Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition
The latest fortnightly Newspoll – the first in some time to be released on Sunday rather than Monday night – has Labor’s primary vote down a point on last time to 30%, the Coalition’s up two to 46% and the Greens’ down two to 12%, with the two-party preferred out from 54-46 to 55-45. Julia Gillard has lost most of her lead as preferred prime minister, which narrows from 42-38 in her favour to 39-38, but the individual personal ratings are essentially unchanged, with Gillard down two points on approval to 30% and up one on disapproval to 59%, while Tony Abbott is down one on each to 31% and 58%.
UPDATE: Essential Research has voting intention unchanged on last week, with the Coalition leading 56-44 from primary votes of 33% for Labor, 49% for the Coalition and 10% for the Greens. The poll also gaugues opinion on the carbon tax for the first time since November last year, up to which point it had asked every month after the policy was first announced in late February 2011, and it finds support at a new low with 35% supportive and 54% opposed. Forty-five per cent believe it will increase the cost of living “a lot”, 26% “a moderate amount”, 20% “a little” and 2% that it will have “no impact”, while 44% think it likely and 40% unlikely that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would repeal it in government. More happily for the government, its marine reserves policy has 70% support with 13% opposed. The poll also finds 88% rating themselves not likely to pay for online newspaper content against only 9% likely.
UPDATE 2: The latest Morgan face-to-face poll, covering the last two weekends, has Labor down half a point to 32.5%, the Coalition up three to 45.5% and the Greens down 2.5% to 10%. The Coalition’s lead is up from 55-45 to 56.5-43.5 on respondent-allocated preferences and from 52-48 to 54.5-45.5 on previous election preferences.
Matters federal:
• ReachTEL last week published results of two automated phone polls from the electorates of Tony Windsor and Rob Oakeshott, finding both to be headed for defeat. In New England, Nationals candidate-presumptive Richard Torbay was rated at 62% of the primary vote against 25% for Windsor (after distribution of the undecided), which on 2010 preference flows would put Torbay ahead 65.7-34.3. In Lyne, David Gillespie of the Nationals (UPDATE: Commenter Oakeshott Country notes I’m jumping the gun here: the Nationals are yet to confirm their candidate) led Oakeshott 52% to 31%, or 55.4-44.6. The electorates were polled in October last year by Newspoll, at which time no information on likely Nationals candidates was available, which showed Windsor trailing 41% to 33% and Oakeshott trailing 47% to 26%.
• Ben Packham of The Australian reports a “factional brawl” looms in the South Australian Liberal Party over the Senate vacancy created by the retirement of Mary Jo Fisher, who suffers a depressive illness and was recently reported to police for shoplifting for the second time in 18 months. Packham reports that Ann Ruston, former National Wine Centre chief executive and owner of a Riverina wholesale flower-growing firm, might emerge as a moderate-backed candidate. However, the Right’s position – contested by the moderates – is that she would have to renounce her existing claim to the number three position on the Senate ticket for the next election if she wished to contest the preselection. Kate Raggatt, a former adviser to Nick Minchin, is “seen as a possible right-wing contender for the vacancy”. Brad Crouch of the Sunday Mail lists Cathy Webb, Andrew McLaughlin, Paul Salu, Chris Moriarty and Maria Kourtesis as other possibilities.
Matters state:
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Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Abbott on ABC24
What about jobs in green industries?
by gloryconsequence on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:46 am
doo doo doo doo doo doo – for Gary
Mick it’s that attitude that makes it hard for any side of politics to get an advantage from the deaths at sea.
by davidwh on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:47 am
Abbott and Hunt at the RSPCA, whinging about the carbon tax rising costs of animal shelters
by gloryconsequence on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:47 am
Abbott presser
by gloryconsequence on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:48 am
FFS, what RSCPA has anything to do with the Carbon Price and how can a charitable org to be used as a political football
by The Finnigans on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:48 am
Poroti
I suspect it’s probably to do with the seat of Lilly but hey, with Palmer you never know.
by Dee on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:48 am
Ffs Electiricity prices have been escalating for the past six years!!
by victoria on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:49 am
Sarah Hanson-Young outlines Greens proposals
I’m not sure I’d agree with the wording of this because “off-shore processing” is implicit in the proposal as outlined by SH-Y, but subbing that for “involuntary rendition” it’s a reasonable start. Personally, I’d favour a larger intake than the Greens have specified, assuming we could achieve a substantial commitment for burden sharing amongs other jurisdictions –one based on capacity to contribute, and within the MDG process.
by Fran Barlow on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:49 am
Further to my 1963, not taking the gloves off just leaves space for Abbott to fill with his crap. An opportunity I note he has already this morning started to take. Come on ALP hit the grub, and keeping hitting him until he doesn’t get up again.
by ratsak on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:49 am
RSPCA rep: Up to $180,000 extra costs because of the carbon tax, which is about 4 to 6 people’s jobs.
Journo: So 4 to 6 people will lose their jobs?
RSPCA rep: No, but that’s the equivalent. We will just have to cut back in other areas.
OK… so are people losing their jobs or not?
by gloryconsequence on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:50 am
bemused
So now you are advocating Australia abandon its international treaty obligations. Just because you find it inconvenient.
Which one are you going to want to abandon next?
by guytaur on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:50 am
Fuck the RSPCA
by bluegreen on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:52 am
Ha. Abbott’s broadband presser feed pixelates and gets cut off. And we don’t need the NBN…
by gloryconsequence on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:52 am
gloryconsequence
FFS,so shorter Abbott “Carbon Tax Kills Puppies ” ?
by poroti on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:52 am
@mrbenjaminlaw: Remember how the LNP ditched the QLD Premier’s Lit Award? Grassroots award is up. Donate to support its sustainability. http://t.co/mm3QQ7fK
by guytaur on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:52 am
Sop is Abbott saying that the carbon tax makes his job less secure? The “job” of Rinehart? Michael Clarke, Australian Cricket Captain? The head of the RBA?
Perhaps someone should get him to specify his reasoning in each particular case.
by Fran Barlow on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:52 am
Obviously RSPCA thinks they are the top dogs to be used as a political propaganda for Tony Abbott anti carbon price #auspol
by The Finnigans on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:52 am
by Space Kidette on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:53 am
Zoomster, 1987, yes I am doing my best to promote the dynamic coupling of Scott Buchholz and Terese Gambaro as the future of the LNP.
There are no moderate Libs, any moderate person would be ashamed and sickened by the mouth frothers that now run the Liberal Party. Having so many dedicated Christians in their Leadership appears to have plunged them into the political sewer. Strange that.
by Bill B. on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:53 am
@annabelcrabb: One of the less talked-about bills to go through parly this week: Laws to regulate payday lending loan sharks: http://t.co/Q98amqwE
by guytaur on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:53 am
Yep. And he gets asked an asylum seeker question, and the presser quite conveniently cuts out.
by gloryconsequence on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:54 am
More right wing projection….
by zoomster on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:54 am
Dee
I forgot to add that the words are those Ashby alleged Slipper said to him.
by poroti on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:55 am
Yesterday there was report on anti gay statement by one of the Salvos. So no more donation to the Red Shield for me, ditto now for RSPCA
by The Finnigans on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:55 am
Or, you know, just modify your behaviour a bit here, change things a bit there, do this a bit differently, do that more efficiently etc and so on.
Christ on a stick, the lack of imagination with these people is sickening.
by Son of foro on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:55 am
Use the education into which Federal & state govs+parents have poured staggering amounts of financial and other support for (in most cases) over a decade – including years of schooling etc aimed at equipping them to detect bias, evaluate options and make that sort of choice.
I taught that, initially in primary schools when even synthesis was expected of grade 5 kids (10 yo); most of the time in SHS where research-based decision making appeared in almost (if not) all subject syllabi for every year level. All syllabi I taught 1960-end 86 were based on Bloom’s Taxonomies, esp the cognitive (ie “thinking”), so inc Knowledge, Comprehension, Application, Analysis, Synthesis and Evaluation (see boxes in cited article).
The vast majority of voting Aussies have had at least 10-11 years of formal education; most GensBoomer-Z have 12-13 years’ schooling + post-school education/ training. Some over55 yos may have only 9 years’ schooling, but they did so during periods when the curriculum was far more rigorous than it became from the mid60s onwards.
It’s recently become a habit for some commentators, inc on PB, to disparage, often in the most insulting manner, everyone who doesn’t agree with them/ share their views/ are in the same demographic/ live in the same state/ vote for the same political party/ support the same AFl team etc – and those over 55/ who own their own homes – as mental incompetents.
To regard the general public or ordinary Australians as dumber than one’s self is insultingly arrogant!
More to the point, it’s an extremely poor reflection of themselves and their education, and, for those who know Maslow’s needs tables, a telling indication of the level of their own needs.
by OzPol Tragic on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:55 am
We could increase our AS intake to 100,000.
It’s not going to stop people from getting on leaky boats and drowning at sea.
by Dee on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:56 am
@latikambourke: Liberal Leader Tony Abbott says Clive Palmer is just a rank and file member of the LNP and has no more influence than any other member.
@latikambourke: Liberal Leader Tony Abbott doesn’t deny ‘foul language’ during a row between he and Clive Palmer but says it wasn’t from him.
by guytaur on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:56 am
BillB
I think Mirabella/Morrison might make what they’re voting for clearer to the electorate.
Abbott is the friendly face of the hard Right!
(Disclaimer: would love to be actually throw a real spotlight on SM’s past activities…the media here seems to pretend that anything that happened prior to the last election doesn’t matter…)
by zoomster on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:57 am
Is that RSPCA figure across the whole of their Australian operations, one state’s, or one shelter’s?
If the first, given the number of shelters they operate, and the associated activities, then that doesn’t seem a big figure.
by zoomster on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:58 am
Classic
Now there is a conundrum for PB’ers – who do you support in that disagreement.
by davidwh on Jun 26, 2012 at 11:59 am
zoomster – it was a rep from RSPCA Canberra, where they have 4 shelters.
by gloryconsequence on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:00 pm
by Dee on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:01 pm
DavidWH
for wanting to sail his Titanic replica, accompanied by the Chinese Navy, into New York Harbour, Clive wins hands down
by Mick Collins on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:02 pm
Dee – too bad his presser cut out and was abandoned by ABC24. Hopefully it pops up elsewhere.
by gloryconsequence on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:03 pm
The Finnigans
A bit more than “anti gay”
http://www.theatlanticwire.com/global/2012/06/salvation-army-official-gays-deserve-death/53885/
by poroti on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:03 pm
gloryconsequence
In that case, they’re talking through their hat.
by zoomster on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:03 pm
Dee
i miss the point. Why are fairfax journos angry with Abbott as opposed to News ones?
by victoria on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:04 pm
Oh goodie. So he believes in stonings, slavery and burning witches, as well.
by zoomster on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:04 pm
I want it recorded in PB history annals that on the 26 June 2012 Michael Collins supported Clive Palmer.
by davidwh on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:06 pm
zoomster – it was $180,000 in electricity price increases across the 4 shelters, of which the carbon price is only a small factor.
So technically, the carbon price is a $3,000 increase, across 4 shelters, so about $7,000 per shelter… he said each shelter employs 4 to 6 staff… so clearly, 4 to 6 staff won’t be losing their jobs.
by gloryconsequence on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:06 pm
by victoria on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:06 pm
*$30,000
by gloryconsequence on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:07 pm
davidwh
No choice required Between Palmer and Abbott. They are both bad for democracy
by victoria on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:08 pm
Is there a link re your discussion
About a new joe for canberra
by my say on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:08 pm
by victoria on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:08 pm
is this true?????
by victoria on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:11 pm
By the time the boss of the LNP (big clive) runs, Tony will be a feather duster
by Mick Collins on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:12 pm
victoria is it splashed across all the media outlets?
by davidwh on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:13 pm
Yes, it was reported in the OO
by Mick Collins on Jun 26, 2012 at 12:13 pm