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:30 pm
I swear, Thomas Paine, if you call Prime Minister Gillard a whore ever again, i will curse the very ground you walk upon for the barren worthless piece of merde that crossed it.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:34 pm
I don’t know if I agree with Mr Puffer.
by ShowsOn on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:36 pm
Puff (and others) – sorry, but do you realise the response Thomas Paine’s repetitive venonmous posts gets is the only reason he does them, right?
by Leroy on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:37 pm
Leroy
The very reason why i never read them
by victoria on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:38 pm
The letter of demand is fine as far as it goes.
Now, would some retired lawyer care to draft the statement of claim for a Magistrates Court small debts division action against their water supplier?
If aggrieved consumers took on the authority through the courts it would bring the Victorian Court system to it’s knees.
Or it would ensure a quick outcome to their demand for reimbursement.
by Fulvio Sammut on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:38 pm
About what, in particular?
by Lynchpin on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:39 pm
ShowsOn @ 4921
Perhaps you agree with confessions @ 4909?
by bemused on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:41 pm
Anyone seen a spare hashtag lying around. Julia needs it for Capt Emad.
by Compact Crank on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:41 pm
Emmo just hinted on twitter there may be more on the Slipper/Ashby matter in the papers tomorrow. Maybe nothing but keep your eyes peeled.
by Space Kidette on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:42 pm
His analysis of T.P.
by ShowsOn on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:42 pm
Vexnews to release the full text of the emails?
by Fulvio Sammut on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:44 pm
From our favourite National Party Nincompoop:
My reply:
by Dan Gulberry on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:44 pm
TP gets to say it because the coalition joysticks get called all sorts of things on PB, but that does not mean he gets off scot-free for being a disgusting worm.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:45 pm
GOOD WORK DAN! YOU REALLY SHOWED HIM DIDN’T YOU!
YOU SHOULD BUY HIM A DICTIONARY AND SEND IT TO HIS OFFICE AT PARLIAMENT HOUSE!
by ShowsOn on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:45 pm
Agreed. It looked like there were no ALP figures capable of doing the job. Rudd was trying to appear Prime ministerial, which worked in the short term, but the vibe was ALP cant manage the economy.
The ALP stocks sank when Rudd listened to Gillard’s advice.
It has stayed down while the ALP blindly follow Gillard’s tactics.
by Mod Lib on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:46 pm
Puffy @ 4932
Perhaps TP is in part reacting to the kind of anti-Rudd slanders posted repeatedly by confessions, her 4909 being but the latest example.
That does not excuse his personal attacks and choice of language.
by bemused on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:48 pm
Geeze that barbed wire up the arse must hurt.
by Fulvio Sammut on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:50 pm
bemused – those are opinions, not slanders. I agree in particular re the appointments of Libs to senior posts, thought it was a cringeworthy idea at the time, still do.
by Leroy on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:51 pm
Goodnight all x
by Space Kidette on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:51 pm
Night SK
by victoria on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:53 pm
While I do not necessarily agree with the characterisation of Rudd inn 4909, I do not see anything innn it that says he sells his body for sex.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:54 pm
Leroy @ 4937
Cool! Then you are quite at ease with opinions of that type being expressed about Julia Gillard?
by bemused on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:55 pm
http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/outcome-of-greece-vote-may-determine-future-of-euro-a-839104.html
by Leroy on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:55 pm
Like “she is a dud”
by Mod Lib on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:57 pm
The Rudders have hi-jacked the pb again, I’m going to bed.
by zoidlord on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:57 pm
dio #4900, fear the same unless it proceeds to full takeover, not that I am convinced that is an optimal result either.
I am coming to think that neither Federal nor State health departments are up to it; where does that leave us? Maybe a health division of federal dept of finance relating directly to something like area health services ( I think the local stuff on the latest model is far too local and risks all sorts of inequities, community and preventive stuff missing out, etc)
by Marrickville Mauler on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:57 pm
Appears to show murdoch committed perjury,and backs up browns version
Sarah Brown@SarahBrownUK
well that settles the phone call matter once and for all http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-18459013 @bbcnews #leveson
by Schnappi on Jun 15, 2012 at 10:58 pm
Mr Gulberry? A great broadcaster dies and a pollie acknowledges that in a humble tweet. Your response is correct some obscure participal correction then trumpet it?
Truly the death of every man diminishes us. But partisanship diminishes us more.
by Graeme on Jun 15, 2012 at 11:01 pm
Don’t dispair, Zoid.
Come the dawn they slink back into their coffins.
by Fulvio Sammut on Jun 15, 2012 at 11:01 pm
TP is a pain up the arse, talks complete crap.
Has no idea re the importance of the NBN for one.
Was happy for Gillard to replace Rudd, now wants Rudd to replace Gillard, talking pure unadulturated shite re factions etc etc.
Liberals would love Labor to be silly enough to change leaders once again, just as Tone and LNP rankings are crashing! No way José!
BG, ModLib are two other Libs trying to panic those here and the caucus to do such an ill advised course of action!
by political animal on Jun 15, 2012 at 11:03 pm