Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports that Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead at 54-46, unchanged from the previous poll, with the primary votes at 31% for Labor (down one), 44% for the Coalition (down two) and 14% for the Greens (up two). Julia Gillard’s net approval is 4% less bad than last time, her approval up two to 32% and disapproval down two to 58%, while Tony Abbott is respectively up one to 32% and down one to 59%. On preferred prime minister, Gillard is up two to 42% and Abbott is up one to 38%.
It should be noted that most of the polling period (Friday to Sunday) covered what in every state but WA was a long weekend, when an unusually large number of potential respondents would be away from home. Given that absent and postal votes tend to favour the Coalition, it might be anticipated that this would bias the result slightly in favour of Labor, although measures may have been taken to correct for this. As far as I can tell, Newspoll used to abstain from polling over the Queen’s Birthday weekend, but changed this policy last year.
UPDATE: Essential Research has two-party preferred unchanged on last week at 56-44, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (down one), 32% for Labor (down one) and 10% for the Greens (steady). The monthly personal ratings have Julia Gillard up a point on approval to 32% and down four on disapproval to 56%, with Tony Abbott down four on approval to a new low of 32% and up one on approval up one to 54%. Funnily enough, Newspoll and Essential concur that both leaders’ approval ratings are 32%. Gillard and Abbott are tied at 37% on preferred prime minister, compared with a 38-37 lead for Gillard last time.
Other questions gauge public trust in various institutions, recording a remarkable drop for the federal parliament from 55% to 22% since the question was last asked in September, and other sharp drops recorded for trade unions (from 39% to 22%), environmental groups (45% to 32%), business groups (38% to 22%) and, for some reason, the Reserve Bank (67% to 49%). The poll also finds 60% disapproving of bringing in overseas workers with only 16% approving, 32% believing labour costs and taxes might drive mining companies away against 49% who expect them to carry on regardless.
UPDATE 2: Roy Morgan makes it three polls in one day by reporting its face-to-face results, which it evidently does on Tuesdays now rather than Fridays. This result is Labor’s best since March, their primary vote up half a point to 33% with the Coalition down 2.5% to 42.5% and the Greens up two to 12.5%. On two-party preferred, the Coalition’s lead has narrowed from 55.5-44.5 to 52-48 on previous election preferences and from 58-42 to 55-45 on respondent-allocated.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
vic, the MOAR is dying to get of its cage
by The Finnigans on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:37 pm
BB
Best wishes for your wife. I am sure that people will continue to get sick under Mr O’Farrell. I suppose the $64 question is whether he can be bothered to try and make them better again.
by Boerwar on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:37 pm
Good
by Centre on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:39 pm
IMHO, all those Aussies who disapprove of foreign workers working in Australia should agitate for the Government to pass legislation forcing every Australian who is working overseas, to return to Australia at once.
I am not sure what the working proportion is, but I believe that there are around 1 million Aussies o/s.
Goose/gander.
by Boerwar on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:40 pm
there is soon going to be almighty competition for the remaining old media jobs. NewsLtd is rumoured to be shedding 900 jobs, and with Rupert’s travails overnight (being accused of perjury by a former UK PM), the loss making newspapers in the sinking empire might be jettisoned.
by sprocket_ on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:42 pm
Boerwar 563..Re Stuart article in press
__________________________
Re Australian alignments with the USA et al.
I thought the article was excellent Thanks for alerting me to it
Giving the problems for us and others posed by the agressive policies oif Obama,this thoughtful piece by Tariq Ali in “Counterpunch” today is very critical of Obama and his foreign policies and ought to be read by Canberra foreign policy makers
http://www.counterpunch.org/2012/06/08/the-obama-syndrome/
by deblonay on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:42 pm
Finns that’s easy money.
Diogs, true to form, wRONg again!
by Centre on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:42 pm
Plus, if the Government had already passed and enforced, such legislation, Australia would not be getting its national knickers in a knot about the Aussie who is currently enjoying the fruits of our endeavours in relation to the Libyan War.
by Boerwar on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:42 pm
Me at #647…
The one consolation in this particular case was that the same arsehole boss a year later was in the spotlight in the SMH in a VERY prominent unfair dismissal case, chapter and verse doing what he did to HI (although she was at a lower level than the plaintiff in the case in the Herald).
I wish there was jail for bullies in the workplace. When I was bullied once (in 2008) I was too proud to show them they’d gotten to me. So I waited until the work built right up and then left them in the lurch by resigning suddenly. I gave a month’s notice with two month’s work on my desk.
The bloke after me had a stroke from the stress (seriously), and the one after him suffered a nervous breakdown, but had the wisdom to sue them before he went for treatment (he won, getting a big payout). No job is worth that. Funny thing was that when I handed in my resignation this bully boss whinged to me that I was leaving him in the lurch. It was all about him, and HIS stress levels, he told me. He probably couldn’t figure out why I had a less than sympathetic look on my face.
It’s a sort of victory until your severance pay runs out, then reality hits.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:45 pm
Deblonay
I enjoyed taking the long view in evaluating Obama – ‘…all the way back to Nero.’
by Boerwar on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:45 pm
It could only happen in circumstances such as post-natal depression, in which case there should be no murder conviction.
The whole thing was a travesty from beginning to end.
by bemused on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:45 pm
The inconsistency and lack of logic of the responses to Essentials polling questions over the last few months has me very skeptical of their offerings – the respondents come across as complete numskulls.
by Rex Douglas on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:46 pm
Good news for the Chamberlains at long last.
Yes, the dingo did it!
Who was the Bludger who was adamant it was a four legged dingo that did it?
There are going to be a lot of long faces and proven fools at around Sept 2013 around here
by Centre on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:49 pm
Australia, you’re standing in it.
I was amazed last night on Q&A at the concentration on old hat issues like the Rudd “knifing” and the “Lie”. Was also surprised that so many people can’t see that it’s Abbott causing all the trouble in Parliament, not the government.
Stands to reason: it’s in the government’s interest to keep proceedings civilized, in the hung parliament scenario. Yet the questions on this issue last night seemed to allege that BOTH sides were at fault.
Morons.
If that was a 30/44 split between Labor and Coalition I’ll eat my hat.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:51 pm
Good to see Lenore Taylors piece in the SMH today trashing Greg Hunts rubbish and putting businesses on notice that if they want to peddle crap they themselves will be shown up as crap
by Rex Douglas on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:51 pm
The finns
I want the moar to come out of the cage.
by victoria on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:53 pm
The National Tantrum over the Lie and the Knifing has to end soon. No country can stay that confectedly angry for so long without doing itself real harm.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:54 pm
Boerwar 657
_______
Re Oz and Libya
________
It shows how little clout we REALLY have in such matters
Rudd and Carr and all other FMs have lectured and pontificated as if we have some clout in the world
Here we see a regime we helped install gives us the Finger!
I heard a US expert of Libyan origin say that the Libyan Govt has no authority over the armed militias who rule all over the place
The prediciiton that Libya might become another Somalia is coming true…a Somalia on the doorstep of Europe
BTW The flood of refugees into southern Europe is still going on though our media with it’s small span of concentration has moved on to other crises
The regime in Libyan has just stated that the planned election for late this month will be “postponed ” !!!
I doubt that will be consulting Bob Carr or Kevin Rudd on this matter
I recall some time ago Rudd suggesting that given the excellence of the OZ electoral system we ought to offer our expertise to Libya for it’s first free elections
Fat chance of that I think
We might find our electoral officials locked up if the result didn’t please the current regime !!
BTW..The Australian woman from the ICC and the others there too all have diplomatic passsports and immunity like UN officials …not much help though !
by deblonay on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:56 pm
BB,
I think Tony Jones set the tone (pardon the pun) on QandA with what I thought was a very smarmy performance.
His demeanor will turn viewers off rather than lure them in.
by Rex Douglas on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:56 pm
Regardless of the audience makeup it doesn’t mean that the questions that get asked reflect that in any way.
by Think Big on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:56 pm
So the increased national savings rate has pegged a full billion off NSW’s revenue. Australia needs to broaden its taxation.
by bluegreen on Jun 12, 2012 at 2:57 pm
You could very well be one of them!
by scorpio on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:00 pm
Maybe the Westies are thinking of parachuting someone into the top job in Canberra? Gina and co have enough money to do it if they but their mind to it.
http://www.vexnews.com/2012/06/christian-porter-minister-demanded-leadership-hand-over-or-else-wa-liberals-say/
by sprocket_ on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:01 pm
four legged dingo, eh? Should stand out in the pack
For myself I was reserving judgement on the Azaria thing until the forensics showed a spray of arterial blood under the dashboard of the Chamberlains vehicle. At that point I swung over to the “guilty as hell” camp. I felt more than a bit sheepish when it was shown to be transmission fluid and not blood.
by Jolyon Wagg on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:02 pm
Bushfire 658..
Yes I once worked in a situation where the boss was a bully ..and she was mad as a cut snake too when it came to personel matters…and made stupid and costly mistakes.,,, the latter finally brought her down …but she caused a lot of grief on the way
.There are some bullies a
round here too !
ask Fran Barlow !
by deblonay on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:03 pm
I bet the Right Wing Luddites loved it though!
by scorpio on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:06 pm
Von Kirsdarke@362 – well said. The vote will not be put again for a long time if Labor lose and the personal campaign against JG will be their undoing. A pity that they aren’t concentrating on actually finding more pollies in the House to vote for it. Try the males – Abbott, Rudd, Hockey, Morrison, etc. or is it easier just to denigrate a woman PM who, after all, has actually allowed a conscience vote – something nobody else has done.
by BH on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:09 pm
NT Election August 25:
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-06-12/nt-election-date-announced/4066430
by Mithrandir on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:10 pm
Of course, if Gillard was pro gay marriage, things would be much worse for the ALP in … you guessed it: Queensland
by spur212 on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:11 pm
DAIRY FARMING OPPORTUNITY TO TURN MANURE INTO INCOME
A good article with Simon Crean that easily explains a form of carbon farming (part of the CEP) that financially rewards dairy farmers.
Are the dingbat Nats really opposed to this?
by Rex Douglas on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:13 pm
this is very disappointing
by Rex Douglas on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:19 pm
Rex Douglas@679,
What is clear to me about the Nats is that they are abandoning their natural constituency to the Greens(could this be part of the source of the flow of Coalition votes to the Greens?), and have instead decided to court the redneck vote, as Ron Boswell proclaimed yesterday, saying that he would go to every fisherman in the country between now and election day to let them know he would repeal the Marine Park legislation.
Talk about Reactionary Conservatives. They remind me of meal worms.
by C@tmomma on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:26 pm
Slipper/Ashby case
chris murphy @chrismurphys
@woolkebb honest,top of the tree lawyer. won’t be conned by anyone. very clever.That’s Steven Rares! #auspol
by Lyne Lady on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:35 pm
Highly unlikely
by Centre on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:38 pm
some more HSU inspired drip feeds.
http://www.independentaustralia.net/2012/politics/jacksonville-11-the-forgotten-jackson-and-the-comeback-kid/
by sprocket_ on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:38 pm
deblonay
Unfotunately our Australian war mongers are never held to account. Never.
They wreak their destruction and move on.
Australia is a very strange nation in some ways. We would rather spend millions over three decades on an MSM- and legal industry frenzy around a dingo killing a single baby – when we ignore that we were actively involved in a blockade that killed hundred of thousands of Iraqi babies.
by Boerwar on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:39 pm
JW @ 673
I meant two-legged
by Centre on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:41 pm
Headline Morgan 55/45 but using prefs per 2010 it’s 52/48
by Haydn on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:42 pm
@cnnbrk: Justice Dept. to sue Florida over plan to purge voter rolls ahead of 2012 elections http://t.co/BKXfOid0
by guytaur on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:46 pm
http://wixxy.files.wordpress.com/2012/06/letter-to-jeff-jackson.pdf
Love these letters and documents which keep falling off the HSU truck.this one goes to the modus operandi of the other Jackson…….
by sprocket_ on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:48 pm
Posted Tuesday, June 12, 2012 at 3:42 pm | Permalink
Headline Morgan 55/45 but using prefs per 2010 it’s 52/48
Thats about t where gus had it last night
by my say on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:49 pm
Nice to see that the combined primary votes of the centre left are ahead of the Coalition…
http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/polls.cfm
by Boerwar on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:49 pm
guytaur
The Justice Dept suit is in response to this.
http://thepoliticalcarnival.net/2012/06/11/breaking-gov-rick-scott-florida-will-sue-dept-of-homeland-security-over-voter-purge/
by BK on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:50 pm
Mr Abbott would not be the first pollie who has been scorched by bushfires they firebugged themselves.
Oh, wouldn’t it be luvverly…
by Boerwar on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:53 pm
Slipper/Ashby case
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-06-12/slipper-moves-to-have-case-thrown-out/4066422
by Lyne Lady on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:54 pm
sprocket
I think IA is concerned about the publication of that person’s address on the letter
http://twitter.com/#!/madwixxy
by shellbell on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:54 pm
Centre
Been away for a while but:
I don’t deal in hypotheticals I prefer facts. Have you found the source yet?
by MTBW on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:54 pm
Greens set to win state seat of Melbourne:
http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2012/4791/
by Boerwar on Jun 12, 2012 at 3:55 pm
Why does morgan say libs wtte
Would win easy
But has not allocated preferences .
ln the link
by my say on Jun 12, 2012 at 4:00 pm
The real story of the Morgan Poll is the crash in the Coalition primary polling (face, face, face) over the past couple of weeks: around 6%.
This means that around three quarters of a million Australians have stopped supporting the Coalition in a very, very short time.
If Labor had manged a crash like that it would be Ruddstoration, with saliva, all over the MSM.
I imagine we can expect some hyperventilation from Mr Abbott.
No wonder he was clutching at boats like a drowning man over the weekend.
by Boerwar on Jun 12, 2012 at 4:04 pm