Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports that Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead at 54-46, unchanged from the previous poll, with the primary votes at 31% for Labor (down one), 44% for the Coalition (down two) and 14% for the Greens (up two). Julia Gillard’s net approval is 4% less bad than last time, her approval up two to 32% and disapproval down two to 58%, while Tony Abbott is respectively up one to 32% and down one to 59%. On preferred prime minister, Gillard is up two to 42% and Abbott is up one to 38%.
It should be noted that most of the polling period (Friday to Sunday) covered what in every state but WA was a long weekend, when an unusually large number of potential respondents would be away from home. Given that absent and postal votes tend to favour the Coalition, it might be anticipated that this would bias the result slightly in favour of Labor, although measures may have been taken to correct for this. As far as I can tell, Newspoll used to abstain from polling over the Queen’s Birthday weekend, but changed this policy last year.
UPDATE: Essential Research has two-party preferred unchanged on last week at 56-44, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (down one), 32% for Labor (down one) and 10% for the Greens (steady). The monthly personal ratings have Julia Gillard up a point on approval to 32% and down four on disapproval to 56%, with Tony Abbott down four on approval to a new low of 32% and up one on approval up one to 54%. Funnily enough, Newspoll and Essential concur that both leaders’ approval ratings are 32%. Gillard and Abbott are tied at 37% on preferred prime minister, compared with a 38-37 lead for Gillard last time.
Other questions gauge public trust in various institutions, recording a remarkable drop for the federal parliament from 55% to 22% since the question was last asked in September, and other sharp drops recorded for trade unions (from 39% to 22%), environmental groups (45% to 32%), business groups (38% to 22%) and, for some reason, the Reserve Bank (67% to 49%). The poll also finds 60% disapproving of bringing in overseas workers with only 16% approving, 32% believing labour costs and taxes might drive mining companies away against 49% who expect them to carry on regardless.
UPDATE 2: Roy Morgan makes it three polls in one day by reporting its face-to-face results, which it evidently does on Tuesdays now rather than Fridays. This result is Labor’s best since March, their primary vote up half a point to 33% with the Coalition down 2.5% to 42.5% and the Greens up two to 12.5%. On two-party preferred, the Coalition’s lead has narrowed from 55.5-44.5 to 52-48 on previous election preferences and from 58-42 to 55-45 on respondent-allocated.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Boerwar.
I think you might like to watch the 7.30 report on Thursday night.
by rummel on Jun 12, 2012 at 5:59 pm
ru
Could not happen to a nicer guy
by victoria on Jun 12, 2012 at 5:59 pm
Stephen Fry and Elgin’s Marbles
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-18373312
by guytaur on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:00 pm
Class act. Well done Wendy.
by ruawake on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:00 pm
@ABCNews24: #TheDrum starts now with @antloewenstein @StephenLongABC @Adam_Creighton + @taylor_jessie Watch: http://t.co/AhggUgUN
by guytaur on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:02 pm
Hey hang on. ITs Peter Reith Miriam Lyons and someone disregard the ABC tweet. I should have looked more closely.
by guytaur on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:03 pm
by victoria on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:03 pm
I don’t give a toss about the Puff Adders exterior!
As we witness regularly, you cannot hide ‘real’ ugliness that goes to the bone.
by Dee on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:03 pm
guytaur
That is okay. I am watching dvd concert of Metallica. There was no risk of me switching on the ABC!
by victoria on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:04 pm
Dee
So true
by victoria on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:04 pm
guytaur,
Isn’t that who was on last night? Think they may have recycled an old tweet.
by Space Kidette on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:06 pm
Seems clive is narked he is not at the summit,appears that no loudmouths allowed
by Schnappi on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:07 pm
SK
Idont bother to watch the Drum, but judging by comments, isnt Peter Reith on all the bloody time?
by victoria on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:07 pm
Victoria,
Reith, Sloan and the IPA, all the way.
by Space Kidette on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:08 pm
SK
Really pathetic
by victoria on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:09 pm
An excellent article to ponder
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-06-12/young-unlikely-crushes/4066486
by guytaur on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:10 pm
Absolute rubbish.
Would you like to see what my terriers do to an old teddy-bear?
Now I am 99.99% sure they would never harm a human but that does not mean I would let a visitor’s kid roll around on the floor with them.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:10 pm
reith not on 24 drum im watching
by Schnappi on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:10 pm
He’s in Melbourne. He will be beamed in on the bird.
by ShowsOn on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:11 pm
victoria,
I try to watch. But if any of the above make an appearance and I am hunting down the TV remote.
by Space Kidette on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:12 pm
r
It has indeed – actually, it is a bit unnerving for yrs trly. It is now at greater than two standard deviations from the 1970-2000 median. Whatever that means.
NSIDC has changed the way of calculating the way to represent the Arctic sea ice graph, so I am a bit discombobulated when it comes to interpreting it. But the trend is not our friend.
OTOH, it is looking good for Arctic shipping lanes (north-about and north-west passage) being ice-free before very long. That makes a big economic (and paradoxically) carbon emitting difference for sea-borne trade.
Mr Akerman is now in a position to relax in terms of his abject concern for the poor old ice-threatened crab fishers of the Behring Sea. He is not a dolt, so I imagine that he is being deliberate in ignoring the science.
Apart from watching the blue bits appear on the NSIDC satellite-based maps of Arctic sea ice extent, the point of great, even overwheening, interest has to be the northern summer methane readings above clathrate-ridden seas and methane saturated impermafrosts.
Every summer is now a cross-fingers time. This stuff is actually more important than the AFL grand final match, but still…
I know, I know…
by Boerwar on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:12 pm
Poor Melbourne
The two Peter’s Reith and Costello.
by guytaur on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:13 pm
Mike Secombe on The Drum.
Where has he been lately? He’s one of the good ones.
by BK on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:13 pm
SK
Dont blame you. Reith and Sloane both have more front than Myers. They represent everything that is bad about the tories
by victoria on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:14 pm
It’s good watching TV shows featuring people that say things you don’t agree with. It makes you think about why you don’t agree with them.
by ShowsOn on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:14 pm
Puff,
I’m with you. I have seen with my own eyes, on numerous occassions, both dingo’s and dogs totally destroy baby sized animals with a ferocity that is astounding. These same dogs also would sit and let you pat them quite happily.
No doubt in my mind that the dingo took Azaria.
by Space Kidette on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:15 pm
Wow, Sweden has one of the highest productivity rates in the world.
My guess would be that they have a far more regulated I.R. system than Australia!
by ShowsOn on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:15 pm
I came in to sitting room
Oh said why have the opp. Started on border protection
Said there vote has slipped
Well the gov should point out , he said
All they have is boats
Have they.??
by my say on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:16 pm
I came in to sitting room
Oh said why have the opp. Started on border protection
Said there vote has slipped
Well the gov should point out , he said
All they have is boats
Have they.??
by my say on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:16 pm
Fran Barlow @ 396
I agree completely with your summation of the Chamberlain saga.
I will never be convinced that a dingo or feral dog went into the tent, undressed the baby, took it in its mouth, walked over the other sleeping child, and off it went.
The jury got it right. It had the benefit of all the evidence, and hearing and seeing witnesses giving evidence and being cross-examined.
But I am content to abide the Coroner’s findings.
One further thing: I was not impressed by the emotional outpourings by the Coroner. It’s not the role of a judicial officer to involve themselves personally in these matters. It should be a strict summation of her findings without fuss or fanfare.
Now, all of you, go for it and attack and abuse me.
by feeney on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:17 pm
Hahahahaha IPA shill is left of Reith.
by guytaur on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:18 pm
Turn Up Like A Bad Penny Dept.
Reith is now on the Drum, and citing …. HR Nicholls Society research as proof that…. unions are BAAAAAAD.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:18 pm
Oh spew…. BOLD
Did that fix it?
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:18 pm
William,
If you are lurking – have you been able to track any polling data on the upcoming Greek elections?
by Space Kidette on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:18 pm
Newman and abbott know the answers,lol
http://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/1658253/Qld-economy-diving-into-abyss-Newman
by Schnappi on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:19 pm
Centre
I have just expelled the SDA/AWU block so I’m looking good!
by MTBW on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:19 pm
I know it’s only a Morgan Poll, but a 12% 2PP movement in 2 weeks (on the last election preference allocation method) is quite staggering. And 13% using Morgan’s preferred respondent allocated preference method is even more staggering!
If nothing else, a further indication of the electorate’s volatility.
by Outsider on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:20 pm
Miriam Lyons is not an IPA shill.
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:21 pm
BB
Oh that explains it then. Thought it was a bit of a sane comment,
by guytaur on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:22 pm
Before this change is supported by more polls, all you can say is it shows Morgan’s volatility.
I mean just today there was a new Newspoll that was basically unchanged from 2 weeks ago, so that supports the thesis that the elecorate is not acting in a volatile way and fits in with the longer term trend that Labor is way behind.
by ShowsOn on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:24 pm
Who the hell said this?
by Darn on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:25 pm
shellbell
Thank you for the link to Eddie Mabo it was great.
http://www.abc.net.au/archives/80days/stories/2012/01/19/3415316.htm
You and others may like this as well.
by MTBW on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:25 pm
feeney – I won’t attack you because we can all have our own opinions but I would suggest that you read the Royal Commission findings under Porter QC and then his book wherein he sets out the story and dispels the guilty scenario.
We can’t make definitive statements without reading everything there is about the case – especially the RC findings. If after reading both I’d be surprised if you haven’t changed your mind as I don’t see you as lacking insight.
by BH on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:26 pm
Who else?
Fran Barlow.
Who knew she’s a dog expert as well as an everything-else expert?
by Bushfire Bill on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:29 pm
Swedens workforce is very highly unionised.
by Dee on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:30 pm
In which case you are incapable of an objective opinion on the matter.
by Jake on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:33 pm
Great cartoon about Cameron leaving his young daughter behind at a pub.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/matt/
by poroti on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:35 pm
Darn
That was said by our resident know-it-all, Fran Barlow, earlier today.
by leone on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:36 pm
Reith can’t help big noting himself!
by BK on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:37 pm
Sadly for the Chamberlains no matter how many judges, coroners, expert witnesses or forensic scientists deem them not guilty there will always be “experts” across Australia who know all about dingoes, who know all about dogs and who know all about, well everything really.
These people will not be swayed by due process, by proper diligent inquiry or by science.
They know everything so they must be right.
by roaldan1000 on Jun 12, 2012 at 6:38 pm